The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 09 2024

WAR UPDATE: Russia Is SURGING! Large Scale Gains Put Kurakhove In Peril

Russia Heading Towards Operational Victory in South Donetsk Front

RUAF Capture 26SQKM Including 5 Towns | Kursk Offensive 3.0 In Full Force | AFU Kurakhove Struggle

Dire Situation For Ukrianian Forces l Only Two Options Left Retreat Or Surrender

Novodmytrivka fully captured | Heavy fighting near Kurakhove [8-9 November 2024]

Russian Marines Offered the Trapped US Army Officers To Surrender or DIE amid New Offensive in KURSK

Now it is clear to everyone that Zelensky was very anxious about Trump’s victory, as he had hoped for Harris’s victory. We immediately wrote that Trump’s victory was a chance for the Ukrainian people for peace, and a death sentence for the Ukrainian government.

Now top government officials are speaking about this directly.

The head of the Slovak government, Robert Fico, told the RTVS portal:

 ”that Zelensky was “shocked” by Trump’s victory in the US elections. According to Fico, this anxiety is connected with Kyiv’s dependence on financial borrowing. Zelensky is afraid to end the war.”

Now Zelensky is wriggling like an eel in a frying pan to get out of a difficult situation and push through the continuation of the war, since his personal future depends on it.

Important‼️

Our sources have already learned that the Head of the OP Yermak has already received an “unofficial” black mark, and the Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States Oksana Markarova may also be fired. Zelensky has already been hinted at her figure.

The time for great real purges is approaching.

As our sources have learned, a crisis is brewing in the parliament, about 40 Servant of the People deputies are ready to resign and leave the country. The President’s Office has demanded that trips of “unreliable” MPs be restricted abroad in order to control them in Ukraine.

Yermak’s plan to “sell” the Kursk operation to Trump, as Ukraine’s readiness to begin the negotiation process will cost the Ukrainian Armed Forces very dearly. The Kremlin has decided to knock out our military before Trump’s inauguration, which means we will have to spend precious reserves to hold unprepared positions, with extremely difficult logistics and bad weather conditions.

Putin organized the Kursk gambit for Zelensky, which has already caused the collapse of the front in Donbass, and now will turn into a meat grinder of the best units and equipment.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

Dialogue between Zelensky and Trump has already been established, they will prepare a meeting , – Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiga

“The speed of their call immediately after Trump’s victory is direct evidence of an already existing contact .”

Our sources in the General Staff reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces command is against the operation in the Kursk region due to large losses of reserves/equipment and the lack of ability to stop the enemy in Donbas. Syrsky has no influence on Zelensky and is forced to carry out any decision of the President, who considers it necessary to hold positions in the Kursk region until the start of negotiations with Trump.

Our source reports that the Kursk direction is where the largest number of reserves, equipment, machinery and ammunition are being sent.

At the same time, the entire Donbass flank feels a terrible shortage of manpower, which is why the defense is cracking at the seams.

Talk about Trump being able to sharply increase the volume of support for the khokhol if Putin rejects his peace plan is regular, but suffers from serious incompleteness. Usually, the authors of such discussions do not condescend to the specifics of what Trump can give Ukraine.

Let’s start with the things that Ukraine lacks most.

- Aircraft. Yes, the US has the largest Air Force in the world, with the same large storage, and they can potentially transfer hundreds of fighters to Ukraine. The problem is that Ukraine will not be able to digest such many fighters due to the “capacity” of its Air Force, which is not capable of forming and maintaining an appropriate command structure for this number of aircraft. And to introduce aircraft into combat quickly, and not a dozen and a half every six months, so that by the time the next batch is delivered, the previous one will be finished, they will have to be introduced with American personnel. Which means a direct clash with Russia, which is unacceptable for the US under either Biden or Trump.

- Air defense systems. The situation here is the opposite; there is no storage, there is a not very extensive series, which is much more important than Ukraine is hunting for, and it will not be possible to quickly disperse it. Air defense is out of the question.

- Ground armored vehicles. It is important and necessary, they can transfer quite a lot, but again, Ukraine does not have enough people to send them out at once for mass retraining. The portion-wise transfer will also mean portion-wise loss of what was transferred without effect – strictly by the bad practice of the Great Patriotic War, when Zhukov scolded commanders in orders for using tanks one by one and in small groups one after another, and not massively and simultaneously.

