Are Long-Term Treasurys No Longer a Safe Haven?
Historically, major geopolitical or economic crises, such as the war against Iran, have prompted investors to sell riskier assets and buy “safe-haven” investments whose values were expected to remain stable or even rise amid the disruptions. The most popular safe havens have been the US dollar, gold, and longer-term US Treasury obligations. Faced with the crisis, or the prospect of one, investors would typically bid up the value of the dollar versus other currencies. Many would also avidly buy up gold, driving prices for the precious metal upward. Others would snap up Treasurys, boosting their values and pushing their yields down. However, market action so far during the Iran war has defied expectations. Treasury demand has been relatively muted, and yields have been markedly resilient. This raises the question of whether long-term Treasurys are still a safe haven. And if not, why?
Source: https://etfdb.com/etf-strategist-channel/long-term-treasurys-no-longer-safe-haven/
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