The Nuclear Energy Palimpsest
Repainting the canvas. The nuclear energy opportunity has been gathering renewed interest lately. Up until The Southern Company’s plant Vogtle units 3 and 4 finally got completed and brought online in 2023 and 2024, it had been nearly four decades since new traditional nuclear capacity had been built from scratch. Decommissioning and retirement of nuclear power plants began in the 1980’s, slowed in 2000-2010, and then reached its peak from 2012- 2022, taking capacity out of the system. Fears from accidents (Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, Fukushima) and the question of the impact of nuclear waste, as well as accelerating capital costs, increasing regulatory hurdles, and cheaper fossil fuel energy sources, made it look like nuclear energy generation was on a glide path to less, not more. More recently, as climate change gained increasing visibility and acceptance, the transition to renewable (and “green” sources) from non-renewable sources seemed like it was on a glide path upward and more. Nuclear fit in an odd spot of at first being considered dirty and not “green” (radioactive waste), to being considered “zero emissions” and therefore “green.” This significant perception change seems to have been driven in part by a number of factors, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the reality of increased costs, the inconvenience and practical problems of intermittent availability of wind and solar, and the reality of the lengthening of the time it was taking to transition to renewables and the economic cost to the people who actually depend on and consume electricity in their daily lives. Then with the advent of AI and the need for data centers and other increases in demand for electricity, the need for power now, on as cost-effective a basis as possible, has seemingly gained the upper hand.
Source: https://etfdb.com/etf-strategist-channel/nuclear-energy-palimpset/
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