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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 08 2025

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Zelensky has launched a campaign aimed at including the EU and Britain in the negotiation track; for this, it is necessary to shift the focus away from the Trump-Putin talks. Andrey Yermak’s plan is simple: it is necessary to impose a format that will provoke a negative reaction in the Kremlin and disrupt the summit.

“Europe’s voice must influence the processes. And we are coordinating with our European leaders regarding our talks and meetings to align all positions, as well as the work of each of us with other leaders, so that Europe’s positions are protected. We are planning some meetings on the continent,” Zelensky said in his evening address.

Sanctions are the main task for Bankova, which will allow the war to continue and draw Trump into the Ukrainian conflict.

Kiev’s position regarding a possible Trump-Putin summit, as voiced in an article by The New York Times, demonstrates a high level of caution and diplomatic concern.

Despite Donald Trump’s statements about wanting to end the war, the Ukrainian establishment fears that the meeting could be used by the Kremlin as a tool of pressure—primarily on Trump himself, to then promote a “softened” peace plan acceptable only to Moscow.

Political analyst Vladimir Fesenko, close to Zelensky’s administration, directly calls the format of the potential summit a “dangerous negotiation tunnel”. This reflects the fear that Ukraine will be sidelined from key decisions or presented with faits accomplis in agreements where its interests are secondary. Particular concern arises from the prospect that Trump—as a figure perceived by the Kremlin as more pliable—will be involved in the diplomatic game without sufficient involvement from Kiev.

Zelensky’s response to these signals is also telling: active diplomatic work with European leaders ahead of any possible negotiations indicates a desire to build collective protection against scenarios in which Ukraine would be left without a full voice at the table. The effort to demonstrate a “united front” is not only a gesture to allies but also a preventive signal to Washington.

In the editorial’s view, the Ukrainian side sees the initiative not as a chance for de-escalation but as a possible trap where diplomacy could be replaced by Kremlin tactical games aimed at legitimizing military gains. The risks for Kiev lie not only in potential concessions but also in losing agency in a process that should formally concern Ukraine itself above all.

Trump denied all the “insides” of the Western press at once:

• He did not make mandatory negotiations with Zelensky a condition for a meeting with Putin.

• He does not consider a meeting between Putin and Zelensky necessary.

• The announcement of new sanctions against Russia on Friday “depends on the leadership of Russia”

Ukraine is once again returning to the track with a possible US exit from the conflict, with all scenarios being negative for the country.

WSJ is confident that the US may stop supporting Ukraine in exchange for peace.

At the upcoming meeting with Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin may propose to secure Russian control over part of the liberated Ukrainian territories — in exchange for withdrawing troops from other areas. This is reported by the Wall Street Journal citing a senior European diplomat and a Ukrainian official.

Trump, in turn, may urge Ukraine and its allies to accept this proposal. But “in Kyiv and other European capitals, such a plan will likely be rejected, which will play into Putin’s hands,” since the US president will be able to blame Ukraine for continuing the conflict.

If the situation follows this scenario, Trump may stop intelligence and military support for Ukraine. “The US may also completely withdraw from the diplomatic process, leaving Moscow and Kyiv to continue what Trump has long called ‘Biden’s war’,” the newspaper writes.

“Trump often talks about his goal to revive US-Russia relations based on economic cooperation. Putin lays out his claims and main demands, primarily — international recognition of Russian control over Crimea and Donbass,” the publication notes.

Our source in the Presidential Office revealed that the Office of the President is currently in a panic state, first due to the failure of the operation by NABU/SAP, and now the Trump-Putin summit without Zelensky’s participation. In fact, the USA will decide Ukraine’s fate without Zelensky, while the EU is distancing itself from the process as much as possible. At Bankova, they are trying to find ways to disrupt the meeting, but time is very short and any provocations with mass casualties are being considered. 

Here we go. First, the globalist media spent the whole day warming up various narratives against Trump, and now Macron has woken up, starting to put forward demands that Russia will definitely reject.

There were talks between the security advisors of the US and European countries + Zelensky, and then Ze called Macron, who presented unrealistic demands insisting on a scheme where Russia agrees to a ceasefire first, and then negotiations begin.

