The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 9 2024

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Russian Counter Attack Begins

Russia declares federal emergency as Ukrainian troops continue cross-border assault

Ukraine Counter Offensive in Kursk – Fools Errand?

Russian state TV discusses Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk

Zelensky & NATO gamble everything on Kursk Nuclear Power Plant

Ukraine in Kursk: Russian reinforcements destroyed in “one of the bloodiest strikes of the war”

Ukrainians continue to advance, Russian Forces attempt a counterattack in Kursk [9 August 2024]

KURSK BLITZ vs POKROVSK PUSH | Ukraine War Military Summary / SITREP / Ukraine War Map / War Update

Experts are stunned by Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s Kursk region

Our source in the General Staff said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ advance in the Kursk region has been stopped, and clashes with Russian special forces that have been redeployed to the region are taking place in all directions. Both sides are jamming communications, which is hindering the movement of our units, which could be surrounded if the enemy regains their positions. The General Staff is urgently redeploying reserves from the Kyiv region to consolidate their positions in the Kursk region and continue advancing deep into Russia.

The situation in Kursk Region by the evening of August 9.

As the reserves of the Russian Armed Forces enter the battle in Kursk Oblast, there are counter-fights and mopping up of the remaining DRGs in the landings. 

In some cases the AFU’s resistance is organized, in some cases it is not, which indirectly indicates the appearance of the first problems with troop control. 

Russian special forces are actively combing the areas where the AFU may have appeared in the last three days, and are targeting those who are trying to leave their positions and move back. 

There will be no idle work in the near future, but there is already a feeling that everything is becoming more difficult to for the intruders. 

Counter-battery work is actively going on, including with the use of UAVs. As part of the preparation of the strike, the AFU managed to bring to the border not only SPG’s but also towed howitzers, but it has also proved problematic to roll back these positions after detection. For what reason is a separate question. 

Missile and bomb strikes have an accumulative effect. Soon we will see it on the AFU group invading the Kursk region. In addition, it is necessary to turn the strip adjacent to the state border into a dead desert. This will significantly increase the possibility of enemy concentrations in villages and facilitate the detection of the enemy. By the way, the bombing of Sumy should be continued, especially the infrastructure facilities.

At the beginning of the third day of the armed invasion of our territory by the AFU, it became not only clear that we were able to mobilize reserves in the shortest possible time, but also that there were those among the AFU commanders who refused to lead their units into the trap of the Kursk region. For example, the commander of the 80th brigade of the AFU who was fired for insubordination two days before the operation. 

Commanders of AFU units, I think, are already trying to figure out how they will withdraw their men. But there is no way to do it. All will remain in the fields of Kursk region. 

Our General Staff has taken the path of the shortest time period of mobilization. We used non-trivial methods – Veterans. Wagner’s veterans – Iskra Group (former Ratibor), Kamerton, Aida and others, Pyatnashka, Spetznaz VDV and other fast and serious guys. They have already entered the battle. The milk pigs of the AFU are about to face them closely. And the race in the opposite direction will begin.

It has just been confirmed that having met the Hades SpN Akhmat detachment in Suja, the “elite” 82 brigade of the AFU decided to withdraw. But not all of it. Part of it remained lying along the river. Hedes had no losses. 

In the night, Wagner’s veteran units will also enter the battle, sharing a difficult direction with Pyatnashka. 

There’s no need to think of anything else. Friday and the weekend will show everything. Who can do what.

Our source reports that the Russian Armed Forces military received an unofficial order not to take anyone alive in the Kursk region.

In fact, all the soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces who are currently in the Kursk region are suicide bombers.

Bankovaya is aware of this order, but continues to send Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers to attack in the Kursk direction.

The Kursk adventure of the Ukrainian Armed Forces may ultimately cost the Ukrainian army dearly.

Let us add that this Kursk adventure can only be justified if it is not the main attack, but a diversionary one, and if in another direction, during the offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, there will be a large-scale territorial success.

But all sources are confident that it will be difficult for Bankova to maintain this pace for longer than a month and a half.

Then the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have a severe deficit in everything, which will lead to further failures at the front.

We are watching…

The Kremlin is not ready to agree to an “exchange of territories.”

