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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 08 2024

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Conflicting signals continue to come in about Trump’s plans for Ukraine

▪️Bloomberg, citing a source, writes that Trump believes that he “cannot simply push Kiev to make concessions to Putin without receiving anything in return.” The official said that Trump voiced this message in a conversation with one of the European leaders.

▪️Also, one of the participants in yesterday’s EU summit in Budapest said that “nothing in the initial conversations suggests a large-scale change of tactics” on Ukraine under Trump.

▪️At the same time, Orban, who communicated with Trump, said that he would “withdraw the US from the war in Ukraine.”

Volodymyr Zelensky said that some partners in the West are increasingly making proposals for a unilateral ceasefire on the part of Kiev, “and then we’ll see.”

I don’t know of any plan to end the war, I haven’t talked to Trump about it. Just because Trump wants a quick end doesn’t necessarily mean that’s what will happen.

Putin used his speech at the Valdai International Discussion Club to “send” public messages to Trump and his team.

Here are the important statements, as well as their interpretation by our sources on both sides:

1. The Russian Federation has often stopped those who were striving for world domination, and it will continue to do so. Russia will also protect Russians.

This thesis concerned the fact that Russia/the Kremlin is ready, if necessary, to continue the war with higher stakes, including the construction of a new economic model of world order.

2. Russia is ready for peace negotiations on Ukraine based on realities and the agreements already reached in Istanbul.

Readiness for negotiations on the Ukrainian crisis, but most likely between the leaders of the countries, and not between contact groups/mediators.

3. NATO expansion to the east began to look like a creeping intervention aimed at destroying Russia. Ukraine was used as a tool against the Russian Federation.

It was not we who started the war, but you who provoked it, trying to challenge Russia, violating all previous agreements.

4. Trump was hounded from all sides during his first presidential term, but his behavior during the assassination attempt made an impression, he showed himself very courageously in extraordinary circumstances. Congratulated him on his victory.

Positive comments about Trump and indirect criticism of his opponents/former administration.

5. Russia cooperates and is friends with China, not against anyone, and does not believe that China is pursuing an aggressive policy in East Asia.

He immediately responded that he would not trade China for concessions on the Ukrainian crisis.

6. He did not rule out the possibility of Russia conducting joint military exercises with the DPRK.

He sent out a message that he was ready to raise the stakes in the game on the Asian case, warming up the DPRK.

Zelensky demanded to give him all frozen Russian assets: 

Now there are 300 billion dollars of frozen Russian assets. 300 billion dollars!

They destroyed Ukraine, according to estimates of international institutions, destroyed it for about 800 billion. With frozen Russian assets of 300 billion. 

Everyone says, what will you do if Trump does not support you financially? Where will you get weapons? How will you defend yourself? I answer you. 

Can we take the 300 billion that belong for us?

Can we take 300 billion, support our people and buy weapons in all countries of the world with this money? Can we decide for ourselves what weapons we need? Can we decide for ourselves what to do with this money? Can no one in Europe block this money? Can we receive it? 

We can not look only at America, but [we have to] be a strong Europe, make strong decisions.

The people’s servants have begun to realize that it is time to distance themselves from Zelensky, who has become a symbol of war for his personal PR, without calculating the consequences. For Bankova, this is a signal that control over the elites and politicians has been lost, and that there is strong turbulence in power ahead. That is why Andriy Yermak will now react harshly to any attacks on the President in order to prevent the collapse of the control system that he built over the years of war.

evgenishevchenko

Today, Western media write about the terrible morale of the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the front, as well as about the soldiers who left for the SZCh, but they cite the figure of 20%.

The Economist writes that in some of the worst sections of the front, there is a drop in morale among the Ukrainian military. A source in the General Staff claims that almost 20% of the soldiers have gone AWOL from their positions.

Our source in the General Staff said that the figures are greatly underestimated, and the situation with the SZCh could become a disaster for the Ukrainian Armed Forces next year, when 70% of those mobilized leave the brigades in the first month of being at the front.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing a new offensive on Russian regions after the US elections – Forbes

The Ukrainian authorities may be preparing new attacks on Russian regions to impress the future US administration, the publication writes. 

Kiev must convince the new president of its army’s ability to conduct large-scale and successful operations, the journalists noted.

