The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 12 2024

Putin warns that lifting Ukraine missile restrictions will put Nato at war with Russia

Putin’s Red Line May Be Crossed

Putin Warns U.S. – Everything Could Change for the Worse

Ukraine urges US, Britain to allow Western weapons to be used on Russian targets

Russian Airstrikes Increasing

“Crimea Not Up for Discussion” Russia Slams Erdogan’s Demand, West Doubts “Full Ukrainian Victory”

Putin says long range strikes means war between Russia and NATO. 

Putin publicly voiced his response to the case of the West’s permission to launch missile strikes against Ukraine deep in Russia’s rear.

The main emphasis is that the Russian Federation will consider NATO to be directly involved in the military conflict in Ukraine, since targets will be directed via Western satellites. It is now accepted that NATO is indirectly involved.

It follows that the Russian Federation can use not only tactical nuclear weapons, but also nuclear weapons in response. It can also shoot down satellites that they believe are guiding them to targets, and they will consider them participants in the war.

Will they raise the stakes after this? Will they dare you, like in 2022?

For Ukrainians, all this promises only tragedy.

Putin on the authorization by the United States and the United Kingdom of Western weapons strikes on Russian territory: 

There is an attempt to substitute concepts. Because we are not talking about authorizing or prohibiting the Kiev regime from striking Russian territory. It already does so with the help of drones and other means.

But when it comes to the use of Western-made long-range precision weapons, that’s a completely different story. The fact is that, as I have already mentioned and any experts will confirm this (both in our country and in the West), the Ukrainian army is not capable of striking with modern long-range Western-made precision systems. It cannot do it. This is possible only with the use of intelligence from satellites, which Ukraine does not have – this is data only from satellites of either the European Union or the United States, in general, from NATO satellites. This is the first thing.

The second, and very important, maybe the key one, is that only NATO servicemen can make flight assignments to these missile systems. Ukrainian servicemen cannot do this. And so this is not a question of allowing the Ukrainian regime to strike Russia with these weapons or not. It’s about deciding that NATO countries are directly involved in a military conflict or not.

If this decision is made, it will mean nothing but direct participation of NATO countries, the United States, European countries in the war in Ukraine. This is their direct participation. And this, of course, significantly changes the very essence, the very nature of the conflict. It will mean that NATO countries, the United States and European countries are at war with Russia. And if that is the case, then, bearing in mind the change in the very essence of this conflict, we will make appropriate decisions based on the threats that will be posed to us.

American media write that the US will most likely give Ukraine the go-ahead to use British and French long-range missiles for strikes deep into Russia, but not American ones.

They are no longer shy about their desire to push Russia and Europe into conflict in order to make money from it.

It already looks funny.

Partially reminiscent of the story with tanks, when the Europeans gave theirs, and the Americans later gave out a dozen and said that they were not suitable for the Ukrainian crisis, which means that Kyiv should look for someone else to buy old T-55s from.

Perhaps this will be a test to see if the Russian Federation will raise the stakes. If yes, then it will fly to Europe. If not, then it will be safe for oneself to join the initiative.

Washington “has” its allies as it wishes. They are not even shy.

US statements about working to lift restrictions on Kiev strikes are part of psychological warfare

This was stated by the Deputy Head of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Sergei Ryabkov:

US statements that they are working to lift restrictions on Kiev’s strikes with American weapons deep into Russia are part of a psychological war.

He also added that lifting these restrictions would add risks to the United States itself.

We have no doubt that the decision to lift restrictions on the use of long-range weapons to attack the territory of the Russian Federation was taken long ago, and now they are trying to make it look prettier and more respectable in the public space. We understand perfectly well that the West has called this war against Russia an existential war. The goal is to inflict a strategic defeat on us, but once again, I would like to remind you that other great figures in the history of international relations, including Napoleon and Hitler, had the same goals, and it is not for nothing that many foreign politicians who remain reasonable periodically remind their more zealous colleagues that it is disastrous for them to forget these lessons of history.

Lavrov 

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky was dissatisfied with the negotiations with the Secretary of State, since Anthony Blinken demanded a new public plan from Ukraine for the war with Russia. The US will not allocate new financial and military aid to Ukraine next year, due to the lack of prospects on the battlefield for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Ukraine is being forced to think about a plan “B” in case of war with Russia – The Wall Street Journal

As Russia advances, Western officials want Kiev to formulate realistic military goals, the newspaper writes.

