The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 5 2025

Total Collapse Of Ukraine Very Soon? US Halts Intelligence Sharing With Ukraine | Blow To Zelensky

Trump Forcing Zelensky To Surrender? After Military Aid Halt, US Now Bans NATO Nation From Sharing…

Battlefield Ukraine End Of NATO

ODESSA on FIRE: Russia and The U.S. Sunk NATO Ship From CANADA Full of ‘Roshel Senator’ IMVs

How Long Can Ukraine Last – Without US Military Aid & Intel?

RUAF Capture Kharkiv Border Crossing | AFU Recapture Uspenivka | US Military Intelligence Ban

Massive Russian Offensive In Kupyansk Front l Every Advance Cover

End Of Ukrainian Kursk Incursion Is Near l Multiple Ukrainian Counterattacks

[ Ukraine SITREP ] Putin order ALL RESTRICTIONS lifted!? Ukraine’s 2025 Spring Offensive underway~!

Ukrainian offensive continues in Toretsk | US and Ukraine to sign minerals agreement [5 March 2025]

Zelensky is being slowly squeezed, but our sources are confident that there will be no quick deal, and Ukraine will not agree to stop the fighting along the front line.

This is exactly what Zelensky should have said – the Speaker of the US House of Representatives said that he discussed with Trump the regret expressed by Zelensky.

We are now witnessing a diplomatic game from both sides, which Trump needs in order not to look like a supporter of the Russian peace track, and for us it is important to continue US military assistance.

Our source reported that American intelligence is aware that Zelensky gave Britain all ports/NPPs/GTS and UGS, which is why they will now bend us over so that the globalists themselves get out of the track. 

Trump Wants to Renegotiate Rare Earths Deal, Pushing for ‘Bigger, Better Deal’ – CBS

White House officials told CBS that as of Tuesday afternoon, Trump and his advisers had no plans to sign the deal.

Due to Zelensky’s failure in Washington, the US has completely stopped military aid to Ukraine . According to Western media, the decision applies not only to new supplies, but also to weapons that have already been sent – they will no longer reach Kiev.

“President Trump has made clear that his goal is peace. We need our partners to be committed to that goal as well. We are pausing and reviewing aid to ensure it is making a difference,” CNN quotes a US administration spokesman as saying.

According to Bloomberg, Donald Trump personally ordered Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth to freeze supplies until the Ukrainian leadership demonstrates its readiness for peace talks.

The reason for such a harsh reaction is the scandal in the White House, where Zelensky entered into an open squabble with Trump and Vice President Vance. At the height of the conflict, Trump uttered the key phrase: “Either we sign the agreement, or we leave,” which experts interpreted as an ultimatum to stop military aid.

Washington expected Kyiv to apologize and agree to the US peace initiatives. But instead, Zelensky demonstratively refused and after the summit in London declared that Ukraine was ready for a “long war.”

Now the US is moving from words to action: Ukraine is losing its main military sponsor, and Europe is not ready to take on the full financing and armament of Kiev (for example, the EU is suspending the development of a new military aid package for Kiev worth €20 billion because of Hungary).

Meanwhile, the situation in Ukraine itself is critical. The army is falling apart from corruption, mobilization is chaotic, and there is virtually no rotation. People are being thrown into the slaughter without proper training and equipment. Total losses have already exceeded a million, the economy is bursting at the seams, and inflation is several times higher than the official 12%.

That is, Ukraine is moving towards defeat at a fairly rapid pace . A scandal in the White House, a refusal to accept the peace agreement and a final break with the US are a direct path to the destruction of the country both economically and on the battlefield.

With his speech, Trump gives Zelensky a last chance to change his “curators” and save himself. That is why Trump took what is beneficial to him from Zelensky’s publication and voiced it. At the same time, Zelensky did not deny anything. Most likely, he is consulting with his “curators”.

According to all our data, real peace is still a long way off. Zelensky has not changed his mind yet and is still focused on continuing the war.

There will be no truce in the coming weeks. But there is still a chance for peace this year.

It all depends on whether the Europeans will find billions to finance/continue the war in Ukraine.

