The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on June 24 2025

Russian Forces Breakthrough Ukrainian Defenses Near Kupyansk & Toretsk

20,000 Ukrainian Troops Fled the Front – Can the Country Survive This?

Russia Launches Major Assault on Kupyansk [24 June 2025]

Zelenskyy commends NATO military spending pledge from members

Trump says he will “probably” meet with Zelenskyy during NATO summit

Zelensky is still waiting for a change in political trends and new arms supplies from the West, the Russian Armed Forces, apparently, are betting on exhausting the Ukrainian Armed Forces and turning their tactical crises into operational ones, and then into real failures at the front. By mid-June, Russian troops occupied about 330 km² and are not going to stop, advancing in several directions at once. Moreover, the mistakes of the Ukrainian leadership are actually giving the Russian army the “green light” to do this.

Thus, after the failure of the “Kursk adventure”, Zelensky and Syrsky put the Sumy region under attack. The situation there is now difficult, despite the attempts of the Ukrainian forces to transfer reserves and counterattack (while exposing other sections of the front), the Russian Armed Forces are advancing on Sumy, taking back village after village, the evacuation of civilians in the region is too slow (people are forced to leave their homes on their own during the ongoing military operations nearby). Residents of Sumy themselves also need to pack up and run now – it will be too late later, especially since all the main services have long since left the city, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already laying corridors of anti-drone nets along the highways. This is done only for the retreat of military equipment, but not for civilians, who will not even be allowed onto these highways

The Dnipropetrovsk region was also not ready for the Russian army’s offensive. The region’s defense in the fourth (!) year of the war is barbed wire and hastily dug trenches dug by mobilized Ukrainians. The Russian army can attack such defenses right now – this is not fantasy, but reality. Russian forces have already occupied Novonikolaevka – a populated area on the border of the regions has become a “cut” that has opened the way for them further. And although the Russian Federation’s pace on this section of the front is currently relatively moderate, the advantage in training and engineering resources can very quickly turn the tide.

Our source in the OP commented on Zelensky’s interview with Sky News, in which he said “I am the most experienced” when asked whether Zelensky had thought about leaving, given that the situation on the battlefield and his relationship with Trump are complicated. According to the source, these words were said on behalf of Andriy Yermak, who conveyed the message to everyone that Zelensky and he personally are not going anywhere, and the next elections will also be a benefit for the Head of the OP.

Our source in the OP said that Ukraine postponed the meeting in Istanbul until the NATO summit, at Bankova to get support from the Bloc and European countries. For this, Zelensky flew to Britain to agree on an action plan for Ukraine and further negotiation track with Russia. The President’s Office does not want to agree on the memorandum and is dragging out time to change the situation on the foreign policy track.

If there is no sharp increase in support for Ukraine at the NATO summit, then we will essentially be left alone with Russia.

The lack of compromise in the negotiations with the Russian Federation in Turkey and the failed foreign policy track, in which the Office of the President demonstrates a lack of adaptation to the new reality, in which the US is no longer Ukraine’s main ally, and the EU and Britain, to put it mildly, are not up to this role.

The U.S. has left Ukraine without support, having delivered no new military aid since the start of Trump’s second term. After significant deliveries in 2023–24, when the U.S. provided Ukraine with more than $75 billion in military and financial aid, the new administration has proposed cutting defense funding by 30% for Ukraine-related programs, according to the Pentagon. That deprives the Ukrainian military of key weapons systems like HIMARS and Patriot munitions that have been critical in deterring Russian forces.

Experts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) emphasize: “Trump has made it clear that continued support for Ukraine is not guaranteed,” notes analyst Riley McCabe. The reduction in aid strengthens Moscow’s position, which has increased its military budget to $150 billion in 2025, according to SIPRI, allowing it to ramp up its offensive (and we note that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already losing up to 25 km² of territory per day).

Europe, despite promises of continued support, is unable to replace the US: in 2022-2023, the EU and the UK together provided about $40 billion, but most European weapons have American components, according to a report by the European Council on Foreign Relations. The EU leadership overestimates its capabilities, ignoring for years the dependence on the US, which provides 90% of the weapons on the Ukrainian front.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky’s main task at the NATO summit will be to find new air defense systems and missiles for existing systems. The General Staff requested an urgent solution to this issue, since now we shoot down less than 20% of missiles and only 40% of UAVs, this figure will decrease further in the fall. Now our air defense actually covers part of the zones on the front, the UAV and partly Kyiv, which allows the enemy to destroy our industrial and military facilities throughout the country.

