Haredis Biggest Losers If Smotrich's Annexation Implemented
Haredis Biggest Losers If Smotrich’s Annexation Implemented
Dr. Aaron Lerner 7 September 2025
I am not going to speculate as to what combination of circumstances would
cause Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu to have his Cabinet make a snap vote
for a massive annexation which would make a Palestinian state impossible.
I am, however, certain that master politician Netanyahu is well aware that
such a move would dramatically change the dynamics of Israeli politics.
Ever since Oslo, the non-Haredi members of national camp coalitions
justified concessions to the Haredis on the grounds that their participation
was required to have ruling coalitions which truly oppose a Palestinian
state.
But while a ruling coalition can unilaterally make all kinds of concessions
with land that hasn’t been annexed, a national referendum or the approval of
80 MKs would be required to roll back any annexation.
So the Palestinian State “bogeyman” wouldn’t play a role in post-annexation
elections or coalition building.
Social welfare issues would.
And it is difficult to predict what new voting blocs would coalesce.
I would note, for example, that within the Likud it seems that many of the
rank and file members favor government intervention in housing more than the
leadership does.
Bottom line: Netanyahu wouldn’t actually implement annexation for a
short-lived political gain. It would have to be because, as was the case
with the critical decisions he made vis-à-vis Iran and the beepers, he was
compelled to act in order to serve vital national interests.
________________________________________
IMRA – Independent Media Review and Analysis
Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations
Website: www.imra.org.il
Source: https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74367
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