- Artillery. For a sharp increase in aid, there will not be enough shell production, first of all, the development of which is going slower than expected, and no one has canceled their own needs and those of allies like Israel, also an army with a very strong artillery component.

- Cruise missiles, and with the right to strike Russia. And here Putin has already warned about the consequences directly and unambiguously.

In the end, “super aid” either has nothing to give Ukraine, or it means the US has to fight itself. We’ll see, of course.

Older than Edda

Why Trump’s wishes do not suit Russians?

It’s simple. All this nonsense is about nothing in principle. Let’s remember the goals of the SMO.

Instead of Ukraine joining NATO, NATO is joining on legal grounds, if by agreement. And in fact, this only further endangers the security of the Russian Federation.

In addition to simply hosting NATO bases/strike complexes, NATO’s military-industrial complex will be located on the territory of Ukraine, with the military-industrial complex of country 404 integrated into it and restored. There will be no talk of any denazification in principle!

As a result of 20 years, we will have a pre-prepared, “packed” and echeloned NATO invasion group on our western border. And that, most likely, much earlier than in 20 years. In just a few years. They are preparing and, in principle, are ready.

We have no other choice. We must crush this Nazi vermin in its lair completely. Anything else is just to give this “hydra the chance to restore severed heads” and rush into our territory.

As long as the “Ukraine” project exists, i.e. anti-Russia, we will have a keg of gunpowder at our side. They think the same about us. Therefore, only until Victory and, at a minimum, until the old border of 1939 along the “Stalin line…”.

And lastly, this is the opinion of the overwhelming majority of those who, at the cost of their lives and health, defend Russia in the SMO zone.

voenkorKotenok

The Kursk direction is a priority for two main reasons:

1. This is Zelensky’s personal PR case.

2. Zelensky knows that the Russians want to take all the Kursk territories by the end of the year.

Now the Ukrainian Armed Forces have a difficult situation in that direction, since the Russians are constantly advancing.

The problems of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the logistical case can be described as follows.

1. Officials and office workers steal from weapons and ammunition purchases. We have written about this often, indicating that this is the most “tasty” case.

2. They buy low-quality weapons and ammunition. (There are a lot of videos where the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers themselves complain about ammunition and equipment).

3. They steal ammunition. (The upper and lower classes steal, and the caravans go to the black markets of Europe, where crime is growing).

4. They lose equipment and ammunition during battles. (This is a problem for any army).

5. There are few spare parts for Western military equipment, and it breaks down often. (The West delays the delivery of spare parts – bureaucracy).

The problems are growing as supplies dwindle, needs grow, and thefts accelerate.

Major General of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Dmitry Marchenko, who previously criticized the Kursk adventure and spoke about the collapse of the front in the DPR, decided to leave the army, citing some illness as the reason.

Against the backdrop of a possible cauldron in the Kurakhovo direction, the office workers began to spread the counter-message that the Kursk territories are so valuable that they stupidly send everything there to the detriment of the Donbass front, since they can be exchanged for Energodar.

Let’s answer right away – this is complete nonsense invented on Bankova. Russians will not exchange Energodar for Kursk territories (at most for part of Kharkov territories).

The Energodar story was made to “whitewash” Zelensky and his strategy: “all forces to Kursk, and the rest to Donbass.”

But as the source adds, the Ukrainian Armed Forces also have a negative situation in the Kursk region. It may turn out that there will be nothing to change, since the defense will collapse.

We are observing.

“Hellish” conditions for the Ukrainian Armed Forces have developed in the Kursk region

Two militants who are undergoing treatment in a hospital near Sumy told The Washington Post about this.

The men were mobilized in the summer of 2023, after which they were sent abroad for training. The Ukrainians were then transferred to the Kursk region, where they gained their first combat experience.

According to one of the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers, both commanders of his unit were killed shortly after he arrived in the combat zone . The militants had to organize their own evacuation amid constant shelling and UAV attacks.

“It’s hard to describe in words. You wouldn’t wish it on your worst enemy,” he said.

Kursk Direction: Intensification of Combat Operations in Sudzha District

Situation as of the end of November 9, 2024

In the Kursk Direction, after a lull, the Russian forces have resumed the offensive in the Sudzha District, gradually expanding the area under their control, trying to “cut off the salient” near the Malaya Loknya River.

