The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 31 2025

MASSIVE Breakthrough, Russian DRGs Deep Inside Pokrovsk

Russian Forces Enter Central Pokrovsk | Chasiv Yar Has Fallen

Russian Army Storms Pokrovsk — City Falls, Hundreds of Ukrainian Troops Surrender

Chasov Yar Falls After Year-Long Assault: Putin’s Victory Redraws Donbas Battle Lines

Chasov Yar Falls. RUS destroyed largest Ukr force (thousands) in War. Why Trump shortened Ultimatum.

Russia liberates key Donbass stronghold – MOD

10 Days Until Zelensky Falls? Massive Russian Offensive Engulfs Entire Frontline!

Trump Vs Medvedev: Medvedev Warns Trump Of War Over Ultimatum, Trump Calls Him ‘Failed…’

Andrey Yermak suffered his first serious political defeat, which will cost Zelensky and the Servants very dearly in the future. The attempt to build an authoritarian system has failed, and now the Head of the Office of the President will have to look for new methods of controlling the processes. David Arakhamia looked very bad today, clearly coming to an understanding of the situation.

President Donald Trump has shortened the deadline he gave Vladimir Putin to reach a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine to 10 days. After that, the US is reportedly ready to impose tough sanctions on Russia. But the question is: will these sanctions make sense if Ukraine is already teetering on the brink of strategic exhaustion, while Russia is making significant advances on the front?

Thus, in recent weeks, the Russian Armed Forces have made significant progress deep into the Donetsk region, threatening to encircle Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka, Kupyansk. If Ukraine loses control over the cities forming the eastern bridgehead, the entire defensive structure could collapse — by winter, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be in the worst situation of the entire war period. Kyiv will be forced to hold the last line of defense around Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, losing infrastructural and logistical strongpoints.

At the same time, Trump’s rhetoric towards Russia remains ambivalent. He says that “it would be easy to reach an agreement,” but at the same time shortens the ultimatum deadlines. Such statements in his political practice have often not been backed by actions: promised tariffs and sanctions were announced but not implemented. This may be perceived by Moscow as a sign of weakness and a bluff attempt.

Especially since China has already told European diplomats that it will not allow Russia to be defeated, as this would free the US to confront Beijing itself. In this context, Trump’s position looks like a risky bet: either he is ready to challenge the entire global energy architecture, or his threats will remain on paper.

Thus, the coming days will be a moment of truth. Ukraine must hold the front under powerful offensive conditions. Moscow — to show its allies, particularly China, that it maintains the military initiative. And Trump — either confirm his resolve or once again shift his rhetoric to a more flexible one.

Brigade on the brink of disappearance: an alarming signal from the 34th Separate Combat Support Brigade

Alarm sounds from within the army: servicemen are raising the alarm over the actions of the new commander of the 34th Separate Combat Support Brigade. This concerns a 27-year-old colonel who, according to the military, does not understand the realities and subtleties of the Kherson direction.

Stanislav “Osman” Bunyatov, a serviceman of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, states bluntly: “The brigade is being wiped out to zero. People can’t endure it. If the situation doesn’t change, it will lead to the Russians landing on the right bank.”

Sources note that the new commander is effectively undoing months of work by the unit, destroying what was built under combat conditions. He issues orders that servicemen call “senseless missions on islands from which 90% of personnel do not return.”

Complaints from the fighters are not limited to criticism of command decisions. They contain an ultimatum:

“The high command must remove him and appoint a person who has gone through the entire path with the unit, rather than replace him with another negatively ambitious fool.”

The context is intensified by the risk of a strategic failure: if this signal is ignored – the threat of Russians crossing to the right bank becomes real.

Our source reports that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have a huge shortage of fortifications in the southern Donetsk direction, where the Russians have reached a conditional operational space, which creates huge problems for the Ukrainian army in defense. Another problem is that there are no large cities on the way yet that could stop the Russian advance, as the Bankova uses cities as free fortifications. 