Despite the fact that the West is replicating a certain plan of Zelensky, which consists of exchanging the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ captured territory in the Kursk region for the Russian Armed Forces’ captured territory in the Kharkiv region, Moscow will not follow such a scenario.

Most likely, the Kremlin could have known about the plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to enter the border regions. As we wrote earlier, the situation could be used to inflict maximum damage on our reserves. Which, instead of holding the defense in Donbass, will suffer losses in the border regions of Russia.

Kursk Direction: Concentration of Enemy Forces and Arrival of Reinforcements for the Russian Armed Forces

What is known as of 1:00 pm on August 9, 2024

Throughout the night and morning, Ukrainian formations continued to dig in on the occupied part of the Kursk Region, while simultaneously transferring forces to the sector for further attempts to advance deeper into Russian territory.

🔻In the Sudzha District, the presence of Ukrainian formations is recorded in Honcharivka – the western suburb of Sudzha. As of the morning, the presence of the AFU in the administrative center itself has not been detected.

▪️Northeast of Sudzha, an enemy sabotage and reconnaissance group entered the village of Russkoye Porechnoye: small arms fire and impacts were reported in the vicinity of the settlement.

▪️On the southern flank, the main clashes took place in Plekhovo on the left bank of the small Psel River. Skirmishes with mobile AFU groups are ongoing in the area of the village, and a Ukrainian tank is firing on the village.

🔻In the Korenevo District, Ukrainian formations did not attempt a breakthrough: there were no battles near Korenevo as of the morning, but explosions continued to be heard near the village.

▪️Russian units counterattacked in the direction of Malaya Loknya. At the moment, clashes continue, and air and artillery strikes are being delivered on the identified enemy positions.

▪️Overnight, the AFU struck a Russian column near Oktyabr’skoye east of Rylsk with HIMARS MLRS. Later, FSB officers quickly identified and detained a 48-year-old local resident who deliberately filmed the results of the impact and passed them on to Ukrainian media resources.

The Russian command continues to redeploy forces to the Korenevo and Sudzha Districts – observers confirm a significantly increased presence of troops in the area where there were virtually none just a few days ago. At the same time, the configuration of the front line is partially obscured by the “fog of war” due to a shortage of objective control personnel and persistent problems with command and control.

📌 Russian troops have also increased the intensity of strikes on the border areas of the Sumy Region, where a significant concentration of Ukrainian forces remains. According to local authorities, the Russian Aerospace Forces have dropped over a hundred gliding bombs on the region in the last two days alone.

At the same time, the situation in the region was recognized by the Russian EMERCOM as a federal-level emergency situation, and the elimination of its consequences will be mainly financed from the federal budget.

❗️However, it is still too early to draw conclusions about the stabilization of the situation – fighting in the Kursk Region continues, the enemy is introducing new forces and still has the ability to strike in another area of the state border. At the same time, the AFU is digging in on the captured frontiers, and the Russian troops arriving in the sector will have to dislodge them from there.

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Kursk Direction: Fighting in Sudzha

What is known as of 6:00 PM on August 9, 2024

Although active clashes continue in the border areas of the Kursk Region, the front line has somewhat stabilized as reinforcements of the Russian Armed Forces have arrived. However, it is premature to speak of a stabilization of the situation.

🔻In the Sudzhansky District, for the first time online, there are facts of the presence (https://t.me/border_dozor/2710) of Ukrainian formations on the western outskirts of Sudzha in Zaoleshanka, which we wrote about several days ago. Russian troops hold the eastern half along the Psel River, the enemy is not present there.

▪️According to reports from residents of Vtoroye Knyazhino, infantry of the AFU entered the village under the cover of armored vehicles, some of the population managed to leave the settlement.

▪️According to some information, the enemy attempted to break through the state border in the area of the Kucherov farm 22 kilometers southeast of Sudzha. At the moment, there is shooting on the approaches, there is no information about entering the settlement directly.

▪️Also, footage appears online confirming the advance of the enemy towards the Yuzhny farm: north of Kazachya Loknya, the crew of the Lancet UAV destroyed (https://t.me/mod_russia/41939) a 2S1 Gvozdika howitzer standing in the forest belt. In addition, west of Viktorovka, at the intersection of roads, a fire strike was carried out against the enemy strongpoint (https://t.me/dva_majors/49245).