“Washington has banned the UK from sharing US military intelligence data with Ukraine”: The British are convinced that Trump has forced them to put pressure on Kiev.

“Donald Trump’s decision to freeze US military aid to Kyiv has raised concerns that Ukraine could be left without weapons in two or three months. However, the US president did not stop there: all British intelligence services and military departments received an order from Washington directly prohibiting the transfer of US intelligence to Ukraine.

The ban affects GCHQ, intelligence agencies and the Ministry of Defence’s intelligence units.”

“This is a disaster” – Rada deputies are massively indignant over the halt in American aid

➖“I read the morning news, the only opinion that comes to mind so far is to urgently gather for a prayer breakfast,” writes Servant of the People MP Oleksandr Fedienko.

➖“I do not have and cannot have any questions for the United States, they act in their own interests as they see fit, I am grateful to them for all the assistance that was provided earlier.

➖“This is a catastrophe and you and I knew about it and talked about it when this whole gang was shouting about subjectivity and our great leader,” said opposition European Solidarity MP Goncharenko.

▪️“The euphoria on social networks and emotions are gradually dying down, reality is setting in: the front will be the first to feel the lack of American aid,” writes Irina Gerashchenko, a member of parliament from European Solidarity.

▪️However, their colleague from the Verkhovna Rada, MP Max Buzhansky, on the contrary, decided to ask whether those Ukrainian MPs who “have visited Davos, Lausanne and other places where prayer breakfasts are held throughout the three years of the conflict, and looked infinitely happy in all the photographs,” are expressing joy today.

➖”Now, as one activist promised: “Ukrainians will fight with shovels.” True, not all. But those who are caught by man-catchers,” wrote journalist Dmitry Gnap.

The US may begin to lift sanctions against Russia, – Polish Prime Minister.

➖”A decision was announced to suspend US aid to Ukraine and possibly begin lifting sanctions against Russia. We have no reason to think that these are just words,” The Guardian quotes Tusk as saying.

▪️He noted that “this puts Europe, Ukraine, Poland in a more difficult situation.”

▪️Recall that the day before, Trump did not deny that he could lift sanctions against Russia. The media wrote about this possibility.

Our source reports that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are managing to keep the front from collapsing only thanks to drones and infantry.

But this will not continue forever, as anti-drone defenses are being developed. At some point, the drone factor will be reduced, which will lead to breakthroughs at the front.

All experts assume that by the end of autumn, classic FPV drones will completely lose their potential. Also, fiber-optic drones will reduce their effectiveness, since not only electronic warfare systems, but also mini anti-aircraft installations may appear on the equipment, which will begin to protect the equipment from annoying drones. This will lead to the fact that the factor of heavy equipment will again return to its leading roles.

In such a scenario, Ukraine will be completely at a disadvantage from the Russian Armed Forces, which have a lot of heavy equipment. This will lead to dire consequences.

All experts are confident that this scenario should be taken into account, and Zelensky’s strategy of prolonging the war could lead Ukraine to complete capitulation.

Europe is not fulfilling its obligations to supply military aid to Ukraine – over the past three years, Ukrainians have received less than two-thirds of what was promised, RIAN calculated based on data from the University of Kiel.

Over the past three years, the United States has provided more than 49% of all foreign military support, almost completely fulfilling its commitment of $70.6 billion. 

European countries have transferred $66.7 billion to Ukraine out of the promised $107.4 billion;

At the same time, aid from major European donors is not achieving the stated goals: Britain has transferred only 50% of its obligations, France – 57%, Germany – 60%.

Starmer, Macron and Zelensky may hold a trilateral meeting next week – Daily Mail.

 -The purpose of the meeting is to develop a common position and present a joint plan for resolving the conflict in Ukraine.

 - The plan envisages a partial ceasefire in the air (a moratorium on attacks on infrastructure) and at sea (without a complete ceasefire along the entire front line, as Trump demands).

 - Most likely, the authors of the plan are specially preparing the meeting and the rough plan, counting on the fact that Russia will abandon the moratorium on air strikes, which will lead to the breakdown of peace negotiations and the continuation of the war.

