China, Korea, Russia, Ukraine: strategic mistakes all round
Start with Ukraine. Zelenski’s ‘Victory Pan’ of earlier this month is so off-beam, it simply serves to illustrate the impossibility of ‘victory’ by the standard of his stated war aims. I won’t waste space pointing out why. Desperation stuff, ahead of the US election.
I fact, it’s so off-beam, and he has often proved to be quite a subtle guy, I could even imagine that his real audience is internal – some truly unrealistic hard-liners. Look guys, this is what it would take, right? Now look carefully – do you seriously imagine any of this is going to happen??
Either that, or he’s losing it (Heaven knows, he’s ben under monstrous pressure for a very long time) & it’s a big mis-step. Even the seasoned chess players in the Kremlin must initially have laughed out loud (- until they start thinking like I did above).
But then …
… the North Korean thing**. Could you imagine anything more calculated to swing the dial back the other way? – in several places around the world where it really matters. And not just in political terms: Russia seriously doesn’t want S.Korea becoming a material backer of Ukraine. Or Japan. More desperation stuff.
Why did China allow this to happen? Is Xi really happy to have N.Korea as an outright proxy in such a tangible & risky way? Or does he even have control on what Kim Wrong’Un does any more? Have keen will China be to see Putin transfer missile technology to its rogue neighbour? Even Lukashenko is publicly breaking ranks on this one.
And how does this go down in Tehran? The dimensions and angles are endless.
Trump will be in his element if he wins next month. He just loves swirling, ambiguous situations, where his scope for crazy, unpredictable interventions is maximised.
ND
_________
** Every soldier there’s ever been knows the feeling of being in a long line to get issued with ill-fitting kit in various shades of green. It’ll be “present you bare left arm for the needle” next. Happy memories!
Source: http://www.cityunslicker.co.uk/2024/10/china-korea-russia-ukraine-strategic.html
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