The Falling Regimes

The dismantling of the Iranian Regime came in like a storm, but it is really an extension of a greater strategy to limit a larger conflict at the other end of the continent. With the securing of a significant level of control over Venezuelan energy exports, the remaining source of energy infrastructure from China’s allies resided in Iran and Russia. With the political move to cut off Russia’s war funding by placing India closer to the West and putting India in its natural state of a democracy linked to other democracies, the United States pulled one of its biggest levers as Russia’s dependence on trade with India is one of the greatest sources of funding for the Russian economy. The United States is seeking to strangle the ability for its adversaries to continue the conflict in Ukraine, and displacing Russian oil revenues was always the only best way to achieve this aim.

Challenging Iran’s hegemony in the Persian Gulf region comes with a similarities in limiting Russia’s extensive trade with India, mirrored by taking control of Iran’s energy exports, most of which are in supply of China, with Venezuela and Iran being key sources of energy for China’s economy. While the intent is not to cut off China from energy to its economy, controlling the energy supply to China via Western controlled sources of oil and gas would enable energy sanctions to quickly respond to aggressive actions if China chose to intimidate the security balance with Taiwan, and the West’s new significant ally, India.

A move to secure Iran as an ally may come in several forms. The end of the Franco regime in Spain in the late 70s came after the passing of the long time Dictator, to which control was given to King Juan Carlos II. The King, who was directed by Franco to maintain the regime, decided to use his sovereign power to turn Spain into a democracy, a path Crown Prince Pahlavi of Iran could follow with great example from Spain, if Spain would consider finally supporting a free Iran.

While there are a few minority ethnic groups inside of Iran, depending on them would do best to serve their own local interests. Many of these groups, like the Kurdish community in Iran and in Iraq, suffered significant violence from Iran’s regime, and may seek independence if given the swords and rifles to free the region. With their support against ISIS as well as being the force to liberate other Iranian nationals, it would be inappropriate to ignore their own ambitions for nationhood when they were the tip of the spear against every Western adversary in the region. A hot conflict with NATO members would place Western allies between sides in the conflict involving the Kurdish community, even if Iran was able to stabilize under a free Government.

It is unclear who the Iranian free resistance is on the ground in Iran’s major cities, a crucial necessity if Iran will eventually free itself from the current regime. Without an independent and indigenous group able to take over the Government for a Free Iran on the ground, outside forces will likely not spill blood and treasure for the sake of another nation without significant gains. As Peter O’Toole states in his role as Lawrence of Arabia, “Take English engineers and you take English government”, a relationship well known by Persians and Iranians of the past generations. There is likely a limited window for local Iranians to achieve their goals of freedom, as in Western nations in full support of Iran’s freedom, there are a great number of adversaries and they are aggressively against any actions by the West to free Iran, if not openly in support of the regime and their allies. Ironically, the British who have had such a great hand in regimes in Iran for generations have openly shown little support for actual Iranians wishing to free themselves in 2026. Unfortunately, many Governments in the West have made history by ignoring every uprising for a Free Iran without fail.

The window will close soon on real change in Iran, and plans are already circling the against the alliance to Free Iranians. While peaceful protesters were being massacred in the streets, US allies were making moves to bring themselves closer to countries supporting Iran’s missile force, now violently impacting every country West of Tehran. While North American energy could be a source to stabilize China’s economy by keeping a hold on supplies in the event of a hot conflict, it seems unlikely that some Western allies are in full support of a new democracy in the Middle East. Even with experts warning US allies from moving to close to Iran’s regime allies, the insistence to resist the United States goes beyond support for their own communities, placing the reality that Iranian agents are now known to be emanating just an hour or two from the US border, if not residing inside the United States currently. With such realities, Homeland Security will not be funded soon enough. Iranians need to free themselves as soon as possible, as forces are already combining to end their opportunity for freedom. From the way Iranian protesters have been ignored for years, they are well aware of the adversaries of their allies, even in the West.