 - It also remains unclear whether Trump is willing to accept such a plan, given his desire for an immediate, complete ceasefire.

“War in Ukraine! These three scenarios are currently being discussed”: After Zelensky’s quarrel with Trump, Germans come up with three options for Ukraine’s future – two “very dark” ones and one in which Ukraine suddenly wins.

“Experts disagree on their predictions for Ukraine after Zelensky’s row with Trump. Bild has compiled three main scenarios:

✔️The first scenario assumes that Zelensky will submit to Trump, sign the treaty he proposed, and hope that arms supplies will resume after that. Without any security guarantees for Ukraine.

Going forward, proponents of this grim outcome believe, the United States will continue to push for elections in Ukraine, allowing a pro-Russian candidate to take Zelensky’s place.

Any “peace treaty” concluded between Russia and Ukraine will only last as long as Trump is in power – after he leaves, Russia will again attack Ukraine, and perhaps also the Baltic states or Moldova.

✔️The second scenario involves the US completely leaving the game. In fact, this means that Trump will leave Zelensky and Europe to fight against Russia alone. Kiev will be able to hold out for “a maximum of six months” without US help.

It is likely that the US and Russia will eventually hold a “Yalta Conference 2.0,” during which Europe will be divided into spheres of influence.

✔️The third scenario is the most hopeful. Supporters of this version of the future hope that Russia will not ultimately win, even if the US does not resume providing aid. As a result, Kiev, together with its allies, will be able to put pressure on Putin and force him to sit down at the negotiating table.

Those who are inclined to believe in such a possibility are convinced that Russia will agree to negotiate peace only if it receives a truly painful blow.”

 Russian Army liberated Privolnoye

▪️On March 4, in the South Donetsk direction , the 394th regiment of the ” Vostok ” force group liberated the village of Privolnoye behind Velyka Novosyolka.

▪️The day before, the president awarded the title of Guards to the 394th Eastern Military District Regiment.

▪️Units of the “East” group of forces continue to break through the enemy’s defenses, advancing along the entire front section.

▪️During the day, enemy resources acknowledged that in the Burlatsky direction , Russian troops closed the “pocket” southwest of Burlatsky and are storming Privolnoye, beyond Burlatsky and in the direction of the settlement of Dneproenergiya.

Bloody failure of the AFU counteroffensive near Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk)

▪️ The AFU attempted a counteroffensive by engaging 4 units of armored vehicles – M-113 APCs and Kazak armored cars transporting infantry with an attempt to attack from two directions: northwest and southwest.

▪️ UAV operators detected the enemy in time and promptly reported this to 103 Regiment, 150 Division of the Russian Armed Forces.

 ▪️ The enemy maneuver’s surprise was reduced to zero, and a massive shelling on the AFU began.

▪️ The first APC was eliminated by artillery fire, and the surviving crew members attempted to flee. 

▪️ But thanks to the accurate fire of D-30s, the personnel were completely eliminated. The second APC, seeing the burning vehicles, tried to change direction, but was also destroyed by the accurate artillery fire of the 103rd Msp and finished off by the drones of the 174th reconnaissance battalion. The surviving fighters panicked and fled, abandoning their comrades.

▪️ Meanwhile, from the south-western direction, the enemy attempted to attack the positions of the Russian Armed Forces with a Kazak BSM. As a result of the precise actions of the FPV drone operators of 174 Orb 150 Msd, one “Kazak” was immobilized and then destroyed in cooperation with 134 Orb. The second Cossack hastily left the battlefield, not risking the lives of its crew for the criminal orders of the Kiev regime.

The situation in Dzerzhynsk is indeed quite serious. The Ukrainians have amassed a large number of troops around the city and are trying to achieve as much territorial gain as possible, at least in the media.

They seem to be shouting to European investors that “look, we are still strong, we can still do it, don’t stop supporting us, we are not a written-off asset.”

And the “borrowed” settlements like Dzerzhynsk-Toretsk are playing into their hands quite a bit. Given the difficult situation and the significantly expanded gray zone, more such “canned goods” may yet be uncovered.