As the West considers allowing Ukraine to use missiles to strike deep into Russia, the United States and European countries are pushing Kiev to formulate a credible plan to achieve its military objectives, officials say:

The U.S. and European allies still support Ukrainian President Vladymir Zelensky’s long-term stated goal of pushing Russia out of all of Ukraine. But with public support for some of Ukraine’s key allies waning and Russia making slow progress on the ground, some European diplomats say Ukraine needs to be more realistic about its wartime goals. That could help Western officials sell their votes on the need for arms and aid.

The main problem for Ukraine is not the military front, as many people think (but a lot depends on it).

The main front is economic. The West allocates little money for the maintenance of Ukraine, since the sponsors do not need Ukraine in the future. As well as the Ukrainian people. They care about Ukraine as a battering ram or a kamikaze country against Russia. This is what they allocate money for, and everything else is at their own expense. That is why the hryvnia will go down, inflation, prices, tariffs, taxes, devastation, and mortality will go up.

Life in Ukraine will get worse every year. Even the end of the war will not stop this process, it is just a question of what will remain of Ukraine and in Ukraine itself in the end (what infrastructure, factories, bridges, trains, etc.).

Let’s say that Western sponsors are economic killers who squeeze the last juices out of Ukraine for their own purposes, and then simply sell out this territory. Even if Kyiv wins the war. In this case, Ukraine’s role will be played out and it will simply be “forgotten”. It will be like a gray zone. No one will give money and they will not build a luxurious life, but on the contrary, transnational corporations will rake in resources for pennies, and the people will live in poverty, like 70% of African countries.

If Ukraine loses the war, then perhaps they will also give money to those territories that remain under Western influence in order to cultivate anti-Russian sentiments there and grow them on hatred of Russia.

So think about what trap Zelensky and Yermak have dragged you into and how you and your family can get out of it personally. Because Ukraine’s near future in 15-20 years is very difficult/sad.

In Ukraine, the secessionist mobilization is hitting another low.

In Kremenchug, policemen kidnapped another man. They justify themselves by saying that he is a deserter.

In Mukachevo in Zakarpattia, police beat up a man and dragged him into a bus half-dead.

After seeing this, the government still complains about why people hate the government and their dogs from the TCC, continuing to burn military vehicles.

Such methods of mobilization will only increase the level of desertion, which will lead to massive failures at the front.

It is not the people who are to blame for this, but Zelensky and his government.

Our source reports that after the failures at the Donbass level, the collapse of the Kursk adventure began.

At the same time, the number of wounded in hospitals and desertion of soldiers from the front lines is growing.

The Russians may receive a record number of prisoners in September. According to forecasts, more than 3-4 thousand Ukrainian soldiers may be captured when the defense lines collapse and “cauldrons” are formed.

Trump’s Ukraine plan involves guaranteeing its neutrality – Vance

US Vice Presidential Candidate Reveals Details of Trump’s Peace Plan. Key Points:

▪️ The most likely outcome of the conflict is along the current front line, along which a demilitarized zone will be created , which will be heavily fortified so that “the Russians do not invade again.”

▪️ Ukraine retains its independent sovereignty

▪️ Russia receives a guarantee of neutrality from Ukraine; it does not join NATO or other allied institutions

▪️ Germany and other countries must finance the reconstruction of Ukraine.

A stand with an image of American blogger Gonzalo Lira, who died in a Ukrainian prison, has been set up near the US embassy in Moscow.

The poster bears the inscription “Free speech is a threat to American democracy”.

Oleksandrivka-Kalynove direction: fighting in the Dzerzhynsk agglomeration and advances in Nelepoivka

situation as of 5:00 pm on September 12, 2024

Russian forces continue to break through the Ukrainian defense in the Dzerzhynsk agglomeration. Russian Armed Forces units are conducting assault operations in the dense urban area, getting closer and closer to the center of Dzerzhynsk.

▪️ Almost the entire Druzhba district, except for the northernmost street, has come under the control of Russian troops. Simultaneously with the liberation of Druzhba, the battles in Kirovo are approaching their logical conclusion, where several streets on the western outskirts remain under the control of the AFU: Russian forces have entrenched themselves on Shcherbynivska Street, 3rd Internatsionalu and Chaikovskoho Streets.

After their capture, it will be possible to advance both further along the railway towards Dachnyi, and to the southwest, taking the enemy garrison in Dzerzhynsk in a “pincer” from the flank.