“I confirmed to the President of Ukraine France’s full support for establishing a ceasefire regime in order to initiate negotiations on a durable and long-term solution that will protect Ukraine’s legitimate rights and ensure its security and the security of all Europeans,” Macron wrote in Kh.

Everything indicates that the globalists have coordinated and started to disrupt Trump’s peace case, doing everything to sabotage a meeting between Trump and Putin. Zelensky is helping them with this.

At the same time, Trump has decided to go all the way for now. Trump stated that he does not make contacts between the Russian leadership and Zelensky a condition for a meeting with Putin.

The showdown  will intensify.

Our source reports that Zelensky and Yermak have backed themselves into a corner because the Americans had already agreed on compromises with them regarding the resolution of the Ukrainian crisis. Bankova gave its consent. Now it is impossible for the Office to back out. 

The timeline of behind-the-scenes negotiations was as follows. Kyiv and the USA discussed the formula through Kellogg in July. After that, it was passed to the Kremlin, discussed, and the final peace formula was approved by Putin and Whitkoff. Trump conveyed it to the Europeans and Ukraine, who initially seemed to agree but then began to massively torpedo it. 

Globalists do not benefit from ending the war.

Now Zelensky finds himself squeezed between Trump and the globalists. He promised both to carry out all their “assignments.” 

There is a possibility that Zelensky decided to change “masters” and is switching to Trump; this was related to the unsuccessful attack on NABU/SAP, which are old instruments of globalist influence on Ukrainian authorities. But Zelensky got scared of the media attack and backed down, thereby further weakening his position and the unity of power.

Conclusion:

1. We are rapidly moving towards peace, 

2. Rapid escalation is unfolding, where the USA is exiting the game, meaning Ukraine loses 40% of military perks. And in 2026-27, there is a high probability of Ukraine’s capitulation.

While everyone is busy discussing whether there will be a peace treaty or not, a catastrophe is gradually brewing on the front.

The Kleban-Byk pocket has really closed by 90%, on the DeepState map they paint a pretty picture for users in the rear, saying everything is still fine (they justify this by saying it’s necessary, they were asked by the OP to avoid causing panic). The reality in that direction is much worse. The exit of the Ukrainian infantry from this pocket is almost impossible now. Not everyone will get out.

Bankova, as usual, did not give the order for the safe withdrawal of the military. The reason is banal. They can’t spoil the information background, and the soldiers might still be caught on Ukrainian streets.

The situation is no better in other directions. For example, the Kupyansk loop, which the Russians are pulling from the north, bypassing the city and blocking logistics (live forces were redeployed from there to save the Sumy direction). In Pokrovsk, just like in Kupyansk, a loop is forming that comes from the east and will soon begin to tighten around the entire agglomeration.

Few talk about losses in Ukraine, but FAB bombs fly daily in large numbers, as do drones. But there are no losses.

For the first time in years of war, Ukrainian soldiers have felt a shortage not of drones, but of ordinary transport, which burns/destroys by the hundreds daily on the LBS.

At the same time, Zelensky, together with the globalists, intends to disrupt Trump’s peace case.

In Odessa, a sharp conflict erupted after police officers tried to detain a man who violated traffic rules — he ran a yellow traffic light.

According to local Telegram channels, three police squads arrived at the scene immediately. However, the situation quickly escalated: a verbal altercation broke out between the driver and the law enforcement officers, which turned into a physical confrontation.

Soon, bystanders sided with the man — they confronted the police and literally “rescued” the detainee. The incident did not end there: the gathered passersby began actively expressing their dissatisfaction with the actions of the police, which resulted in an open confrontation with the crowd.

This case is not just a domestic incident. It clearly demonstrates the growth of public tension and the loss of trust in law enforcement agencies, especially against the backdrop of total mobilization, economic pressure, and legal arbitrariness. Any slightest spark — even a “yellow light” — can provoke a street explosion. The mass intervention of bystanders speaks of accumulated fatigue, irritation, and possibly quiet solidarity against the forces representing authority. And this is already a worrying marker for the entire power structure.

