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Why Donald Trump’s paid scientists are dishonest, insane or wishfully ignorant

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Donald Trump appointed people to top positions in specific US government departments to support his policies which assume that global warming is either not happening because scientists who warn about the problem are incompetent or corrupt, or global warming is happening but part of a natural cycle which we can’t change.

The first thing a rational person would realize is that you can’t believe both possibilities. Either it is happening, or it isn’t; and if you don’t know which of the two it is, you should examine all the evidence, objectively decide and then make policies. I will present some scientific, not fake, objective information for you to consider and decide if you think global warming is happening and why.

Second note: If someone believes we are experiencing a natural temperature cycle, then like scientists who predicted future trends and are getting their predictions right, Donald Trump’s paid scientists should do whatever observations they see fit, calculate and publish their predictions about when the cycle will turn and start bringing cool temperatures again. Rational people do that, but Donald Trump’s liars don’t. They only speculate about possibilities and factors which might question mainstream climatology without quantifying and providing their predictive models to explain themselves. Pseudo-scientific denial is just not good enough.  

Third note: It requires scientific training to collect facts and objective measurements but doesn’t require super-intelligence to see correlations between certain significant trends taking place in the world. Even if measuring procedures are not absolutely accurate, if the same procedures are repeated year after year and different measuring procedures show the same trend, we must assume something significant is taking place, unless you believe scientists keeping records are all colluding and cleverly cheating together; or the scientific method which more than 100 years’ experience has verified is fake. Does anyone believe that?

The attached charts shows four factors increasing over the past century in a specific pattern which seems clear and logical to me:

The chart shows global population growth increased at a steady rate and then turned upwards a decade after the second world war. Global energy consumption followed the same trend and the same can be seen for measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide and the mean global temperature. After the second world war, these four trends synchronously turned slightly upwards, which suggests they are related. That’s not hard to understand: Industrialization of the world accelerated after the second world war, promoted by numerous inventions and technological advances driven by the frenzy of war-time necessity.

Expanding industrialization with increasing energy production and consumption allowed people to gain access to better food, living conditions, clean water, medical treatment, etc., which meant that the average life expectancy increased considerably. Growing demand for food gradually accelerated the destruction of natural forests and grassland to make way for crops and herds, which in turn gradually reduced the natural heat sink and carbon dioxide storage capacity provided by billions of acres of natural forests and grassland. At the same time, combustion of coal, wood, oil and natural gas added trillions of tons of carbon dioxide and megawatts of steam and heat energy to the atmosphere. When we calculate the figures it’s not hard to understand why the mean global temperature is increasing every year. Nor is it hard to understand why atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are increasing. When people gradually destroy the earth’s natural heat sinks on every continent and add heat energy to the atmosphere we shouldn’t be surprised if the earth’s surface gradually rises in reaction.

If these observed trends all followed a simple straight line upwards, it would be easy to argue that this is simply nature doing its own thing. Indeed, a principle of scientific research states that we cannot conclude any cause-effect relationship by simply observing a correlation. But when changes in trends are synchronized there must be a cause-effect relationship even if we can’t explain it correctly. For example, people knew for thousands of years that ocean tides synchronized with the phase of the moon. Now we know how forces of gravity produced by the moon cause ocean tides.

Likewise, when we saw the steady rate at which four global trends increased and then simultaneously accelerated a decade after the second world war, it’s extremely likely there’s a cause-effect relationship. In fact, the explanation for the cause-effect relationship as outlined above is logical and credible. Therefore, denying the cause-effect relationship without providing an alternative and better explanation would be a sign of dishonesty, insanity or sheer stupidity. It would be like saying that the motion of the moon does not cause ocean tides, but we don’t know what causes ocean tides because it’s just a natural cycle.

The next three observed trends I included in the attached chart are also synchronized, but the acceleration comes about 4 decades after the second world war. This is perfectly understandable from a scientific perspective. An increase and acceleration in global surface temperatures causes ice to melt more so than with previously slightly cooler winds. Layers of snow and ice packed on parts of the continents in or near the polar regions have been preserved for centuries at sub-zero temperatures. It’s a fact that ice and snow only melt when heated to more than zero degrees Centigrade. Billions of tons of snow and ice at sub-zero temperatures require billions of kilowatts of heat energy to warm enough to start melting and moving into the oceans and the sea level rises in reaction. It’s taken about 4 decades of slow heating to start accelerating the melting rate as the data in the attached document shows. Note that the bottom of the ocean is formed by relatively thin tectonic plates floating on circulating currents of molten magma. As the weight of packed snow and ice is released from the land and transferred to the oceans where the weight of more water pushes down on the seabed, tectonic plates are pushed, stressed and tend to crack and move slightly faster as the constantly circulating currents of magma cause continental drift to accelerate. The numbers, physics and calculations provide the scientific explanation of this situation, including the recently observed acceleration in both earthquake frequencies and volcanic eruptions.

When observations and measurements show a cause-effect relationship, we typically draw a logical conclusion about which is the cause and which the effect. Of the four global trends which accelerated a decade after the second world war, population growth and acceleration with energy production are logically more likely to cause and accelerate the increase in temperature and carbon dioxide as outlined above than the other way around. If Donald Trump’s paid liars claim that other scientists are fabricating data or incompetent, they have a lot of explaining to do. How could thousands of lying or incompetent scientists at dozens of universities around the world manage to get so much data to collate and form a meaningful, logical and scientifically valid picture and explanation of the world? Impossible! Only dishonest, insane or wishfully ignorant people would believe that, and yet many people do.

When considering all the facts, numbers and interconnections between the observed trends it becomes virtually impossible to deny that people are causing the observed changes on our planet. If Donald Trump’s liars claim that a natural increase in temperature and carbon dioxide causes accelerating growth in population and energy production, they must provide a logical explanation. If they think it’s only an unrelated coincidence, then there’s no way they can call it a natural cycle because cycles go round-and-round and up-and-down, but this trend is constantly up, and they have no idea when their so-called natural cycle will turn down. How do paid liars justify themselves?

Can we do anything to stop this? Surprisingly, No! because the policies of governments around the world are inter-locked and controlled by the world’s elite, super-wealthy families who are determined to exploit as much of the world’s natural resources as possible and do whatever they want to make more money and keep things going the way they have been going since the second world war. It will take a global crisis to change the direction the world is heading.

We can’t change the direction now but if we become aware of where this is heading, we can prepare to avoid the worst consequences of the coming global crisis. It’s unlikely to lead to catastrophic weather because the world’s elite, super-wealthy families know what’s really happening and have secret plans to reduce the world’s population to pre-industrial levels and manage them and the environment more easily. They can achieve their goal by causing a major international war and numerous revolutions, a global economic depression, or a devastating pandemic which kills all but select groups who can be given the antidote. The Book called the Apocalypse predicts all three in succession. But we don’t have to fear for the future if we know what’s coming and prepare to avoid the worst consequences. My essay “Words of Wisdom as we anticipate the collapse of urban civilization” at wisdompage.com provides more details on this subject and how to prepare to survive and thrive when that happens.  

Chart here: https://mikamolyneaux.files.wordpress.com/2019/02/warming-trends-causes-predictions.pdf

 



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