▪️ To the south, fighting is underway in Dzerzhynsk. Russian troops have taken control of Microdistrict No. 1 at the entrance to the city, occupied the territory of the correctional colony and the local bakery. At the same time, there is no information yet about the occupation of positions on the slag heap of the Novaya mine. Control over the height will provide an overview of the adjacent forest to the southwest of the mine.

▪️ The Ukrainian command has redeployed the 12th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine “Azov” to the Novhorodske (New York) area. The reinforcing Ukrainian formations immediately posted footage of their work online, thanks to which it was possible to establish that Russian troops control (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/6674) at least 60% of Nelepoivka.

🔻 Another notable event of the week was the confrontation of “flag-dropping” on the territory of the phenol plant elevator in Novhorodske. First, Ukrainian formations from the 53rd Mechanized Brigade posted footage of their flag attached to a magnet. Then the Russian troops published a moment of dropping the flag from an FPV drone (https://t.me/ZParaBellumMD/10844) in the same place.

Later, another video appeared, this time from the ground, where a fighter was installing a flag (https://t.me/RtrDonetsk/26933) on one of the outermost houses at the exit from Novhorodske. At the moment, the village is fully under the control of the Russian Armed Forces.

rybar

Our source in the General Staff said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces units began to independently leave their positions in the pocket in the Kurakhovo direction in order to avoid encirclement, since the General Staff did not send reserves and it is pointless to hold this section of the front. The enemy is already storming Gornyak, which will allow the Russian army to occupy a large territory on the eastern front and begin an operation to capture Kurakhovo.

Our source in the General Staff said that Zelensky forbade Syrsky to withdraw troops from the semi-encirclement before his trip to the US, so as not to spoil the information background; Bankova does not care about losses among the military, the main thing is to hold positions.

Russian troops continue to strike at the enemy’s logistical routes in the Pokrovsky direction. Tonight, around 4:30, a missile strike destroyed the Mirnogradsky overpass.

Coordinates: 48.2939028, 37.2104295

🔻 One section of the bridge collapsed as a result of the attack. Currently the route “Pokrovsk-Mirnograd” on the T0504 highway is closed for use.

🔻This bridge was important for connecting enemy forces and means in Mirnograd and Pokrovsk agglomerations. Despite the fact that it is too early to talk about a complete transportation blockade, the destruction of the bridge as a key element of the logistical infrastructure seriously hampers the supply of Ukrainian units and disrupts the established logistical routes of the enemy grouping.

PartiꙂan

 Collapse of the AFU left flank in Kursk region: paratroopers and marines liberate 4 more settlements

 - As a result of a counterattack by airborne troops and marines in the Korenevsky and Glushkovsky districts that began the day before yesterday, the AFU was knocked out of four more settlements: 

 - Tula paratroopers 

completed the clearing of Krasnooktyabrsky and Apanasovka.

 - Attacking from the Glushkovsky district, the 155th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Fleet completed the clearing of Byakhovo and Obukhovka.

Kursk Direction: Counterattacks by the Russian Army in Sudzha and Korenevo Districts

Situation as of the end of September 12, 2024

In the Kursk Region, Russian units are developing the success of previous days, pushing the AFU out of many previously occupied settlements.

🔻In the Korenevo District, the Russian Armed Forces cleared (https://t.me/lost_armour/3415) the settlement of Krasnooctyabr’skoye. As a trophy, the Russian troops captured an abandoned International MaxxPro armored vehicle. The enemy also attacked a storm group near Vishnevka with a drone, and later the Russian Ministry of Defense reported its liberation. In Snagost’, a detachment of Ukrainian fighters fell into an organized ambush on the southern outskirts of the village: a minibus with AFU members was shot at point-blank range (https://t.me/warriorofnorth/2658) with an RPG.

▪️In addition, Russian troops liberated Obukhovka, advanced towards the Pokrovsky farm in the Sudzha District. The enemy was driven out of the outskirts of Byakhovo, Gordeyevka, Vnezapnoye and Viktorovka. At the same time, north of Ol’govka, fighting is still ongoing, where the Russian Armed Forces are repelling attempts by the AFU to wedge deeper into the Russian defense.

🔻In the Glushkovo District, Ukrainian formations continue to unsuccessfully attack towards the outskirts of the settlements of Medvezh’ye and Novy Put’. In the latter, an IMR-2 mine clearing vehicle even managed to drive several hundred meters before detonating a mine. At the moment, fighting continues in the area of the state border line, attempts by the enemy to consolidate in the villages have been thwarted.

