It's Not Over Until the Iron Lady Sings
- Ultimate market timing model: Buy equities (Last changed from “sell” on 28-Jul-2023)*
- Trend Model signal: Bullish (Last changed from “bearish” on 27-Jun-2025)*
- Trading model: Neutral (Last changed from “bullish” on 31-Jul-2025)*
* The performance chart and model readings have been delayed by a week out of respect to our paying subscribers.
Update schedule: I generally update model readings on my site on weekends. I am also on X/Twitter at @humblestudent and on BlueSky at @humblestudent.bsky.social. Subscribers receive real-time alerts of trading model changes, and a hypothetical trading record of those email alerts is shown here.
Subscribers can access the latest signal in real time here.
The Trade War Continues
Even as the S&P 500 tests its rising trend line after the sudden trade war-related shock, we believe the risk of further stock price downdrafts isn’t over. The VVIX, or the volatility of the VIX Index, spiked above 100, indicating elevated levels of anxiety. If history is any guide, such conditions have seen market volatility and price pullbacks.
By no means is the trade war over. Here are some reasons why.
The full post can be found here.
Source: http://humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/10/its-not-over-until-iron-lady-sings.html
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