The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 09 2024

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Zelensky’s Kursk adventure prevents the Ukrainian Armed Forces from stabilizing the situation in Donbas, since the General Staff has no reserves.

The Russian army is developing an offensive on Kurakhovo and threatening to encircle it, The Economist writes, citing Ukrainian military personnel.

Soldiers report that the Russians are regrouping along a wider front north and south of Kurakhovo, which is a clear attempt to encircle the Ukrainian Armed Forces there.

Logistics are deteriorating: fuel tanks, supply vehicles, and headquarters have been moved further from the front, and replenishing supplies has become more time-consuming. Receiving mortar shells or Javelin anti-tank missiles takes half a day at best, evacuating the wounded has become more difficult, and fewer people manage to get to the hospital in time.

Ukrainians report high casualties on both sides. The Russians can lose up to 18 of their soldiers to dislodge two “exhausted, hungry Ukrainians.” The Ukrainian Armed Forces, meanwhile, quickly destroyed their reinforcements of inexperienced infantrymen near Ukrainsk.

“In three days, 100 people turned into zero. Some ran away, some died. We are fighting with the last reserves and throwing even our logisticians into the trenches,” says Yuri, a fighter from the 59th Brigade.

There is a threat of encirclement on the southern part of the Donetsk front, although “there are only hints of it so far.” Roads are becoming impassable, shops and cafes are closing – “a sign that the situation is getting worse.”

Our source in the OP said that Syrsky informed Zelensky about the loss of the initiative of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk operation, the enemy has stabilized the situation and is starting to conduct local counterattacks. The Commander-in-Chief believes that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not be able to maintain such a pace of war for long, due to limited reserves and equipment, which means it will be necessary to shorten the front line for the winter.

Everyone started writing about desertions in the Ukrainian army.

There are two options here.

1. Ermak needs to push through the case with the military police and the best way to do this is through a negative case with an emphasis on the fact that if it is not accepted, there will be a collapse (Bankova loves such tricks. Now taxes/tariffs are being raised under the pretext that if they are not raised, there will be no money to pay the military or there will not be enough money to repair the energy infrastructure).

2. The desertion case will be pulled under the “justice” case in order to set everyone against all sorts of “Sorosites” who were given “immunity” by Western sponsors. In short, they want to make the Sorosites guilty of the failure of Zemobilization and the unwillingness of Ukrainians to fight.

Let’s put it this way. The desertion case began to acquire a mass character from mid-2023. It intensified after the cancellation of demobilization, when Zelensky threw everyone, and the tightening of the catch accelerated the growth of the SZCh.

Of course, the number of deserters is affected by the defeats/retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and the widespread corruption/theft that corrodes everything.

We write about this all the time.

The Western press, including CNN , confirms all our inside information.

As our source added: this trend is very much disliked by Western sponsors, who gave loans only on the basis that Zelensky promised that Ukrainians were ready to fight and die in the millions.

The elections in Germany are having their effect, we are losing another country in the West, which was one of the main actors in financial and military aid for Ukraine.

German Chancellor Scholz is preparing a peace plan for Ukraine to bring Russia to the negotiating table. “ Ukraine is expected to accept territorial concessions,” — La Repubblica

The publication notes that Scholz wants to go down in history as the “chancellor of peace” and avoid possible resignation.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz stated that the time has come for peace negotiations to resolve the conflict in the so-called Ukraine. However, he now needs to invite Russia to participate in a new summit.  (https://t.me/Ubersicht_Ukraine_Kanal/45632) 

At the same time, the chancellor added that, in essence, no negotiations will change the fact that Berlin will continue to provide assistance to Kyiv.

🔻Scholz did not reveal any further details, but Italian media, which received the information directly from his party, have shed some light on it. According to their data, the plan allows for the transfer of part of Ukrainian territories to Russia and is a kind of analogue of the Minsk agreements, which ultimately turned out to be a deception and a distracting maneuver.

📌It is obvious that the West will not conduct any negotiations that are beneficial for Russia, and the talk about them is more likely aimed at increasing internal pressure and trying to destabilize society with the thesis of “Moscow’s unwillingness to negotiate”.

At the same time, it is clear that Scholz made a rather pitiful attempt to seize the initiative from the right-wing parties in Germany, who are calling for an end to the conflict.

After all, for the ruling German coalition, the situation as a whole looks extremely bleak after the disastrous state elections and the intensified wave of criticism (https://t.me/de_adler/2672) from Western allies. However, it is clear that Scholz’s attempts to play the “peace chancellor” evoke only disgust from both politicians and ordinary citizens.

