The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on January 5 2024

Ukrainian Forces Launch New MASSIVE Offensive | Direct Tank Battle Caught On Video

Ukraine launches an offensive in Kursk [ 5 January 2025]

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The Office of the President continues to seek new formats of influence on public opinion both in Ukraine and on Western audiences.

On Monday, Zelensky’s three-hour interview with American blogger Lex Friedman will be released.

The technology will remain the same, a series of statements in different formats, the purpose of which is to saturate the information field. Zelensky’s emotional diplomacy has stopped working and now Bankova has decided to wear him down, overloading the information space, violating the main rule – exclusivity. All this is turning into an old joke, when a forgotten actor or politician is dragged around different shows/media to revive his former glory.

A dangerous trend for Ukraine is the internal rebellions of those kidnapped in the TCC.

If the OP and SBU are unable to stop this trend and intimidate/buy all those involved, then it can completely put an end to the mobilization case. Then lowering the age of mobilization will not be relevant, since this will only increase resistance and riots.

Our insider information turned out to be correct as usual. The Ukrainian Armed Forces began their offensive before Christmas (we had an insider information in November that Zelensky was preparing a Christmas offensive). They started earlier because they couldn’t delay it because of the weather. It will be above zero further on, which will complicate the movement of equipment.

Of course, the offensive in the Kursk direction is of a demonstrative nature and is timed:

1. The arrival of Trump’s envoy Keith Kellogg.

2. Before Trump’s inauguration on January 20.

3. This is a farewell salute in honor of Biden (as a thank you for his support). Plus the strengthening of the position of the war party in the USA.

On December 2, 2024, we wrote that one of the directions would be “Kurskoye”. Perhaps it is not a priority, but an auxiliary one.

We are observing.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky wants to strengthen his negotiating positions with Trump, for this purpose an offensive operation was organized in the Kursk region today. The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost 2/3 of Russian territories and the trend was negative, at headquarters Syrsky promised to stabilize the situation in the Kursk region and stop the enemy’s advance. Before Trump’s inauguration, we will try to attack along the entire front line to demonstrate Ukraine’s ability to conduct offensive operations.

Russian TG channels are massively publishing the movement of our columns in the Kursk region, as well as the defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment. The photo shows how actively the enemy uses aviation against the Ukrainian army, we have no cover and are forced to make our way through enemy mines/rockets/bombs.

Our source in the General Staff reported that the plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to organize a strike in the Kursk region were known to the enemy in advance, our military columns were met on the approach to the defense lines of the Russian army. It is already clear that the information was leaked from the headquarters, and the losses in equipment and manpower are significant, in order to maintain the situation, Syrsky is transferring new reserves to Sudzha.

Our sources in the OP reported that the bet will take place tomorrow, Bankova is unhappy with the first wave of the operation in the Kursk region. Zelensky wants new successful operations from Syrsky in order to negotiate with Trump on good terms.

Our source reports that Bankova is preparing to send its aircraft into battle to strengthen the offensive.

This is fraught with the possibility that the Russians could shoot down several birds, including the F-16. The Russians are already preparing for such a scenario.

But without air support, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not be able to achieve good results in the offensive.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces’ offensive in the Kursk region. The main points as of 14:00:

🟥 Channel Sladkov + reports that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ offensive on Kursk is strengthening their positions and expanding the bridgehead so that our artillery cannot reach all the occupied areas. It has more informational and political significance than military. Our intelligence knew everything and reported in advance. I consider the actions of the command in the Kursk direction, including mine clearance, to be calculated and advantageous. The enemy itself is walking into a trap, and Kiev’s aggression worsens its position before the negotiations. The presence of the enemy on the Kursk bridgehead is now advantageous for us. This is relevant only if there are sufficient forces and means in the Kursk direction with reliable defensive lines. However, for the enemy, the Kherson region and Crimea remain a more desirable direction, where they can try an offensive in the spring.

🟥 Poddubny reports that now the Kiev regime troops have concentrated their efforts in the Sudzha area and are demonstrating a great desire to advance towards Bolshoy Soldatskoye. But it seems that this may not be the main direction. Strength to all our people who are in action these days.

🟥 According to the Telegram channel ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ Z , the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ armored vehicles are transporting infantry, attacking Berdyn, breakthrough attempts are ongoing, there is information about an entry. There are small arms battles, artillery and tanks are actively working against the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Solovyov!

At the moment, there are battles for the farmstead of Berdin and the village of Novosotnitsky , the Armed Forces of Ukraine were able to bring up armored vehicles and land infantry on the outskirts of populated areas, entering them. 

The enemy is bringing additional forces into battle following the vanguard, which has suffered losses, which indicates a planned large-scale attempt at a breakthrough.

It seems the expected activation of the enemy in Kursk Region has begun – there are reports of battles to the east of Sudzha since this morning.

Ukrainian formations had planned a major attack for more than a month, but their activity did not go unnoticed – the Russian forces were prepared for the enemy’s activity.

At the same time, the direction of the main strike is still unclear, and actions from the occupied part of Kursk Region could be a diversionary maneuver.

At the moment, fighting is taking place in the area of the village of Berdin northeast of Sudzha, where the highest level of enemy activity has been recorded so far.

Claims about the alleged loss of a populated area do not correspond to reality – in this sector, the AFU have so far only lost manpower and several pieces of equipment.

Nevertheless, it is not yet worth rushing ahead with victory reports: the main events of the next attempt by the AFU to advance are clearly still ahead.

 According to reports online, Russian forces have significantly expanded their control zone southeast of Sudzha, in the area of Makhnovka. They have pushed the AFU out of positions on the left bank of the Sudzha River and cleared the “pocket” in the Kurylivka – Cherkaska Konopelka area.

