The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 19 2024

4km Russian Kursk Breakthrough | Massive Ukrainian Disaster Continues To Unfold

Koreans are reaching the front [19 October 2024]

🇺🇦 Odessa: a draft dodger dodged police and a TCC bus pic.twitter.com/Pahsz5riJI

— senore_amore (@SenoreAmore) October 17, 2024

Huge Russian Breakthrough In Chasiv Yar l Maksymilyanivka Has Fallen

UKRAINE SPECIAL FORCE sent to save river crossing; Nevelske bulge unbulged… | Ukraine War SITREP

Team Ukraine is melting down on Twitter about North Koreans. So let’s recap:

- We have a few videos of Asian soldiers. Odds are these Buryats or from the recent Laos-Russia training that occurred at Sergievsky Training Ground.

- If they are North Koreans, it doesn’t mean they are planning to fight in Ukraine.

- Even if they are foreign born troops have been fighting in Ukraine for both sides since 2014. 

- Finally, sorry Team Ukraine but does anyone seriously think the 18-28 year old North Korean who does a minimum of 10 years of military service is military inferior to 55 year old Serhii who has a few weeks training and was grabbed off the street in Kiev? 

Our source reports that Zelensky is stirring up the issue of soldiers from the DPRK not only to put pressure on Western partners in the case of increasing arms supplies, but also to justify the future reduction of the mobilization age in Ukraine.

He will tell the Ukrainian people: look, Putin is bringing tens of thousands of stormtroopers from the DPRK, we need to urgently reduce mobilization to 20-22 years, otherwise we will lose.

We pointed out that Zelensky is trying in every way to shift responsibility in this case from himself to others. Scaremongering is being done specifically so that mobilization, for example, from 21 years old is perceived by society as a victory and the best option.

The military commissars-policemen started shooting from machine guns, the law does not apply to them, no one was imprisoned for beating Ukrainians to death, which allows them to feel unpunished.

An official investigation and investigative actions have been launched into the shooting from a machine gun carried out by a TCC employee, – Zaporizhzhya TCC.

They are only sure that Ukrainians and ordinary citizens will be to blame for everything.

Being a military man in Ukraine is a “one-way ticket” – Nazi veteran of Azov

 - “How can one get out of the army?  The first one is on crutches, the second one is death, and the third one doesn’t exist,” said a Nazi with the call sign “Buffalo” who got out of the army without a leg.

Biden said that Western countries have not yet been able to reach a consensus on the issue of Ukraine using long-range weapons to strike at Russian territory, — Bloomberg

▪️”In foreign policy, you never say, ‘I’ll never change my mind.’ There is no consensus on long-range weapons right now,” the US president said.

It is impossible to hide, we will be able to track any movement in this direction – Putin on the possibility of Western countries giving Ukraine nuclear weapons

Ukraine spoke about the possibility of creating nuclear weapons even before the hot phase of the conflict, Russia will not allow this – Putin

Russia and Ukraine exchanged prisoners in the 95-to-95 format

95 Russian servicemen were returned from captivity as part of an exchange with Ukraine, the Russian Defense Ministry stated.

Now Russian servicemen are on the territory of Belarus, where they are provided with psychological and medical assistance, as well as the opportunity to contact relatives, the department added.

Russia considers ensuring its security to be a key condition for resolving the Ukrainian conflict, said Dmitry Peskov.

Other statements by the press secretary of the Russian President:

The main thing for Russia is to resolve its security interests. This was proposed to be done before the SVO and was rejected.

The Kremlin has not yet received any real proposals from Germany or other Western countries to organize contacts with Putin.

Vladimir Putin remains open to dialogue on a settlement in Ukraine.

Dialogue on a settlement in Ukraine will definitely not be easy, but any war ends in peace.

Zelensky’s plan could lead to a third world war, says Slovakia’s Prime Minister.