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A clear example of Ukraine’s lack of subjectivity, and Nuland only voiced part of the information, but in reality everything was much more categorical, as our source reported immediately after the negotiations in Istanbul. The US forbade us from signing any peace plan with Russia, which resulted in a major war and the death of thousands of Ukrainians and destroyed infrastructure.

Ukraine withdrew from Istanbul agreements with Russia because the US did not like the terms of the deal

As former Deputy Secretary of State Victoria Nuland stated, Washington convinced Kyiv that the agreements were are not beneficial for Ukraine.

ZeRada1

Wow! Nuland basically admits that Ukraine-Russia peace deal, which was close to being finalized in spring 2022, “fell apart” because US, UK & other Western governments “advised” Zelensky government that it was not “good deal” even though even members of Ukrainian delegation stated in recent interviews that this was very good deal, best deal that Ukraine could get & “very real compromise” & that Ukrainian delegation celebrated it with champagne. She basically confirms statements by ex-Israeli PM, head of Ukrainian delegation, Ukrainian officials close to Zelensky, ex-German chancellor & Turkish FM that US & UK blocked this peace deal, which was close to being finalized.

Professor Ivan Katchanovski 

Volodymyr Zelensky wants to use Italian Prime Minister Meloni as a mediator in negotiations with the United States on the supply of Patriot air defence systems to Kiev.

Zelensky wants to push through the delivery of a large batch of air defence systems before the US presidential elections, the results of which could be negative for Kiev.

The Italian publication Fatto Quotidiano writes that the armed conflict in Ukraine has reached a point where the only possible outcome for Kiev is defeat.

The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has reached a turning point. The current situation, in which Ukraine is suffering defeat, can only change in the event of further escalation with the direct participation of NATO,

— the authors of the article believe.

The article also notes that Italy must do everything possible to avoid the direct involvement of NATO troops in the conflict.

Earlier, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban proposed an immediate ceasefire and improved communication between the countries before putting forward a peace plan.

“Ajit Doval to visit Russia this week, take charge of Ukraine peace talks”: India’s ‘James Bond’ to meet Putin in Russia

“Narendra Modi’s National Security Adviser Ajit Doval will visit Russia this week, from September 10-11, to attend the BRICS ministerial meeting on security and discuss peace efforts in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In Moscow, Doval will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin, sources said.

Doval will also hold bilateral meetings with his Russian and Chinese counterparts. During a phone call with the Russian president in August, Prime Minister Narendra Modi had said Doval would visit Moscow to discuss peace ideas after his trip to Ukraine.”

Lavrov on the conditions for holding a peace conference on Ukraine:

Please understand that this is not about where to meet, in what circle. It is a question of what to discuss. If we discuss calls to cease fire and think about territorial swaps, it is not serious. Because once again, the problem is not about territories, the problem is about people’s rights, which have been trampled on by legislation. And none of the initiatives floating in the political space mention them specifically.

When we see a serious readiness to defend the very human rights that the West always proudly proclaims on its banners on any issue, but not on this one, when we see such readiness, I am convinced that we will easily agree on the place and time of the meeting. But first we need to understand what we are going to discuss. We are protecting people, and all those who, in one way or another, have an interest in contributing to a settlement must realize this and make it a direct part of their practical work.

Kursk Direction: Use of Strike UAVs “Forpost” and the Situation in Sudzha District

Situation as of the end of September 9, 2024

In the Kursk Direction, Russian forces continue to repel the enemy’s onslaught in several sectors of the front.

🔻In the Korenevo District, a Russian strike-reconnaissance UAV “Forpost” struck (https://t.me/rustroyka1945/17994) the enemy’s forward command post with a guided bomb UAB-20 in the settlement of Snahost. This was the first use of this unmanned aerial vehicle in the Kursk Region.

🔻In the Sudzha District, the use of drones by the enemy, spraying incendiary mixture over the forest plantings and Russian positions west of Ulanok, has been recorded.

Thanks to this data, it was possible to establish that the Russian Armed Forces maintain control over the settlement of Ulanok, consolidating in one of the forest belts on the approaches to Fanaseevka. In total, at least ten cases of the use of such type of drones by the AFU along the entire length of the front are known so far.

