The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 14 2025
Trump tells Putin to end Ukraine war in 50 days or face tariffs
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Trump makes a statement with threats against Russia over the war in Ukraine
▪️The US and NATO have reached an agreement to supply weapons to Ukraine at the expense of Europeans, Trump said.|
▪️The US will impose import duties of 100% on Russia and its trading partners if Moscow and Washington do not agree on Ukraine.
▪️The US will impose secondary sanctions on Russia and its trading partners if there is no deal on Ukraine within approximately 50 days.
Trump says he was surprised by Ukraine strikes.
‘If we don’t have a deal in 50 days, we’re going to have to impose “secondary tariffs.” They’re pretty tough, and we don’t want to do that. But we’ll see what happens. We thought we had a deal a few times. I’d come home and tell the first lady, “I had a great conversation with Vladimir, I think we got it all worked out.” And then I’d turn on the TV, or she’d say to me one day, “Well, that’s weird, because they just bombed a nursing home.” I’d be like, “What?”…
‘You called me on Thursday and said you had made a decision. And that decision is that you want Ukraine to get everything it needs to be able to defend itself against Russia. But you want the Europeans to pay for it – that makes perfect sense.’
‘We will quickly deliver to the battlefield’ – Trump scares with arms supplies to Ukraine.
‘The purpose of today’s speech is to tell you that we have concluded a very important deal. Billions of dollars worth of military equipment will be purchased from the USA, for NATO and so on. And this equipment will be quickly sent to the battlefield. And Ukraine will receive it’.
‘Trump will announce the supply of long-range missiles to Ukraine that can reach Moscow’ – Axios
“Sending offensive weapons would be a major step for Trump, who until recently went out of his way to say that he would only provide defensive weapons to avoid escalating the conflict. U.S., Ukrainian and European officials hope the weapons will change the course of the war and influence Russian President Vladimir Putin’s calculations for a ceasefire.
Two sources told Axios that they have reason to believe that the plan is likely to include long-range missiles capable of hitting targets deep inside Russian territory, including Moscow. However, none of them was aware of the final decision.”
‘The European Union will pay for this. We pay nothing for it. For us, it will be business’ – Trump on arms supplies to Ukraine.
Europe is determined to start a war [with Russia]. And they will pay for all the weapons’ – Trump
Can this deal with NATO be seen as a step towards peace, letting Putin know that Zelensky now has a little more tools in his arsenal, and perhaps this will push him to the negotiating table for peace?
That’s exactly what we’ve been talking about. It was a good, clear formulation. Yes, I think that this is a chance to achieve peace. I must tell you: in Europe there is a mood for this war, there is a spirit. I am surprised at the level of their morale. Look, they agreed to pay for everything. We don’t pay anymore. We have an ocean that separates us.
Trump refused to talk about the escalation of the war in Ukraine.
How far are you willing to go in response?
-In what?
How far are you willing to go in escalating [the conflict]?
-Don’t ask me ‘how far.’ I don’t know. I want this war to end.
“May I say something?” You came to power in January, and in February you had your first phone call with Putin. I think you did exactly what I hoped you would do, which was to break the deadlock, start a conversation because you need to check the situation. I know Putin very well from the time when I was prime minister. And so, when you need to check the situation, you did it, you really gave him a chance to behave seriously, to sit down at the negotiating table. Whitkoff, Rubio, everybody was trying to help you. But now you’ve come to a point where you’re saying…
- We thought we had an agreement about four times.
-Yes.
- We said that [the agreement] ‘looks good’.
-Yes.
- And then the agreement was disrupted, because shelling began at night.
-Yes. But you got it off the ground because it was important to start this process. You were the only one who was able to do it.
“Trump gave Putin another 50 days to seize Ukraine”: Rada scolds the US President
▪️Thus, Rada deputy Mariana Bezuglaya negatively assessed Trump’s statement.
▪️Prior to this, the US President threatened secondary sanctions against Russia and its partners, but only after 50 days and with the caveat – if there is no deal on Ukraine.
The big difference is that the costs of the materiel sent will be footed entirely by Europe from now on, so almost everyone is happy.
Trump is happy because (he thinks) that he can now say that this is no longer his war since he’s no longer paying (at least until he follows through with his sanctions plan), the narkoman in Kiev is happy because he gets his weapons, and European leaders are happy because the Narkoman is getting his weapons.