Robert Fico is sure that Ukraine’s membership in NATO will lead to a global conflict. According to him, the best scenario for Kiev would be a neutral status and security guarantees.

I don’t like proposals that lead to open discussions. I mean the idea of ​​Ukraine joining NATO, as well as the talk of allowing long-range strikes on Russian territory,

— added the Prime Minister.

Borrell wants to discuss with defense ministers permission to strike Russia.

The head of EU diplomacy announced this in Naples, Italy, before a meeting with ministers from the G7 countries.

He has consistently advocated for increased military aid to Ukraine and criticized efforts to peacefully resolve the conflict. By the end of the year, Borrell will hand over his post to Estonian and fellow Russophobe Kaja Kallas.

Now Borrell is concentrating his efforts on convincing EU partners to allow Kiev to fire the supplied weapons deep into Russia.

Some speak more confidently, some less, but in fact, they all say that they are waging a war against Russia. They do not clash with Russia directly, because Ukraine is between them. Ukrainians are fighting on the front lines, they are dying in their place, and the EU is behaving like a belligerent.

26 countries had to listen to President Zelensky in shock that he now has a winning plan. And what was before? Until now, we thought that they were acting according to a winning plan. But it turned out that it was not so. What was a plan until now turned out to be a plan for defeat. Now they want to move from that to a plan for victory. We have said this before, and yesterday I said that we are not participating in this. With this plan for victory, you cannot win, you can only lose.

I personally have not heard this from President Zelensky about nuclear weapons. But we must be convinced of this. Our services are working to find out whether Ukraine really has a plan to create nuclear weapons.

Of course, we need to negotiate from a position of strength. But since the beginning of the war, the position of strength has changed in favor of Russia and to the detriment of Ukraine. So, negotiating from a position of strength is a good idea, the only problem is that we are weak.

Toretsk, Selidovo, Pokrovsk and Kurakhovo are essentially condemned by Zelensky’s “Kursk adventure”, which did not help the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Donbass and “burned” a colossal number of the most experienced Ukrainian servicemen and equipment transferred by allies in battles on the territory of the Russian Federation.

Now Western media believe that the battle for Pokrovsk could decide the outcome of military actions in the east of Ukraine, and the fall of the city will collapse the entire defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Military analysts, in turn, note that the city is an important border from the point of view of logistics. That is, Kyiv supplies the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk garrison through Pokrovsk. According to military experts, if the Russian Armed Forces liberate the city, then Slavyansk and Kramatorsk, which are next on the way, will “hang” in the air and collapse, as happened with Ugledar.

Military analyst of the German newspaper Bild Julian Röpke also notes that Ukrainian troops may soon leave three key cities in Donbass – Selydove, Kurakhovo and Pokrovsk – under pressure from Russian forces. According to Röpke, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be forced to leave Selydove to avoid encirclement. This city, located in the suburbs of Pokrovsk, is under threat of encirclement, as Russian troops have already occupied a number of surrounding settlements. Despite the fact that the 15th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is holding the line, the pressure from Russian troops is increasing, and the city has been semi-encircled. In order to avoid complete encirclement, Ukrainian forces, according to the analyst, will be forced to retreat. “The bitter reality in Selydove is that courageous defense does not save the city from falling,” Röpke emphasizes.

However, the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is worsening not only in Donbass, but also in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions. That is why the West is seriously talking about “territories in exchange for peace”, which is tantamount to death for the Ze-team.

Ukrainian Armed Forces Positions in Chasov Yar Weakening, City May Be Liberated in a Few Days – The Wall Street Journal

The commander of the Ukrainian company, Rostislav Kasyanenko, told the Western publication about this. To lose the city, the militants only need to “make one mistake.”

The article states that the Russian Armed Forces are seeking to liberate Chasov Yar and Pokrovsk before winter to deprive the Ukrainian Armed Forces of vital shelters.