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Kursk Direction: Strikes by Russian Aviation

Situation as of 4:00 PM on September 9, 2024

In the Kursk Direction, Russian forces continue to deliver fire strikes against concentrations of enemy personnel and equipment along the entire length of the front.

🔻In Glushkovo District, Ukrainian formations carried out another strike (https://t.me/starshii_pogrannaryada/10098) on the bridge over the Seym River near the settlement of Karyzh. At the moment, its further operation is impossible. The AFU constantly strike the crossings in this area, trying to hinder the work of the Russian Armed Forces and the evacuation of the population.

🔻In Sudzha District, Russian operational-tactical aviation delivered several strikes with guided air bombs on enemy positions in the area of the Gordeevka border crossing (https://t.me/warriorofnorth/2597) and near Maryevka (https://t.me/wargonzo/21996). Clashes continue in the area of Martynivka, Cherkasske Porechne and Mala Loknya.

🔻In Korenevo District, operators of Russian UAVs struck (https://t.me/CombatBums/83) enemy positions in the village of Krasnooctyabr’skoye. Attacks by the enemy on the approaches to Korenevo and Kremyanoye were repelled. The use of aviation to strike the crew of AFU FPV drones was noted.

Thus, in the forest belt several kilometers southeast of Sheptukhovka, two FAB-500 bombs were dropped (https://t.me/bolshiepushki/9185), as a result of which the operators of enemy UAVs were destroyed. In the Ukrainian segment, they even write that “the Russians have so many bombs that they can use them even as counter-battery warfare means”.

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Alaudinov warns Europe of disaster due to Ukrainian Armed Forces attacks on Kursk NPP

If the Ukrainian Armed Forces attack the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, the resulting potential catastrophe will affect Europe. It must understand this, said Major General Apti Alaudinov, commander of the Akhmat special forces.

“Europe must understand that if any catastrophe occurs at this station, then this catastrophe will first and foremost affect European states,” Alaudinov said.

According to the major general, Europe is following the US and doing everything to bring about a nuclear catastrophe. Alaudinov does not understand why it is giving in to American ideas that are “dragging us towards a third world war.”

The Russian Defense Ministry reported the liberation of the village of Memrik near Selidovo. It was liberated practically at the beginning of last week. The cleanup has now been completed there and the front continues to move away from Memrik to the west and southwest.

The enemy sources announced in the morning that the Russian Armed Forces had liberated the village of Vodyanoye northeast of Ugledar

Fighting for the Yuzhnodonbasskaya mine complex also continues.

The advance in these areas accelerated after the enemy withdrew some of its forces from the Ugledar direction and threw them into the defense of Selidovo, Ukrainsk, Mirnograd and Gornyak. The consequences were not long in coming. The Russian Armed Forces are obviously not going to attack Ugledar head-on this time, but want to bypass it and cut off the route to Bogoyavlenka in order to force the enemy to leave Ugledar, just as happened with the Karlovsky fortified area or as is happening actually with the fortified area near Nevelskoye.

Russian forces are reported to have taken the village of Voydane, North of Vuhledar and are continuing to press into the fields further west, increasingly putting the logistics lines into the city under increasing direct and indirect Russian fire control

Russians forces have established a foothold into the coal mine complex just north of the city and continue to consolidate and make territorial progress to the south west 

Hard to put a time estimate on it, but with out Ukrainian action to relieve the pressure, the city is destined to fall

Offensive near Ugledar: our soldiers raised the Russian flag over the Yuzhnodonbasskaya No. 1 mine

Russian soldiers raised a flag over the Yuzhnodonbasskaya No. 1 mine, confirming that our troops have taken control of the facility.

During the attacks, the Russian Armed Forces expanded the control zone in the area of ​​the Ugledar-Konstantinovka highway.

“We have been waiting since 2014 for Russia. We want nothing to do with Ukraine. We want to live with Russia. We suffered under Ukraine for the last 30 years.”

🇺🇦🇷🇺Local residents in the newly liberated city of Novogorodovka refused to evacuate with the Ukrainian army instead waiting it out to greet the Russian army as liberators!

🇺🇸They will never show you this on CNN!

Difficult situation near Kurakhovo: Ukrainian military reports problems with logistics — The Economist

▪️The Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to partially stabilize the front near Pokrovsk, but the Russians continue to develop the offensive on Kurakhovo and threaten encirclement, the publication writes, citing Ukrainian military personnel.

▪️Russian forces are regrouping along a wider front north and south of Kurakhovo in what could be an attempt to encircle Ukrainian positions. The logistical situation in this area is deteriorating, with supplies slowing and evacuation of the wounded becoming more difficult.