The military complain that the officials of the Presidential Office continue to steal from the fortifications while nicely reporting with photos. Now there is also a problem that there is less money for embezzlement, but the appetite of the officials has grown, as they understand that they are temporary (simple psychology: came – stole – covered up – ran away).

How the US will supply new weapons to Ukraine and how many there will be

🔺Roger Wicker and Jim Risch — senators heading the Armed Services and Foreign Relations committees — have developed a bill providing for the creation of a fund in the US Treasury to receive money from allies. That is, from Europe, which will be purchasing this weaponry.

The mechanism proposed by the Republicans in the US likely relies on two parallel channels of arms supplies to Ukraine.

The first channel is the transfer of already existing weapons. This includes both US Army stockpiles and allies’ warehouses, primarily those of the UK and Germany. European countries pay for these supplies, and the US either replenishes its arsenals using funds from the new fund or compensates the expenses. Essentially, this is an accelerated version of the “lend-lease” mechanism, but with European money and without directly reducing the combat readiness of the American army.

The second option is direct purchases from the US defense industry.

European funds transferred to the fund being created at the US Treasury are used to pay contracts with American defense companies. The US Department of Defense signs these contracts, which allows bypassing Congressional budget procedures and forming a flow of weapons for Ukraine through production capacities without touching the current Pentagon reserves.

In other words, this is a rethinking of the Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) packages for supplying weapons from army stockpiles and USAI, which is intended for future contracts. Previously, both were financed at the American expense; now exclusively at Europe’s expense.

As a result, the scheme solves two tasks at once: it removes the risk of depleting American stockpiles and turns European allies into direct sponsors of the American defense industry.

It is estimated that the annual volume of this financing could amount to at least 5 to 8 billion dollars, which is roughly equivalent to about a third of the annual military aid packages to Ukraine under the Biden administration.

Military Chronicle

In the West, they are already openly talking about systemic problems of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the front line, which could cause serious losses.

Russia’s summer offensive is turning into a growing crisis for Ukraine – CNN.

According to CNN, the situation on the eastern front is rapidly deteriorating. Russian troops are gradually advancing, while the Ukrainian army is facing a shortage of forces, problems evacuating the wounded, and constant pressure from enemy drones and infantry.

Journalists visited areas around Kostiantynivka and Pokrovsk in Donetsk region, where in recent days Russia has managed to capture a number of settlements, approaching the threat of encircling key Ukrainian positions. The situation is especially tense near Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, where, according to Ukrainian military, there is a risk of a repeat of the Avdiivka and Vuhledar scenario, where cities were held until the last but were eventually lost along with people.

CNN notes that the Russian army uses numerical superiority, high tolerance for losses, and actively employs kamikaze drones, complicating the movement of even armored vehicles. At the same time, Ukrainian commanders complain about a lack of rotations and supplies — some positions have been held for months by the same fighters without reinforcements.

According to the publication, the Russian Army has already advanced to Chasiv Yar, Rodynske, and Radkivka, simultaneously threatening Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, and Kupiansk. The loss of these settlements will leave the Ukrainian army without urban defense centers, open the way for Russian troops to Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, and threaten access to the Dnipro River.

We confirm the information from MP Bezuhla, that the Russian Armed Forces have entered Pokrovsk, but so far only in small groups of sabotage and reconnaissance units, which caused chaos in the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, triggered panic, and confusion, leading to “friendly fire” and huge losses in manpower. 

Currently, Bankova is trying to restore positions by sending in reserves.

While everyone is busy with the betrayal in the NABU case, the front is cracking at the seams. The General Staff and Bankova, as usual, are putting out the “fire” with manpower, using up soldiers. This increases the shortage of manpower, the growth of combat losses, and the decline of morale.

Battle for Pokrovsk: Frontline Update

Yuriy Kotenok reports that, according to the enemy, the situation in Pokrovsk is increasingly reminiscent of last year’s situation in Selidovo. Russian assault groups, in small units of 2-3 people, infiltrate the city through isolated positions, avoiding frontal attacks and bypassing defences.