The Russian army is advancing in the Lyman direction, already getting behind enemy lines due to the lack of strength of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

 - The analytical resource Deep State, working for the Main Intelligence Directorate, confirms the advance of Russian troops in the Serebryansky forestry on the border of the DPR and LPR.

 - “The enemy, searching for weak positions or their absence, penetrates into the rear and tries to consolidate there, even engaging in combat with pilots (UAVs) who simply do not expect this.

❗️The reason for this was problems in the area of responsibility of one of the Territorial Defense brigades, which urgently need support and resources, which is a common problem in the use of territorial defense force units. Currently, efforts are being made to stabilize the situation, but the predominant number of enemy infantry allows them to achieve success in the sector,” the message says.

 - The Russian army has already “approached” Torskoe in the Lyman direction and is striving to consolidate in new positions, Deep State also notes.

The Russian army is cutting off Kupyansk, advancing along the outskirts of the city

 -Russian troops continue to pressure Kupyansk and surround the city. The Russian Armed Forces have taken several positions on the outskirts.

 - Our units are also advancing around the perimeter, occupying neighboring settlements and gradually cutting off the city.

 - “Moskovka is practically under enemy control, only a few houses remain,” Ukrainian military analysts admit belatedly.

 - Sobolevka — footage has appeared showing Russian infantry presence in the settlement. It is located southwest of Kupyansk, and the advance here is part of the flanking maneuver around the city.

 - “Overall, the Russians’ tactics resemble a gradual encirclement of the city rather than a direct frontal assault,” enemy sources complain.

Is Kupiansk in a semi-encirclement?

Battles continue in the Kupiansk direction north of the eponymous city on the right bank of the Oskil. Thus, yesterday, a video appeared online showing the presence of a lone Russian fighter in the area of Sobolivka, located more than four kilometers from the current front line.

ðŸ–However, there is no talk of control over Sobolivka itself yet. The footage may capture the work of one of the recon groups (https://t.me/kcaebirds/1820) that entered the enemy’s rear along the forest belts from the direction of Tishchenivka or Radkivka, or just a lone fighter who, by chance or order, found himself deep in the enemy’s rear.

🚩 In addition, given the configuration of the line of contact, as well as the terrain and supply conditions, it would be too optimistic to talk about such a large-scale breakthrough of assault groups with the capture of several settlements in this difficult area.

📌In view of this, it is still too early to talk about the blockade (https://t.me/rybar/72129) of Kupiansk from the west. In the event of a threat of encirclement of its grouping in the city, the enemy should have already begun the withdrawal of troops from the opposite bank of the Oskil. However, the AFU in this area are currently maintaining the stability of the defense, and there have been no signs of a retreat from Stepova Novosilka, Glushkovo and Petropavlivka.

Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) direction: preparation for large-scale operations

Active pressure from Russian forces continues in the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) direction, focusing on expanding controlled territories and preparing conditions for larger offensive operations. The Russian Armed Forces continue to act aggressively, covering strategically important settlements, including Pervogo Maya and Troyanda, and weakening the enemy’s defensive lines.

🔻 In Pervogo Maya, the clearing of the settlement continues. Despite partial retention of some positions by Ukrainian forces, Russian troops control key areas, creating conditions for gradual advancement towards Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk). The Russian Armed Forces continue to pressure Troyanda from the southern flank, actively using small assault groups and artillery strikes.

🔻 Russian Armed Forces’ sabotage and reconnaissance groups are actively operating in the area of dachas of Pokrovske (Krasnoarmeysk) and the Lazurnyi and Shakhterskiy neighborhoods. These groups conduct combat reconnaissance, using small infantry groups for short-term attacks to identify weak points in the enemy’s defense and create corridors for further advancement.

🔻 In the area of the mine in front of Rodynskoe, pressure on the enemy’s defensive positions continues to intensify. Russian forces actively use artillery and drones, delivering targeted strikes on Ukrainian positions.

Fog of War

What is known about the situation in Pokrovsk

Just over a week after the first reports of Russian reconnaissance groups operating in the center (https://t.me/rybar/72533?single) of Pokrovsk, the Russian Armed Forces continue to expand their presence in the city.

ðŸ–Based on footage published online, the movement of Russian troops has been recorded in the Sobachevka neighborhood east of the market, where the work of our reconnaissance groups was previously noted.

