The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 02 2024

Putin Blames ‘Destructive Western Strategy’ for Ukraine Conflict: Claims Russia is Targeted as Enemy

NORTHERN FLANK RESHUFFLE; Ukraine looking for weak spot; Glushkovo Offensive delayed – Kursk Front

NATO in RAGE! Turkey Declared That Russian 5th Generation Fighter Su-57 Shot Down US F-16 in UKRAINE

Russian missile attack rocks Kyiv and other areas of Ukraine

The Presidential Office’s plan to freeze the negotiating track is working, which is why the Ukrainian Armed Forces will continue the operation in the Kursk region.

Putin made it clear that Russia will not enter into peace talks as long as the Ukrainian Armed Forces remain in the Kursk region.

“We have never refused this, but we must, of course, deal with these bandits who have entered the territory of the Russian Federation, namely the Kursk region, and with their attempts to destabilize the situation in the border area as a whole,” the Russian president said. 

The Pentagon demands that the President’s Office stop the Kursk operation so as not to repeat the Bakhmutov meat grinder, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost their best reserves, which were then not enough for the summer counteroffensive. For Zelensky, this is a personal issue; if he gives the order to withdraw the troops, then this is a personal failure of the President.

The offensive in the Kursk region weakens the already shaky front of Ukraine, since these experienced brigades are not used in defense, says the article in Foreign Affairs.

According to the publication, by continuing only to defend, Ukraine would have “a good chance of exhausting the Russian offensive, while simultaneously solving personnel problems and stabilizing the front line by winter.” And already in 2025, it would be able to go on the offensive against weakened Russian forces, and the risks would be less.

Now this operation changes the “balance of attrition” not in favor of Ukraine. Since the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have reserves to respond to any Russian breakthrough and in some places feels a shortage of artillery ammunition.

The authors believe that Kyiv wanted to launch an offensive before the US elections so that if it was forced to negotiate, it would have a stronger position. However, analysts doubt that Moscow will negotiate until it regains control of all of its territory. And it will be easier to do so in the winter, when the dense foliage in the forests used by Ukrainian troops for cover clears. In the meantime, Russia can continue to advance in Ukraine.

Ukrainian losses near Kursk are growing, and there is a high probability that the region will become the site of another grueling battle if Russia decides to retake the territory with large forces, repeating the situation with Krynki, when Moscow sent large forces to retake this strategically unimportant village. But if Russia chooses a different tactic in the Kursk region and does not attack with large numbers of units, but focuses on weakening Ukrainian forces with the help of aviation, drones and only minimal use of ground forces, then “this gambit may not pay off for Kyiv.”

Ukraine at Kursk sought to avoid a symmetrical battle with a numerically superior enemy, but the longer the battle lasts and becomes positional in nature, the more likely it is that these advantages will dissipate. And bad news from the front can “quickly swing the pendulum in public perception.” 

FA compares the Kursk operation with others where Ukraine suffered heavy losses without significant gains: the battle for Bakhmut, Krynki, the counteroffensive in the Zaporizhia region. Holding part of the Kursk region will require even more resources. And the success of the operation will only be assessed over time.

The price of Zelensky’s Kursk adventure is the loss of the entire Donbass, now we are repeating the track with the Bakhmutov meat grinder, when the best reserves are spent on a PR operation.

Russia can solve the problem of capturing Pokrovsk and reaching the borders of the Donetsk region by November. Ukrainian military analyst Mikhail Zhirokhov told the BBC about this.

According to him, the peak of the Russian army’s capabilities will be in early autumn, and the Kremlin will make every effort to take advantage of the situation.

Moscow has 1.5-2 months left, while the weather allows, green plantings hide the movement of Russian infantry, and dry soil facilitates the use of heavy armored vehicles.

“Russia’s successes in the Donetsk direction will cover all other failures. I think that they will try to complete the task that they have been given by November, when the rains begin, when the “green stuff” disappears. This task is to reach the administrative borders of the Donetsk region,” the analyst says.

And he gives a pessimistic forecast for Ukraine, writes the BBC – the Russians will most likely solve this problem. Ukraine’s task of holding Pokrovsk in the current conditions looks difficult, he adds.