The only ones who won’t be happy are the inhabitants of Europe who’ll have to endure cuts to welfare and healthcare, the Ukrainian mobiks sent to the slaughter, and the Russian soldiers who’ll have to kill their brothers, all of this to support this insanity.
The fact that the European leaders (and by extension their countries) are the ones getting fleeced to pay for a war that Uncle Sam desperately wanted is of course flying way over their heads – at stratospheric heights.
And of course, propagandists and politicians in the west are already saying that this is a great victory.
”You can never have enough air defense systems” — Axios
▪️Armed forces around the world are rapidly buying up Patriot interceptors and other air defense systems: against the backdrop of conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, stockpiles are shrinking, and production is not keeping up with demand, Axios reports.
▪️The United States is increasing purchases: the army has ordered almost 14,000 of the latest PAC-3 MSE interceptors from Lockheed Martin – 4 times more than the previous level. However, even these rates do not cover the needs.
▪️Ammunition is worth its weight in gold: these interceptors are expensive resources (costing millions of dollars per unit) that have already proven their effectiveness in real combat – from the Ukraine to the Gulf of Aden.
▪️The Pentagon is nervous: due to a shortage of resources, the United States is reviewing external supplies. One example is the use of 30 interceptors in one night to protect a base in Qatar.
▪️Lockheed plans to produce only about 650 PAC-3 MSEs per year by 2027, while the needs of allies, including Ukraine, are growing exponentially.
▪️”The PAC-3 (Lockheed Martin interceptor missile) is a scarce national resource. Treating it like an expendable is a strategic mistake,” said CSIS expert Tom Karako.
“Russia shows no willingness to make progress. That is why, in addition to the necessary support for Ukraine, I agree on the need to increase the pressure on Moscow to achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible that finally opens the way for diplomacy. Anyone with no illusions understands perfectly well that this is not a “nice gesture” we can make towards Russia. It is about what we can do to really exert pressure and ensure deterrence. This is what our citizens, who are tired of the consequences of senseless aggression that has brought war back to the heart of Europe, expect from us.
Russia intends to intensify offensive in Ukraine – Axios
▪️According to the publication, Vladimir Putin informed the US President that “within the next 60 days he will make new efforts to occupy territories up to the administrative borders of Ukrainian regions where Russia has significant positions”.
▪️According to sources, such details of the conversation were conveyed by Donald Trump himself in a private conversation with the President of France Emmanuel Macron.
‘There is also the danger of getting more involved in a war between Russia and Ukraine. That’s why I keep saying that we need to focus on our domestic issues and understand that we don’t have enough money. You can talk about the moral side of it all, but the reality is that in order to arm Ukraine, we have to borrow from China. You can help them if you have a surplus, but we have to go to the bank to borrow.
And to me, it’s like if you were walking down the street, making $25,000 a year, barely paying rent, you don’t have any money to spare, and you see a homeless person. You feel great sympathy and you say, ‘Oh my God, I have to go to the first bank and borrow $1,000 to give to a homeless person.’ Nobody thinks like that. But, in essence, that is exactly what we are doing now.’
Zelensky at a meeting with the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced new long-range strikes on Russia
▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine will “do everything to transfer the war to Russian territory. We are preparing our new long-range strikes,” he said.
▪️At the same time, there are “attempts to develop the enemy’s offensive actions” at the front, which, according to the drug addict, are “choking.”
In a staged BBC broadcast, Zelensky discusses Putin’s psychology and his own work as president:
“I just want people to remember this period of time and respect me,” he said.
The first wish can already be considered fulfilled, but it’s better to not to even hope for the fulfillment of the second.
About 70% of mobilized Ukrainians will soon desert
▪️Almost all deserters are previously forcibly mobilized said Ukrainian Forces member Anton Black
▪️The reasons for mass desertion are different: some cannot withstand the physical and psychological stress, some get lost or die. “Two people froze in the forest in winter, and the other day children caught another one in the river. He was listed as AWOL for 12 days”
▪️Black mentioned the cruelty of instructors: some of them show unreasonable aggression – /inc shooting from pneumatic weapons at the face and body. “If a person drank, it doesn’t mean that he needs to be broken… And with us – either he will go to AWOL, or he will die”
▪️At the same time, a significant part of the recruits are “caught” by the TCC, they are often held in closed rooms until registration
➖“One said he was caught and locked in a garage – they ate there, went to the toilet. When a group is gathered, they arrange it. The police who catch it receive a check for this”
▪️The “Center” troop group previously took Razino, has now liberated Fedorivka (not officially reported) and is assaulting Boikivka, Ukrainian military analysts acknowledge.