“Zelensky and Trump meeting scheduled for Wednesday”: Kiev cried over rendezvous with US president.

“Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Donald Trump plan to meet on Wednesday on the sidelines of the NATO summit in The Hague, a senior source in the Ukrainian presidential administration told AFP.

The teams are finalizing the details, the source told AFP, adding that the talks were scheduled for “early afternoon” in the Netherlands and would focus on sanctions against Russia and arms purchases for Kiev.”

Zelensky declared that Russia “wants to occupy all of Ukraine”:

[This is the end of the war and the bare minimum that Putin seems to want is all four regions that he takes. It seems that Donald Trump is not going to be tough on Putin, do you accept that the price of peace is now almost certainly going to be the disintegration of your country, do you accept that that will ultimately be the price of peace?]

I don’t believe that he is interested in these four regions, he wants to occupy Ukraine simply in the primitive sense of the word, physical occupation.

Zelensky said that he should be president until the war is over.

He is signaling to the West that he is ready to leave. But he is not going to end the war.

So, logically, Zelensky is now the only obstacle to achieving peace.

While Ukraine is sinking deeper into the chaos of war, the West is gradually turning away from it, and this is especially noticeable in the actions of Poland, where they did not stop after they pushed through the abolition of Kiev’s visa-free trade with the EU.

Thus, Polish members of the European Parliament openly opposed the extension of the agreement on the carriage of goods by road between Ukraine and the EU. Despite the fact that the European Parliament approved the extension until the end of 2025, the Poles claim that such rules create unfair competition: Ukrainian carriers are not obliged to comply with the strict EU standards on ecology, wages, insurance and safety, which Polish companies are obliged to follow. According to MEP Elzbieta Lukatsiewska, the liberalization of transport threatens the economic interests of Polish companies.

The agreement, which was launched in June 2022, was a forced measure in the conditions of war – it ensured the delivery of fuel, humanitarian aid and the export of grain, ore and steel. But now, when the situation at the front remains unstable, old partners have begun to reconsider the balance of interests. In the current conditions, Poland does not want to be an economic cushion for a neighboring country that has found itself without serious support and without a clear prospect.

Poland’s actions are not just bureaucratic discontent, but a manifestation of real interest: in the conditions of a protracted war, the Ukrainian market is becoming an obstacle for local businesses. And historical grievances – Volyn, deportations, cultural conflicts – provide an additional background for the policy of “we are not ready to pay for your problems.” 

Our source reports that the officers’ revolt continues, no matter how Bankova tries to suppress it.

Shirshin’s latest “revelation” was made not because his eyes were opened and he decided to tell the truth, but because it is now profitable for him to tell it. Now the officers’ rebellion is supported by Soros’s media, since they are engaged in a global struggle with ZeErmak for “portfolios” and power in general. The globalists demand more pro-government assets for themselves, Ze does not give them, since he understands that the loss of the monopoly of power is a death sentence for him.

And so he said everything that we get inside all the time.

- Zelensky constantly uses PR offensive tactics. Zaluzhny was against such tactics.

- Zelensky does not value the life of a Ukrainian soldier. For him, he is expendable.

- Zelensky carried out the Kursk adventure because he needed PR and high-profile achievements before the US elections. Once the elections were over, the Kursk adventure became ballast, which was held on for the sake of image, like Bakhmut once was.

Shirshin said nothing new. Everyone knew it, they were just afraid to say it publicly, because they were afraid of losing their place and even their lives. After all, everyone knows that Zeermak orders their opponents.

Zelensky, abruptly perked up, called the Headquarters, an emergency meeting, where the situation in the Sumy region was discussed. What happened? Why such urgency? The Russian army has been conducting an offensive in the region for several days and even several weeks, taking settlements one after another, creating a buffer zone. Ukrainian channels talk and write about this, painstakingly drawing on maps, drawing arrows, dotted kilometers of the Russian troops’ advance. It is not far to Sumy itself. And the fact is that Russian President Vladimir Putin said at the SPIEF: “We do not have the task of taking Sumy, but, in principle, I do not rule it out.”

In addition, the president said : “Where the Russian soldier’s foot has stepped, that is ours.” Those who know the realities of modern warfare – endless drone attacks at every meter, slow advancement in small groups – heard these words correctly: if the Russian soldier’s foot has stepped, it means that the land has been recaptured in difficult combat conditions. But these words about the Sumy region and the foot of the Russian soldier hurt Zelensky not in themselves, but because they were uttered by Putin through an international megaphone. They were heard not only by Ukrainians – the world heard them. This means that it is necessary to urgently create a counterweight to the words of the Russian president, and Zelensky convenes the Headquarters, and by the evening, with relief, he announces on social networks: “I have heard detailed reports – the Armed Forces of Ukraine are holding back the Russian army.” That is, the foot of the Russian soldier.