The Ukrainian military told the publication that the actions of the Ukrainian command in the Pokrovsk direction are “not very clear.”

It is assumed that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine wants to impose a battle on the Russian Federation directly in the urban development of Pokrovsk or on the approaches to it.

“Despite public statements by Zelensky and Syrsky about the need to strengthen this direction, some units were withdrawn from there, and others were ordered to retreat deep into the territory and leave their positions virtually without a fight,” the article says.

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office conducted a poll that showed a collapse in Zelensky’s rating due to the collapse of the front in Donbas. If in early August the Kursk operation sharply raised the President’s position, then after the collapse of the front in the Pokrovsk direction the trend changed dramatically, Ukrainians are unhappy with the situation.

Our source reports that Ukraine cannot avoid a major energy crisis and disaster this winter.

Zelensky’s officials were busy with budget development and corruption schemes to withdraw money. Everyone in the state system is skeptical, which means they are pursuing the goal of “grab and run” while they can.

Now the question at stake was how to avoid a catastrophe, but how to reduce its scale and make it so that the world press would hype it up by accusing the Russians of genocide. Keeping silent about the fact that we ourselves are also hitting their infrastructure and provoking an increase in the stakes in the game. Putting the lives of civilians at risk.

Ukrainians, be prepared for the “black winter” and the most difficult times.

Kursk Region. Summary of the Russian Ministry of Defense on the progress of repelling the attempted invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the territory of the Russian Federation in the Kursk Region (as of September 2, 2024)

▪️ Units of the North group of forces, with the support of army aviation and artillery fire, repelled six attacks by enemy assault groups in the direction of the settlements of Borki, Komarovka, Korenevo and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye in one day.

▪️Also, three attempts by the Ukrainian Armed Forces to attack in the direction of the settlements of Olgivka and Kremyanoye were thwarted. The enemy’s losses amounted to 40 people killed and wounded, an infantry fighting vehicle, two combat armored vehicles and a car were destroyed.

▪️Reconnaissance and search operations are being carried out in forest areas to destroy enemy sabotage groups.

▪️ Air strikes, artillery fire and troop actions damaged concentrations of manpower and equipment of the 22nd and 61st Mechanized, 82nd and 95th Airborne Assault and 152nd Jaeger Brigades, the 1st National Guard Brigade and the 1004th Security Brigade in the areas of the settlements of Apanasovka, Borki, Vishnevka, Gordeyevka, Lyubimovka, Lebedevka, Martynovka, Mikhaylovka, Malaya Loknya, 10th October, Orlovka, Plekhovo, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Russkoye Porechnoye, Snagost and Yuzhny.

▪️Operational-tactical aviation carried out strikes in the Sumy region on areas of concentration of personnel and military equipment of the reserves of the 22nd, 41st and 54th mechanized, 17th tank, 82nd airborne assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 1st National Guard Brigade, the 36th Marine Brigade, as well as the 101st, 103rd, 119th and 129th territorial defense brigades in the areas of the settlements of Belopolye, Basy, Velyka Pisarevka, Glukhov, Luka, Katerynivka, Orlovka, Svessa, Chervonopraporne, Sumy, Khoten, Esman, Yunakovka and Yastrebyne.

▪️Over the past 24 hours, the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost more than 350 servicemen and 14 armored vehicles, including an infantry fighting vehicle, an armored personnel carrier, and 12 armored combat vehicles, as well as three artillery pieces, three US-made HIMARS MLRS launchers, a mortar, two Buk-M1 SAM launchers, a Buk-M1 SAM mobile command post, a HIMARS MLRS transport and loading vehicle, a Buk-M1 SAM transport vehicle, a US-made ANT/PQ-50 counter-battery radar, and 12 vehicles.

✨ In total, during the military operations in the Kursk direction, the enemy lost more than 8,900 servicemen, 80 tanks, 38 infantry fighting vehicles, 70 armored personnel carriers, 549 armored combat vehicles, 261 vehicles, 65 artillery pieces, 19 multiple launch rocket system launchers, including 6 HIMARS and two MLRS, 7 anti-aircraft missile system launchers, two transport and loading vehicles, 14 electronic warfare stations, 7 counter-battery radars, air defense radars, 6 units of engineering equipment, including two engineering obstacle clearing vehicles and one UR-77 mine clearing unit.

