The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 01 2024

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The Collapse Of Ukraine and World War 3

No ATACMS in Sight: U.S Tells Kyiv to Forget More Missiles Amid Stock Shortages

Zelensky’s Kursk adventure will cost Ukraine the entire Donbas, everything depends on the battle for Pokrovsk and Bankova’s realization that the Ukrainian Armed Forces need to be withdrawn from the Kursk region.

The Russians will be in Pokrovsk in mid-September

Ukraine withdrew its elite units from the Donbas to invade the Kursk region. After that, the Russian offensive in the Donetsk region accelerated, and the Russians could take Pokrovsk as early as September, The Telegraph reported.

“I have never seen such speed,” the commander of the Ukrainian aerial reconnaissance unit fighting near Pokrovsk told the publication.

“It’s very fast. And our problem is the same: we don’t have infantry, we don’t have enough artillery or shells. We don’t have enough drones. The enemy has deployed powerful electronic warfare units, so sometimes we have to launch 10, 12, 15 just to destroy one tank,” he added.

He believes the Russians “will be in Pokrovsk by mid-September.” The same assessment is shared by Ukraine’s Center for Defense Strategies. 

Over the past three weeks, the Russians have advanced at least five miles (eight kilometers) toward the city, moving along a railway line that provides cover for their infantry. “Pokrovsk is closing down like an organism that knows death is near,” The Telegraph reported, commenting on the evacuation of the city. 

“This desperate situation appears to be a direct result of Ukraine’s invasion of Kursk in early August. That operation, planned by General Alexander Syrsky and approved by President Volodymyr Zelensky, was designed to draw Russian troops away from that front. The commander-in-chief admitted this week that the Russians had not taken the bait. While they have moved thousands of troops from other parts of the line into Kursk, they have doubled them on the Pokrovsk front,” the newspaper writes. 

It disputes Zelensky’s claim that before the operation near Kursk, the Russians moved faster near Pokrovsk. But this is refuted by the Ukrainian officers interviewed by the newspaper.

MI6 has passed on new intelligence to the OP and the General Staff that the Russian army is increasing pressure along the entire front line to prevent the Ukrainian Armed Forces from concentrating their forces in the Pokrovsk direction and to ease the pressure in the Kursk region. British intelligence is confident that the Kremlin will use the invasion of the Kursk region as an element of pressure on Kyiv, which needs to hold the front, but at the same time maintain the tempo of the offensive operation.

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office does not want to stop the Kursk operation, so that the West does not consider it a weakness of Ukraine against the backdrop of the collapse of the front in the Pokrovsk direction. Zelensky demands that Syrsky continue attacking deep into Russia, while stabilizing the situation in Donbas.

“Ukraine gave the US a list of targets in Russia that it wants to hit with ATACMS missiles,” but the US refused and they have few of these missiles

Kiev should not expect significant new deliveries of ATACMS missiles from the US – due to the limited number in stock and the long production time of these weapons.

“We explained what capabilities we need to protect ourselves… so I hope that we were heard,” Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov told CNN.

He added that many of the targets in Russia are outside the ATACMS area, as the Russian military has withdrawn its weapons from there. This primarily concerns bombers.

However, the US does not intend to lift its bans, the TV channel adds, citing an American official.

Lithuanian Defense Minister Calls for Bombing Russia

Lithuania has demanded permission to strike Russia. This call was made by the Minister of National Defense of Lithuania Laurynas Kasciunas.

” We must allow the Ukrainians to show their full power against Russia. The European Union and its member states must clearly state that there are no restrictions on the use of weapons,” the head of the Lithuanian Defense Ministry said at an informal meeting of EU defence ministers in Brussels, as quoted by the ministry’s press service.

He noted that at the beginning of the summer, the Lithuanian Defence Council decided to provide military support to Ukraine for several years in the amount of at least 0.25% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP). Laurynas Kaščiūnas is convinced that other countries of the union should follow Lithuania’s example.

Our source reports that the Presidential Office has launched a media campaign that Commander-in-Chief Syrsky was responsible for the Kursk adventure and is its initiator.

The process of shifting responsibility has begun, as the Kursk adventure is becoming the main catalyst for the collapse of the Donbass front and a negative for Zelensky’s rating.

The PR and show are over, we need to find a scapegoat to save our own skins.

 Another illustrative video (https://t.me/voenacher/71071) has arrived showing the consequences of large convoys (https://t.me/rybar/62604) with minimal distance between vehicles: this time, Ukrainian formations near the village of Verkhnia Syrovatka in Sumy Region, 30 km from the front line, came under attack.

According to the video, the Russian forces detected around 20 vehicles lined up one behind the other from the air and delivered a combined strike. First, the Russian Armed Forces engaged with two ballistic missiles with cluster and high-explosive fragmentation warheads with air detonation, and then added a salvo of MLRS.

