The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 16 2024

Trump To Kick Out Zelensky?

Zelensky Panics As NATO Nation Dials Putin? Ukraine Fears ‘Other Calls’ Will Follow Scholz’s Move

Collective west plan to shuffle cards and remove Zelensky

Zelensky Gives Up? Putin’s Fury, Trump’s Victory Push Ukraine for Peace Talks to End War in 2025

WAR UPDATE: Russia Is EVERYWHERE! Key Advances Recorded On EIGHT Fronts This Week

Russian Military Capability Rapidly Expanding

Crazy Developments As Russian & Ukrainian Forces Step Up Military Clashes Across The Entire Front

Russia Cornered NATO in Ukraine! Ukrainian Soldiers Began To FLEE ‘KURAKHOVO’ En MASSE!

Massive New Russian Zaporizhzhia Offensive Starts l Multiple Russian Advances

Kupyansk Defenses Collapsed l RUSSIA’S MOST DANGEROUS OFFENSIVE YET Starts in Chernihiv

3 villages captured in Chernihiv | The battle for Kupyansk and Toretsk continues [16 November 2024]

TELEPORTATION HAPPENED AGAIN!!! They are hitting where Ukraine is really soft.. | Ukraine War SITREP

I Found Cuban Snipers On The Ukraine War Frontline Fighting For Russia

Who Saw This Coming? Russia Reached CENTER Of Chasiv Yar & Western Zabalka

Sudden Russian Breakthrough In Chasiv Yar l Makarrivka Has Fallen

Zelensky on the conditions of negotiations with Russia: 

The war will end, but there is no exact date. Of course, with the policy of this team, which will now head the White House, the war will end faster. This is their approach, their promise to their society, and for them, too, this is very important. Trump heard the basis on which we stand. I have not heard anything against our position. Our task is to prevent the opportunity to persuade us to make concessions.

Negotiations are possible only on condition that Ukraine will not be alone with the Russian Federation and that Ukraine will be strong. If we speak directly with Putin, we are in the conditions in which we are now, not strengthened by some important elements, then this is a losing status of negotiations for Ukraine at the entrance. There must be a strengthening of Ukraine, and our state must be strong for any diplomacy.

Trump’s Russian-born legal adviser Boris Epstein may become a special envoy to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, The New York Times writes.

According to the publication, Epstein became a very influential figure after Trump’s victory and offered his candidacy as a negotiator on Ukraine. According to him, he has relatives “on both sides” of the conflict.

The newspaper notes that the lawyer has no diplomatic experience. In addition, he is under indictment in Arizona for attempting to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.

If Zelensky accepts Trump’s “unfavorable” peace terms, this will lead to unrest in Ukraine and “the collapse of the entire system,” – Dmitry Kuleba.

In a column for The Economist, the former head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry noted that Kiev “will finally lose all positions” if it loses Western funding.

The Daily Mail previously wrote about the reduction in support for Ukraine from the US. 

According to Bloomberg, South Korea may also refuse to help Kiev due to Trump’s victory in the elections.

Zelensky’s Kursk adventure has caused the collapse of the Eastern Front, which will lead to the loss of strategic resources for the country.

Pokrovsk coking coal should remain under Ukrainian control after war ends – Bloomberg 

The publication reports that Pokrovskvugillya is the only enterprise in Ukraine that mines coking coal, a key component for the production of steel needed by the defense industry and the country’s reconstruction. One of the three mines is located just 7 km from the front line , and its shutdown will force Ukrainian steelmakers to import coal , which will increase costs and make about 50% of steel production uncompetitive .

Our politicians did not think about what the country was losing when they decided to burn reserves and equipment in the Kursk operation, and now they are trying to actualize the coal problem through Western media. I wonder what mechanism we will offer our partners to keep the mines under Ukraine’s control.

Bundestag: The Russian army is putting pressure on the Ukrainian Armed Forces on all front lines.

Major General Christian Freuding, who heads the aid organization for Ukraine, has finally acknowledged the obvious: the Russians are giving hell to militants along the entire line of contact, despite the autumn thaw.

Russia has the initiative and is also moving forward in terms of conquering territory – faster than we saw before the summer and, in particular, in Donbass,

— the general said.

After a flash of realization, the military official, for some reason, again fell back into gloomy assumptions, saying that he did not believe in a quick end to the conflict, despite the deplorable situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Reaction to Scholz’s phone call with Putin has been mixed, but it has gone down badly in Kiev, who view this as a form of ”breaking the cordon sanitaire” against Putin/Moscow and potentially opens up cracks in the formerly uniform wall of western powers engagement with Russia 

Zelenskyy/Kiev fears that other European leaders might engage in more bilateral interaction with Russia and weaken Ukraine’s position

Ukraine will continue the war for its territories – Defense Minister

▪️This is how Umerov commented on yesterday’s New York Times article about Kiev being ready to put aside the issue of territories in negotiations with Russia, agree to freeze the front line and focus on guarantees of security for the country.