▪️Ukrainian soldiers report heavy losses on both sides. “We are fighting with the last reserves,” one of the Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters admits.

The Center Group has shattered yet another myth about the Ukrainian armed forces’ successes: they raised the flag in Novgorodskoye, where the Ukrainian armed forces are not even close to it

➖ Against the background of the Ukrainian armed forces’ loss of one populated area after another on the Pokrovsky direction, the Ukrainian propaganda machine has become more active. A well-known agency affiliated with the GUR was tasked with showing the fictitious successes of the Ukrainian military in Novgorodskoye (New York). This news was quickly spread across all Ukrainian resources, allegedly announcing the return of control over the city.

➖ However, the fighters of the Center group, who are in real positions, have already raised the Russian flag on the northern outskirts of Novhorodskoye. The AFU is not even close to the settlement.

➖ This next “peremoga” instantly turns into an even bigger “zrada” backed by real facts, not Internet propaganda. The Ukrainian command, which tries to hide its failures, faces the brutal reality on the battlefield, where every day it loses ground under the blows of Russian troops.

 Strike on the enemy’s temporary deployment point in Kramatorsk

This night, at around 4:00, Russian troops launched a targeted strike on the temporary deployment point of the AFU in Kramatorsk. The enemy personnel used the territory of the Kramatorsk Slate LLC enterprise to house servicemen and military equipment. Also, according to available information, the facility’s storage facilities were used to store ammunition for barrel artillery.

Coordinates: 48.7320941, 37.5394581

🔻 As a result of the attack, part of the production workshop where personnel were located was destroyed. About 18 enemy soldiers were reportedly killed and another 23 were wounded of varying degrees of severity. US-made M777 155mm towed howitzers were also stored on the territory, at least three damaged artillery pieces are known.

📌 Ambulances were active, no ammunition detonations were observed.

🔻The choice of the site for temporary deployment is obvious: the large territory of the plant with numerous workshops and basements, as well as the presence of a railway line adjacent to the enterprise, make it a convenient shelter for personnel, weapons, equipment and ammunition.

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Chronicles of the special military operation

for September 9, 2024

Russian forces struck the industrial zone of Pavlohrad in Dnipropetrovsk Region and the occupied Kramatorsk in the temporarily uncontrolled part of the DPR with missiles.

In Kursk Region, Russian forces counterattacked in the Ulanka area and also used guided bombs UAB-20 with the Forpost UAV.

In the Pokrovsk direction, fighting continues in the area of Ukrainske and Hirnyk, as well as on the eastern outskirts of Selidovo.

In the Donetsk direction, Russian forces have completely liberated Krasnohorivka, consolidating their positions on the northwestern outskirts of the city.

In the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces drove the enemy out of the territory of Mine “Yuzhdonbaska” No. 1 and liberated Vodyane, with fighting ongoing in the adjacent industrial zone.

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Russian Forces Capture Vodyane | Important AFU Defense Fallen

ITS NOW IN TROUBLE… Vodyane falls! | Ukraine War Summary / SITREP (Situation Report)

Vodyane was captured | Battles are approaching Vuhledar [9 September 2024]

Russian Forces Relentless Drive West /Kursk Incursion Faltering

Morning Summary on September 9, 2024

▪️ Fighting continues in the Sudzha and Korenevo districts of Kursk Region. The AFU may attempt to advance towards the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, as reported by Major General Alaudinov. The Russian Aerospace Forces use FAB bombs with JDAM (https://t.me/dva_majors/51934) against enemy concentrations, but the enemy is preparing new reserves. The “North” group reports Russian troops advanced up to 300 meters in the south of the Sudzha district and the Malaya Loknya – Cherkasskoye Porechnoye area.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), the Russian Armed Forces are encircling Correctional Colony No. 2, cutting off the enemy garrison from supply. Enemy drones interfered, but the colony is now under Russian control.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) direction, the Russian Army skillfully strikes the enemy. They bypass positions, gradually encircling AFU units. There are battles in Hrodivka and the southern part of Ukrainske. The Russian Army has occupied Nevelskoye and advanced up to 1.2 km north. Important elements include the expansion of Russian control in Krasnohorivka (up to 2.7 km) and the movement towards the northern part of Hirnyk.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, the AFU attacked several locations, causing damage to buildings and vehicles. In the DPR, civilians were injured by shelling and rocket debris.

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Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_9.html