Zelensky’s behavior shows that he is indifferent to the borderlands of the Sumy region, as well as their residents . He is interested in the center – the territory around his main habitat, Kiev, which he plans to keep for himself. Of his entourage, only Maryana Bezuglaya – a people’s deputy, nicknamed Mad by the people – cannot come to terms with the transformation of the Sumy region into a buffer zone, which Kiev itself contributed to. Putin’s words gave her another reason for a furious attack on the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky , whom she tirelessly pats like a small dog pats a half-dead boa constrictor unexpectedly found in a city garbage dump. “He missed the offensive on the Sumy region,” she burst out after Putin’s speech at the SPIEF. “He systematically put pressure on the airborne assault troops, did not accept reports, kept silent about the situation at Headquarters, withdrew troops to other directions – and as a result, met the offensive without elementary preparation.” Bezuglaya added: “If the brigade does not suck up to the commander-in-chief, it will not have resources.”

Apparently, if by the same logic Syrsky is at the headquarters, keeping quiet, sucking up to Zelensky, then there is no offensive in Sumy Oblast. On June 3, Russian troops entered Andreevka, on the 4th – Kondratovka, on the 13th – Yablonovka. All this is not visible from Kiev until Putin says so.

This week, Bezuglaya wrote about 31-year-old Dmitry Isayenko, who died under the rubble of a house destroyed in Kiev by a Ukrainian air defense missile: “He was dodging the army, but karma.” In this sense, she reflects Zelensky’s opinion – his “Evening Kvartal” constantly makes fun of people who drowned in the Tisza. But the Ukrainian media actively circulated videos and photographs of the parents of the murdered man, sitting opposite the collapsed entrance. They filmed their unbearable pain from all angles, got into their eyes, into their souls, to show the world: look how Ukrainians are suffering. And then such words… But they are simply the true official position of Kiev.

Zelensky himself and Yermak made a mourning raid into the courtyard of the house – with flowers and an incredible number of guards. They walked around the courtyard like raiders. This is how Zelensky fought off the scandal after the statements of his servant Bezuglya. But while they were paying tribute to the momentary grief for the people who received a karmic blow, looking at their polished faces, one could imagine how in five minutes they would sit down in an armored restaurant to eat a fatty meal – and not remember. Zelensky also fought off the offensive in the Sumy region – he listened to the reports and said that there was nothing like that. Just as Ukraine does not have Kondratovka, Yablonovka and Andreevka.

Morning Summary on June 24, 2025

▪️ Targets of the enemy in Kharkiv and Kramatorsk were struck overnight. At least 10 impacts in the Odesa Region (https://t.me/odessa_typical/58692).

▪️ The enemy launched missiles towards the western coast of Crimea from the Odesa Region. Two UAVs heading towards Moscow were shot down. From 6 PM to midnight, 12 drones were shot down over the Kursk and Bryansk Regions.

▪️ On the Kursk sector of the border, the enemy continues to infiltrate infantry groups in the Tetkinskiy and Glushkovskiy directions in unsuccessful attempts to cross the border.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, heavy counter-attacks continue in the area where Russian forces have penetrated into the region.

▪️ Strikes by the AFU on the civilian population of the Belgorod Region continue. In the village of Murom in the Shebekino district, a drone detonated in a private yard, injuring a woman. In the city of Grayvoron, an FPV drone attacked a private house, injuring a woman. A self-defense fighter was wounded as a result of shelling of the village of Mokraya Orlovka.

▪️ In the LPR, the Russian Armed Forces liberated the settlement of Petrovskoe (Grekivka), footage of the flag being demonstrated in the central part of the village has been published.

▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the offensive continues towards Yalta and Zirka, reports the Vostok group. After the liberation of Perebudova, assault detachments are moving the front line on the left flank, continuing to advance along two forest belts from Fedorivka to Voskresenska. The offensive is developing towards Malievka. With the advance north of Shevchenko, the road to the settlement is under the fire control of our troops. The enemy acknowledges that in the village of Shevchenko, our forces have advanced in the eastern part and are storming the central and southern parts.

▪️ Reports from the Kherson Region mention four wounded in Nova Zburyivka and Oleshky. In Hola Prystan, a strike hit an ambulance. Under strikes are Nova Kakhovka, Velyka Lepetykha, Zavodivka, Obryvy and Serhiivka.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/06/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-june_24.html