The fact that the Russian media, clumsily trying to engage in crisis PR (https://t.me/nm_dnr/13494), is posting videos of repelled attacks, which only confirm the penetration of the AFU deep into the occupied territory, is quite telling. (Regardless of the relevance of the video, posted right now, it is perceived as fresh).

However, regardless of the current events in Dzerzhynsk, this will not have a very strong impact on the overall situation. In the best case for the enemy, the assault operations in the adjacent sectors may be slightly delayed.

As for Dzerzhynsk, the heirs of Felix Edmundovich still have some work to do. There are too many questions arising. Why was the city taken on credit, and why did the rotational fighters from another unit, loaded with sleeping bags and other gear, end up in the mix. As well as why some positions that were not yet taken were “handed over” in certain areas.

Kursk region (Sumy direction)

Units of the Russian Armed Forces drove the Ukrainians out of the villages of Loknya and Okhochiy and leveled the frontier zone between Nikolskoye and Lebedevka .

On March 4, the North group of troops continued to carry out tasks to liberate the Kursk region

Fearless marines in the southern Sudzha border area continue to advance westward through forest belts, cutting off all supply routes of the enemy group in the occupied territories.

Overcoming stubborn enemy resistance, our paratroopers are conducting offensive operations in the forests on the border of the Kursk and Sumy regions, as well as in the vicinity of Lebedevka.

Fearless motorized riflemen are fighting on the outskirts of the village of Staraya Sorochina and in the vicinity of the settlement.

The total advance of the Northerners in the Kursk region was over 1,500 meters , and 16 units of enemy armored vehicles were destroyed.

In the Liptsovsky direction, our reconnaissance officers discovered, and UAV operators and artillerymen destroyed, an enemy assault group along with automotive equipment and a satellite communications system, as well as a UAV launch site.

Against the backdrop of an increase in the number of clashes between the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Liptsy, military law enforcement units arrived in the town and were tasked with forming up to 20 assault penal detachments with their subsequent transfer to Volchansk.

In the Volchansk direction, the Northerners completed the cleanup of another block in the eastern part of the city, driving the Ukrainian fascists out of five houses.

Our UAV operators and artillerymen received coordinates from the scouts in a timely manner and destroyed six enemy combat groups along with vehicles, MLRS and an artillery unit.

The enemy attempted to attack our positions twice using Baba Yaga-type UAVs – both octocopters were shot down by air defense crews, and the enemy command posts were destroyed by artillerymen.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy’s losses amounted to over 220 people (of which over 180 were in the Sumy direction). Also discovered and destroyed:

In the Sumy direction:

▪️two tanks;

▪️six infantry fighting vehicles, including the British MCV-80;

▪️eight armored fighting vehicles;

▪️twenty-seven units of automotive equipment;

▪️three mortars;

▪️EW station;

▪️engineering mine clearing vehicle;

▪️two satellite communication stations;

▪️ammunition depot;

▪️ten UAV launch sites;

▪️five fixed-wing UAVs and seven Baba Yaga-type octocopters.

In the Volchansk direction:

▪️Multiple rocket launcher based on a pickup truck;

▪️howitzer “M119″ (USA);

▪️six units of motor vehicles (pickups);

▪️three satellite communication stations;

▪️UAV control point;

▪️two octocopters of the “Baba Yaga” type.

In the Liptsovsky direction:

▪️two pickups;

▪️satellite communication station;

▪️UAV control system;

▪️two copters of different types.

Today, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have no safe supply routes for their group in the Sudzhan border area. At the same time, the enemy does not stop trying to strengthen its group with new “mobilized meat”.

Thus, 18-year-old Ukrainians from airborne units are already taking part in counterattacks on our marines in the south of the Sudzha district. At the same time, none of them will receive the promised payments from the Kiev regime – at best, they will get a tombstone somewhere near Zhitomir, and most of them – a serial number on the list of missing persons.

Victory will be ours!