Two Majors

Kursk Direction: Destruction of HIMARS MLRS by Russian troops and AFU advance in the Malaya Loknya area

Situation as of 6:00 PM September 2024

In the Kursk Direction, Ukrainian formations are consolidating their hold on previously occupied territories, including deploying radar surveillance infrastructure. At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces are searching for and destroying targets in the Kursk and Sumy Regions.

🔻In the Glushkovo District, Ukrainian formations did not conduct offensive operations. Russian troops are ensuring stable supply of the grouping in this sector, using pontoon crossings on the Seym River.

🔻In the Korenevo District, the AFU launched attacks towards Komarovka and Korenevo, without significant success. Russian artillery struck personnel concentrations in Apanasovka, Snagost and Vishnevka, likely to disrupt the enemy’s preparation for new attacks in this sector.

🔻In the Sudzha District, Ukrainian formations, according to available data, were able to slightly expand their control zone in the vicinity of Pogrebki and Malaya Loknya. Judging by the geography of Russian artillery strikes, the Russian Armed Forces had previously abandoned positions in these villages to avoid the threat of encirclement by the enemy.

▪️However, it is premature to claim that the AFU have established stable control over these settlements – the situation in the sector is shrouded in the “fog of war”. At the same time, Russian artillery and aviation are actively striking assault groups and armored vehicles of the opponent.

▪️Northwest of Zaoleshanka, Russian UAV operators struck a radar station of an unidentified type, likely deployed to track the operation of Russian drones or artillery. As a result of a direct hit, the station was destroyed.

❗️The fact that Ukrainian formations are deploying a radar surveillance system in the occupied areas indicates the AFU command’s plans to consolidate in the Kursk Region, continuing to allocate significant human and technical resources to this sector.

🔻In the Sumy Region, Russian troops struck several important enemy targets with missile attacks. North of Samotoevka, the Russian Armed Forces destroyed three HIMARS MLRS launchers, using the Iskander OTRK. The loss of these systems will temporarily reduce the strike capabilities of the AFU, including in terms of impact on Russian communications.

▪️In the area of Novaya Sech, Russian troops “covered” a Buk-M1 air defense battery, disabling three launchers and a mobile command post.

rybar

The Donetsk leak, which is happening due to the miscalculations of the Kursk adventure, threatens to collapse the eastern front. Therefore, the Ukrainian military is already preparing to defend the Dnieper. According to Bild expert Julian Repke, the situation on the eastern front is deteriorating, the Russian army is advancing faster than in 2022. Soldiers call this a disaster, citing a lack of experienced fighters and weak support from the West.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky will not abandon the Kursk operation even under the threat of losing Pokrovsk; at headquarters, Syrsky was instructed to intensify attacks deep into Russian territory and send newly created brigades to Donbass.

The results of Zelensky’s Kursk adventure are already becoming obvious to everyone.

The situation on the eastern front is critical and continues to worsen: the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already “mentally preparing to defend the Dnieper,” says Bild OSINT analyst Röpke

He noted that the Russian Federation is advancing faster than in the summer of 2022. At the same time, in addition to the Donetsk region, the Russians, for the first time in almost two years, are advancing in the Luhansk and Kharkiv regions.

“The Ukrainian soldiers I speak to can barely comprehend the catastrophe that is unfolding. Territory is sometimes being lost so quickly it is as if a retreat had been ordered. They also consider the rotations that have already been carried out and planned to be dangerous for holding the front.”

The General Staff is trying to maintain the situation in the Pokrovsk direction at the expense of reserves from other sections of the front in order to continue Zelensky’s Kursk adventure.

The Russian Armed Forces are developing an offensive in the Ugledar direction – the Russian army has cut the Ugledar-Konstantinovka highway and occupied the village of Vodyanoye. The front reports that fighting is already underway in Konstantinovka itself. That is, the situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Ugledar direction is rapidly deteriorating.