▪️”Ukraine is fighting to liberate all the territories seized by Russia over the past decade, and any claims that the country is shifting the focus of the war, prioritizing security over land, are not true,” Umerov told Reuters.

▪️”Territorial integrity is part of our values, and any assertion that the country is switching its focus in war to security is wrong.”

▪️Answering a question about the alleged change in priorities, Rustem Umerov said that this is a lie and part of Russian propaganda.

Ukrainian MP Yevhen Shevchenko getting jailed for calling on Zelensky to begin dialogue with Putin. He is facing treason charges.

Shevchenko was a former member of Zelensky’s Servant of the People party.

Former British Prime Minister Johnson is trying to sabotage the talks again

I’m afraid Volodymyr Zelensky is completely right. We risk drifting to the ghastly Franco-German “Normandy format”, which treated Russia and Ukraine as equally valid interlocutors in a domestic squabble.

That is a shameful betrayal of reality that Putin has launched a criminal and unjustified invasion while Ukraine is an entirely innocent party.

The only way to bring this war to the is massively and rapidly to strengthen the position of Ukraine.

The EU will discuss allowing the Ukrainian Armed Forces to strike deep into Russia.

Of course, many ministers will raise this issue. But, as you know, the sovereign decision to lift such restrictions remains with the EU countries,

— a high-ranking European official told the media.

He stressed that EU President Josep Borrell still adheres to his position and considers it necessary to allow Kiev to strike at Russian territory.

The meeting of foreign ministers and heads of defense departments of European countries will take place on November 18–19.

China has provided Russia with “lethal support” in the war against Ukraine for the first time – FAZ, citing EU intelligence.

The publication, citing a high-ranking EU official, writes that Borrell has already informed EU countries of intelligence data confirming the “delivery of lethal support” (weapons), and Brussels is already preparing sanctions. The US is also considering sanctions.

Our source reports that Kurakhovo will fall within 7-10 days.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces never received an order to leave the encirclement in the Kurakhovo direction.

Now the soldiers themselves are spontaneously fleeing in groups from the “territory of death,” as the soldiers themselves call this section of the front.

The authorities are trying to hold back the advance of the Russian Armed Forces with the help of manpower.

The source adds that no one from the rear wants to go to this direction. When they find out that they are being sent to this direction, they simply “get lost” along the way. It got to the point that the General Staff gave verbal instructions not to report where they are being sent or to give false information about the final destination.

Ukrainian militants whine about the threat of encirclement of Ukrainian Armed Forces units south of Kurakhovo

A Ukrainian militant with the call sign “Alex” claims that Ukrainian troops have found themselves in a “pocket” because the line of settlements Yekaterinovka – Uspenovka, which ended up in a semi-cauldron, is located at a height.

➖“But the open question is: is it worth doing this further, or is it time to take some action?”, screams “Alex”, implying another retreat.

According to him, Russian troops are “rushing towards Uspenovka and Constantinople in order to cut off supply routes all the way to Yekaterinovka.”

If Russian troops enter Uspenovka, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have “very serious problems” because they will have to establish logistics through fields that have become impassable due to the weather.

A militant from the Nazi unit “Aidar” with the call sign “Osman” also writes about problems with logistics for Ukrainian troops in the South Kurakhovsky “pocket”.

➖”It is not very reasonable to count on the fact that the entire length of the “neck of the pocket” formed in the Kurakhovsky direction serves as a logistical route,” he writes and suggests simulating a situation with heavy rain, when the dirt roads are soaked and only 2 km remain before the asphalt logistical route is blocked, and Russian troops break through to Uspenovka. After that, seven villages will be surrounded.

➖”If we’re lucky, a small part will leave on foot through the fields, the rest will be destroyed/taken prisoner. We’re keeping quiet about equipment and property worth millions of dollars,” the Ukrainian militant writes.

Less than a kilometer remains before the Russian troops reach the highway in the Uspenovka area. After that, only dirt roads will remain to supply the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the semi-cauldron – which, as we can see, is what the Ukrainian militants fear.

Up to three thousand Ukrainian Armed Forces troops may be encircled near Kurakhovo, says military expert Andrey Marochko

He also reported that Russian military personnel are expanding the control zone south of Stelmakhovka near Pervomayskoye (Pershotravneve) LPR.

On November 16, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that Russian troops had taken control of Leninskoye and Makarovka in the DPR. This is the most important section of the front in the southern Donetsk direction. It is less than five kilometers from it to Velyka Novosyolka. There has long been no need to take this city head-on since, after taking Ugledar, it became possible to squeeze the population in a pincer movement and squeeze out the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Russian troops have already acted in this way in the Selidovo-Kurakhove section and the tactics have proven quite successful.