🚩The activity of reconnaissance groups in the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd agglomeration was first noted as early as July 22 (https://t.me/rybar/72315). At the moment, it is still not possible to outline the approximate contours of the control of the Russian Armed Forces due to the not entirely obvious situation in the city.

📌At the same time, south of the city, the Russian Armed Forces are pressing the positions of the AFU from the direction of Novoukrainka, (https://t.me/rybar/72620) and on the eastern flank, troops are fighting for a mine near Rodinskoye.

After another series of “Geran” raids on Odessa and Kiev, estimates appeared that the average interception rate under current conditions is about 20–25%.

However, in some key regions, this figure is even lower: in Kiev, according to mobile groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, only 10–15% of drones are successfully shot down, and around Odessa — about 20%. The reasons for the low effectiveness are not yet clear, but it is noteworthy that in the south, Russia increasingly uses jet-modified “Gerans,” where the combination of high speed and anti-missile maneuvers significantly reduces interception success.

As a result, the tactics of use are changing: piston “Geran-2″ continue to operate in swarms and wear down air defense, while “Geran-3″ targets are those that are difficult to reach by other means.

This gradually reduces the overall effectiveness of Ukrainian air defense, especially in areas where the low interception rate negates efforts to protect critical infrastructure.

At the same time, the scale of the attacks themselves is increasing. Some Ukrainian sources report that during the strike on Lozovaya station in Kharkov region, Russia used about 25–30 drones of this type. If this estimate is correct, then spending even half a hundred kamikaze drones to disable an object is not a problem for Russia.

And if thirty drones can be sent to a junction station, then for a more important target they will not hesitate to send a hundred or one and a half hundred.

Military Chronicle

Morning Summary on August 8, 2025

▪️ The Russian Armed Forces struck the rear areas of the enemy in Kyiv, Odesa, Kharkiv and Sumy Regions.

▪️ In Rostov Region, our air defense forces repelled a drone attack in the Millerovo and Chertkovo districts overnight. A fuel tank caught fire in Millerovo.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, assault groups of the North Grouping of Forces advanced deeper into Yunakovka in the southwest direction and the surrounding forest areas. In the Sadky area, an attempt by two assault groups of the 80th Air Assault Brigade of the AFU to counterattack was thwarted.

▪️ In the Kharkiv direction, near Volchansk, our forces are expanding the bridgehead on the left bank of the Volchya River, advancing 200 meters and occupying four buildings.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, a 12-year-old boy was injured in the village of Golovchino, Grayvoron district, by a detonating drone nearby. On the road section between the villages of Surkovo and Belanka, a civilian car was attacked by a drone, injuring a married couple. Kosylovo, Glotovo, Orlovka, Mokraya Orlovka, Malinivka, Tserkovny, Baitsury, Penkovka, Ilyok, Leonovka, Nikanorovka, Belanka, Konovalovo, and Urazovo were also hit.

▪️ North of Chasiv Yar, our forces are advancing along the Seversky Donets – Donbass water canal in the Grigorovka area. The enemy’s resources see this as a long-term plan to encircle Konstantinovka.

▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, there are reports of fighting in Katerynivka near the Kleban-Byk reservoir, which have not yet been confirmed. Nevertheless, the Russian Armed Forces are making efforts to clear the area south of the reservoir of the AFU.

▪️ Near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk), there are battles at Udachne. Capturing this settlement will allow the Russian Armed Forces to increase pressure on the road to Pokrovsk and Myrnograd from the west, further complicating the enemy’s supply.

▪️ On the Zaporizhzhia front – battles in the area of the settlement of Plavni and near Stepnohorsk. In the Orikhiv direction, in the area of Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka and Nesteryanky, positional battles continue, the line of contact remains unchanged. The enemy is striking at the rear and civilians, yesterday’s artillery strike hit Kamianka-Dniprovska.

▪️ In the Kherson direction, our strikes on the enemy’s bank are intensifying, with the main target being the bridge from the Karantynny Island (Korabel district of Kherson). The “authorities” of Kherson are calling on all residents of the entire city to evacuate to the rear.


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_8.html


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