▪️Our units have also entered Novotoretske and are striving to fully occupy it and are assaulting Novoekonomichne.
▪️On the right flank of the Pokrovske direction, Russian troops earlier closed a “pocket” between Myrne and Razino covering more than 5 km² and advanced in the southern and central parts of Novotoretske over an area of up to 6 km².
▪️Ukrainian forces complain about increased attacks by Russian FPV drones (including fiber optic ones) along the Dobropillia–Kramatorsk route.
Battle for Pokrovsk: the noose is tightening!
The Bogatyrs continue approaching Pokrovsk and encircling the city, advancing from the flanks.
- Russian troops advanced into the forested belt on the eastern outskirts of Belhijka and in the direction of Novoukrainka over an area of more than 2 sq. km.
- on the right, Russian units advanced west of Razino and into the Nikolaevka area over a total area of more than 7 km².
- “The situation is very difficult, as Russian forces have pushed on a wide front toward Novoekonomicheskoe, which the RF Forces have already assaulted from the south. Fighting is also under way for Novotoretskoe,” Ukrainian analysts write.
- earlier, Ukrainian forces acknowledged that the Russian army has already taken Fedorovka.
- on the left, fighting continues in the direction of Udachnoe and in the western part of Novosergeevka.
Night attack on the Dnepropetrovsk region: arrivals and a major fire were recorded!
▪️As a result of the attack, an infrastructure facility in Krivoy Rog was damaged. This was reported in the regional military administration.
▪️A large fire also broke out, the flames and smoke of which were visible in different areas of the city.
Morning Summary for July 14, 2025
▪️ Strikes on targets in the enemy’s rear last night were of a “routine” nature. Explosions were heard in the Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, Kharkiv and Sumy Regions. During the day, our forces struck Mykolaiv, with footage showing fires. Against the backdrop of the enemy’s air defense problems, Trump, who had threatened something serious, pompously stated that he would increase Patriot missile system supplies to Ukraine, but at full cost. Also, the Americans announced a statement today about new deliveries of other, including offensive, weapons to Ukraine.
▪️ On the Kursk sector of the border in the Tyotkin direction, the AFU did not attempt to break through onto our territory. The enemy was restoring combat capability, reports the North Group of Forces. Russian Airborne Forces units advanced in the vicinity of Bessalovka, dislodging the enemy from several strongholds and consolidating on the occupied positions.
▪️ In the Sumy direction, the AFU are counterattacking near Kondratovka and Andriyivka. The only purpose of these AFU actions is to slow down the advance of our troops, but regular trained enemy units have been thrown into battle under our FAB bombs, which will later affect their potential. At the same time, in Yunakivka, the Russian Armed Forces are gradually expanding the area of control.
▪️ On the border of Belgorod and Kharkiv Regions, a new element of the situation is the information from the North Group of Forces about the offensive actions of our forces in the settlement of Dehtiarivka, Volchansk district. This is a new section of the front where our forces are trying to create a “buffer zone”. In addition, such actions stretch the enemy’s reserves. Clearing of forest areas along the State Border in the area of the village of Melovoe, Kharkiv Region, is also ongoing.
▪️ In Belgorod Region, the settlement of Chaiki in Belgorod district was attacked by a drone, two fighters of the Orlan unit and self-defense were wounded. In Shebekino district, on the Arkhangelskoye – Shamino road, a vehicle was attacked by a UAV of the AFU, the driver was wounded. Oktyabr’skiy, Baitsury, Shebekino, Kupino, Novaya Tavolzhanka were under strikes.
▪️ From the Kupiansk direction, despite the objective successes of the Russian Armed Forces on the right bank of the Oskol River (Russian troops advanced further than the line Krasne Pershe – Kamianka), there are reports about the prematurity of reports about the almost complete encirclement of the city by “capturing” Moskivka and Sobolivka.
▪️ In the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing on Myrnograd: our troops advanced west of Razino and in the area of Mykolaivka (https://t.me/dva_majors/75285). The situation for the AFU is assessed by the enemy’s resources as “very difficult”, as the Russian Armed Forces are also developing success near Novoekonomichne. Near Pokrovsk itself, our units are advancing from Shevchenko in the area of Belhiika.
▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the East Group of Forces continued to advance into the enemy’s defense and liberated the settlement of Karla Marksa (Myrne) in the DPR.
▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, our units continue to advance in Kamianske towards Stepnohirsk.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_14.html
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