📌 In this case, we can note the integrated nature of the fire strike, where no missiles were spared on the target. This largely helped to compensate for the accuracy and density of the coverage, destroying many more vehicles and AFU personnel than would have been the case with a single “Iskander” or “Tornado-S” strike.

And this is an absolutely correct approach: the relatively greater expenditure ensured greater losses for the enemy, which is the criterion for the success of the fire strike. And an “Iskander” missile costs less than the unpreventable redeployment of enemy reserves, which will have to be knocked out by infantry in heavy fighting.

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The Russian army defeated the enemy column near Sumy, preventing it from going to Kursk

▪️Our scouts discovered a concentration of enemy rear reserves south of Sumy, which the enemy could send to attack the Kursk direction. It was decided to wait for their concentration for a maximum strike.

▪️In the evening, around 20:00, the enemy column, stretching for 600 meters, was attacked on the march. 5 kilometers south of Verkhnyaya Syrovatka, massive attacks turned the column into chaos.

▪️According to preliminary data, the enemy has lost up to a company of manpower and more than 20 units of equipment, and these numbers are still growing. The enemy’s sanitary losses will inevitably become irreparable.

Situation in the Kursk Region as of the end of September 1: Counterattacks near Olhovka and Martynivka

In the Kursk Region, the highest activity of clashes continues to be observed in the Korenevo and Sudzha districts.

🔻In the Glushkovo district, the enemy continues to strike at the crossings being built by Russian troops, but so far has not attempted to violate the state border. For example, in the area of Zvannoe, the enemy destroyed another pontoon crossing.

🔻In the Korenevo district, there are battles for Komarova, where the presence of the enemy remained on the eastern outskirts. Meanwhile, artillery and aviation are striking Vyemka and Snagost. Another area of heavy fighting remains Olhovka, where counterattacks continue. Attacks by the AFU are also periodically recorded in the direction of Kremyanoye, but so far no changes in control zones have been recorded.

🔻In the Sudzha district, on the line Kruglenkoe – Pogrebki – Orlovka, the fighting continues. At the same time, footage from this area is rather contradictory, and the advance of Ukrainian formations cannot be ruled out.

The situation is different east of Sudzha. According to our information, the enemy is transferring reinforcements to the Martynivka area to continue attacks in the direction of Bolshoye Soldatskoye. Some time ago, the Russian Armed Forces were able to expand the control zone in the Kruglik area and ambush several enemy armored vehicles with a landing party, with the battlefield remaining in the hands of the Russian troops.

However, based on regular reports from the Russian Ministry of Defense about strikes on Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and attacks by the enemy on this line further northeast, the settlements of Pravda, Ivashkovsky, Zazulevka and Kubatkin were previously occupied by the enemy.

To the south, in the Plekhovo area, the rotation of enemy units and the pulling up of mortars are recorded. At the same time, fighting continues in the vicinity of the settlement of Borki, but without changes in the control zones both within the village and in the neighboring Spalnoye.

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In the Pokrovsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing on Selidovo. Strategically, the most threatening situation is developing for the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this area. From this settlement, a road opens to the southwest – bypassing the rear of the entire second line of defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to the west of Donetsk, which relies on Ukrainsk, Gornyak and Kurakhovo.

After the rapid fall of Novogrodovka, the Ukrainian command apparently realized this threat, so reserves were transferred to the defense of Selidovo and the Russian troops failed to take the city immediately. Fierce battles have been going on there for several days, during which Russian troops took part of the city in the east and are now fighting to capture the center.

Today, the Russian Armed Forces took control of the central city hospital, located in the very south of the city.

Thus, it appears that the Russian army is beginning to encircle the city from both the south and the north, attempting to take it in a pincer movement.

Fighting for Selidovo:

The General Staff has transferred new reserves to Selidovo to stop the rapid capture of the city by the Russian army. The enemy has established control over the territory of the city park and the Avangard stadium. Now the fighting is taking place in the area of ​​Gogolya Street, beyond which begins the sector of apartment buildings used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces as the main line of defense.

To the west of Nagornaya Street there is a block of multi-story buildings, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to turn into a key defensive hub. Units withdrawn from Ugledar are now arriving in the city, their task is to impose street fighting and slow down the advance of the Russian army.

There are reports that our troops have entered the city of Ukrainsk on the Pokrovsky section. They are trying to gain a foothold on Gogol Street.

For some reason, in many cities of Donbass, the outskirts of the city are named after Gogol, whether in Selidovo, Dzerzhinsk, or Ukrainsk.

Ukrainian collapse and blame game amid the ongoing collapse of the front near Pokrovsk.