Earlier it was reported that Russian fighters broke through enemy defenses in Chasov Yar and advanced 2.5 km west of the canal in the south of the city.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are in a very difficult situation in the Krasnoarmeysk direction

A Ukrainian military channel complains about the situation. They write that the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers at their positions do not even understand whether they are already surrounded or not.

The Russian army reached the Oskol River and the Senkovo ​​station in Kruglyakovka in the Kupyansk direction.

Kupiansk Direction: Reaching the Oskol River and a Dash to Petropavlivka

Situation as of the end of the day on October 19, 2024

On the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian forces, through a series of successful attacks over the past week, have reached the Oskol River and are also advancing towards Kupiansk.

▪️Advancing from the direction of Synkivka, Russian Armed Forces units broke through the enemy’s defenses and engaged in battles in the northern part of Petropavlivka. The fighting in this area is particularly fierce and intense. Simultaneously, operational-tactical aviation is striking the enemy’s air defense systems east of this area.

▪️Fierce clashes continue along the line of Ivanovka – Stepova Novoselivka – Kyslivka – Kotliarivka. Russian forces are trying to expand their zone of control, attacking along the railway, and also striking the forest area west of Kyslivka with TOS “Solntsepek” thermobaric systems.

▪️West of Pishchane, assault groups broke through the AFU’s defenses and recently consolidated their positions on the southeastern outskirts of Kolesnykivka. The AFU are actively using heavy armored vehicles and drones to maximize the containment of the advance of the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️The greatest success has been achieved in Kruhliakivka, where Russian forces advanced after consolidating on the outskirts of Kolesnykivka. The Russian Armed Forces have reached the Oskol River and significantly advanced towards the central part of the village, effectively “bisecting” the enemy groupings into two parts. A forced evacuation of the population has been announced in the areas on the left bank of the Oskol under the control of the enemy.

🔻The Ukrainian formations tried to release an “anti-crisis” with the work of special forces of the GUR of the so-called Ukraine on the northern outskirts of Kruhliakivka, claiming its successful “clearing”. In reality, according to the AFU and data on precipitation in the area, it was possible to establish that the footage was shot no later than October 14. In the footage that appeared later, the village is more destroyed than in the earlier footage from the settlement, which allows us to assert the continuation of the attacks and the expansion of the control of the Russian Armed Forces.

❗️Already today, the enemy published new evidence of the presence of Russian troops in Kruhliakivka. A drone strike on an IFV was recorded almost in the central part of the settlement, which nullifies the “results” of the previous days of the Ukrainian formations, emphasizing the control of the units of the 1st Tank Army of the Russian Armed Forces over at least half of Kruhliakivka.

▪️Russian operational-tactical aviation continues active fire strikes on the enemy’s crossings over the Oskol River, the strikes on which, in the context of the rapid advance of the Russian Armed Forces, hit the AFU’s logistics particularly hard in the short term.

rybar

Kursk Direction: Fighting in Sudzha District

Situation as of the end of the day on October 19, 2024

In Kursk Region, clashes continue along the entire line of contact.

▪️In Glushkovo District, Russian Armed Forces troops captured a Swedish CV 9040C IFV as a trophy near the settlement of Veseloye. Apparently, Ukrainian formations abandoned the armored vehicle in working condition, which will allow for a thorough examination in the rear.

▪️In Korenevo District, there is no information about the AFU breaking out of the semi-encirclement in the area of Lyubimovka. Possibly, the Ukrainian formations have already retreated from the “pocket”, but there is no objective control footage yet.