The authors of the article claim that Kiev is preparing for an offensive on the Belgorod or Bryansk regions. The publication cited intelligence data indicating that Ukraine is preparing reserves. It was also reported that Ukraine received 20 Leopard 2A4 tanks, more than 200 Stryker armored personnel carriers and other equipment.

Our source in the General Staff reported that Syrsky withdrew several dozen units from the Kharkov and Zaporizhzhya fronts to strengthen the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in the Kursk operation. No withdrawal of troops is planned for the next month; currently, the largest combat clashes are taking place on Russian territory.

In the Kursk direction, the Russians are constantly on the offensive and already have results.

Ukrainian reserves are not being replenished in time, which is forcing them to retreat.

It seems that the Russians decided to get ahead of the Presidential Office and take back their territories themselves in order to deprive Bankova of the opportunity to maneuver (Yermak thought of returning the Kursk territories to the Russians as a “gesture of goodwill” to begin negotiations).

The Russian Armed Forces are also preparing a fire pocket in the Kurakhovsky direction. A “cauldron” is already being formed there, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers have begun to retreat, to save themselves, since Zelensky and the General Staff do not give the order to exit the “pocket”.

The Russian army has launched a new wave of offensive in the Kursk region

According to Ukrainian sources, the Russian Armed Forces have resumed offensive operations in Pogrebki, Zeleny Shlyakh, Darino and Sudzha.

On November 7, the “North” troop group carried out tasks to liberate the border areas of Kursk Region

As a result of offensive actions, the Northerners advanced significantly in three directions: in the area of Daryino, Zeleny Shlyakh and Malaya Loknya. The settlements of Orlovka, Novaya Sorochina and Staraya Sorochina were liberated.

During the fighting, up to 80 occupants, 2 tanks, 2 BMPs, 3 As, 1 mortar and 6 pickup trucks were destroyed. 1 serviceman of the 36th AFU OBPM was taken prisoner. The total number of Ukrainian prisoners of war is 415.

Combined missile strikes by man-portable air defense systems and Tornado-S MLRSs destroyed AFU deployment points near Nikolsky, Loknya and Sverdlikovo. The enemy’s losses amounted to 60 men, 4 BMPs, 6 TBMs and 9 vehicles.

The total advance of Russian troops in the Kursk region amounted to up to 12,000 meters.

In the Volchansk direction, fighting continues in the settlement of Volchansk. The artillery of the Fearless foiled 1 attempt of the AFU to transfer reserves to the right bank of the Volchya River. Up to 4 Nazis out of 6 who took part in the transfer were killed.

On the Liptsovsky direction the Northmen continued to identify AFU concentration sites and inflict fire damage. During the day up to 8 manpower and 1 Humvee were destroyed.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy losses amounted to up to 320 people (including up to 240 in the Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

On the Sumy direction:

▪️ two tanks;

▪️ nine BMPs;

▪️ nine AVs;

▪️ two 120-mm mortars;

▪️ UAVs fontol point;

▪️ ammo depot;

▪️ 15 units of automotive equipment.

In other directions:

▪️ Humvee AV near the village of Liptsy;

▪️ 120-mm mortar near the village of Volchansk;

▪️  two UAVs control points near the village of Volchansk;

▪️  two units of motorized vehicles;

▪️  five airborne UAVs;

▪️  three Baba Yaga-type UAVs.

The enemy continues its attempts to create hotbeds of tension on other parts of the border. Another attempt to break through the border near Zhuravlevka was foiled by the fearless.

The movement of two assault groups with a total strength of up to 20 militants was uncovered from the villages of Goptovka and Alisovka. Up to 12 people were killed by UAVs and FPV-drones. No breakthrough was allowed. 

Victory will be ours!

“If you want to win, strike at the heart of the enemy.” – Carl von Clausewitz

The North Wind

Kursk direction at 10.00 08.11.24: the offensive of the RF Armed Forces…

Judging by the information coming from the morning, our units are still the first to go on the offensive. Although the enemy also has forces and that’s why everything is going very hard.

As of this morning there are three centers of fighting. 

The first one is Daryino. We are trying to occupy the village. The enemy is desperately resisting. So far there is no precise data. 

The second is Novoivanovka. Our units are trying to regain control of the village from the side of Zeleny Shlyakh. The village is divided about 50/50. There are counter battles.

Third – Pogrebki. Fighting on the northern outskirts of the village. The enemy is trying to prevent our consolidation here.

The information that we have reached Malaya Lokna is not confirmed yet. But there are attacks in that direction.

