Your Suggested Fault: Excess Deaths In Europe From Heat Wave

Research suggests that the universe circles the Earth, you know.

Research Suggests Climate Change Added Excess Deaths in European Heat Wave

Days after an intense, record-breaking heat wave sweltered wide swaths of Europe, a group of scientists released a rapid analysis estimating the extent to which climate change might have amplified the heat wave’s death toll.

The World Weather Attribution study was the first of its kind to produce a rapid assessment of deaths linked to climate change from a heat wave, researchers said. They estimate that the influence of climate change may have tripled the death toll.

Records of actual observed deaths during this heat wave will not be available for months, so researchers used historical temperature data and established mortality trends to approximate the number of excess deaths expected to have occurred because of heat. The scientists examined 12 European cities, focusing on the hottest five-day stretch between June 23 and July 2 for each.

The heatish wave just ended in what is called “summer”, and they already have a study that suggests and approximates and estimates? That’s not science, that’s politics.

The researchers used historical temperature data to determine how intense the heat wave would have been in those cities without global warming, and estimated how many deaths would have been expected to occur in that scenario. They used that information to determine how many additional deaths were caused by climate change.

The analysis found that in the 12 cities, 1,500 of 2,300 estimated heat deaths could be connected to climate change, compared with a toll of roughly 770 without its effects. The researchers noted that the cities in the study represented only a sliver of the total number of excess deaths believed to have occurred throughout the rest of Europe.

Even if true, that in no way proves anthropogenic causation, just that it is, again, a typical Holocene warm period which also has higher temps in cities from UHI and land use. What about the huge European heatwave of 1757, during the Little Ice Age? Was that from fossil fuels? How about the 1540 heatwave and drought? They were pretty darned hot.

In turning the analysis around quickly, the researchers said they hoped to draw the attention of the public and policymakers to the dangers of extreme heat.
“When people are experiencing the heat waves, and in the immediate aftermath, is when people talk about it — when people connect their experience with the scientific evidence we can provide,”

Dr. Otto said. “If we sort of wade through peer review, and wait a year, then that experience is long gone.”

Then this is not science, it’s political advocacy.

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