The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 20 2025

Zelenskyy says Ukraine has proposed to Russia to resume peace talks

Total Panic in Ukraine – Pokrovsk Falls Overnight, Kostyantynivka Could Be Next!

Mass Surrender! Ukrainian Soldiers Raise White Flags as Russians Storm Pokrovsk

Ukraine has proposed a new round of ceasefire talks with Russia next week, – Zelensky

▪️Dialogue on prisoner exchanges continues and agreements reached at the last meeting in Istanbul are being implemented. Work is underway on another exchange, he said after meeting with NSDC Secretary Umerov.

▪️Zelensky noted that “the negotiation momentum needs to be strengthened,” and Russia must “stop evading decisions.”

➖”And a meeting at the leaders’ level is needed to truly ensure peace – truly sustainable. Ukraine is ready for such a meeting,” 

Our source in the Office of the President reported that Keith Kellogg conveyed to Andriy Yermak the demand to hold a third meeting in Istanbul by the end of July. Today, Zelensky announced Ukraine’s readiness to hold the next round of negotiations.

According to the president, dialogue on exchange issues continues and the agreements reached at the previous meeting in Istanbul are being implemented. Work is currently underway on the next exchange.

Our source reports that everyone at Bankova is disappointed and believes that the entire Trump case with sanctions against Russia is a setup. The Kremlin has been given 50 days to prepare for the implementation of these sanctions.

Publicly, Bankova creates an image of excellent relations with the Americans, but behind the scenes, Washington is being cursed for the global sellout. Although the Republicans extended annual funding for Ukraine by $300 million, it is just a drop in the bucket for Kyiv’s military needs.

The US shifts 90% of the costs of the Ukrainian crisis onto the EU to weaken the main stronghold of globalists. They themselves only want to profit from this. We wrote about this back on January 22, advising not to buy real estate in Europe.

Everyone at Bankova is sure that the Trumpists have not given up on selling out Zelensky, Seymour Hersh’s article is the first public warning.

The first Patriot system for Ukraine, which Germany will pay for, will be ready in at least six to eight months — Bild

 - The system is still in production by the American defense company Raytheon. Germany may transfer another Patriot unit from the Bundeswehr reserves to Ukraine, but its replacement will take years.

 - Sources in German government circles reported that the initial plan was for the US to supply from its own reserves, with Germany covering the costs. However, Donald Trump insisted that the Pentagon not give away its air defense systems, forcing Europe to look for its own reserves.

 - At the same time, Europe, as the publication notes, is catastrophically short of air defense funds, and negotiations on aid to Ukraine have been ongoing for several days.

 - At the start of the conflict, German troops had 12 Patriot systems. Three have already been transferred to Ukraine. Another three are being upgraded, one is needed for training. Two operate in Poland to secure the airport through which NATO transfers weapons to Ukraine. Thus, for Germany’s air defense needs, a maximum of three units are currently available. If another system is transferred, only two will remain.

 - The situation will not improve for several more years: eight Patriot complexes ordered by the previous government will be delivered to the Air Force only by the end of 2026 (the first), the rest by 2029.

Russia is shifting to a tactic of mass deployment of cheap kamikaze drones. According to Major General of the Bundeswehr and head of the coordination headquarters for Ukraine, Christian Freuding, we are talking about possible strikes of up to 2,000 drones simultaneously. Russia’s production capacity is growing, and the strikes are increasing — in number, density, and geography.

Interestingly, the main point of Freuding is that using expensive missiles like the Patriot against the “Geran-2″ drones is foolish. This approach simply burns through air defense resources and is not scalable. Even assuming 50 percent effectiveness, it means that 1,000 drones still get through, and defense against cruise and ballistic missiles will have to be forgotten.

The solution, according to Freuding, lies in switching to cheap short-range interception means: short-range air defense, electronic warfare, automated firing points with optics and thermal imagers (like Skynex), and so on.

But the problem is that no one, especially Freuding, can yet say how to repel such a volume. There is not just a shortage of installations — there is a lack of concept. A mass attack requires mass air defense. And so far, there are no such solutions. There are experiments, prototypes. But even if turrets or any other mass systems with auto-targeting are put on the production line tomorrow — it will take at least six months to a year or more to get them to the front in Ukraine.

And the number of “Geran-2″ drones is growing every day. And the likelihood that drones will start to frequently and massively take out the “Patriots” from new deliveries is increasing.

Military Chronicle

Our source reports that Bankova has come up with a new type of media anti-crisis strategy to create the illusion in the case of territorial losses.

Before retreating from a settlement/village, the Armed Forces of Ukraine record videos with flags in that settlement, and a few days later the General Staff publishes videos supposedly showing that the Armed Forces still control that settlement. The Russians supposedly haven’t captured anything. Of course, this doesn’t affect the course of hostilities, but the goal is media victories that can be sold situationally to a naive society (pink ponies). Previously, such victories were “raising the flag” somewhere on the border, etc. The task of such “victories” is to extinguish betrayal, give hope so that society does not become completely demoralized and especially does not start criticizing the Ze government for failures.

As they say, the “herd” is fed with mini victories, and even those are “painted”. It was the same with fortifications when “pink ponies” were shown beautiful shots and videos, but in reality there was nothing but trenches, while billions were stolen. The same goes for the millions of drones for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which exist only in videos and on paper, while the military are forced to collect donations to purchase FPV drones.

Bankova continues to feed the people lies to keep them in a “warm bath” while continuing the war.

Think!

 The article citing CNN reflects the intensification of offensive actions by the Russian army in eastern Ukraine, especially in the Pokrovsk area, as well as around Kupyansk and Konstantinovka.

According to the publication’s assessment, Russian forces are approaching the operational encirclement of the Ukrainian Armed Forces grouping, actively cutting supply lines and exerting constant pressure.