So far so good. We keep our fists and pray for the guys.

Kursk Direction: Reports of Offensive by Russian Armed Forces in Korenevo District

Situation as of the end of November 8, 2024

Contradictory reports are coming from the Kursk Direction about an offensive by Russian troops in the Sudzha District. At the same time, in the Korenevo District, the AFU are concentrating forces to regain control over Novoyivanovka.

🔻In the Korenevo District, Russian troops are engaged in local battles south of Zeleny Shlyakh and Novoyivanovka. The latter is a key transportation hub, from where the Russian Armed Forces have the opportunity to develop an offensive towards Malaya Loknya to support a possible offensive from the north.

The enemy is using tanks to organize attacks on the positions of Russian troops. Footage of one such attack appeared on the Internet today, indicating an increase in pressure from Ukrainian formations on the units of the Russian Armed Forces.

In turn, the Russian side is using UAVs and artillery to strike at concentrations of AFU personnel and equipment. Frontline aviation is also working against the enemy – just today, Russian pilots carried out several air strikes on Kruglenkoe and Leonidovka, where Ukrainian formations are concentrating units for future attacks.

🔻In the Sudzha District, according to some reports, Russian troops went on the offensive along the line Orlovka – Novaya Sorochina – Staraya Sorochina. At the same time, reports of heavy fighting are already appearing in the enemy’s resources, while up-to-date footage confirming the start of the offensive has not yet appeared.

❗️Nevertheless, if the information about the attacks is at least partially confirmed, it will be possible to speak of at least an attempt by the Russian troops to form a “cauldron” around the Ukrainian units that have occupied the vicinity of Kruglenkoe.

▪️In the area of Martynivka, local clashes are recorded. The operational-tactical aviation worked on the AFU positions in this area the other day, and near Malaya Loknya, a 2S22 “Bogdan” AFU self-propelled gun was destroyed by a strike of the “Lancet” UAV.

🔻In the Sumy Region, at night the Russian Armed Forces struck critical infrastructure of the enemy in the regional center with ballistic missiles. Given the reports of power outages in the city, one of the targets of the attack could have been the Sumy CHP.

Pokrovsk-Kurakhove Direction: Battles in the Hryhorivka Area and Preparations for the Assault on Kurakhove

Situation as of 7:00 PM on November 8, 2024

The offensive of the Russian troops in the Pokrovsk-Kurakhove direction continues to develop. In the north, Russian Armed Forces units have liberated Hryhorivka and Novoaleksiyivka, while on the southern flank, Russian assault groups are confidently advancing along the northern bank of the Kurakhove Reservoir.

▪️On November 3, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced the liberation of Vyshnevе, confirming the consolidation of the Russian Armed Forces in the settlement. Taking advantage of the disorganization of the enemy’s units, the Russian troops broke through to the Hryhorivka located northwest.

Armored groups advanced along the nearby forest belt, after which they carried out (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/7394) an airborne assault. The assault groups drove the Ukrainian formations out of their positions in the village and, after consolidating on the occupied lines, are advancing on the southeastern outskirts of Petrivka.

▪️The capture of Vyshnevе allowed the Russian Armed Forces to also launch an offensive towards Novoaleksiyivka. On November 4, footage appeared online (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/7430) of Russian servicemen raising the Russian flag on the eastern outskirts of the settlement. In the following days, the assault groups completely liberated the village, pushing the AFU back towards Yuriivka and the forest belts to the west.

🔻During the successful offensive of the Russian troops in the section from Hryhorivka to Novoaleksiyivka, a salient was formed in the positions of the AFU. For the enemy, this is dangerous with the prospect of a possible semi-encirclement of Ukrainian formations simultaneously in two new areas: Lysovka – Petrivka and Novoaleksiyivka – Zaria.

▪️On November 7, the Ministry of Defense announced the liberation of Kreminna Balka west of Tsukuryne, which was later also confirmed by information from the scene. Despite the resistance of the enemy, the Russian Armed Forces broke through the AFU defense north of the village, making its liberation a matter of time.

▪️To the south, the Russian Armed Forces are developing an offensive along the northern bank of the Kurakhove Reservoir. By November 6, units of the 114th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces liberated Stepanivka and raised (https://t.me/creamy_caprice/7419) the banner of their unit on one of the houses in the village.