An interesting point: judging by the footage, the strikes often hit (https://t.me/lost_armour/3185) abandoned armored vehicles. This may indirectly indicate that the enemy is experiencing problems with the organization and control, as well as the supply of its troops in the combat zone.

🔻In the Korenevo District, Russian troops maintain stable control over Korenevo. Statements about battles on the approaches and in the village itself, as well as allegedly attacks by infantry supported by tanks, turned out to be a radio game (https://t.me/dva_majors/49259) by the AFU. Later, the head of the village, Roman Pugachev, reported that there were no clashes in the village, although he confirmed shelling (https://t.me/kursk_tipich/15967) from the enemy side.

▪️Military correspondent Alexander Kots notes (https://t.me/sashakots/48287) that surveillance cameras continue to function on the highway from Lgov, which the enemy uses for its own purposes to determine the movements of the Russian Armed Forces.

At the moment, fighting continues along the entire section of the breakthrough. It is possible that in the next few days the enemy will introduce a second echelon in order to expand the control zone and advance further east. So the main battles are still ahead.

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Kursk Region Summary for the Evening of August 9, 2024

▪️Throughout the day, the enemy continued to exert pressure around the bridgehead created in the region. We agree with the assessment of Roman Alekhin (https://t.me/Alekhin_Telega/11182) that pushing the enemy back is still extremely far away, despite the arrival of our reinforcements. The enemy is pulling in reserves (not all have been deployed to the combat zone), which are being hunted down by our drone operators, missile troops, and aviators. The reserves are serious – they report another reserve brigade. Nevertheless, we manage to localize the movements of AFU reconnaissance patrols: in the first days, the enemy’s columns were operating as part of full-strength motorized infantry and tank companies. Now, numerous attacks by the enemy on Korenovo have not been successful.

▪️Kyiv plans to achieve more serious results in this direction. Missile weapons are used up to 7 times a day against the rear areas of the Kursk Region, and the enemy does not spare air defense missiles, although previously they were even sparing them during strikes by the Russian Armed Forces on the enemy’s capital.

▪️Photos and videos distributed with the AFU in settlements of the Kursk Region are often taken yesterday, some are fakes. In Sudzha, battles flared up again in the evening, with the marines of the 810th Guards Brigade bravely fighting. In the territories occupied by the AFU, they are carrying out reprisals, shooting at civilian vehicles trying to break through.

▪️An important element of the situation is the actions of the AFU on the Gornal – Guevo – Plekhovo line, the enemy is increasing pressure strongly south of Sudzha. That is, the AFU are not continuing to hit head-on with resistance, but are conducting a maneuverable offensive operation.

▪️The regional authorities of the region have received a serious problem with middle-level executives. The head of the region’s team on evacuating people by all available means with the involvement of volunteers is being broken by the impenetrable stupidity and inertia of the “deputy deputies”. Nevertheless, popular support for the residents and defenders of the Kursk Region is growing. The enemy has not yet realized that their actions have awakened the “sleeping” part of the country from the television slumber. But not all of it.

▪️The upcoming day will be difficult, the deployment of the arrived reserves is underway, the AFU will continue active operations in other directions, not sparing the loss of territories on other parts of the front.

Two Majors

Our source in the General Staff said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have deployed 2,000 troops in the Kursk direction, and are now expecting additional reserves, which are being accumulated in Sumy. The new offensive campaign of the Ukrainian army consists of several stages, the main blow will be concentrated on the Zaporizhzhya NPP, while the Ukrainian Armed Forces will carry out several more diversionary operations on Russian territory.

Our source in the General Staff said that commanders on the eastern front are not happy with Syrsky’s operation in the Kursk region, due to the Commander-in-Chief’s refusal to send reinforcements to the Pokrovsk direction and Toretsk. Now everyone understands that the failure of the attack in the Kursk direction will be a death sentence for Syrsky.

The real result of the Kursk adventure will be the destruction of the city of Sumy, but no one is talking about this yet.