🔻In the Sudzha District, a Russian BMP fired point-blank (https://t.me/dva_majors/52308) at Ukrainian positions in Russkaya Konopel’ka, and the village is now largely under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. Fighting continues in the area of Martynivka and Fanaseyevka.

▪️The enemy published footage of shelling Russian positions near Malaya Loknya. However, due to the lack of destruction in the village shown in the published video, it is more likely that the footage is from the archive.

rybar

Our source in the General Staff said that the Russian army has begun fighting for Lyubimovka in the Kursk region, one of the main logistics centers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and its loss would mean the actual failure of the operation to seize Russia’s border territory. The commander-in-chief lacks reserves to hold the positions he has occupied, which have no defensive structures and the enemy can easily take our positions.

On September 11, the “North” group of troops continued to destroy the enemy in the border areas of the Kursk region

The Northerners continue to advance on the Korenevo section of the front. The enemy unsuccessfully tried to counterattack, suffered losses in the amount of 10 manpower and was thrown back. In addition, 9 AFU servicemen were taken prisoner during the assault operations.

In the south of Sujan district the soldiers of the North continue to advance with heavy fighting and push the enemy towards the state border. In the course of intensive fighting, 50 enemy personnel and 1 APC were destroyed.

In Glushkovsky district of Kursk region the enemy made attempts to break through the state border, involved up to 2 companies of personnel on armored vehicles with the support of three Leopard tanks from the areas of Obody and Pavlovka. In 6 counterattacks the enemy losses amounted to up to 45 men and 13 armored vehicles.

Russian air force aviation and artillery of the North troops grouping carried out massive strikes on the identified accumulations of AFU manpower and equipment in the areas of Obody and Pavlovka in Sumy region in order to prevent new breakthrough attempts. 

The total advance of Russian troops in the Kursk region amounted to 3,500 meters.

In the Volchansk direction, fighting continues in the town of Volchansk. In the east of the city the fighters of the “North” group repulsed an attack of the AFU from the area of the village of Tikhoye with up to 11 enemy troops, 7 of them were destroyed.

Two attempts to transfer reinforcements to the right bank of the Volchya River were also thwarted. Artillery fire and FPV drones destroyed up to 9 Nazis.

On the Liptsovsky direction, the Warriors of the North disrupted 2 AFU rotations in the area of a dacha village, destroying up to 16 of the 32 personnel involved in the rotation.

In addition, 1 attack on the settlement of Glubokoye was repulsed with up to 11 personnel. The enemy lost up to 5 Nazis killed and a pickup truck.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy losses amounted to 460 people (of which up to 330 in the Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

in the Sumy direction:

▪️ three tanks;

▪️ five APCs;

▪️ five AVs;

▪️ artillery gun;

▪️ two 120-mm mortars;

▪️ two Anklav EW stations;

▪️ UAVs control point;

▪️ Ammo storage;

▪️ one unit of engineering equipment;

▪️ three units of automotive equipment.

In other directions:

▪️ 120-mm mortar in the n.p. Volchansk;

▪️ PU BPLA;

▪️ Control point;

▪️ ammo warehouse;

▪️ two units of automotive equipment;

▪️ 13 aircraft-type UAVs.

There is a lot of talk about authorization from the West to strike Russian territory with long-range NATO weapons. In this regard, we can say that the North’s air defense units have been successfully repelling enemy missile attacks using foreign MLRS for a long time.

The AFU has long been using the entire range of weapons transferred by the West in the Kursk region. Formal “authorizations” and media speculation about this are designed to cause panic inside the country. The Russian army will see this through to the end, and it is not necessary to ask anyone’s permission to do so. 

Victory will be ours!

“Since the dawn of time, only great victories have led to great results.” – Carl von Clausewitz.

The North Wind

Russian counteroffensive could neutralize propaganda effect of Kursk adventure – Wall Street Journal

The article states that the loss of territories in the Russian region will be a symbolic blow to Kiev.

According to the author, the counterattack by the Russian Armed Forces came at a difficult moment for Ukraine , when its relations with its allies had once again become strained.

Currently, Western partners are putting pressure on Kiev, demanding that it formulate realistic military plans, the publication notes.

Kupiansk-Svatove Direction: Advances by the Russian Armed Forces in Several Sectors

Situation as of 3:00 PM on September 12, 2024

For a long time, the Kupiansk-Svatove direction was considered a static part of the front line, but after the “Kursk adventure” by the AFU and the start of the offensive by the Russian Armed Forces in the DPR, some activation of the line of contact occurred here as well.