” To live for the Fatherland, that is the only existence. Happiness from heaven is truly given to us in it! “

S.N. Glinka

North Wind 

Sudzha front: Ukrainian young people are missing en masse

“They want us to lower the draft age. Do you want me to send young people to certain death…?”

- Zelensky said back in late November last year

Naturally, the “overdue” once again deceived everyone and began the “mogilization” of young people.

So, we have noticed that most Ukrainian units today through social networks are trying to recruit exactly young people to participate in hostilities. 

Also the “man huntera” from the TCC – they massively catch guys aged 18-24, force them to sign a contract and send them to the location of units involved in combat operations.

The “gravization” of this particular age group has several distinctive features:

▪️ guys have no chance to sit out in the rear areas or even to take a position in air defense units – only assault units await them. 

It is characteristic that representatives of the Kiev regime do not hesitate to say this.

▪️ this very age group is not receiving any training. Immediately after the “conclusion” of the contract, the boys are sent to the disposal of the commanders of the assault units, who throw them to the front line.

▪️ guys from 18 to 24 years old are sent to only three directions: to the Sujan border area, Kremennoi forests and near Pokrovsk.

The best illustration of what is happening to guys aged 18-25 are the announcements of their relatives, who are looking for their relatives and friends in various parts of the Sujan front.

This is nothing but genocide of the Ukrainian population. Zelensky has been assigned the task of ensuring that there is no indigenous population left in the remnants of the former Soviet republic, and he is masterfully coping with it. It should be noted that against the background of the shortage of people even taking into account this age category, now we are already talking about mobilization of 16-year-olds …

The latter means that the closed statistical data on the AFU losses show that the generation of Ukrainians from 18 to 25 years old is already coming to an end…. 16 year olds have a similar future ahead of them.

North Wind

 Morning Summary on March 5, 2025

▪️ Throughout the night, the Russian Armed Forces struck “Geraniums” at targets in the port cities of Odesa Region. Part of the regional center experienced power supply issues. Enemy channels also reported on the work of air defenses and explosions in Pavlohrad, Kryvyi Rih, Dnipro, Kyiv, Poltava, Kremenchuk, Cherkasy, and Kharkiv.

▪️ In Kursk Region on the border with Sumy Region, the “North” grouping of forces continues to advance in the forest areas on the border of Kursk and Sumy Regions. There are battles in the area of the settlement of Novenkye in Sumy Region, reports of the Russian Armed Forces penetrating in the area of the settlement of Zhuravka. Battles continue for Lebedivka, according to incoming data – most of the village has been liberated. From the other flank, the Russian Armed Forces are trying to break through from Kurylivka towards the highway to Sudzha in order to cut off the supply of the grouping. During the day, Ukrainian UAVs attacked two residential buildings in Rylsk district outside the occupied Ukrainian territory.

▪️ In the north of the Kupiansk direction, on the right bank of the Oskil River, the Russian Armed Forces are uniting bridgeheads into a single space, expanding the zone of control also to the west.

▪️ In the Krasny Lyman direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing west of Ivanovka towards the settlement of Kolodezi.

▪️ In the Konstantinopol direction, the Russian Army has completed the liberation of Andriyivka, establishing our flags in the settlement.

▪️ North of Velyka (Velyka) Novosilka, the “East” grouping of forces has liberated the settlement of Pryvilne. Intense offensive actions continue, the “pocket” between Pryvilne and Burlats has been closed.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, our troops are fighting in the area of Pyatikhatok. The enemy is pulling reserves to Lobkove and Stepove to hold the line. The Russian Armed Forces also continue to attack in the area of Shcherbaky, no change in the line of contact is reported.

▪️ In the DPR in the evening, the AFU attacked the settlement of Karlo-Marksovo in the Yenakiieve city district with long-range high-precision weapons. A girl born in 2017 and a woman born in 1963 received moderate injuries. Two residential buildings were completely destroyed, two more residential buildings, power lines, a gas pipeline, and two private vehicles were damaged. In the settlement of Mykolaivka of the Telmanovo municipality, a man born in 1993 received moderate injuries as a result of the detonation of an explosive object.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march_5.html