The intensity of shelling of the Sumy region by KABs has increased “tens of times” over the past three days, said the head of the OVA Artyukh.

For comparison, more than 100 such aerial bombs were dropped in two days, and before that, in 7 months – 450.

At the same time, the number of shellings from mortars, artillery, and multiple launch rocket systems has decreased.

Colleagues, we are now witnessing an escalation of the conflict, similar to the strikes on the Crimean Bridge, from which Ukraine received nothing but destroyed infrastructure. For the British, it doesn’t matter what remains of Afghanistan/Libya or Ukraine, the main thing is to direct the war in the right direction. Zelensky has turned the country into an object of bargaining between geopolitical actors who are solving their problems at our expense.

ZeRada1

Our source in the General Staff said that the Kursk operation is now inextricably linked with Syrsky, who wants to use it to raise his image in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and demonstrate the ability of the Ukrainian army to conduct offensive campaigns without Zaluzhny. The commander-in-chief is transferring all available reserves to Sumy to hold the bridgehead in the Kursk direction.

Colleagues, the Kursk adventure may turn into the defense of Bakhmut, when the Ukrainian Armed Forces spent all their reserves and were unable to organize a counteroffensive in 2023. For Ukraine, the failure of this operation will mean a lot, that we burned up our reserves and got a new front, for which we do not have the strength now.

Our source in the General Staff said that the information about three brigades with 6 thousand soldiers is not true; 3 thousand soldiers were involved in the Kursk operation, using their mobility to advance as far as possible into Russian territory. After the first clashes, the Ukrainian Armed Forces were forced to stop to wait for reserves, which were hastily transferred from the Kyiv region.

Media_Post_UA

Zelensky published a video from the Headquarters meeting, which our source warned about.

He also reported that the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky reported to Headquarters on “all key areas”: the south, Kurakhovo, Pokrovsk, Toretsk, Chasov Yar, Luhansk and Kharkiv regions.

He also indirectly mentioned the battles in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation, calling them “defensive actions in the directions from which Russia launched attacks on Ukrainian territory.”

There were also reports from the Air Force Commander Nikolai Oleshchuk, the head of the SVR Oleg Ivaschenko and the head of the SBU Vasyl Malyuk (on “special long-range operations”).

Our source reports that Bankovaya, GUR and Western intelligence agencies are implementing the tactics of a local rapid offensive plus the “tactics of a thousand cuts,” which should create the illusion of widespread superiority and sow panic among the enemy, launching a case of betrayal and, of course, Maidan.

The West has given tacit permission to strike at Russian territory with Heimers and Storm Shadow.

In fact, Bankova threw all its forces into the mix and went for broke.

There is one huge risk in this tactic: if Zelensky’s plan fails, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will find themselves in a state of terrible shortage of everything (precision-guided munitions, electronic warfare, missiles, UAVs, air defense, and trained personnel).

In simple words, Zelensky has now abandoned everything that was accumulated earlier. If the Russian defense holds out and subsequently turns the tide, then Ukraine will find itself in a very bad position.

We are watching…

Zelensky’s (Britain’s) offer to Putin  The attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Kursk region of the Russian Federation + extension of the temporary temporary agreement + Budanov’s statement + Yermak’s interview as a whole make up Zelensky’s (Britain’s) proposal to the Kremlin.

What does it mean:

This is the beginning. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are capable of conducting similar operations in both the Belgorod and Bryansk regions;

Accordingly, in order to close the border against such attacks, it is necessary to either carry out a new mobilization (with an inevitable acute labor shortage in the economy) or to suspend any offensives in the east of Ukraine;

VP will be extend as long as necessary.

Budanov : if necessary, we will mobilize everyone, including those aged 16.

You can kill them all. There will be enough men locked inside Ukraine for a long time, with total mobilization and lowering of the age.

Can you afford this?

Britain and Zelensky enjoy the advantages of the proxy state they have created, namely:

Ukraine’s military-industrial complex has been moved outside the country and is supported by NATO;

Economy is not important, the West will just donate, social services will be cut;

The severity of winter without electricity does not frighten Bankova (see the previous point + they don’t care about freezing old people);

Effective media communications allow for a constant retreat in the East without causing critical sentiments and riots in society;

Yermak: There will be no new “Minsk” under Zelensky. We are fighting to the 1991 borders;

All this essentially means: are you ready to fight for a few more years until you destroy ALL of our mobile resources, suffering losses in people and the economy. And is your society ready? And we are ready!!!

