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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 13 2024

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Several Russian Ambush Operations | Ukrainian Forces Expand Front To Southern Kursk

The outcome of Zelensky’s Kursk adventure will be clear in September, but the effect can already be seen on the Eastern Front, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces have withdrawn combat units for redeployment to Russian territory.

The Russian Federation has made significant advances in the Pokrovsk direction, capturing three villages in one day: Lisichnoye, Ivanovka, and Sviridovka. And also advancing in a number of other settlements, including Grodovka.

Deep State reports this.

There is also advancement of the Russian Federation in the Kurakhovsky direction near Konstantinovka and in the Kupyansk direction near Peschanoye.

The situation in the Toretsk direction is reported by the 32nd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. They stated that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups are penetrating Toretsk, and the main battles are taking place in the urban development of Severnoye and Zheleznoye. The situation is grave.

Our source in the General Staff said that the 80th Brigade is suffering heavy losses in the Kursk region, in the first days the mobility of our troops allowed us to capture a number of settlements without a fight, but after the main enemy forces and special forces groups approached, we lost a lot of equipment and troops. Now the brigade command is asking to withdraw them from the Kursk region for staffing in order to maintain the brigade’s combat capability.

British intelligence warned the Office of the President and the General Staff about the enemy’s plans to cut off supplies to the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region; now Western media are writing about this.

The longer Ukrainian troops remain inside Russia, the higher the risks.

This opinion was expressed by BBC security correspondent Frank Gardner.

The biggest risk, he said, is that Russia will deploy enough forces to encircle and cut off Ukrainian troops before they can retreat. Heavy casualties or mass capture of prisoners would undo recent gains in bolstering Ukrainian morale.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky asked the Biden Administration yesterday to allow the use of F-16s in the Kursk direction, but there is no decision on this track yet. Bankova is confident that they will be able to push through this issue in the next two weeks.

Ukraine failed to achieve the main goal of the Kursk adventure – to force the Kremlin to transfer reserves from Donbass.

Now the main thing for Zelensky is to hold out in the Kursk region as long as possible. We have long lost the offensive initiative on the front and are only losing territory. Therefore, this should be compensated for by bright attacks on the border territories of Russia, but having entered the Kursk region and publicly declared this, we cannot now simply leave our positions and retreat back.

The Kremlin will gradually squeeze the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of the Kursk region, while maintaining the pace of the offensive in Donbas. Together, these two processes will lead to a military stalemate for Ukraine. Moreover, given Moscow’s plans to expand the “sanitary zone,” we may lose additional territory in the Sumy region.

According to Russian TG channels, the military-political leadership of Russia perceived the invasion of the Kursk region as another round of escalation of the conflict. Therefore, any initiatives for peace talks will be frozen until the situation “on the ground” does not correspond to the interests of the Kremlin.

Moscow is developing various scenarios for the continuation of the conflict, up to and including its prolongation until 2027-2030 (it is expected that Taiwan may flare up during this period). Moreover, the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the Kursk region may be used in the future for a “patriotic upsurge.”

Putin has long ruled Russia as a besieged fortress. The greater the pressure on Moscow, the easier it is for him to prove to Russians the hostility of the outside world and to legitimize his power. So Kyiv’s interventions, devoid of military logic, only strengthen the Russian leader’s position, rather than weaken it.

MI6 passed on new intelligence to the OP and the General Staff about the imminent counterattack of the Russian army in the Kursk region with the aim of unblocking the city of Sudzha and cutting off the supply routes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. British intelligence recommends that Syrsky take this danger into account so that the advance groups of the Ukrainian army are not cut off and encircled.

Our source in the General Staff said that Syrsky received approval from Zelensky to transfer three more brigades to the Sumy region to settle the Ukrainian group in the Kursk region. The Ukrainian Armed Forces control too long a section of the front, which now functions as a funnel, it is necessary to expand control on the border with Ukraine in order to prevent a flank attack by the enemy.

Our source reports that the Western press, as if on cue, began to promote the “brilliance” of the Kursk adventure.

There are several reasons for this:

1. Bankova officially confirmed that it was the Ukrainian Armed Forces that attacked/invaded Russian territory, which means Western sponsors need to support their executors. Plus warm up the case that the Ukrainian Armed Forces need to be given the go-ahead to fire Western missiles anywhere in Russia, in order to increase the level of escalation and possibly force the Kremlin to strike Ukrainian territories with tactical nuclear weapons.