Russian troops have also entered Ukrainsk in the Pokrovsk direction. This is reported by a number of military Telegram channels. The publications note that the fighters of the Russian Armed Forces are trying to gain a foothold on Gogol Street (it is reported that Russian units approached the city from the flank, taking control of the village of Dolinovka).

And we remind you that the loss of the Donetsk region by Ukraine is a foregone conclusion. The main fortified areas have already been “worn down”, new ones have not been built, since the money allocated for their construction has been stolen. In addition, due to the Kursk adventure, the pace of the Russian offensive has sharply increased, and the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces threatens the emergence of huge cauldrons for the Ukrainian army, where a huge number of soldiers will be captured or go missing/die.

The Ukrainian side is actively drawing arrows on maps, analyzing the situation near Pokrovsk.

The greatest concern is the possibility of two (or a series of) converging blows after the capture of Pokrovsk.

From the northern flank, the attack could go through the line Ukrainsk-Gornyak-Kurakhovka (but it would be better, of course, to go straight from the direction of Pokrovsk), and from the southwestern flank – through… Velikaya Novosyolka, where, by the way, last year’s counteroffensive in the Urozhainoye area began.

If this is exactly what happens, then the entire Ugledar group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be surrounded and another offensive will have to be carried out to unblock it.

Colonel spills the beans and tells Ukrainians how it really is!

The retired colonel of the Ukranian army, Roman Svitan, have taken a “truth serum”, and on “Channel 24″ said that Zelensky’s team has turned Pokrovsk and the country “into a punishment colony and a concentration camp for absolutely all men”, from which it is impossible to leave.

And he called for a change of the government!

To the host’s questions about why a city of 40,000, in which there are 2,000 children, 10 km from the front, is trying to live a peaceful life, and the local government announces that banks there will stop working from Monday, Svitan said that:

✅  in frontline cities – it is impossible to leave, there is a terrible situation, where Ukrainians are better off waiting for the arrival of the Russian army than being mobilized

✅ military registration and enlistment offices under Umerov’s leadership have organized a bunch of checkpoints when leaving populated areas (first of all, we are talking about Pokrovsk). At the same time, men are given summonses even when they take their children, their families and elderly relatives, sending them to the front. That is, it is impossible for the civilian population to evacuate normally; people are afraid of being left without the head of the family

✅ people, left without shelter, have nowhere to evacuate, they have no money, and compatriots in other cities have raised prices for renting apartments

✅ the state does not help in any way, it creates a punishment cell, a concentration camp, from which it is impossible to leave; both the police and the military recruitment workers are trying to cut money when leaving, there is “another rip-off of people with a big bribe”

✅ military recruitment workers share with the Ministry of Defense, while Umerov needs to somehow support his family in the USA;

✅ The residents of Donbass are being destroyed by non-Ukrainian authorities, their task is to surrender the territories, collect money from the residents and run away with passports of other countries. Many of those in power have passports of other countries, and then it will turn out that a politician with an Israeli passport has been pursuing a pro-Israeli policy for these 5 years (Svitan’s hint is obvious)

✅ This is precisely why the authorities are promoting the law on multiple citizenships

✅ Ukrainians can change the non-Ukrainian government – but the executive, not the political one – Svitan claims. The government of the Umerovs, Yermaks, ambassadors and others – it’s time for the people to initiate a change of the lying and thieving executive power, with passports of other countries. They do not work for Ukraine, they have already “overstayed their welcome”. It’s time to replace them with professionals, those who are professionally qualified, preferably military

Russian troops are once again actively advancing in the Ugledar area. Here, our soldiers have occupied the buildings of the Yuzhnodonbasskaya 1 mine and are preparing to storm the adjacent dump of the same name. Taking control of this commanding height will allow the Russian Armed Forces to take Ugledar and the village of Vodyanoye with the Stroydetal plant under fire control . This defensive hub covers the Ukrainian Armed Forces base in Bogoyavlenka, which supplies the surrounding enemy garrisons.

