Unlocking Microcap Alpha: 2024 Highlights and 2025 Insights with Maj Soueidan & Bobby Kraft [GeoWire Weekly No. 169]
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Highlights
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Fresh off our Live Open Forum reviewing December 2024, we are welcoming 2025 with continued optimism that microcaps will continue to perform well, especially in certain industries. While we didn’t do a full year review as part of the forum, a few days earlier I was able able to sit down with Bobby Kraft of the Plant Microcap Podcast for a focused MicroCap Year-End Review in which we dissected key developments in the microcap space over the past year.
By the way, at one point during my conversation with Bobby, I talked about the differences and similarities between Geoinvesting and the Microcap Investing Cliff Note Substack. I get a lot of questions on that subject, so I thought the year-end review would be a great time to touch on it.
My goal was to review the performance of microcap indexes and spotlight specific stocks where detailed research and information arbitrage gave us an edge in the market.
It also included an analysis of our growing interest in misunderstood sub-$1 stocks and how we are going all in in Information Arbitrage research to identify the companies that the market is unjustly ignoring.
We touched on recurring themes from 2024, and why a diversified portfolio of high-quality microcaps can deliver multibagger returns, without the risks that a concentrated strategy can pose.
This is a particularly important point for those investors that don’t have enough time to perform the deep dive analysis necessary to run a concentrated strategy, but still want exposure to the alpha-rich returns that only microcaps can offer. For example, the MS Microcap Quality Index (MSMqi), launched in February 2022, currently includes 106 stocks. As of November 2024, it has delivered 41 multi-baggers—a hit rate of 38.7% in just three years.
The podcast also highlighted our outlook for 2025, emphasizing our intent to maintain our focus on quality microcap stocks with large short and long term upside.
In addition to the broader themes discussed in the podcast, we visited information arbitrage case studies in specific microcap stocks like Tss, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSSI), Lifevantage Corporation (NASDAQ:LFVN), Acorn Energy, Inc. (OTCQB:ACFN), and Tat Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:TATT).
Tss, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSSI): From near failure to a $12+ stock (current ytd return of 4989%) driven by operational turnaround and AI data center market tailwinds. It took the market forever to price in changes management made that would allow the company to increase capacity by 10x.
Lifevantage Corporation (NASDAQ:LFVN): A multi-level marketing company leveraging an innovative GLP-1 product to reignite growth. It took the market about two months to figure out that the company was about to launch a natural GLP-1 solution with similar weight loss results as Ozempic, but without all the side effects.
Acorn Energy, Inc. (OTCQB:ACFN): Recent contract to monitor generators for a telecom company’s wireless tower infrastructure is game-changing. Plenty of information arbitrage still exists in the story.
Tat Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:TATT): Benefiting from adding recurring revenue streams by entering into long-term maintenance contracts with its aerospace customers.
For the complete discussion, watch the full video below:
~Maj Soueidan
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