And although the position of the Ukrainian formations in this direction remains relatively stable for now, the Russian troops continue to methodically expand the zone of control, preparing for further offensive.

▪️After the liberation (https://t.me/rybar/63353) of Synkivka, assault teams of the Russian Armed Forces began fighting in the forest area southwest of the village. Clearing this area will allow the Russian troops to create a bridgehead three kilometers north of Kupiansk and develop an offensive on Petropavlivka.

In the latter, the Russian Aerospace Forces almost daily strike at the enemy’s objects. Just in the last two days, objective control footage has confirmed the destruction of the AFU’s temporary deployment points in the settlement.

▪️To the south, the advance of Russian troops is recorded in the area of Pishchane: according to video from the enemy’s side, units of the Russian Armed Forces managed to occupy several forest belts to the west and north of the village. At the same time, west of Pishchane, a powerful strike was delivered with 15 air bombs with JDAM on AFU objects in Kolesnikove.

Apparently, this may indicate both the intentions of further advance of the Russian troops to the left bank of the Oskol River, and the detection of a relatively large concentration of enemy forces in the settlement.

▪️Ukrainian formations still maintain control over at least part of Berestove and the surrounding forest belts. At the same time, to the south, assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces were able to advance about a kilometer west.

🔻The enemy actively uses drones with a device for spraying an incendiary mixture over the positions of Russian troops in forest areas. Only according to the footage of the last few days, such drones were spotted west of Lyman Pershyi, south of Berestove and in the area of Pishchane. Nevertheless, similar incendiary drones have already appeared (https://t.me/rybar/63431) with Russian UAV operators as well.

rybar

The West is using Ukraine in the Transnistria direction

The head of the Odesa Regional Military Administration, Oleh Kiper, during an interview, let slip information about the construction by the State Service for Special Communication and Information Protection of Ukraine (Derzhspetszv’yazok) of 13 television and radio broadcasting towers along the entire length of the border with Transnistria. The official pretext for the installation was the “fight against the reception of Russian channels from Crimea” (❗️) and Romanian broadcasts in the Odesa region.

In reality, it is an expected increase in information influence on the residents of Transnistria through anti-Russian TV channels and radio.

Before the SMO, Ukraine, within the framework of the “Strategy for the Information Reintegration of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol”, was deploying infrastructure in the Kherson region to spread its propaganda to Crimea. In total, they managed to install 5 towers in border settlements (Vasylivka, Novotroitske, Chonhar, Chaplynka and Henichesk), broadcasting 20 TV channels and 7 radio stations.

The active participation of the US Agency for International Development (USAID) in this process is indicative, which provided 3 sets of equipment for towers in the Kherson region.

✨The interest in increasing information capabilities to influence Transnistria is primarily related to the upcoming presidential elections in Moldova on October 20, as well as the referendum on EU accession. The West is using all available resources to oust Russia from the region and sow discord in society in order to use this for the implementation of scenarios favorable to itself.

dva_majors

Chronicles of the special military operation

for September 12, 2024

Russian forces delivered another series of strikes on enemy targets in various regions of the so-called Ukraine. One of the hits was on the 330 kV Konotop substation, which caused temporary power supply problems in the eponymous settlement.

In turn, Ukrainian formations again launched drones over the Murmansk Region. Russian air defense forces intercepted enemy drones in the area of Olenegorsk, 7 kilometers from the Olenya airfield.

In the Kursk direction, Russian troops are advancing in the Korenevo and Sudzha districts: during the day’s fighting, several settlements were liberated.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian Armed Forces units expanded the control zone north of Pishchane, occupying one of the forest belts.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian formations conducted a counterattack northeast of Novohrodivka, landing a landing force in the area of Orlivka.

In the Donetsk direction, successes of the Russian Armed Forces are recorded west of Krasnohorivka towards Ostryi.

rybar

Russian offensive continues in Kursk and Pokrovsk [12 September 2024]

Russian Forces Broke Through Ukrainian Defenses And Captures More Then 10 Villages

WHAT A CRAZY 24 HOURS!!! Massive captures and collapses! | Ukraine War Frontline Changes Report

Russian Forces Storm Liubimovka | AFU Counter-Counteroffensive | Operational Zones Explained

Russia Is WINNING On Key Fronts! Massive Push To Kurakhove!

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_12.html