Thus, the Ukrainian information resource Deep State writes that the Ukrainian soldiers, who are already demoralized and suffering heavy losses near Pokrovsk, are being finished off by decisions from above to remove their immediate commanders, who are still trying to make the right decisions.

In particular, the situation in the so-called “Karlovka pocket” is described, where the 11th battalion of the 59th mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces suffered heavy losses and was practically surrounded during the defence of Karlovka, and the commander, who decided to save the remnants of his battalion and retreat, was ultimately removed from his post and made guilty of the loss of the settlement.

“On August 26, the Karlovka pocket was formed. Near Galitsynovka, the enemy occupied part of the trenches, which no one defended at all because there were not enough people. Because of all these events, the 11th separate motorized rifle battalion suffered heavy losses and a decision was made to withdraw the remnants of the battalion from the pocket to the line south of Karlovka. This decision became decisive in finding the culprits,” writes Deep State.

Let us recall that Karlovka was taken by assault units of the Russian army on August 29.

In the Toretsk direction, Russian troops captured the settlement of Druzhba. Intensive fighting continues on the outskirts of Toretsk itself.

The Russian Armed Forces are securing a flank for a further assault on Toretsk, which they can now try to encircle from the north through the suburban villages of Krymskoye and Dachnoye. After which it will become much more difficult for Ukrainian troops to defend the city.

There are also clashes north of Penal Colony No. 2. Taking control of it will allow the Russian Armed Forces to simplify the offensive on Krymskoye and Dachnoye.

Enemy channels claim that right now the Russian Armed Forces are storming the city of Ugledar.

It’s not likely, but things have been unpredictable the last several weeks, so who knows…

Since yesterday, the Ugledar fortified area has been the target of an abnormally powerful missile and bomb attack.

Judging by the roar from the landings, it seems like they decided to raze the front line of the Ukrainian Armed Forces defence along the road to the ground. There are several key positions in this direction, including the Yuzhno-Donbasskaya No. 1 Mine and the 3rd mine health centre on the southwestern edge of Ugledar. Everything around is solid concrete, from which the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been struggling to dig themselves out since the very beginning of the SMO.

There is a possibility that some of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units will be pulled back from Ugledar to Selidovo. If this happens, there will be a chance to storm this area.

After Selidovo and Ukrainsk there are no more fortifications until the Dnepropetrovsk region

As for Selidovo, after taking the hospital, things went better. 1/3 of the city is already under the Russian Federation. Fast or not, there are a lot of Ukrainian Armed Forces there, Syrsky threw everyone he could into the city.

An interesting detail about the Russian army’s offensive on Selidovo.

Recently, in this area (slightly north of Tsukurino), an FPV drone destroyed a (now) rare by the standards of the Ukrainian army self-propelled gun CAESAR of French manufacture.

These self-propelled guns of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been frantically moving along the front line since mid-2023 in the hope of finding and maintaining a combat scenario in which the self-propelled gun would survive on the battlefield long enough to perform the necessary tasks.

However, with the development of the reconnaissance and strike contour, the use of such self-propelled guns (and other scarce and extremely expensive Western equipment) is becoming increasingly difficult.

According to several signs, the Ukrainian Armed Forces seem to be close to exhausting the scenarios for the tactical use of the Caesars (and wheeled howitzers in general). This use was extremely difficult in Volchansk, where the Sever group burned a huge number of self-propelled guns with Lancets, and before that during the summer-autumn counteroffensive.

At the same time, wheeled self-propelled howitzers are increasingly appearing not only in the area of ​​action of the Tornado-S type MLRS. The defeat of such equipment by an FPV drone means that the Ukrainian Armed Forces must act as close to the front line as possible, and in these circumstances, the risk of losing a self-propelled howitzer increases many times over. At the same time, these means are the only alternative and the Ukrainian army command seems to be turning a blind eye to their use in such conditions.

Until recently, the popular narrative was that the Caesars were almost an ultimate weapon, with which one could shoot from afar and quickly change positions. On paper, such SPGs gave the Ukrainian army a significant advantage in counter-battery fire, but judging by real events on the battlefield, this approach turned out to be of little use.

Massive night attack by the enemy on Russian territory: air defence forces destroyed and intercepted 158 Ukrainian UAVs of the airplane type – MOD

46 UAVs were destroyed and intercepted over the territory of Kursk region at night, 34 – over the territory of Bryansk region, 28 – over the territory of Voronezh region, 14 – over the territory of Belgorod region, eight – over the territory of Ryazan region, two – over Moscow, seven over Moscow Region, five over Kaluga Region, four over Lipetsk Region, three over Tula Region, two UAVs each over Tambov and Smolensk Regions, one each over Orel, Tver and Ivanovo regions.

