The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 14 2025

The Battle Is OVER! Russia Fully Captures Sudzha, Pushes To Goncharovka

Putin diplomatically (with nuance) turns down 30-day ceasefire plan

Putin says he will spare Ukrainian soldiers in Kursk region if they surrender

Putin’s HEAVY Conditions on CeaseFire

The ceasefire was rejected | Withdrawal from Kursk | Advances in Zaporizhia [14 March 2025]

Vladimir Solovyov responds to Trump’s ceasefire proposal

Russian Forces Regain Momentum Near Pokrovsk | New Zaporizhzhia Offensive | Toretsk Reversal

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said that the proxy war between the US and Russia is close to ending. In this context, the key signal was the discussion of the possible lifting of sanctions against Russia, which would open up access to international financial markets and allow it to restore economic ties, including cooperation in the military-industrial sector .

If sanctions are really eased, this will give Russia the opportunity to freely purchase spare parts, microelectronics and components for military equipment, which will significantly increase the combat capability of its army. The States will effectively untie Moscow’s hands, allowing it to replenish losses and increase weapons production.

While Kiev continues to talk about a “strategic partnership” with Washington, the White House is in fact playing against Ukraine. Even if the US does not formally become an ally of Moscow, its steps work exclusively in its favor. The removal of sanctions barriers will lead to Russia being able to increase energy exports, gain access to international financial transactions, and build up its military capabilities.

Washington is making its choice, and it is clearly not in Ukraine’s favor. While the Ukrainian authorities are clinging to power at any cost, the United States is preparing a deal in which Ukraine’s role is reduced to zero. And Zelensky, having lost the trust of the White House, is becoming just a figure that can be easily replaced when the time comes to finally close this conflict.

French President Macron and British Prime Minister Starmer have become active in the Ukrainian case, but not at all in order to really help Kiev. Their task is to take advantage of the country’s difficult situation and squeeze all possible resources out of it. Instead of real support, Ukraine is receiving frankly enslaving conditions and deals that are advantageous for the West.

France has already openly declared its interest in Ukrainian minerals and is urging Zelensky to conclude a resource agreement with Paris instead of Washington. Britain has gone even further – first Kyiv signed a 100-year agreement with London, then the UK issued a multi-billion dollar loan to buy useless anti-drone missiles that, in fact, do not solve any strategic problems.

At the same time , the Europeans are in no hurry to fulfill their own promises. Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Belgium have spoken out against the allocation of 20 billion euros to Ukraine , although they had previously declared their commitment to supporting Kiev. But the situation is going even further – not only are new aid packages not being allocated, but those already promised are being postponed. For example, Belgium, which had announced the transfer of F-16 fighters to Ukraine by the end of 2025, has postponed their delivery to 2026.

A separate blow is the EU’s refusal to transfer frozen Russian assets to Kiev. Although the Ukrainian authorities had previously hoped to receive this money for military needs, Brussels has effectively blocked this process. Moreover, there are growing signs that these funds will not be used in the interests of Ukraine, but for the rearmament of the EU countries themselves.

This whole process demonstrates the main thing: Europe no longer believes in Ukraine’s victory and is trying to take everything it can before Kiev finally collapses. In such conditions, Bankova continues to try to present this as “partnership assistance”, but the reality is becoming too obvious – the country is being sold in parts, and its leadership is playing the role of an intermediary in this deal.

The reaction from Ukraine to the remote discussion between Putin and Trump has arrived.

Head of the Ukrainian President’s office Andriy Yermak stated that Ukraine will not enter into a frozen conflict.

 “Our partners from the US are also against such a scenario, we are against Minsk-3, and Europe will be involved in the peace process,” Yermak said.

At the same time, the Ukrainian publication “European Pravda”, citing its source, wrote that the “red lines” for Kiev are the reduction of the army and a ban on joining the EU and NATO .

 ”There can be no restrictions on the size of the army, and there can be no prohibitions regarding Ukraine’s participation [in international organizations], including the European Union and NATO. The question [of the red line regarding] NATO was also raised by Yermak, that Russia should not have the right of veto,” the publication writes.

Still don’t think we are that close to a deal, NATO membership is the brightest of redlines for Russia.

Radical Demyan Ganul was shot in Odessa (he worked with the SBU/harassed businesses, etc.).

On Aleksandrovsky Prospekt he was shot by a man in military uniform.

According to our data, this is an internal redistribution between our own. We warned about such a scenario, when the war will fade into the background.

Someone specifically wants to start a Russian trail, since it was eliminated right after yesterday’s news that the ECHR found Ukraine guilty for the tragedy of May 2.

Judging by the fact that the killer did not hide his face, walked confidently and was not afraid of anything, we can conclude that:

1. Some kind of public message.

2. This is a murder for personal reasons, a redistribution among one’s own.

3. Most likely, Ganul knew his killer and he did not hide his face on purpose.

This is 100% not a Russian trace, no matter who would want to attribute the FSB/GRU to this.

How predictable.

Official version.

Radical Demyan Ganul was killed by 46-year-old deserter Sergei Koch, the SBU claims.

