The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 06 2025

Pokrovsk in Danger: Eastern front could collapse if Russia Takes it

Ukraine Loses 3 Major Cities at Once – 1,000 Kamikaze Drones Strike Kyiv in a Single Day!

Hell Unleashed Over Kyiv: Russian Drones Strike Nonstop – Zelensky Begs Trump for Help!

Recap & Analysis of Largest Developments The Past 6 Months of Russo-Ukrainian War

BlackRock has decided to walk away from its Ukraine Recovery Fund. 

Macron is currently working on a replacement in time for the July 10-11th Ukraine Recovery Conference in Rome.

There is no date for a new round of negotiations between Russia and the United States, Maria Zakharova said. She noted that both parties are in constant contact, including on the issue of eliminating mutual irritants.

The main points from Putin’s statements during the forum “Everything for Victory!”:

▪All of Russia has become a single united Popular Front.

▪Putin called the main goal the safe and peaceful future of Russia, “for the sake of this, the men are fighting at the front”.

▪The hearts of all Russians are with the men on the front line and with their loved ones.

▪Russian drones have burned over 2 billion dollars worth of enemy equipment.

▪ Russians are assembling equipment in their garages that is better than what professionals in other NATO countries are doing.

▪Putin called the deceased Major General Gudkov a real Russian officer.

▪Putin announced the popular public support of the fighters of the SMO, with the public raising more than 54 billion rubles in donations.

▪ Western governments that are sending weapons to Ukraine should consider what they are spending their people’s money on.

▪The more the West pursue the current anti-Russian policy, the worse life will be for them.

▪The Russians together are a tremendous indestructible power in their rightness and unity.

Using a pro-Ukrainian map.

Big picture: there’s your two MSRs from the south to Slavyansk-Kramatorsk.

Close picture: there’s why Chasov Yar is so difficult.

There is a spiderweb of ASRs in that region connecting all of those settlements.

Unlike the Southern front at this time, the middle front has to deal with this triangle of fire positions with two MSRs running alongside it. 

Logical outcome: hold Chasov Yar do nothing else. The very act of holding Konstantinovka already cuts one MSR – the enemy can do nothing with it except assault down South from Slavyansk.

So the position stays static, as it ought to, until Konstantinovka falls.

As to Konstantinovka, it has one MSR left at the moment.

Big picture – if and when RF begin operations to recapture Krasniy Liman and Izyum, Slavyansk-Kramatorsk will aready be enveloped. 

Kharkov Oblast • Kupiansk Combat Agglomeration

The Russian Ministry of Defense, ahead of all military insiders, announced today that it had captured the settlements of Moskovka and Sobolevka.  My information from 1TA about the breakthrough in the encirclement of Kupyansk was already available yesterday, but no one expected it to happen so quickly and so deep.

At the moment, there is no communication with the area, but I hope they have secured their positions and are pulling reserves to the bridgehead.

Condotierro

The MoD reports that 48 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over the Russian Federation in five hours. 

The drones were shot down over the Bryansk, Oryol, Smolensk, Kaluga, Kursk, and Yaroslavl regions, as well as over the Moscow region and Crimea.

Targets Under Fire

Strikes against symbols of the Kyiv regime continue

After the previous strike on the SBU building in Poltava, we wrote (https://t.me/rybar/71879) about the importance of continuing such strikes. It seems this is happening – this morning, another such object in Kremenchuk was attacked (https://t.me/boris_rozhin/171513).

ðŸ–As in previous cases, the raid caused delight among the population in the territories controlled by the Kyiv regime. It goes so far that in chats, people start openly ordering the Stalin’s Falcons (https://t.me/bIoodsiker/37599) to attack the next targets.

🚩The reason is obvious: for the overwhelming majority of the Ukrainian population, the SBU is personal enemies and literally the dregs, associated with “busification”, kidnapping people and total corruption.

ðŸ³️ From an information point of view, there is simply a colossal scope for creativity here – from a “concert by request” to monetizing strikes, when a couple of “Geraniums” are sent to the SBU in their hometown in exchange for the necessary intelligence information from the locals.

❗️So these raids need to be continued: even if they don’t disrupt the enemy’s mobilization measures, the powerful media-psychological effect of the actions is obvious.