It is possible that the Russian troops advanced in this sector some time ago. However, the videos published today confirm that the attacks by the Russian Armed Forces in this area were ultimately successful.

In addition, UAV operators continue to actively burn AFU armored vehicles with drones – there is more and more objective evidence of the destruction of enemy tanks (https://t.me/rybar/66925), howitzers and various armored vehicles.

The locals report that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have begun to move near Sudzha. Activity is being recorded in the area of ​​the Berdin farm near Cherkassky Porechny.

Only small fire groups are currently in action, but the Ukrainian Armed Forces are gradually accumulating at the border, and active work is underway on the concentrations.

Apparently, the Ukrainians were waiting for the frost to set in so that they could more or less freely move their vehicles.

There is no talk yet about introducing any large forces of the Ukrainian army “into the offensive”, but everything could change soon.

Any push by NATO into Kursk is absolutely insane. 

All that equipment and manpower, even if not a single NATO soldier dies (as per their propaganda), is manpower and equipment not available to the real frontlines.

Yes we need to allocate resources to defend, but we require significantly less than they do.

This obsession with Kursk has already cost them key defeats in much more fortified positions on the real front.

Not to mention that attacks into mainland Russia only harden the resolve of our leaders to see this through to the end.

So let them come to Kursk. Let them keep throwing their men and equipment away as usual. It will only continue to hasten their defeat. 

The Nazi regime will be destroyed.

On the offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region and what to expect next

The Ukrainian attack has been expected for weeks. And today, the Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted. At the moment, fighting continues, but the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ increased activity raises new questions about where else the fighting might begin.

Looking at the scale of the offensive in the same Berdino, it is clear that the number of resources involved is not particularly significant. Throughout the autumn, we observed the transfer of new equipment to Ukraine, weapons and ammunition, and they are not yet visible.

This means that reserves are being hidden somewhere for a larger-scale attack. There are not many options for where they could be. The DPR and LPR are unlikely. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are maintaining a small contingent of troops there to slow down our advance, but they are apparently not planning to counterattack.

In the Zaporizhia region, several weeks ago, the Ukrainian Armed Forces became active in the Kamensk area, so there may be a strike there as well. Moreover, in the Dnipropetrovsk region, at the 239th training ground, the Ukrainian brigades are being actively replenished.

In addition, there may be attempts to strike in the Belgorod or Bryansk directions. Although there is a lull there now, the Ukrainian authorities need to secure advantageous positions before Donald Trump comes to power and demonstrate their worth.

While the mass destruction of Western equipment is underway in the Kursk sector, Ukrainian servicemen are being sent to mincemeat and they won’t even count how many will fall.

The Russian side on the ground admits that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ activity on January 5 is more like a reconnaissance in force and a media check than a full-fledged operation.

The main blow is expected tomorrow or the day after tomorrow when some decisions will be made at the headquarters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine based on the results of the quick run to Berdyn and the possible reaction of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. It is unclear whether the Ukrainian army has achieved its goals or not, because the consolidation group on Berdyn is not being introduced, and the raid group is too small to survive a long stay without heavy weapons.

Let us emphasize that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are preparing another strike, but it will most likely be carried out in a different direction. Most likely, through Tyotkino (there is no activity there now) or along the E38 highway to Rylsk, for which they may use a large mechanized group.

The situation in Berdino for the evening

Despite the statements in the Ukrainian media, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have only slightly clung to Berdyn. Battles are going on there, and the enemy has no control. At the same time, they have lost many personnel and equipment on the approach to Berdyn.

On the part of Bolshoye Soldatskoye, the Ukrainian command showed no logic or idea at all, simply throwing the infantry to the slaughter that our servicemen were hunting.

By evening, the Ukrainian Armed Forces had lost control over the villages of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. The paratroopers are already driving the enemy out of these settlements. Relying on them, the Ukrainian Armed Forces moved towards Martynovka. So now the Ukrainian Armed Forces are in a far from a better position.

On the other flank, in the area of ​​Malaya Loknya, things are not going smoothly for the Ukrainian Armed Forces either. Footage of a hit from an FPV drone on a British-made Challenger tank has appeared on the Internet. The Ukrainian Armed Forces did not have many British tanks, so the loss of another one was a serious blow, showing the negative effectiveness of the Ukrainian offensive.

Russian forces have established territorial control over Europe’s largest lithium mine/reserves in Donbas after pushing out Ukrainian forces from the Shevchenko area and the mining operations there

 The Russian Army raised the flag after liberating Petropavlovka

- On January 4, fighters of the 114th Brigade of the 51st Army successfully completed the task of liberating the village of Petropavlovka between Kurakhovo and Pokrovskoye. 

- During the fulfillment of the combat task our units successfully eliminated the enemy resistance centers, eliminating his hiding places and positions. In the course of the fighting, serious damage was inflicted on the AFU: equipment and manpower were destroyed and prisoners were taken.

- The operation was completed by hoisting the flag of the 114th Brigade on the roof of a half-destroyed building under heavy snowfall.

Ukrainian formations have again launched more than six dozen drones against Russian territory.

The most drones were destroyed by air defense forces on duty in the Rostov Region – more than 30 drones in the Millerovo, Tarasovsky and Belokalitvinsky districts. As a result of the fall of the debris of several more UAVs, residential buildings and cars were damaged in Taganrog and Novobessergenovka of the Neklinovsky district.

At night, 20 aircraft were shot down over the territory of the Bryansk Region, two over the territory of the Voronezh Region, and one more each in the Belgorod and Oryol Regions. According to official data, no civilians were injured as a result of the raid.

In general, the use of UAVs by the AFU is most often of a “harassing fire” nature, in which the enemy seeks to systematically overload the Russian air defense and distract it to secondary targets.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/01/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_5.html