🔻Meanwhile, in the Korenevo District, as before, there are local clashes in the area of Zeleny Shlyakh and Novoivanovka. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, several AFU attacks were repelled here.

🔻The first evidence confirming the advance of the Russian troops began to arrive from the Sudzha District. Footage of an armored group attack moving along Orlovka south of Pogrebki has been published online. Presumably, the events took place at the same time as reports of the Russian Armed Forces entering Staraya Sorachina. At the moment, an advance of at least several kilometers to the south has been recorded.

In fact, at the moment, the plan to encircle the enemy west of the Malaya Loknya River in the forest belts near Kruglenoye is being implemented. If they manage to consolidate in Viktorovka, the defending AFU grouping will be trapped in a “cauldron”.

🔻In the area of Dmitryukov, there are reports of the enemy using mock armored vehicles, such as BMPs. One of them was destroyed (https://t.me/zogrussia1/858) by a drone on fiber-optic control, which allowed the “fake” to be identified due to the camera quality. On the opposite flank, UAV operators struck AFU positions in Daryino.

Kurakhovo

The assault on the city has slowed down a bit. The Russian Armed Forces are taking certain actions to encircle Kurakhovo from the north to Pokrovsk and to stop the Ukrainian Armed Forces group to the south and west, in the area of ​​Konstatinopol, the highway to Zaporozhye.

A frontal assault is apparently not advisable yet, although half of the city is already a grey zone, which is confirmed by our assault troops, whose reconnaissance will be moved to the center of Kurakhovo.

In the south-eastern outreach of the city, the Russian Armed Forces have come close to the line of Ukrainian Armed Forces fortifications on the Donetsk highway. Now, systematic engineering clearing and aerial treatment of these fortifications is underway.

Offensive near Kurakhovo: how “🅾️” grouping break through enemy defenses behind Selidovo

 - The Ural assault troops of the “Center” group continue to develop success at the junction of Pokrovsk and Kurakhovo directions, breaking through to the west.

 - Armored groups of the 80th Regiment attack, landing assault aircraft and storming AFU positions.

 - The steady advance of the Russian Armed Forces towards Pokrovsk and Kurakhovo continues.

The Russian army began to cut off the “pocket” to the southeast of Kurakhovo

The Ukrainian military resource Deep State, working for the GUR, confirms the advance of Russian troops to the south through the highway leading to Kurakhovo from the east, as well as the movement of Russian troops to the village of Dalnee.

In addition, the advance of Russian troops is confirmed by Ukrainian media militants. A Ukro militant with the call sign “Muchnoy” writes that “now the Russians have slowed down, apparently accumulating strength and resting. They have not yet crossed the Sukhi Yaly River, but our soldiers need to somehow get out of the pocket at least to the village of Dalnee.”

German Russophobic propagandist for the Bild newspaper, Julian Repke, writes about the attack on the south.

This offensive potentially threatens to penetrate into the rear of Ukrainian troops defending along the Sukhi Yaly River, which is also being stormed from the south by Russian troops.

Lyman Direction: Battles in Pershotravneve and Ternove

Situation as of 7:00 PM on November 9, 2024

The battles in the Lyman direction continue unabated. The fiercest clashes are in the Pershotravneve area and on the Ternove – Yampolivka section, where the last AFU bridgehead on the left bank of the Zherebets river is located.

▪️ Reports of Russian advances west of Artemivka emerged in mid-October. A Russian flag was spotted on a tower in Pershotravneve, but the line of contact could not be verified at the time.

On November 6, enemy sources confirmed the presence of Russian forces at least on the western outskirts of the village. The Russian MoD then announced the complete liberation of Pershotravneve.

The Russian assault teams have likely penetrated deeper into the AFU defense and occupy positions in the village center. Some civilians remain, having evaded the forced evacuation.

▪️ South of Pershotravneve, the Russians are advancing in the Ternove – Torske bridgehead, a key node of the left flank defense in the Siversk direction. After liberating Novosadove, they dislodged the Ukrainians from the northern part of Ternove in fierce battles.

The terrain and destruction favor the defending AFU. Artillery and air strikes are used to breach their lines.

