The S&P 500's Thanksgiving Leftovers in July 2026
July 2026 saw positive changes overall for the Thanksgiving Leftover portfolio made up of the ten worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 (Index: SPX) as of Thanksgiving 2025. At least, as compared to how they fared in June 2025.
The equal-weighted weighted version of the portfolio overtook the market cap-weighted version over the past month. Through the close of trading on 27 July 2026, the equal-weighted group of Thanksgiving Leftover stocks rise to 88.5% of their value recorded on 28 November 2025. That compares with the 87.4% valuation of the market-cap weighted version of the ten stock portfolio.
That’s a change from most of the preceding seven months that had the market-cap weighted version of the 2025 Thanksgiving Leftover stock portfolio outperforming the equal-weighted version. It’s also developed as the S&P 500 index itself has largely moved sideways, rising from 107.4% to 108.2% of its post-2025 Thanksgiving holiday valuation.
The following chart shows the performance of all three sets of stocks, with the two Thanksgiving Leftover stock indices continuing to lag behind the S&P 500 index by a wide margin.
Much of the gain of the equal-weighted version of the Thanksgiving Leftover stock index has come about because the three worst performing individual stocks in the portfolio, Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU), Gartner (NYSE: IT), and The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) stopped falling and even rebounded a bit in the past month.
More significantly for the equal-weighted Leftover stocks, Factset Research Systems (NYSE: FDS) rose 23% over its level a month earlier.
At the same time, three stocks that account for 45% of the makeup of the market-cap version of the Thanksgiving Leftover stock portfolio, Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG), Fiserv (NASDAQ: FISV), and Alexandria Real Estate Equities (NYSE: ARE), saw positive but smaller gains over the preceding month while the Leftover stocks’ highest flyers, Molina Healthcare (NYSE: MOH), Deckers Outdoor (NYSE: DECK), and Dow Inc. (NYSE: DOW) were little changed from where they were a month earlier, though they changed quite a bit in between!
The spaghetti chart tracks the relative movements of 2025′s ten Thanksgiving Leftover stocks with respect to their value on the day after 2025′s Thanksgiving holiday.
Will the equal-weighted continue pulling ahead of the market-cap weighted version of the Thanksgiving Leftover portfolio? Or will the market-cap weighting win out? We’ll next see where things stand near the end of August 2026.
Source: https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2026/07/the-s-500s-thanksgiving-leftovers-in.html
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