The line of contact consists of separate defensive nodes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, through which the Russian Armed Forces are gradually penetrating the city and advancing.

At the moment, the enemy is maintaining a compact defence in two main hotspots: in the centre of Pokrovskoe and in the mining district.

Battle for Pokrovsk: Situation Update

Several Ukrainian sources have been reporting, for the last two days, that drone operators and the Russian Air Force are actively forming ‘bite marks’ in the north-east of the future pocket near Pokrovsk, cutting off the reserves of the AFU in the Dobropillia and Sviatohorivka area, preventing them from gathering and advancing towards Vodyanske, and then attempting a counteroffensive in the Rodynske area.

Other AFU groups (including units of the 38th Marine Infantry Brigade) have been pushed by the strikes towards the mines between Novoekymivka and Myrnograd, losing their ability to manoeuvre.

The fire pocket formed by Russian troops near Pokrovsk can’t be moved or weakened by the Ukrainian army: neither local counteroffensives nor the transfer of reserves have been successful. 

Russian artillery and attack drones are methodically crushing all points of resistance, keeping key supply routes under constant fire control, thus accelerating the destruction of the entire defensive configuration of the VSU in this direction.

The Russian Army is inching toward the centre of Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk).

‘Trump’s deadline won’t help protect Pokrovsk, people are needed’ – Ukrainian Armed Forces officer Tkachuk.

How do you see the prospect of stopping the enemy in this direction [Pokrovsk]? Should it be our military decision or a military-political one, if we talk about Trump’s deadline?

— We cannot do without mobilization resources. We are losing badly. Russia has more soldiers. They have gained time and opportunities for recovery. We need new forces, we need to change people, rotation is necessary. We need personnel.

As a result of offensive actions by the “Southern” group of troops in the Kramatorsk-Druzhkovka direction, the city of Chasov Yar in the DPR has been liberated, the Ministry of Defense reported.

Syrsky, of course, will still hold Chasov Yar in the internet for some time, just like he did with Soledar/Bakhmut (Artemovsk) and Avdeevka, but in a week everyone will realize the obvious. A similar situation is to be expected with Pokrovsk.

Last night, Russian forces launched a massive missile and drone strike on Kyiv. According to the latest data, 2 people were killed and 52 injured, including 9 children.

Damage was recorded in more than 27 areas of the city. The most affected districts were Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Shevchenkivskyi, and Holosiivskyi:

— In Holosiivskyi district, a residential building and cars caught fire;

— In Sviatoshynskyi and Solomianskyi, direct hits on residential buildings;

— In Shevchenkivskyi, windows were shattered in a high-rise building, and cars were destroyed.

New Geran-3 drones have massively arrived over Kyiv.

It has become much harder to shoot them down.

They fly faster, higher, have better maneuverability, are equipped with cameras and AI, and usually there is a scout and several drones in the group that receive strike coordinates in real time.

A couple of drones were shot down using air defense missiles. The debris fell on residential areas, parking lots, etc.

Missile strike on Ukraine (31.07.25): Jet “Geran” over Kiev.

Today, there was a raid on the rear of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) by our UAVs, not particularly massive, but very significant.

We used our new “Geran-3″ with “jet propulsion” in it. They broke through to Kiev (which was the main target tonight) and Pavlograd at extremely low altitudes and at high speed (over 600 km/h). This almost nullified not only the capabilities of the mobile AFU AD units but also their anti-UAV drones (which the enemy recently started using against our “Gerans”).

At the same time, thanks to the higher flight speed and the same wing area, the new drone gained the ability to carry a quite decent warhead (up to 300 kg). This is already comparable to the “Kalibr” cruise missile.

Thus, it is essentially a cheap cruise missile (priced 10-15 times less) that is only slightly inferior to the “Kalibr” in combat capabilities.

There were also launches of several Kh-101 and “Iskanders” today.