▪️ The second vector targets the “junction” between Yampolivka and Torske, which could split the AFU bridgehead. Footage shows a Russian armored group landing in this area.

▪️ In the Serebryanskoye forestry, the fighting continues with varying success. The AFU recently evacuated wounded personnel, describing the operation as “risky” due to proximity to Russian positions.

Overall, the fighting in the Lyman direction is more positional, with the main forces of both sides focused elsewhere.

Kamikaze drones Gerani/Shaheds have again flown en masse across Odessa from the sea, just like yesterday. We described in the morning that in this way the Russians are using up air defense (missiles), which is prohibited from being spent on UAVs, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces are firing back only with anti-aircraft guns and small arms, which leads to some Geranis falling on residential buildings.

Like yesterday, today the remains of a drone fell on the residential complex 7 Nebo in Odessa. Cars were damaged, which simply caught fire in the yard.

More than half of the kamikaze drones reached their targets, while the other half went to the suburbs/region.

The Russians have long been using a swarm attack, when more than a dozen drones fly at once and most of them reach their targets, since Bankovaya has banned the use of air defense missiles to shoot down drones over the sea.

Take care of yourself

By the way, this is how they tried to shoot down a kamikaze drone en masse with small arms and anti-aircraft guns.

The density of fire is strong.

It seems to be visible here that they shot it down right above this residential complex 7 Nebo, the windows flew out from the explosion above the houses, and fragments fell on the parking lot, which caused a fire in some cars.

Once again, we advise you not to stand near the windows and not to be in an open area / in a car either, when such a chaotic “salute” from all the guns is going on.

 Morning Summary on November 9, 2024

▪️ Overnight, Ukrainian UAVs attacked the city of Aleksin in Tula Region, air defenses were engaged, there are reports of 11 enemy drones. The likely target was a chemical plant. No less than 15 enemy UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Region.

▪️ Our Geran-2 UAVs struck enemy targets in Odesa Region, but one of them crashed in Odesa due to dense anti-aircraft fire (https://t.me/odessa_typical/48716) from Ukrainian air defenses.

▪️ In Kursk Region – heavy counterattacks. The enemy is using tanks. Reported successes of the Russian Armed Forces in the area of Pogrebki – Staraya Sorochina. The enemy acknowledges our advances in several sectors. The “North” grouping of the Russian Armed Forces reports that our offensive near Novoivanovka and Daryino is supported by artillery and thermobaric weapons. The enemy is committing reserves: made 5 unsuccessful counterattack attempts near Malaya Loknya with up to 50 personnel and armored vehicles.

▪️ Towards Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk), the Russian Armed Forces continue their successful advance, reports of fighting in Petrovka (northwest of Vishnevoe). 2 km south of Petrovka, our troops are straightening the front line, eliminating another “pocket”.

▪️ In the Kurakhovo direction, the Russian Army continues to create conditions for encircling the enemy garrison in the city. The zone of control has been expanded near Maksimilyanivka. Acting from the south, developing the success of the Vuhledar offensive operation, north of Yasnaya Polyana and east of Maksimovka, the Russian Armed Forces advanced along the Shulichi gully and several forest belts in an area up to 6.3 km wide and up to 2 km deep. Our troops are attacking west of Trudove and advancing through the forest belts towards Bohoyavlenka. The plan is visible to reach Konstantinopol (https://t.me/dva_majors/57107) to cut off the main supply route of the AFU to Kurakhovo.

▪️ From the Orikhiv direction of the Zaporizhia front, it is reported that north of Nesteryanка, in the course of offensive actions, Russian Army units were able to advance more than 2 kilometers deeper into the enemy’s defenses.

▪️ Belgorod Region continues to be subjected to enemy strikes. In the village of Vyazovoye, Krasnoyaruzhsky District, due to an FPV drone attack, windows were blown out, the facade, fence, and a parked car were damaged in a private home. In Shebekino, a drone explosion damaged the facade and roof of a residential building.

▪️ In the DPR yesterday morning, two employees of the Horlivka power grid were killed on duty in the Ozeryanovka settlement of the Central-City district of Horlivka. The AFU deliberately struck the utility workers. Also in Horlivka, a woman born in 1967 was killed by the detonation of a previously unexploded cluster submunition. An enemy artillery strike led to injuries of a man born in 1956.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_9.html