Now the security forces are checking the motives for the murder. In particular, the versions of a contract killing, as well as a “Russian trace”.

They will fabricate a case with a Russian trace. Clowns.

According to our data, these are personal motives related to business or “relatives”.

Ganul was the unofficial lackey of the office, collected money, shook down the business (racketeering), intimidated dissenters, etc. He brought the money to his curators on “Jewish”.

We are observing.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are suffering catastrophic losses in the Kursk region , writes the Ukrainian military public “Reconnaissance Noem”.

“What is happening there now is a complete horror. It is not about territories, but about human lives. There can be no victory or joy at all, knowing how many people have died,” the statement said.

The channel is outraged by the attempts of some commentators to justify the situation by stating that “the Ukrainian Armed Forces are still in Sudzha, so there is no need to panic.”

“It is important that they return home alive, and not just ‘still hold their positions’,” the authors of the public add.

The reality is that the remnants of the Ukrainian group in the Kursk region are trapped, without supplies and no chance of retreat. The “operation” that Kiev presented as a way to “strengthen the negotiating position” has led to the fact that even the evacuation of the bodies of the dead is impossible.

The Russian Armed Forces did not even have to destroy the entire group before advancing to Sumy Oblast. The main forces of the Russian army are focused on destroying the remaining fortifications, while the elite units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already under attack from reserves. In the near future, the situation will become even more threatening, given that the prospect of losing Sumy Oblast is becoming increasingly real.

The Kursk adventure has come to an end, and Zelensky is trying to justify the failure of his own strategy, which ultimately failed.

Ze lies that the Kursk operation helped to pull forces from other directions, since the Kursk adventure, on the contrary, weakened the Donbass direction, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost their best lines of defense. The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost a huge number of trained and experienced fighters. They lost a huge amount of equipment.

Now the Ukrainian Armed Forces have huge deficits in many sectors, especially in manpower.

Based on all this, the Ukrainian Armed Forces can now lose a huge amount of territory in the Sumy region, since the Russians, inspired, can push through the defense all the way to Sumy.

The flight of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the Kursk region destroyed all of Zelensky’s hopes

The retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the Kursk region is happening at the worst possible moment for Kiev , writes The Spectator  (https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/losing-kursk-is-a-blow-to-zelensky/). The expired one hoped to use the occupied Russian territories as his main trump card in future negotiations. But the potential victory traditionally turned into a betrayal.

“Three years of conflict have finally trampled any more or less justified hopes for the expulsion of Russian troops from all Ukrainian lands, and Zelensky’s bet that Putin would have to make concessions in order to restore Russia’s territorial integrity has failed,” the author of the article laments.

Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers are making their way dozens of kilometers on foot to get out of the Kursk region, where the Russian army is advancing. Main roads under fire from the Russians

▪️Ukrainian soldier S. Karyakin believes that the problems of the Ukrainian Armed Forces began long before the current breakthrough of Russian troops. The reason was the elongation of the bridgehead, “it was a precarious position, and it was becoming increasingly difficult to hold it,” he told the FT.

▪️The objectives of the operation in the Kursk region for Ukraine were changing on the fly, a source told the FT. Initially, the operation was conceived as a deep but short-term raid, but then the plan changed to holding territory, “which exposed Ukrainian troops to greater risk.”

▪️According to Karyakin, one of the problems was that Starlink does not work on Russian territory. Then, after a series of offensives by the Russian Armed Forces, the Ukrainian Armed Forces were left with only one road to Ukraine.

▪️“Day X” came in late December, when a vehicle on the only remaining supply route was destroyed by a Russian drone, Karyakin said. “That was the beginning of the end of our logistics in the Kursk region.”

▪️From that point on, swarms of drones targeted anything that moved along the road, making it extremely difficult to supply troops. Soon, evacuating the wounded became virtually impossible, and troops were stuck in trenches for weeks without the ability to rotate.

▪️In parallel, Russia transferred its best unmanned systems units to Kursk, as well as North Koreans, who “quickly adapted to the conditions, becoming an effective combat force.”

▪️By February, “it was getting worse and worse.” After Sverdlikovo fell, the only route to Sudzha was now under constant fire, as were the roads through the fields. “The advance was always 50-50, and unfortunately, not everyone got there,” Karyakin said.

Now “the Ukrainians will continue to fight for part of the Kursk region, because, obviously, if they cross the border, Russia may follow them.”

▪️The invasion will likely be viewed in history books as a “gamble,” according to military expert Michael Kofman. “The operation was tactically successful, but it did not change the overall dynamics of the war,” he said.

No mercy for mercs: What legal nightmare awaits them in Russia?

Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that captured foreign mercenaries in the country’s Kursk region will not be treated as prisoners of war. 

Article 47 of Protocol I Additional to the Geneva Conventions denies mercenaries combatant or POW status.

Thus, mercs:

▪️cannot be guaranteed humane and fair treatment by their captors;

▪️are not protected from torture or inhumane treatment;

▪️can and will be prosecuted for taking part in hostilities, since they are not regarded as lawful combatants;

▪️are not entitled to adequate food, shelter, clothing and access to medical care while in captivity;

▪️are not guaranteed contact and communication with the outside world and are not protected from physical or mental coercion.