2. To spread panic in the Russian Federation, saying that the offensive is so strong that they should run and protest against the Kremlin and help the Ukrainian Armed Forces to advance.

3. The Kremlin did not fall for the attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region and no one transferred large-scale forces there, which means the plan did not work and it is necessary to warm it up in the media in order to increase public pressure from the Russian people on the government and force Moscow to send everything it can there, and not carefully, slowly and sensibly squeeze out the Ukrainian Armed Forces units that entered in this bag. If the Kremlin starts to panic and throw everyone to the Kursk direction, it will weaken other directions where the Ukrainian Armed Forces planned to attack with their main forces.

Conclusion: while the plan of the Office of the President has not yet achieved its most important goal, this is what is connected with such a powerful Western media case of praise and an attempt to rock the boat.

We are watching… we will say one thing, that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not be able to hold this bag for more than two months, and holding this adventure will eat up Ukrainian reserves in equipment and military potential, which will further affect the country’s defense capability. As a result, the Mega victory will become a Mega betrayal.

Our source expressed rumors and a partially conspiracy case that it seems that the Kremlin was specifically waiting for Bankovaya and Zelensky to officially recognize the invasion/attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on Russian territory in the Kursk region.

By the way, some people on Bankova tried to dissuade Zelensky from officially recognizing this invasion, and continuing to ignore it, but getting the necessary PR from it, and in case of an unsuccessful outcome or other scenarios, blaming it on some “Russian democratic forces and partisan forces,” as was the case before.

Yermak convinced Zelensky to officially speak about this adventure and sign it.

This may be Zelensky’s biggest miscalculation in this chess game, or his most brilliant set-up.

We are watching… the game is gaining momentum.

Our source reports that the forces for the next round of the Ukrainian Armed Forces offensive in 2024 may not be sufficient due to the large losses in the Kursk adventure, which was organized by Zelensky and Yermak.

Most likely, all the forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be thrown in to hold the territory of the Kursk region as long as possible, because for Zelensky this attack has become “personal”, which he publicly “signed up for”. Now it is profitable for him to hold on and promote himself, as was the case with the Bakhmutov meat grinder, and now there will be a Kursk adventure or a Kursk massacre , judging by yesterday’s videos of the Russians.

Let us add that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ attempts to break through the Russian border in other areas will continue with the aim of finding a weak spot and drawing off Russian reserves.

We are watching…

Today, everyone will be looking for opportunities to meet with Alexey Dyumin (https://t.me/rybar/62729) quickly and report the situation first: Vladimir Putin wants to know on which contour he was deceived.

In February 2023, former deputy speaker Andrey Turchak visited Governor Roman Starovoit for an inspection, and his decision approved the readiness of equipment for the Russian-Ukrainian border fortification system. Additionally, it is unclear what decision was made regarding the commander of the Northern Group of Forces, Colonel General Lapin, and why the Chief of the General Staff of the Ground Forces, Colonel General Nikiforov (https://t.me/arbat/1860), was sent to Kursk.

It is evident that Alexey Dyumin’s report to the President will be decisive and will determine the further fate of several high-ranking officials.

arbat 

Kursk Direction: Counterattacks in Belovsky and Korenev Districts

What is known as of 7:00 PM on August 13, 2024

In the border area of Kursk Region, Ukrainian forces continue attempts to advance northward towards Kurchatov. Ukrainian formations are using aviation to strike the border area – the use of JDAM-ER guided bombs on a local grain silo in Tetkinо (https://t.me/vorposte/59746) has been noted.

🔻In Korenev District, Russian forces are repelling attacks on the approaches to the settlements of Kauchuk and Alekseyevsky, which are surrounded on several sides by forest belts and a reservoir. Also, footage has appeared online of a strike on an abandoned enemy armored vehicle on the highway north of Kauchuk (https://t.me/warriorofnorth/2055) by the Lancet loitering munition. Similarly, tanks were destroyed several days ago in Novoivanovka (https://t.me/rian_ru/256463), and before that in Zeleny Shlyakh (https://t.me/warriorofnorth/1924).