Ukraine’s attacks on Russia’s energy complex are necessary to destroy the enemy’s potential, which is why UAV strikes will be intensified in the near future. Bankova wants to force the Kremlin to take radical retaliatory actions when a deficit in the fuel sector arises, the next stage will be strikes on energy facilities to inflict maximum damage.

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Our source reports that Zelensky is intensifying the infrastructure war against Russia, attacking oil refineries, power plants and other fuel and energy sector facilities.

Everyone is warning that we can expect a response from Russia soon.

Many do not fully understand why Zelensky is provoking the Kremlin into an infrastructure war before the cold weather sets in. This will leave millions of Ukrainians without electricity, water, heat, and even work, which could lead to a large-scale catastrophe/tragedy.

There is a version that Zelensky is pursuing a strategy of increasing hatred. In his opinion, Ukrainians should hate the Kremlin more for leaving them without light, heat and water. That is why Zelensky is provoking Putin. That is why Zelensky continues to constantly strike Russian oil refineries, power plants/thermal power plants, etc., realizing that he will then hit Ukrainian facilities as well.

We advise everyone to prepare for the black winter that Zelensky is preparing for you.

The Most Massive Drone Attack by Ukrainian UAVs on Russian Regions

This night, Ukrainian forces carried out a massive drone attack on Russian regions. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, 158 drones were intercepted in 16 regions, as well as over Moscow.

▪️The largest number of munitions was destroyed over the Kursk Region – 46 of them. The work of the Russian air defense forces was recorded throughout the night.

▪️No less than 34 Ukrainian drones were intercepted over the Bryansk Region. According to the governor Alexander Bogomaz, there were no casualties among the civilian population and no damage to infrastructure.

▪️14 drones were neutralized in the airspace of the Belgorod Region. At the same time, commercial facilities, private homes and civilian vehicles were damaged in Belgorod and the Belgorod District.

▪️In the Moscow Region and Moscow, a downed UAV fell on a technical building on the territory of the Moscow Oil Refinery in Kapotnya, causing a fire of about 40 square meters, which was extinguished. According to some reports, the Kashira GRES power plant was also attacked, but this has not been confirmed.

Also, according to preliminary information, the enemy tried to attack the Zhukovsky Airport. Temporary restrictions for flight safety were also introduced at the Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports, their operation was restored at 09:05.

▪️In the Tver Region, a fire broke out at the Konakovo GRES power plant after a drone strike, which was soon localized and extinguished. As reported by Governor Igor Rudenya, there were no casualties, electricity and gas supply in the district is carried out as usual.

▪️Air defense systems also worked in Yaroslavl, Voronezh, Ryazan, Kaluga, Tula, Tambov, Smolensk, Oryol and Ivanovo Regions, with no casualties reported. Only in the Tarnsky District of the Lipetsk Region was a cell tower damaged.

🔻The night attack by the AFU became the most massive since the start of the SMO. Once again, the main targets were fuel and energy facilities, where the enemy specifically developed entry routes from the least protected directions. But in this case, only a few UAVs reached their targets, while the rest were destroyed.

However, in the foreseeable future, the enemy’s drone production rates will be even higher. And we need to be ready for this – if today the wave of drones on the capital was almost completely destroyed, this does not mean that tomorrow it will be exactly the same.

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Overview Summary for September 1, 2024

▪️ The past week began with a massive strike on the enemy’s rear facilities, inflicting military and economic damage, but no explosions at symbolic objects like the Verkhovna Rada.

▪️ The defensive operation of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kursk region continues, with the enemy constantly attacking to break through. Due to the lack of a continuous front, the enemy resorts to maneuverable warfare, trying to disperse our forces.

▪️ The enemy is keeping reserves for attacks on the Belgorod, Bryansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions, aiming to capture logistics and energy facilities for negotiations.

▪️ In the Kursk region, the Russian Armed Forces have significantly advanced or occupied important positions, forcing the enemy to flee from Karlivka and fail to defend Halytsynivka. The pace raises concerns about logistics.

▪️ In the Toretsk direction, our troops are developing success in heavy battles, with fighting on the outskirts of Toretsk itself.

▪️ This week, Synkivka and Stelmakhivka were liberated in the Kupiansk direction.

▪️ The situation in the Kursk direction may be due to the involvement of battle-hardened units from other sectors, pinning down the enemy.

▪️ Strikes by the AFU on our energy facilities continue, effectively knocking out refineries, while there is still clumsiness in organizing the fight against enemy UAVs.

▪️ The forecasts indicate the enemy’s plans to organize offensive actions and try to occupy the spits of the Kherson region, with Kyiv solving the renewability of manpower through total mobilization and training in Western countries.

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Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on.html