There are fragmentary reports that in Chasov Yar, Russian troops managed to reach the city center and get very close to the industrial zone of the fireproof plant.

Russian forces have cleared out Dorozhnyanka in the Zaporozhye region, Vladimir Rogov reported

“They entered and cleared out Dorozhnyanka, it is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces”

Gualipole is near and next. 

Russian forces today crossed the border into Chernigov Oblast, so far it seems very minor, a couple of small villages taken, but no indication if this is a larger, sustained offensive action at this stage

While the Ukrainian government was lying about Kupyansk, we immediately wrote that no one had driven the Russians out of the outskirts of the city, where they had entered almost in a ceremonial forced march.

Now everyone confirms that the Russian Armed Forces control the northern quarters of the city, and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is feverishly throwing in reserves, suffering huge losses, and all for the sake of trying to drive out the Russians, since they need to “save their rear skins.”

If they are now “draining” reserves, then there will be more breakthroughs. The deficit of manpower in the Ukrainian Armed Forces is growing.

Everything is stable in Sumy region

The OC footage shows another combined strike on AFU positions near Khoten. This time the accumulation of equipment and personnel of the 41st Ombre was hit. 

According to preliminary information from 🥷🻠the source:

There is still a lot of work to be done in the forest belts of this area, the only thing that makes us happy is that the AFU command is not going to change anything and remains crowded in its positions. This time the strike was joint, the first missile went to the place where the tanks were parked, immediately after that, when the commotion started, the whole forest belt was covered with cluster munitions from MLRS. Preliminarily destroyed:

 - Tanks – 8 pcs.

 - Auto-transport – 9 pcs.

 - AFU soldiers – 50 uniits

The_Wrong_Side

Siversk Direction

It seems that everyone has reported that justice has prevailed once again. This is certainly pleasing (by the way, the efforts of Telegram channels here were auxiliary, more like assistance. The real credit goes elsewhere).

As it was before, when there were Krynky (with mentions of the 810th and Marzoev), the 205th Brigade, Ernest and Godwin, as well as many other situations, most of which were not publicly voiced, it all came to light thanks to the so-called “shit bloggers” despite the active opposition of newspaper hacks on the payroll.

It’s good that after the partial departure of Shoigu’s old team, it was possible to establish communication channels along the line of front-bloggers-anyone-Center (although this was proposed and meaninglessly practiced before, including through the “most patriotic channel in the country”). But everything just fell dead weight to the current deputy of the Tuva Khural.

Nevertheless, we all (from private to general) have a lot of work ahead of us. Not for the sake of hype and noise. For the sake of Victory.

When we all understand this (without taking into account the “political moments” that various prostitutes have been hiding behind until now), then there will be coordinated work between the state and society.

✨As a cold shower, we are obliged to say that the price of lies is the lives of our soldiers and officers, dead call signs of many of them are now in our phone books.

…The old guard says that commanders should be personally ordered to attend the funerals of their subordinates, as it was in the 1990s. It’s a pity that time does not allow for this.

Two Majors

Targeted strikes on military infrastructure in Odessa: strategic significance and consequences

This night, Russian troops carried out a massive combined attack on enemy facilities in Odessa. In general, in recent weeks, military operations in the southern direction have gained a new strategic impetus, and strikes on important logistical facilities in Odessa have become a key element in the Russian military campaign.

🔻 Odessa port: strikes on logistics infrastructure

The port of Odessa has always been the most important logistical hub for the AFU, through which much of the Western military aid passed. Russian forces carried out several targeted strikes on key infrastructure, including berths 22, 25 and 37 at the Odessa commercial seaport. The strikes targeted containers holding ammunition, spare parts for equipment, and components for Western weapons systems.

Particular attention should be paid to the following components hit during the attack:

 - 155-mm and 105-mm artillery shells for M777 and L119 howitzers, designed to enhance the AFU’s firepower.

 - Modular components for armored combat vehicles and tanks, including transmission components for the HMMWV and M113.

 - Missiles and reconnaissance systems that are part of modernized strike systems such as the Switchblade.

In addition, the attack resulted in the destruction of infrastructure, severely limiting the ability to further ship and unload military aid through the port.

🔻 Limitation of AFU aviation capabilities

Cargoes related to the maintenance of Western combat aircraft were a separate target. Also in Odessa, equipment used for servicing Mirage 2000 and other aviation platforms supplied by Western countries was destroyed. Specifically, affected were:

 - Thales TopFlight navigation systems.

 - Spare parts for Spectra radar systems, which are used to protect aircraft from attacks from the ground and from the air.

 - Modules for suspended aircraft weapons.