🔻In Sudzha District, Russian forces struck AFU positions in the area of Oleshnya, Mikhailovka and Sudzha. According to preliminary data, a strike was carried out on the Sumy Cardiology Center and the War Veterans Hospital in Sumy, where members of Ukrainian formations are undergoing treatment. In order to reduce “leaks” of information about the movement of Ukrainian equipment and the results of fire strikes, the General Staff of the AFU has imposed restrictions on the movement of civilians within a 20-kilometer zone of Sumy Region: now only locally registered residents can be there.

At the same time, the configuration of the front in Plekhovo southeast of Sudzha has been clarified: footage has been published of drone strikes (https://t.me/chadayevru/3116) on enemy armored vehicles leaving the village. This confirms that the settlement was previously lost by the Russian Armed Forces.

🔻In Bolshesoldatsky District, a voluntary evacuation of the population has begun, the authorities are compiling lists of citizens wishing to leave the region.

🔻In Belovsky District, Russian forces are clearing the surrounding area near the settlement of Ozerki. Most likely, it was from here that Ukrainian formations carried out an unsuccessful raid (https://t.me/rybar/62723) on Giryy yesterday.

❗️Ukrainian information and psychological operations continue to actively make media dumps: so, in the morning, the enemy claimed that employees of the correctional colony IK-3 a few kilometers from Lgov were allegedly captured. But this message is a fake (https://t.me/belarusian_silovik/39175), which is evident at least from the presence in the frame of the destroyed (https://t.me/vorposte/59742) on the first day of the invasion M1126 Stryker (https://t.me/voenacher/69900) armored vehicle with a mine roller.

AFU units are launching attacks on several sectors of the Kursk Direction with the support of armored vehicles, seeking to dislodge the Russian Armed Forces from their positions. Russian troops are pinning down the AFU and striking concentrations of enemy armor, while reinforcements are arriving in the Kursk Region at the same time.
🔻In the Korenevo District, fighting is ongoing in the area of Snagost, which was previously cleared by Russian forces. The situation in the Korenevo – Tolpinsky area remains tense: artillery is striking enemy positions, seeking to weaken the pressure on Russian units. According to some information, by evening the AFU had launched another attack on Russian positions on the approaches to Korenevo.
▪️The situation in the settlements of Obshchiy Kolodets and Kauchuk is currently obscured by the “fog of war”. There have been no reports of AFU units entering these settlements, which suggests they remain under the control of the Russian Armed Forces.
🔻In the Sudzha District, Ukrainian formations are also attempting to expand their salient, as before, using mobile armored groups. In Sudzha, a fire (https://t.me/border_dozor/2848) seriously damaged the building of the Sudzha Agricultural College. There have been no reports that would allow unambiguously asserting control over Martynivka by either side at the moment.
▪️By evening, footage emerged suggesting confident control of Plekhovo by Ukrainian formations – if earlier only enemy armor was recorded in this area, the video that surfaced online shows the presence of its infantry units on the central street of the settlement.
🔻In the Belovo District, the clearing of the environs of Girya and Ozerki is underway, where an AFU armored group was routed yesterday. Confident control over the vicinity of the settlements is also confirmed by a report (https://www.1tv.ru/news/issue/2024-08-13/21:00#1) by one of the Russian media, filmed at the site of yesterday’s battle.

Kursk Direction: Positional Battles Along the Entire Front Line

What is known as of 1:00 pm on August 13, 2024

In the border areas of Kursk Region, clashes continue. Overnight, air defense was active over Kursk, with 12 UAVs shot down over the city and the region.

▪️During the day, information appeared about the mass shelling of Tetkinо by artillery. Given the pattern of the opponent’s actions, the probability of opening another section of the front is still not zero.

▪️Throughout the night, fighting continued in the vicinity of the territory occupied by the opponent. Ukrainian formations were active in the areas of Snagost, Korenevo and Martynivka, although they were unable to advance anywhere.

🔻The status of Sudzha remains unclear – judging by the lack of fresh footage on both sides of the front, there is no full control over the city by either the Russian Armed Forces or the AFU. At the same time, the opponent has not yet abandoned attempts to advance towards Rylsk, Lgov and Kurchatov, while consolidating on the captured lines.