The proposal itself: 1991 borders, reparations, contributions, the EU, NATO and security guarantees!

No? We continue to fight, but under new conditions: the Ukrainian Armed Forces can now fire Hymars missiles at Russian territory, they gave us F-16s, etc.

You can continue to strike at Ukraine, you can turn Kharkov, Sumy, Chernigov into Avdiivka, you can even capture Pokrovsk and Kramatorsk after some time. Britain is happy with everything…

This is Bankova’s vision of the moment. Ukraine has been finally turned by the President’s Office into a Private Military Country – a kamikaze, the purpose of which is to weaken the Russian Federation and be a feeding trough personally for Zelensky

“Kursk attack “worsens conflict, dashes hopes for peace talks.” China outraged at US hypocrisy in seeking to derail looming Ukraine talks.

“Russia’s president declared a large-scale provocation when Ukrainian forces launched a massive attack in Russia’s Kursk region. Experts believe the attack is sure to escalate the situation on the battlefield and destroy hard-won hopes for peace talks that the international community has worked hard to achieve. The U.S. has exposed its hypocritical duplicity as, on the one hand, it claims to be “deterring” the use of U.S.-made weapons, while in fact providing financial and military support to Kiev. To some extent, the attack on Russian facilities was the result of the US “stoking the fire”, said Li Haidong, a professor at China Foreign Affairs University. The U.S. actions were not an understatement preventing a peaceful resolution of the crisis against the will of the global majority, he concluded.”

[Can you give us an update on Ukraine's incursion into Kursk? Is that consistent with the U.S. position on what Ukraine can and cannot do with American weapons?] 

-Thank you for the question. Yes, that is consistent with our policy and we have supported Ukraine from the beginning in defending themselves against attacks across the border and in the need for cross-fire. They are acting to defend themselves against attacks from that region. That is in the U.S. policy on where they can use our weapons, our systems, our capabilities.

Our source reports that the Kremlin is once again working on a plan to destroy the remains of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure closer to autumn.

This will be the answer for Zelensky’s Kursk adventure.

Therefore, the people of Ukraine will know who to thank in the winter when they sit for days without electricity.

According to information from a source, а meeting of the top leadership of the Ukrainian forces was held on the territory of the former artillery regiment in  Malinovka, Kharkov region, at around 23:00 on 07.08.

Their movements were monitored for days. They arrived at the site individually, without attracting attention, on civilian transport. They began to gather around 8PM.

The Iskander OTRK was used against the target, or more specifically, two anti-bunker missiles.

Judging by the sat images, the territory of the unit is actively used at the moment. Tracks from heavy equipment are clearly visible in the forest. There is currently no official info on this event, and Ukrainian resources avoid this topic as much as possible. The only info was given by the Ukrainian AF, reporting “two missed”, without thinking about the fact that if two Iskander missiles had hit the forest, nothing would have been left of it. 

While battles are ongoing in the Kursk Region, the AFU conducted a combined raid on the border and rear regions of Russia. This is the second (https://t.me/rybar/62399) such attack in the past week – the previous one took place on August 3.

▪️In the Lipetsk Region, AFU drones attacked the Lipetsk-2 airfield in the regional center. One of the hits was on an ammunition depot, residents of nearby villages were briefly evacuated, and nine people were injured. Preliminary data indicates that the aircraft managed to avoid the strike.

▪️In the Belgorod Region, the targets were the settlements of Stary and Novy Oskol, with damage reported to residential buildings and industrial enterprises.

▪️In the Kursk Region, air defense activity was noted in the sky over Kurchatov, which the enemy has been shelling for the fourth day in a row, as well as in the Rylsk District. Unfortunately, in the latter, a column of Russian Armed Forces personnel was hit, resulting in casualties.