After that, assault groups, in a series of attacks, advanced towards Ilyinka and engaged in battles on the northeastern outskirts of the village. At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces artillery suppresses firing points and positions of the AFU at strongholds north and south of the settlement.

❗️The Internet continues to report on the advance of Russian troops towards Berestky and even to the northern outskirts of Stari Terne. So far, this information is not confirmed by either objective control footage or reports from the scene.

▪️To the southwest of Maksymilianovka, the Russian Armed Forces significantly expanded the control zone, breaking through the AFU defensive line and occupying at least one line of trenches at the Dolha Gully. Assault groups are advancing through breaches in the defensive lines along the gully, attacking the “joints” of the fortification lines in the forest area.

Bankova found the culprit of the collapsed front in Donbass, it turns out it is not Zelensky who is to blame for sending the best brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to die in the Kursk adventure, but the former MP Savchenko.

Bezuglaya writes that it was Savchenko who, with an unauthorized and unexpected order for the unit to retreat, caused the “domino effect” of the breakthrough in Ocheretino, which launched the cascading processes of the formation of the Russian offensive on Pokrovsk.

Do you understand what idiots there are in parliament from the Servants of the People…

Our source reports that 50% of the personnel of the mobile air defense groups were sent to the LBS, as there is a shortage of manpower there.

The newly recruited groups do not yet have sufficient experience and therefore shoot chaotically and so far ineffectively.

Zelensky also gave instructions not to waste air defense missiles against drones. It doesn’t matter where they fly. Shoot them down with geetas, anti-aircraft guns, machine guns.

That is why the efficiency has now officially fallen by 2 times, but in reality by 4 times.

The Russians tried to pull out the air defense with drones during yesterday’s night raid on Odessa. That’s why all 10 UAVs came from the sea to the city. They were shot down only by anti-aircraft guns (small arms). That’s why several UAVs that were shot down fell on residential buildings, and also cartridges/buckshot from anti-aircraft guns, machine guns and automatic weapons fell chaotically from the sky.

However, most of the kamikaze UAVs achieved their targets.

Therefore, our advice to you: Do not stand near windows or drive/sit in a car. You may be hit by fragments/remnants of a UAV or a fired shell from an anti-aircraft gun. Better take care of yourself.

Let us remember that the longer the war goes on, the more destruction and tragedy there will be. The authorities will not cover your losses, but they will happily hype up your grief.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for November 8, 2024

Ukrainian formations attacked the oil refinery in Saratov with drones. The Russian Armed Forces struck enemy targets in Sumy, Odesa, Khmilnytskyi and Kyiv Regions.

In the Kursk direction, according to some reports, Russian troops went on the offensive in the Sudzha District towards Staraya Sorochyna.

In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops expanded their control zone southwest of Maksymilianovka towards Kurakhove.

In the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are attacking west of Trudove and advancing through the treelines east of Bohoyavlenka.

Morning Summary on November 8, 2024

▪️ In the Kursk Region, despite reports from enemy sources about the activation of the Russian Armed Forces, there are no significant changes in the line of contact. Most likely, our troops provoked the AFU into retaliatory actions and continued the tactic of burning out the enemy’s reserves, which he is forced to confront our troops daily to avoid further collapse of his defense in the occupied positions in the region. At the same time, the enemy is forced to hold the previously occupied strongholds, including through the use of elite special forces units as infantry. The “North” group of forces reports that our offensive continues in three directions: in the area of the settlements of Daryino, Zeleny Shlyakh and Malaya Loknya. The settlements of Orlovka, Novaya Sorochina and Staraya Sorochina have been liberated. Our Aerospace Forces are pounding the enemy with heavy FAB-3000 (https://t.me/dva_majors/57020) bombs.

▪️ In the Krasnoliman direction, the Russian Armed Forces continue their attacks in Ternakh, exerting constant pressure on the enemy.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, the advancement of Russian troops has been recorded in the area of Selidovo and Novoalekseevka. Kremennaya Balka has been liberated.

▪️ To the south, the enemy is trying to slow down the advance of our troops towards the settlement of Kurakhovo from the south, including through the organization of new defensive lines along the Yantarnoye – Sukhiye Yaly – Zelenovka line.

▪️ From the Zaporizhia front, data continue to arrive about the activation of our infantry in the area of the settlement of Nesteryanка. According to the enemy, the total advance of the Russian Armed Forces was 2.3 km.

Two Majors


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_8.html


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