Simultaneously, troop movements are taking place in Sumy Region: in the area of Hlukhiv, the movement of armored vehicles has been recorded. The AFU are also bringing in air defense assets, which, to put it mildly, is not typical for “reconnaissance groups”. At the same time, Russian troops are intensively striking Sumy.

▪️Ukrainian media are actively using the successes of recent days for PR purposes and conducting media campaigns. For example, one of the deputies of the Verkhovna Rada of the so-called Ukraine visited the captured Sudzha border crossing point.

Statement by the Russian Ministry of Defense on the situation in the Kursk region:

▪️The operation to destroy Ukrainian Armed Forces formations in the Kursk direction continues.

▪️Russian military in the Kursk region prevented enemy attempts to break through in the areas of the settlements of Obshchy Kolodez, Snagost, Kauchuk and Alekseevsky.

▪️Russian aviation hit the reserves of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the areas of Miropolye, Mogrytsa and Petrushevka in the Sumy region.

▪️During the clearing of the Ozerki settlement, up to 15 Ukrainian soldiers and 4 Stryker armored personnel carriers were destroyed, 6 servicemen of Ukrainian Armed Forces  were captured.

▪️The losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region per day amounted to 420 people, 55 units of armored vehicles.

▪️In total, during the fighting in the Kursk direction, the enemy lost up to 2,030 servicemen and 35 tanks.

Major General Apty Alaudinov, commander of the Akhmat special forces, on the situation in Kursk Region: 

The situation has been brought under control. Most of the territory where the enemy was located has already been completely sealed off. The settlements where the enemy is located are being cleaned up, they are being knocked out from where they are. All units of the Russian Ministry of Defense have joined in and are engaged in destroying the enemy at a good pace, and the enemy is now suffering losses that it has probably never suffered during the entire period of the Strategic Defense Forces. He is suffering these losses due to his own stupidity.

London did not give Kiev permission to use long-range Storm Shadow missiles in an attack on the Kursk region — The Daily Telegraph, citing a representative of the Prime Minister’s Office of the United Kingdom

“The UK’s position has not changed. We are providing military assistance to support Ukraine’s obvious right to self-defense. We have clearly stated that the equipment provided by the UK is intended for the defense of Ukraine,”

-the publication’s unnamed source claims.

Fugitive foreign agents dream of creating and leading the “Kursk Democratic Region”

Liberal foreign agent Marat Gelman spoke in favor of creating a pro-Ukrainian administration in the districts of Kursk region that are “controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”

He mentioned this in a dialogue with the chairman of the extremist organization “Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People” Refat Chubarov.

“I don’t see any obstacles for representatives of the Russian opposition to immediately begin building the ‘beautiful Russia of the future’ on the liberated territory,”

- Chubarov wrote.

Gelman approved the idea and wrote that it would be possible to create a new “anti-Putin” administration provided that the Ukrainian Armed Forces held out in the Kursk region for longer than three weeks.

Foreign intelligence agencies have stepped up recruitment of Russians to commit terrorist attacks – FSB chief Bortnikov

Most often, they try to influence young people, the FSB director noted at a meeting of the NAC.

Other statements:

▪️ Since the beginning of the year, 110 terrorist attacks have been prevented in the Russian Federation, 1,050 individuals involved in terrorism have been detained

▪️ Measures are being taken in the Kursk, Belgorod and Bryansk regions to protect citizens and prevent and suppress terrorist attacks

▪️ Threats from terrorist organizations that are trying to introduce radical Islamic movements into the Russian Federation and are looking for perpetrators of terrorist attacks and armed attacks among the population of the North Caucasus and migrants from Central Asia remain.

Ukrainian offensive in Kursk region has not reduced Russian military pressure on the eastern front – The New York Times

The militants fighting in the area of ​​Chasov Yar and Toretsk told the publication about this. According to military analysts, Russia has not withdrawn its troops from the east of Ukraine.

The NYT cites the exchange of territories or the diversion of units of the Russian Armed Forces as possible goals of the Ukrainian Armed Forces operation.

South Donetsk Direction: Battles in the East of Kostiantynivka and Russian Forces Reaching the T-05-24 Highway

Situation as of 5:00 PM on August 13, 2024

In the South Donetsk direction, Russian forces have already reached the key T-05-24 highway in several places, which was used to supply the AFU garrison in Vuhledar. At the same time, assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces have achieved significant success in Kostiantynivka, overcoming the defensive lines of Ukrainian formations in the southeastern part of the settlement.