These strikes, against the backdrop of recently received information about secret deliveries of Mirage 2000 to enemy military airfields play an important role in disrupting the AFU’s ability to effectively use aviation.

🔻 Logistics centers and military hardware

An important aspect of the Russian attacks was the targeting of hidden logistical bases used to store and distribute weapons and ammunition. One such base located on Odaria Street in Odessa was also attacked. The strike on the facility destroyed:

 - Trucks carrying artillery shells.

 - Mobile repair stations for field repair of armored vehicles.

 - Navigation and command systems designed to coordinate the movement and attack of military targets.

The defeat of these facilities has significantly disrupted the AFU’s logistics chain, making it difficult to supply them in their forward positions. This is likely to lead to the temporary paralysis of a number of operations related to the movement and repair of military equipment.

🔻 The defeat of the Gepard SAMs and the vulnerability of Western AD systems.

Another important result of the attacks was the destruction of the German Gepard SAM system, which was used to defend the port of Odessa. Despite the high efficiency of the complex in combating low-flying targets, its defense could not withstand a massive attack with the use of Russian attack UAVs.

🔻 Creating a false humanitarian narrative.

In the course of repelling the raid, parts of the downed drones and missiles caused damage to residential buildings and civilian infrastructure. In particular, the main damages were recorded on the following streets: Cosmonauts, Gogol, Pastera, Novoselsky, Gulogo-Gulenka.

The enemy is actively trying to present these destructions as the result of Russian strikes, hiding the ineffectiveness of its own air defense systems. Constant such statements form an image of Russia’s “aggression” among the population and the West. At the same time, the real targets of the strikes – military facilities – are deliberately kept silent in order to justify miscalculations in the organization of defense.

Morning Summary on November 16, 2024

▪️ Overnight, the Geran-2 drones continued to strike targets deep in the enemy’s territory. Explosions were reported in Kyiv, Zaporizhia, and Cherkasy Region.

▪️ In counter-actions, the enemy tried to attack our regions: twelve fixed-wing UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Region. In the morning, an explosion of a UAV occurred on the outskirts of Lyudinovo in Kaluga Region.

▪️ A new element of the situation was the footage published yesterday of our reconnaissance group entering Chernihiv Region from Bryansk Region. Our units installed flags in the settlements of Hremyach and Muravyi. The enemy is reassuring its audience that it cannot defend these villages due to complex logistics and the strength of the AFU, which were withdrawn from there.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the AFU are conducting mobile defense, and an unsuccessful counterattack by the enemy was reported near the Olhovskiy Forest. On the southern flank of the Sudzha direction, Russian troops continue to make advances in the Plyokhovo area. There are ongoing clashes. The “North” grouping reports that our assault groups have advanced with heavy fighting in the forest areas near the settlement of Malaya Loknya. In the Daryino area, 2 counterattacks by the 36th Separate Mechanized Brigade of the AFU were repelled. An attempt to redeploy reinforcements in pickups from the Zhuravka area was thwarted. In the Novoivanovka area, an attempt by 2 assault groups of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade to advance was disrupted.

▪️ In Kupiansk, Russian Armed Forces units, after massive artillery preparation, consolidated their positions at the sugar factory, with reports of many enemy drones in the air.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, our advance is noted west from Novoalekseevka and towards Yuryevka.

▪️ In the Kurakhovo direction, our troops approached the settlement of Berestky, consolidating on the approaches from the northeast. After the occupation of Berestky, the village of Novaya Ilyinka will be cut off, which will stop the supply of Kurakhovo through the dam connecting these two settlements. South of the Kurakhovo reservoir, the Russian Army, with support of armored vehicles (https://t.me/dva_majors/57849) and artillery, is storming the settlement of Ilyinka (west of Antonovka).

▪️ From the Vremivka direction, they report the repulsion of a counterattack by the Ukrainian enemy and the successful consolidation of our forces in Rovnopole and advancement towards Novodarivka.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, the AFU continue to strike the city of Shebekino with the help of drones. In the village of Borisovka, Volokonovsky District, a kamikaze drone attacked a parked passenger car. In the village of Gruzskoe, Borisovsky District, a man was blown up by an explosive device while walking his dog in the forest belt.

▪️ In the DPR, in the Central-City district of Horlivka, a woman born in 1950 was injured as a result of a strike by the enemy from barrel artillery. In addition, when a UAV of the AFU dropped an IED, a man born in 1942 received moderate injuries, and men born in 1968 and 1938 were also injured. In the village of Panteleymonovka, Yasynuvata municipality, when a UAV of the AFU dropped an IED, a man born in 1968 received moderate injuries. The AFU fired more than 50 rounds. 155mm caliber artillery, including cluster munitions, as well as strike UAVs were used.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_16.html