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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 10 2025

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“The EU and Ukraine have already lost this war, and at this bitter moment, European leaders will have to admit their mistaken strategy,” 

▪️A war cannot be won on the battlefield; diplomacy is needed to end the conflict and minimize losses. 

- The EU spent ~100 billion euros on Ukraine without a clear plan for victory. 

- Europe’s problems (stagnation, inflation, rising food and energy prices) are a consequence of the war.

▪️On Zelensky:

- A new type of politician – an “actor” playing the role of president. 

- Dialogue with him is ineffective

▪️ The path to peace:

- A meeting of the presidents of Russia and the US is needed for a quick ceasefire. 

- Without this, the war could drag on for months. – War supporters dominate in Europe, which is harmful to the economy and politics

▪️ Ukraine has the right to choose its own path – peace or war

- But continuing the war is a mistake that harms Europe and Hungary

▪️Orban calls for returning diplomats to the negotiating table and working for peace.

Europe’s arsenals are depleted due to support for Ukraine, NATO will have to restore its artillery and air defense stockpiles — US Secretary of State

▪️Mark Rubio said that due to large-scale support for Ukraine, the arsenals of European countries have been significantly depleted.

▪️NATO is faced with the urgent task of restoring its artillery and air defense stockpiles.

If the US sends Ukraine only 10 Patriot interceptor missiles, ‘it will just be a stupid joke’ – a senior Ukrainian Air Force officer

▪️That number won’t even be enough for one battle, he told The Times.

▪️The day before, Axios sources reported that Trump promised Zelensky to “immediately send” 10 missiles.

‘It’s very expensive’ – Trump counted the money before sending Ukraine new Patriot system

The Wall Street Journal reported that the White House is considering sending another Patriot air defense system to Ukraine. Can you confirm this information?

-The Ukrainians would like it. They asked for it. These systems are very rare, you know, many systems have already been sent to Ukraine. They want another one. We need to look at it, but it’s a very expensive system. High-tech and requires a huge investment.

▪️According to the publication’s sources, US foreign policy under Trump is perceived as unpredictable, which makes it difficult to develop a stable strategy towards Ukraine.
➖”He could increase pressure on Russia, then stop arms supplies or withdraw troops from Europe – all of these are considered real scenarios,” one of the sources noted.
▪️Politico also points out the lack of a unified position within the US administration.
— Since July 1, Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov has been unsuccessfully trying to contact Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth.
— Reps of the department have not yet agreed on a call, despite repeated requests.
➖”It is difficult to understand what is happening inside the administration – Trump has begun to sound more consistent in his support for Ukraine, while the Pentagon leadership adheres to a different point of view”  European official says.
According to them, Kiev is currently receiving 155-mm artillery shells and GMLRS missiles. However, it is not known in what quantities.
It also remains unclear why the current shipment was limited to shells and missiles, and whether a decision has been made to resume deliveries of other types of weapons.
Earlier, last week, a batch was suspended that included 30 Patriot missiles, 8,500 155-mm artillery shells, more than 250 GMLRS missiles and 142 Hellfire air-to-ground missiles.

Zelensky spoke in Rome with Trump’s representative, Kellogg, about arms supplies, strengthening air defense, and sanctions against Russia

➖”In the context of the increased frequency of Russian attacks, this is one of our priorities. We also discussed the purchase of American weapons, joint defense production, and localisation in Ukraine,” Zelensky said.

 ➖”We have discussed the sanctions pressure in detail. We understand that we need stricter restrictions on Russian energy resources, especially secondary sanctions on buyers of Russian oil. We hope that the bill proposed by Senators Graham and Blumenthal will be advanced in the US Congress. This could certainly encourage Russia to consider peace,” the drug addict also said.

The murder in Kiev of SBU Colonel Ivan Voronich, reportedly responsible for conducting sabotage operations on Russian territory, is an extraordinary event by all measures. According to Ukrainian sources, Voronich was shot point-blank with a silenced pistol. The shooter escaped. 

It is too early to draw final conclusions, but the context demands attention. Since 2022, internal Ukrainian security forces, including the SBU, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Main Intelligence Directorate, and the State Bureau of Investigations, have regularly been settling scores. This has become a chronic problem in the system: parallel chains of command, competition for budgets, control over shadow schemes, independent operations, and much more. 