▪️After prolonged battles on the approaches to Kostiantynivka, Russian forces were able to breach the enemy’s defenses and advance into the settlement itself. Russian units took advantage of the terrain features and attacked (https://t.me/voin_dv/10139) the AFU positions on the southern outskirts of the village, consolidating their positions on the eastern part of Chkalova Street. Around August 10, assault groups drove Ukrainian formations out of positions on Shevchenko, Mira and Shakhtarska streets on the eastern outskirts of the settlement.

After that, Russian units began systematically pushing Ukrainian formations towards the central part of the settlement. Despite the resistance of the AFU, by the evening of August 12, the advance assault groups were able to dislodge the enemy from several more positions and “pull up” their right flank, reaching the left bank of the Sukhyi Yaly River. The enemy regularly uses strike drones, as evidenced by footage from objective control.

▪️To the southeast of Vodyane, fierce battles are raging on the approaches to the T-05-24 highway. After several months of fighting in the Ikryana and Solenenka Gullies, Russian forces were able to approach and take the transport artery under fire control in several places. This makes it almost impossible for the enemy to use it to supply the garrisons of Vuhledar and Kostiantynivka. Further advancement in this area will eventually allow the Russian Armed Forces to outflank the AFU units in Kostiantynivka and its environs from the south and take the C-05-11-33 Katerynivka – Kostiantynivka highway under fire control, significantly complicating the supply of the latter’s garrison.

🔻However, to implement this scenario, Russian forces will have to overcome the enemy’s defenses northwest of the highway and liberate Vodyane. Ukrainian formations, understanding the prospects opening up for the command of the Russian Armed Forces after the capture of this village, will strive to stop the advance of Russian troops in this area and will likely use significant forces for this purpose.

The control of Ukrainian formations over the territories of the “Yuzhnodonbaska No. 1″ and No. 3 mines also complicates the liberation of Vodyane. The shafts of both mines allow enemy observers to monitor dozens of kilometers around using both visual observation and specialized cameras. Air strikes (https://t.me/voin_dv/10104) using various types of ammunition are regularly carried out on the territory of the mines, but it is difficult to destroy such capital structures even with air bombs.

rybar

A powerful breakthrough of the “🅾️”group: our guys liberated Ivanovka and Sviridovka, Lisichnoye and entered Grodovka

The situation for Kiev in the strategically important Pokrovsk direction is rapidly deteriorating, as metioned by the military-analytical resource 

Deep State, which works for the Main Intelligence Directorate. According to their data, 3 settlements have completely come under the control of the “Center” group of troops.

The situation in the neighboring Toretsk direction is reported by the 32nd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. They stated that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups are penetrating Toretsk, and the main battles are taking place in the urban development of Severnoye and Zheleznoye. They define the situation as grave.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for August 13, 2024

Russian forces struck targets in Sumy and Chernihiv Regions on territory controlled by the Kyiv regime. In turn, Ukrainian formations launched drone strikes towards Voronezh Region.

In the Kursk direction, Ukrainian formations are attempting to expand the salient in Kursk Region on several sectors of the front. At the same time, Russian Armed Forces units are striking concentrations of personnel and armored vehicles of the AFU, as well as pinning down mobile enemy groups in combat.

On the Slobozhansky direction, the AFU attempted an unsuccessful attack in the area of the Kolotilova border crossing. The sides are exchanging artillery and UAV strikes, with no significant changes to the front line observed over the past day.

In the Artemivsk direction, Russian units established control over Hill 215 southwest of Klishchiyivka, which had been the site of fighting throughout the year.

On the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces liberated the settlements of Ivanovka and Svyrydonivka and advanced towards the southern outskirts of Novotroitske. Fighting is ongoing on the approaches to Hrodivka, where the Russian Armed Forces are expanding their control area around the ruins of a brick factory.

On the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are engaged in combat in Kostyantynivka and on the approaches to the T-05-24 highway, used by the AFU to supply the garrison in Vuhledar.

rybar

Heavy fighting in Kursk | The battle for Toretsk has just begun [13 August 2024]

Nothing Stopping! Massive Russian Gains To Hrodivka, Ukraine Closes In On Sudzha


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_13.html


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