Russian troops are advancing not only to the east of Ugledar, but also to the southwest of the city, in the area of ​​the village of Prechystovka. The goal of the converging attacks is to reach Bogoyavlenka from two sides at once, encircling the Ukrainian group in the area of ​​Ugledar. The main problem of the enemy command here is the lack of reserves, without which the Ukrainian Armed Forces cannot contain the offensive through Prechystovka. And pulling out units from neighboring directions means collapsing the front there too.

The Kursk adventure and the urgent transfer of the scanty forces that Kiev managed to assemble in an emergency manner to Pokrovsk led to an acute shortage of enemy reserves. It can be assumed that the final goal of the Russian offensive near Ugledar is Kurakhovo, to which our army is methodically moving from Pokrovsk. If successful, this will allow the Russian Armed Forces to squeeze the entire Ukrainian Armed Forces group in the Donetsk and South Donetsk directions. 

Voekor Kotenok  The Russian Armed Forces entered Prechistovka in the Ugledar direction.

Considering our attempts to break through the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense in the Vodyanoye area, the capture of Prechistovka looks like a prologue to enveloping Ugledar in pincers.

The enemy’s defense in this area has been weakened by the transfer of a number of units directly to Donetsk in an attempt to stabilize the line of the “floating front.”

✨ Ugledar direction

The information from Voekor Kotenok deserves attention because the settlement he indicated is located well beyond Novomayorskoye, for which heavy fighting had previously taken place. The command from this direction really does not like to publicize successes, but if this attack took place, then this means a decisive onslaught on a new section of the front, where the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has crumbled.

Two Majors

Kiev local selflessly films footage of the Ukrainian Air Defense Forces in action this night in Kiev. I must admit, the footage was absolutely awesome, you can clearly see the air defence positions, the success of the interceptions, the landing sites, and the fall of the shrapnel. Well done Valentin Volkov! The Motherland will not forget you

In Kiev,  Artem (GAKH Artem) was hit by cruise missile strikes. The company is a manufacturer of A2A guided missiles, automated systems for the preparation and maintenance of air-guided weapons, ATGM, as well as instruments and equipment for aircraft. As a result of the strikes, one of the plant’s workshops was destroyed and an administrative building was damaged. A fire broke out at the site of the strike on an area of ​​more than 1,500 square meters. It is important to note that the explosion, which sounded after the air raid alarm was cancelled in Kiev, was heard from the area of ​​the enterprise.

🔻Another affected object was the territory of the Antonov Serial Plant (aviation industry) . According to available information, a warehouse and a workshop for the assembly and maintenance of unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed as a result of the strike. A fire was recorded at the site.

- Don Partisan

Chronicles of the special military operation

for September 2, 2024

The Russian forces have carried out a series of strikes on targets in Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, Dnipro and several other settlements.

In Kursk Region, fighting continues in the Korenevo and Sudzha districts. A small advance by the AFU is being recorded east of Martynivka, while no changes in control zones are observed in other areas.

In the Artemivsk direction, the Russian forces were able to advance on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar and in Kalinivka, with local battles continuing.

In the Pokrovsk direction, fighting continues in the area of Hrodivka, Novohrodivka and in the urban area of Selidovo. The enemy periodically attempts counterattacks.

In the South Donetsk direction, the front line is “reviving”, with battles ongoing in the vicinity of Pavlivka, Prechystivka and Vodyane. The aviation is actively engaged.

rybar

Donbas “Spirals Out Of Control”, Ukraine National Guard Deploys 2,000-Troop Offensive Unit

MASSIVE Cauldron Forming | Russian Forces Capture Several Villages

Putin’s Army Just 6 Miles From Ukraine’s Last Big Stronghold In Donetsk: Russia Set To Win Pokrovsk?

Ukrainians Flee – Russia Storms Pokrovsk

Russian forces Storming Vuhledar [2 September 2024]

2nd Battle of Vuhledar Begins | AFU Double Down in Kursk | Both Sides Raise The Stakes

Vuhledar Front Collapsed l Vyimka Has Fallen

BIGGER RUSSIA ADVANCE HINTED; Russia might have taken Nelipivka & Vyimka – Siversk / Niu York Front

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_2.html