But there is another scenario. If it is confirmed that Voronich was not a desk officer but someone who actually engaged in sabotage, then the liquidation takes on a completely different tone. If his elimination is not related to an internal purge but to an external response, this signifies the beginning of a new phase. There is a real chance that priorities are shifting: from reacting to consequences to eliminating causes. 

Shooting and explosions: a massive attack on Kiev is coming from all sides

▪️Kiev under massive attack by “Geraniya” and missiles: fires in the Shevchenkivskyi and Darnitskyi districts.

▪️”According to monitors, the night will be difficult, dozens of UAVs in the direction of the city,” Ukrainian channels write.

▪️”The target of today’s attack is Kiev. About 40 drones on the capital and the region from all directions.”

Geraniums, Iskanders-M, and Iskanders-K have arrived in Kiev in the dead of night. The city is ablaze with activity, and there are numerous arrivals.

Various enemy channels are extremally active.

Kiev is in fire and smoke: massive fires in the capital of Ukraine after a night attack

▪️At night, a combined strike was carried out with hundreds of drones and rockets.

▪️People are asked to tightly close windows and avoid inhaling smoke.

The Russian army has taken Zelenaya Dolina and advanced with a wide front towards Srednee, Shandrigolovo, Glushchenkovo, and Kolodezi in an area of up to 40 km²

▪️In the Liman direction, Russian forces have taken the settlement of Zelenaya Dolina, battalion strongpoints of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and advanced with a wide front towards the settlements of Srednee, Shandrigolovo, and Kolodezi in an area of up to 40 km².

▪️”Several weeks ago, the Russian Armed Forces entered Novomikhailovka, after which they immediately began pressing on Novy Mir and Glushchenkovo; reportedly, the Russians managed to enter Glushchenkovo itself, and fighting continues,” write Ukrainian military analysts.

▪️Fighting is also ongoing in the Redkodub area, with attacks and counterattacks from both sides, and according to preliminary data, assault groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to break through to Katerinovka.

Morning Summary on July 10, 2025

▪️ Several dozen “Geraniums” and “Iskanders” worked on enemy targets in Kyiv overnight. According to enemy monitoring channels, about a hundred strike UAVs were used, mainly against the enemy’s capital. Meanwhile, reports from the front line indicate that “Geraniums” have begun to be used for strikes on enemy positions along the line of contact, not just on rear targets. This may indirectly confirm information about the increase in the production of “Geraniums” and other types of large kamikaze strike drones. “By fall, Russia will regularly launch more than 1,000 drones per salvo,” claims The New York Times.

▪️ On the Kursk sector of the border, the “North” Joint Grouping reports that now the AFU are trying not to break through the border, but to maintain their positions near the border settlements of Ryzhevka and Bessalovka, directing reserves to be slaughtered. In the Kursk Region, a Ukrainian drone yesterday attacked a moped moving along the road in the village of Nizhny Mordok in the Glushkovo district, injuring the driver. During transportation to Moscow, a 5-year-old boy wounded the day before in Kursk by an enemy strike died.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, the enemy is counterattacking with varying results. The main criterion is the number of enemy personnel and equipment destroyed. The Russian Aerospace Forces are grinding down the advancing AFU units with heavy FAB bombs, soon the enemy’s counteroffensive impulse will fade. Nevertheless, the “North” Joint Grouping reports that our forces were able to advance near Yunakivka and Varachino over the past day.

▪️ On the Kharkiv-Belgorod sector of the border, the enemy is transferring assault groups from the 425th Separate Rifle Regiment and mechanized brigades to positions south of Melove, trying to prevent further expansion of our control zone.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, in the village of Novosadovy in the Belgorod district, a woman was injured by falling debris from a shot down drone. In the Kolotilovsky farm, during haymaking, an explosive device detonated, killing one person and injuring two. Strikes by the AFU hit Shebekino, Novaya Tavolzhanka, Tishanka, Bessonovka, Shagarovka, Tavrovo.

▪️ From the Siversky direction, there are reports about the prematurity of the data circulating on the Internet about our forces reaching the borders of Siversk. Heavy fighting is underway.

▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, another success for the “East” Joint Grouping: the settlement of Tolstoy has been taken, our forces are expanding the control zone around the village. There is an advance towards Aleksandrograd and Karl Marx.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, battles are ongoing on the northern outskirts of Kamianske, with the 247th and 108th fighting counterattacking AFU units. In the area of the settlement of Mala Tokmachka, the 70th Motorized Rifle Regiment continues assault operations, fierce battles are underway.


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_10.html


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