Evaluating the Impact of China-Financed Power Projects on Electricity Access
Photo credit: ZSM |
In the last decade, China has overtaken the World Bank and the African Development Bank to become the biggest financier of infrastructure projects in sub-Saharan Africa. The CARI loan database now housed at Boston University provides extensive data on these projects. Yet little research has been done on how Chinese loans affect the social welfare of African countries. Africa is the region with the highest percent of people who do not have access to electricity. Electric power is the second largest sub-sector in Chinese lending, making up 20 percent of all loans (transport makes up 54 percent).
Variables |
Name |
Database |
Note |
Dependent Variable |
Proportion of population with access to electricity |
Access to electricity by country and year, 2000-2019 |
|
Main Independent Variable |
China-financed energy projects |
China’s loan to Africa, by country, year, and sector, 2000-2019 |
|
Control Variables |
OECD countries’ bilateral finance to African countries’ energy projects |
By recipient country, donor, year, and sector, 2010-2019 |
|
Spatial distribution of population and population density |
Other socio-economic and geographical indicators that might influence access to electricity through channels other than investment on energy infrastructure.
|
||
Armed conflicts location and event data |
|||
Nighttime lights |
|||
GDP per capita, PPP, by country and year |
|||
|
Mines in African district |
||
|
International commodity price by year |
Empirical strategy:
a. Ordinary least square (OLS): Humphrey & Michaelowa (2019)b. Difference-in-differences: Martorano et al. (2020), Tang & Shen (2020)c. Instrumental variables: Duflo & Pande (2007)
Source: http://www.chinaafricarealstory.com/2021/06/evaluating-impact-of-china-financed.html
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