Which resulted in outcomes. Despite a relatively routine raid (only about 300 UAVs on Kiev and Pavlograd), we hit several more enterprises producing weapon systems and military equipment warehouses identified by our intelligence.

Unfortunately, the clumsy AFU air defense caused some of our downed drones to fall onto residential buildings and cause damage.

On the night strike in Kiev. 

Judging by data from open sources, Zhulyany was actively hit again. Since the beginning of combat duty, American Patriot SAMs have been stationed there. Despite all the risks, it is impossible to remove these SAMs from Zhulyany for a number of reasons.

Zhulyany is located on an elevation and in a geographically optimal point to cover the center of Kiev, the government quarter, and key control facilities in the region.

The interception range of the PAC-3 MSE is about 35–45 km for ballistic targets and up to 120 km for all others. If the batteries are moved further west or north from Zhulyany, they will lose the coverage zone over the main targets for which they were brought in the first place. 

Like any complex system, the Patriot requires deployment on sites with good visibility and established infrastructure. The Zhulyany area is a ready-made territory with power supply, roads, security, and the possibility of quick repair and resupply.

But there is also a downside. Constant placement in the same location makes the SAM position predictable for Russian missile operators. This allows planning strikes on this area taking into account the presence of all protective means through ammunition depletion and complex flight trajectories.

Military Chronicle

Morning Summary as of July 31, 2025

▪️ All night long, Kyiv (https://t.me/warhistoryalconafter/233570) was under strikes from our UAVs (https://t.me/warhistoryalconafter/233570), with reports of the use of missile weapons. At the beginning of the massive air raid, Klitschko reported the work of the AFU air defenses, and by morning – reported the fall of drones on civilian objects. Explosions were also recorded in the Chernihiv, Rivne, Zhytomyr, Cherkasy Regions and in Pavlohrad.

▪️ In the morning, the regional authorities of the Rostov Region reported the destruction of AFU drones in the Chertkovo, Verkhnedonskoye, Sholokhovsky, Kasharsky and Dubovsky districts. Fires on the ground have been extinguished. The media reported an attack by drones in the area of the railway station in Kotelnikovo, Volgograd Region.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, the AFU continue to redeploy elite units (including the South Special Operations Center, previously the 73rd Marine Special Operations Center) of the Ukrainian army from other directions and from rear areas, notes the North Grouping of Forces. In Yunakovka – protracted battles for every house.

▪️ In the Kharkiv direction – fierce battles in Volchansk and its environs, as well as in the forest belts between the villages of Melovoe, Zarubinka and Khatneye.

▪️ In the Belgorod Region, a civilian was wounded in Shebekino. A UAV of the AFU struck a passenger car in the area of the village of Nikolskoye in the Belgorod region, injuring a man. Under strikes are Novaya Tavolzhanka, Nikolskoye, Urazovo, Leonovka, Dvuluchnoye, Babka, Sobolevka, Otradovsky, Krasnaya Yaruga.

▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, the Russian Armed Forces are solving the task of reaching the Kleban-Byk reservoir from two sides.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) direction, the main news was the entry of the Russian Armed Forces into the city. The number of forces and the specialization of the units spotted in Pokrovsk (possibly our separate reconnaissance groups) are unclear, but this does not add stability to the enemy’s defense. The success northeast of Mirnograd, where our troops are cutting through the enemy’s defense, is unambiguous.

▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the East Grouping of Forces continues the offensive. There are battles on the approaches to Alexandrograd, in the direction of Iskra, on the western part of Voskresenka, our troops are advancing from Malievka towards Voronoe. The area of the wedge into the enemy’s defense south of Kamyshevakha has been expanded, the forest belts south of Temirovna have been cleared.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front – battles for Plavni and Stepnogorsk. The AFU launched a missile strike on a children’s playground in the city of Vasilyevka, Zaporizhia Region, injuring three children. A multi-apartment building was also damaged.

▪️ In the Kherson Region, aviation, artillery and drones are working on the enemy’s bank, the enemy is responding with strikes, including on civilian objects.