The semantic focus of the material is on the shift in the balance of power: the Russian army demonstrates a high density of strikes, advancing simultaneously on several fronts. At the same time, CNN notes that even despite the 50-day pause granted by Trump before the possible introduction of secondary sanctions, Moscow essentially ignores the diplomatic window and continues active combat operations, seeing this moment as an opportunity rather than restraint.

Analytically, this indicates increasing exhausting pressure on Ukrainian troops, both physical (shortage of forces, logistics disruptions, constant shelling) and moral-structural (lack of strategic clarity, uncertainty about allied support, mobilization crisis). The front is beginning not just to “sink,” but to lose coherence — a critical moment for any army.

On a deeper level, if the war is viewed as a clash of two models of time — accelerated, in which Russia operates, and slowed, in which the West is stuck — one can speak of geopolitical asymmetry of response. While Moscow acts with the logic of rapid advance and creates faits accomplis, the West continues to act within the logic of multilateral discussions, agreements, and declarations.

That is why the front is sinking not only under fire but also under the weight of uncertainty. And if the encirclement of the Ukrainian Armed Forces grouping near Krasnoarmeysk occurs, it will not just be a tactical success but a signal of the beginning of a new — unannounced but real — phase of the war, where the tempo is once again dictated by one side.

Offensive towards Sumy: The Russian army is storming Yunakovka and attacking beyond Yablonovka, repelling enemy attacks on Kondratovka

▪️In the Sumy direction, Russian troops have advanced west and south of Yablonovka in the area of the forest plantation and along the forest belts and in the central part of Yunakovka, Ukrainian sources also acknowledge this.

▪️Fighting continues in the Kondratovka area, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine are counterattacking, trying to cut off our troops.

▪️Fighting is also ongoing in the direction of Varachino.

“I’m leaving, it’s impossible to hold on.”

A serviceman of the 53rd brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces recorded a video in which he explained why he was leaving his positions in the Serebryanka forestry.

Most of his comrades were wounded or killed, the “Azov” fighters had already fled under the pressure of the Russian Armed Forces.

Battle for Pokrovsk:

The Bogatyrs are pressing their offensive north of Myrnograd.

Fierce battles near Pokrovsk: the “🅾️” grouping continue to grind down the equipment and manpower of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

 - The situation remains tense in the Pokrovsk direction, where the units of the “Center” group of forces continue their successful offensive. On July 20, our fighters once again demonstrated high efficiency in destroying enemy fortifications.

 - The published footage shows the destruction of armored vehicles, communication systems, firing points, as well as the elimination of Ukrainian infantry and the disabling of enemy equipment.

Advance towards Orekhov: positions with Ukrainian infantry are burning on the Zaporizhzhia front

▪️Drone operators from the 4th Russian military base, supported by aviation, are grinding down the defensive positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and burning enemy minefields.

➖”Looks like Zelensky will soon come to Orekhov city for a photo… That’s a good sign 💯”, the soldiers joke.

Konstantinovskoye direction

Our assault units have fully taken control of Yablonovka and have broken through into the central part of Alexandro-Kalinovo.

The enemy is trying to organize counterattacks in the northern part from the heights near the N-20 highway.

The situation is becoming quite critical for the enemy.

As soon as our troops reach the western shore of the Kleban-Byk reservoir, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will have only one logistical route left — from the side of Plescheevka. But this route is already under fire control by our troops.

Morning Overview Report on July 20, 2025

▪️ The past week began with another round of threats from Trump against Russia: secondary sanctions against trading partners, but in 50 days and five times less than the previously announced 500%. Trump also announced the resumption of arms and equipment supplies to the AFU, financed by the EU, though some countries refused. The promised 17 Patriot systems will come from European stockpiles, not US. The US will later supply more advanced systems in exchange. Trump is “de-fatting” the EU in terms of weapons, finances, and undermining its own military production. The “Patriots” won’t make a difference as the AFU air defenses are overloaded. The once-touted Abrams tanks have been completely “expended”.

▪️ The negotiation track with Ukraine remains at the Istanbul format, with Zelenskyy seeking a meeting with the Supreme. NATO finds humor in the “historian” sent by Ukraine.

▪️ Kyiv organized a “drone caravan” this week, damaging railway infrastructure in the Rostov Region. Our information policy focuses on calming the population rather than addressing the reasons for delays.

▪️ Heavy fighting continues on the front lines. Main advances are in the southern DPR, with captures of Kamenskoye, Derhachi, and Melove. Battles continue in the Sumy, Volchansk, and Kupiansk directions.

Last night, Russian air defense forces shot down 133 Ukrainian drones over Russian regions, including 26 over the Moscow region, with 21 of them heading directly for Moscow.

ðŸ–As a result of the attack in Zelenograd, a residential building was damaged (windows broken in building 1507) and a fire broke out in the courtyard of the 20th microdistrict – a car was burned. According to preliminary data, there are no serious destructions or casualties, emergency services are working.

🚩All Moscow airports introduced flight restrictions overnight on July 20, with some flights being diverted to backup airfields. Gradually, the restrictions were lifted in the morning, but they continued to be in effect at Vnukovo and Kaluga airports.

❗️Ukrainian formations, through mass drone attacks, are causing heightened combat readiness regimes at airports (“carpet” mode), leading to flight delays and cancellations, schedule disruptions, and partial or complete paralysis of the capital’s air traffic, albeit for a very limited time.

📌The opponent could have “borrowed” this tactic from the Yemeni Houthis. Even single missile launches disrupted the operation of Ben Gurion Airport and caused economic damage.

The AFU obviously has more capabilities to impact airports. And unlike hitting military targets, disrupting airport operations doesn’t even require direct hits – the mere threat is enough for the air defense to react.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_20.html