▪️The enemy also carried out another combined raid on the Crimean Peninsula. Three drones were shot down on the approach to Sevastopol, and five unmanned boats were sunk, while another drone was intercepted in the Orlovka area, and a Neptune cruise missile was destroyed over the Black Sea. In total, five drones were shot down and seven USVs were sunk in the region.

▪️Several drones were shot down in the skies over the Oryol, Voronezh and Bryansk Regions, with no casualties or consequences on the ground.

❗️As in previous cases, video materials quickly appeared online, helping the enemy assess the effectiveness of the strikes – this again raises the question that the current measures to combat this phenomenon are insufficient. At the same time, there is news that a local resident who filmed the results of the strikes in the Rylsk District has been detained (https://t.me/rybar/62606) on espionage charges.

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Kherson direction: thwarted AFU landing on the Kinburn Peninsula

situation as of 11:00 on August 9, 2024

Ukrainian formations made another attempt to land troops in the west of Kherson Region this week.

If on August 6, a similar attempt was recorded (https://t.me/rybar/62484) on the Tendra Spit, then this morning the focus was on the Kinburn Peninsula.

▪️At 2 a.m., Ukrainian drones under the cover of Ukrainian electronic warfare began an attack on Russian positions in Pokrovske. A total of up to four boats and two “Baba Yaga” type drones of the enemy were involved in the raid.

▪️The goal of the operation was to capture the sea terminal building and secure a bridgehead for further troop landing. One of the boats managed to approach the shore and carry out a landing: during the landing, several AFU members were blown up by mines, while the rest engaged in a firefight with Russian servicemen.

▪️By 7 a.m., the threat from the enemy was eliminated: one of the boats with the landing force was destroyed, and the rest withdrew. Russian troops began to inspect the area of the sea terminal.

Plans to capture the Kinburn Peninsula have not changed since 2022: it is one of the coveted targets of the AFU, and in case of capturing a bridgehead, they can move overland to the central regions of Kherson Region and affect the communications.

🔻Such a landing could have been avoided in principle if there had been a sufficient number of FPV drone operators and reconnaissance assets.

Unfortunately, in the conditions when all media attention was focused on Krynky and the island zone, a clear lack of forces and means was felt on the Kinburn Peninsula that would have allowed to disrupt the landing already at the stage of its approach to the Russian coast.

With the proper allocation of emphasis, the situation with the landing – albeit suicidal – could have been avoided in principle, destroying the landing force still in the water area.

📌Against the backdrop of the AFU offensive (https://t.me/rybar/62587) in the Kursk direction, the enemy command will try to create points of tension simultaneously in several areas. In addition to the notorious media effect, all this will also be used to demonstrate the offensive capabilities of the Kyiv regime to the sponsors in order to obtain expanded military support.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for August 9, 2024

Over the past day, Russian forces attacked enemy targets with drones in the Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava and Kirovohrad Regions.

Ukrainian formations carried out a raid on Crimea and Sevastopol, as well as damaged infrastructure at an airfield in Lipetsk, and damaged a substation in the Oktyabrsky District of Kursk Region.

On the North Ukrainian Direction, there are battles in Sumy, the enemy is holding control of the western suburbs of the settlement. In the Korenevo area, no breakthrough by the AFU has been noted. Compared to previous days, the situation is more stable, although it is premature to speak of the seizure of the initiative.

On the Artemivsk Direction, Russian troops expanded the control zone along Mariupolskaya Street in the Oktyabrsky microdistrict in Chasiv Yar.

On the Oleksandro-Kalinovo Direction, assault detachments are advancing in Druzhba, and also expanded the control zone by 400 meters in the area of Horlivska Street in Novhorodske, where battles are ongoing in the center of the village.

On the Pokrovsk Direction, the Russian Armed Forces improved their tactical position in the fields south of Vozdvyzhivka and are fighting on the southeastern approaches to Hrodivka.

On the Kherson Direction, the enemy made another attempt on the Kinburn Spit: having lost one of the boats with the landing force, the enemy retreated.

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Ukraine Attacks Lipetsk Airbase As Russia Fights Off Kursk Raid, 10 Killed In Donetsk Missile Attack

Russian missile strikes supermarket in Ukraine, killing at least 10: officials

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_9.html