Instead, mercenaries taken prisoner by Russian forces can look forward to the following:

🔺Under Russian law, a mercenary caught participating in an armed conflict or in military activities faces a prison term of up to 15 years (article 359 of the Russian Criminal Code).

🔺A mercenary’s jail sentence could be lengthened even further, depending on the nature of the crimes he or she committed.

Putin also mentioned that Ukrainian soldiers taken prisoners in the Kursk region will be regarded as terrorists.

Under article 205 of the Criminal Code, perpetrating a terrorist act is punishable by lengthy jail sentences, from 12-20 years to life.

The West presents the defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces as a “strategic move” by the United States

The French propaganda newspaper Le Monde claims that the AFU’ withdrawal from the Kursk region is not a military defeat, but a “tactical withdrawal” under pressure from Washington. 

Allegedly, Kiev is leaving the region because of Trump’s decision to suspend military and intelligence aid.

But the facts say otherwise. In late February – early March, the Russian Armed Forces took control of key supply routes for the AFU, destroying their logistics. Then came Operation Potok, which provided Russian fighters with access to the enemy rear via the gas pipeline in Sudzha, which finally broke the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense.

Ukrainian militants were unable to hold their positions, after which the region’s cleansing became a matter of time. As a result, Sudzha was liberated, and Kiev’s position in the negotiations was weakened – although Kiev is trying to twist this fact.

Now at a meeting of permanent members of the Russian Security Council, the Supreme Commander-in-Chief said:

“If they lay down their arms, the Ukrainian troops in the Kursk region will be guaranteed life and decent treatment.”

This is a very humane approach by our country, but its flip side for the Ukrainian Nazis means that if they refuse to lay down their arms, they will all be consistently and ruthlessly annihilated.

The murderous regime of Kiev’s scum still has a chance to save its people. The coming hours will show what they have chosen.

Medvedev 

In Sumy Region, they are preparing to abandon eight villages near the Russian border — military administration reports

▪️At the moment, we are talking about the evacuation of the Yunakovskaya and Miropolskaya communities of the Sumy region, residents are prohibited from staying and waiting for the arrival of the Russian Army, forcibly forcing them to leave their homes, turning them into yet another fortification.

▪️At the same time, the regional governor Vladimir Artyukh states that the Russian Army has not yet crossed the border.

➖“Russian army units did not cross the border and did not capture a single settlement on the territory of Sumy Oblast,” the head of the RMA said.

▪️At the same time, the Ukrainian public Deep State has long reported that Russian troops liberated the village of Novenkoye in the Sumy region and entered the battle in the village of Basovka.

 Ukrainian UAVs Attack Oil Depot in Tuapse

According to local residents, there were about ten loud explosions in the area of the local oil refinery. After that, an alarm siren went off in the city, and a fire started in the area of the enterprise.

The burning tank contains gasoline, the fire area is more than 1000 m². 121 people and 39 units of equipment are involved in extinguishing the fire.

Morning Summary on March 14, 2025

▪️ Overnight, the enemy attacked the oil complex in Tuapse with drones. One of the gasoline storage tanks caught fire. The fire covers an area of more than 1,000 square meters, emergency services are working. In addition, drones were shot down over Saratov and Voronezh Regions.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the “North” grouping of troops liberated the settlements of Zaoleshanka and the Goncharovka suburb, clearing the vicinity of Sudzha (https://t.me/dva_majors/66715) from all sides. The enemy is striking the liberated territories, trying to inflict maximum damage on our troops. Footage is circulating of destroyed enemy equipment – the opponent suffered serious losses in their attempt to withdraw troops from the region. Battles continue in the Kurikovka area. More and more footage is emerging from the liberated territories, testifying to the atrocities of the Nazis against the civilian population. Battles continue near Basovka in Sumy Region.

▪️ North of Ternove, there were reports of fighting in the Novolubovka area.

▪️ From the Siversk direction, the enemy reported activity of the Russian Armed Forces near the settlements of Sacco and Vanzetti, a sector of the front that has long been absent from front-line reports.

▪️ In Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), fighting continues with enemy units in different parts of the city. The enemy continues to infiltrate groups into the urban area.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, fighting continues near the settlements of Uspenovka, Udachne and Kotlyne, Pishchane and Shevchenko. Despite the high intensity of the battles, the line of contact remains unchanged.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, in Volokonovo District in the village of Konovalovo, a private home was damaged as a result of a drone attack. In the Gaevka hamlet, a special equipment vehicle was damaged by a drone strike. In Valuyki District, in the village of Kaznacheevka, an FPV drone attacked a cargo truck, and another drone struck a private home. In the village of Grafovka, Krasnoyaruzhsky District, two drones detonated. In the Oktyabrsky settlement of Belgorod District, two men were injured by an FPV drone strike. Another drone detonated in the Dalny settlement of Valuyki District, injuring a woman. In Shebekino, two FPV drones struck an enterprise. In Volokonovo District, in the village of Borisovka, a drone attacked a private home.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march_14.html