▪️In Sudzha District, attacks by the enemy in the direction of Leonidovo were repelled, and an AFU field depot near Kruglenoye was destroyed. In Kazachya Loknya (https://t.me/KachtanGroup/538), Russian Armed Forces UAV operators struck an enemy APC. Information about the complete liberation of Plekhovo has also not yet been confirmed.

rybar

The northern group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region is not surrounded only because the defense is constantly being replenished with reserves. The defense is being carried out at the cost of colossal losses. No one wants to give the order to retreat before the date of the US elections. The inglorious withdrawal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the positions occupied by the great operation will destroy Harris’s rating.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost 270 people in one day in the Kursk region. The total losses of Ukraine in the region exceed 24.7 thousand servicemen — the Ministry of Defense. If we divide the total number of losses by 74 days of the Ukrainian Armed Forces presence in the Kursk region (starting from August 6), then the average daily number of losses will be approximately 300-320 people. The Ukrainian army did not lose so much even during the offensive in the Rabotino/Verbovoye area.

On the situation in the Kursk region.

The enemy’s position continues to rapidly deteriorate. The enemy is trying to hold positions on one of the important lines along the lines of the settlements of Lyubimovka, Zeleny Shlyakh, and Novoivanovka.

At the moment, it can be noted that the enemy has lost the initiative and control of the situation in this area. They can avoid the ongoing collapse with its extremely unfavorable consequences only with the help of significant reserves. The enemy command is transferring “fire brigades” to stop the destruction of this section of the front. Thus, the command of the 116th separate Troops Brigade, as well as the 145th and 148th separate Troops Brigade have been moved to the Kursk direction.

As a result, one brigade and two battalions were transferred from the Kurakhovsky direction.

The enemy still has a certain margin of safety, but it is not infinite because resources are burning and manpower is wearing down faster than they can replenish them; at a certain point, the consequences will affect the overall situation, and we suspect that this will happen quite abruptly.

In general, foreign analysts have rather bad moods regarding the prospects of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region. The Ukrainian group is predicted to be encircled and destroyed in three stages. The first, on the Malaya Loknya line, is practically complete

Morning Summary on October 19, 2024

▪️ In the Kursk Region, there are significant advances by the Russian Armed Forces in the area of the settlements of Viktorovka, Martynivka and Plyokhovo. It is still too early to definitively say that Plyokhovo has been liberated without objective control footage, as reports from the ground indicate heavy fighting, but the defense of the AFU has definitely been breached. A new element of the situation was two attempts to breach the border in the area of the settlements of Volfino and Tetkino by two special operations groups of up to 8 people each. The advance of the enemy was timely detected by reconnaissance, and fire damage was inflicted. One enemy group was completely destroyed, the second withdrew to its initial positions with losses, the border breach was prevented, reports the “North” grouping of troops. Units of the 106th Guards Airborne Division liberated the settlement of Lyubimovka and the adjacent forest plantations. Enemy resources also reported a breakthrough of our armored vehicles with a landing force towards Viktorovka, claiming the destruction of armored vehicles, our dismounted landing force, and an ensuing battle. There are reports of the liberation of Leonidovo (east of Zeleny Shlyakh). The past day has seriously complicated the situation for the Nazis in the region.

▪️ In the Kupiansk direction, there are battles in Kruhlakivka, the area of control of our troops is expanding in Kolesnikivka.

▪️ In the Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) direction. Our troops have occupied the southern part of the village of Shcherbynivka on the eastern bank of the Kryvyi Torets River, which means a serious advance in the issue of encircling Toretsk from the south.

▪️ In Chasiv Yar, the Russian Armed Forces advanced in the Oktyabrsky (Zhovtnevyi) district to Serova Street.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, the encirclement of Selidovo (https://t.me/dva_majors/55306) continues. To the south, in the Kurakhovo direction, the Russian Armed Forces are expanding the area of control south of Maksymilianovka.

▪️ At night, the AFU attacked our regions with UAVs of the aircraft type. Air defense means destroyed and intercepted sixteen Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles. Thirteen UAVs were shot down over the territory of the Bryansk Region, two over the Rostov Region and one over the Belgorod Region.

▪️ In the evening, the Russian Armed Forces struck the Odesa Region, reporting the destruction of one enemy air defense system. At night, “Geran” were used, including against the enemy’s capital region.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_19.html