Russia’s massive attacks on the TCC may continue throughout the country, – Ukrainian Ground Forces

➖”The main goal of the Russians is to disrupt mobilization. Such attacks are part of a broader campaign that includes mining and attempted terrorist attacks,” said V. Sarantsev, spokesman for the Ukrainian Army Ground Forces Command.

▪️Over the past week, there have been attacks on TCCs in Kryvyi Rih, Poltava, and today in Kremenchuk.

Overview Summary as of July 6, 2025

▪️ The beacon of global democracy, who came to the White House on the slogans of ending several wars, now does not know how to end the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. However, another war involving US strategic aviation has drained about 20% of all available NATO air defense missile reserves in the Middle East, affecting the revision of weapons supply policies to Ukraine. The latter is consuming ammunition and equipment at such a pace that it has depleted not only European warehouses, but also forced the global gendarme to remember the concept of “inviolable reserves”, which the US is now checking for itself across the big pond. This does not mean that Kyiv will soon be defending itself with sticks against the advancing Russian “Armata” regiments – the dramatically changed technological order of the war on the line of contact has reduced tactics to a drone war in the conditions of flying Soviet cast iron with aluminum wings of JDAM. Only after numerous strikes do our commanders move the assault infantry forward.

▪️The West has studied the usefulness of drones in war. While we are a little chilly from the transition of Chinese firms to new “Mavics”, NATO is testing military drones on military communication channels with military drops. On the other hand, we managed to increase the production of FPV, and the multi-faceted “Geraniums” have become the hallmark of long-range strikes, no worse than the “Kinzhals”.

▪️The trend on the foreign policy contour has not changed. We are losing influence over the former Soviet republics, and now it’s Azerbaijan’s turn. Moscow calls Baku’s actions the dismantling of relations between the countries, which exactly corresponds to Aliyev’s firm and consistent order of pre-planned actions according to Erdogan’s scenario. The land corridor to the strategic ally, Iran, which has been subjected to strikes by the American-Israeli military under the leadership of ultra-Orthodox rulers, is becoming increasingly illusory.

▪️On the front, the Russian Army continues to solve the strategic task of zeroing out Ukraine’s military potential, since the planned demilitarization within the framework of the SMO did not work out. That is, many experts call the main task not the capture of million-plus cities, but the grinding down of the AFU as the Russian Armed Forces advance. In the Sumy direction, the enemy is forced to throw elite units into the battle under the strikes of our FABs. A new direction has opened up on the Belgorod section of the border, our troops have taken a border village. The north of the Kupiansk direction is also a problem for the enemy. From three sides, our troops are breaking through with heavy fighting towards Kostyantynivka. The northern flank over Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) is tightening. The first meters of the Dnipropetrovsk region have been taken. In the South Donetsk direction, the Vostok grouping is moving forward, hitting the enemy with fire and maneuver. On the Zaporizhia front, the long-suffering Kamianske is almost taken.

▪️At the same time, there are problematic systemic moments like Novoyehorivka of the LPR, “liberated” by Pasechnik on the air of the First Channel. Disturbing news is coming from the area of responsibility of the 3rd MRD about the old forms and tactics of sending people forward. In the maritime spaces, today’s attack by the MBEK on Novorossiysk shows the incorrect application of resources and the still strange organization of the defense of our maritime spaces.

▪️European countries are being forcibly militarized, military hysteria is spreading to civil society, which is already being called upon to stockpile in case of war. Denmark is talking about women serving in the army, Romania is turning into a NATO outpost instead of Ukraine. The German Chancellor, like Zelenskyy, has duped his people in the elections and is now pushing the interests of the arms corporations even more than the old Scholz. Corporations, not forgetting to raise prices and put superprofits in their pockets, are still deploying military production and lobbying for the expansion of the staff of national armed forces in EU countries.

✨Thus, the world is confidently sliding towards a war of all against all, while Russia hopes for a shift in the interests of world capital to Asia, which may accelerate the depletion of Kyiv’s reserves, whose military power is directly dependent on supplies and handouts of money. Trump’s deals have completely handed over Ukraine’s resources to the United States, so America is gradually losing interest in this conflict, and the constantly growing degree of destruction of infrastructure in the former Ukrainian SSR makes even contracts for its post-war reconstruction unattractive. Nevertheless, even a complete cessation of US supplies to the AFU due to reserves will not collapse the enemy’s defense, the previously delivered weapons and Europe will provide the enemy with resources for months.

The war will be long. Heavy fighting is underway along the front line, which is more than 1,000 km long.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_6.html