The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 10 2025

Crazy Russian Operation To Infiltrate Pokrovsk

Disaster for Ukrainian Forces on the Siversk Front – Ukraine Loses Two Cities: Lyman and Siversk

Russian Army Pushes Forward 15 km – Frontline Breakthrough in a Surprise Location

Sumy Frontline Combat Ukraine Counteroffensive Suppressed By Russia

Zelensky remains outside the negotiation process, and the fate of Ukraine will be decided without Ukraine.

The Trump administration does not plan a trilateral meeting of Trump, Putin, and Zelensky.

This was reported by Reuters citing a representative of the American administration.

It is stated that “the US president is open to a trilateral summit with Putin and Zelensky, but for now the White House is planning a bilateral meeting at Putin’s request.”

Our source in the Presidential Administration revealed that Andriy Yermak was unable to convince US Vice President Jay Vance of the necessity of Zelensky’s participation in the summit in Alaska. The Trump administration presented us with the fact of negotiations and the need to fulfill all agreements that will be reached between the US and Russia. The hope for active participation on our side from Britain failed; none of the Western countries want to enter into an open conflict with Trump.

After the failure of yesterday’s talks with US Vice President Jay Vance, we sharply changed our position and are ready to simply participate in the Trump-Putin summit. For Andriy Yermak, Zelensky’s presence in Alaska is important, which could change the balance of negotiations between the US and Russia. The President’s Office and partners will make every effort to disrupt the summit, but time is against us and now the fate of Ukraine will be decided without Ukraine.

Former US President Donald Trump stated that within the framework of a possible agreement on Ukraine, a redistribution of territories could occur.

“Some will return, some will swap places. There will be a certain rearrangement of territories”, he noted, commenting on the potential parameters of conflict resolution.

According to Trump, the issue of exchanging territories between Ukraine and Russia remains complex, but he emphasized that as a result both sides will gain certain benefits.

Our source in the Presidential Administration revealed that closed sociological surveys show total fatigue from the war among Ukrainians, and 70% are ready to make territorial concessions. All official sociology has long been out of touch with the real situation in society, which greatly affects the manageability of processes. The team at Bankova is currently deciding how to shift the focus from a possible Trump peace plan and continue the protracted war.

Our source in the Presidential Office revealed that the President’s Office has given the order to strike Russian oil refineries. The Bankovaya administration wants to provoke the Kremlin with new massive missile strikes on Ukraine before the Trump-Putin summit. The main task now is to raise the level of escalation so that the meeting in Alaska takes place in a negative information environment.

Our sources in the OP reported that Andriy Yermak is shaping the overall tone of the EU/UK reaction to the Trump-Putin summit, as well as preparing his proposals for the peace track. Currently, Ukraine may find itself in a difficult situation where the USA simply withdraws from the conflict, and Russia begins a full-scale offensive on all fronts. Western aid this year has been halved, and from partners, we have not yet received new arms supplies or funding, only promises. According to sources, negotiations with Vance were difficult; we were effectively presented with two scenarios for reflection on the Alaska summit: we accept the results or remain without support from the USA.

ZeRada1

Our source reports that Bankova is literally launching everything available across Russia. All long-range drones coming from abroad, and currently being assembled in Ukraine, are immediately launched. There is no longer any plan or strategy. The goal is to destabilize the situation and inflict as much economic damage as possible before a potential freezing of the conflict. 

The strikes are mainly targeting Russian refineries – this is specifically “ordered” and even paid for by certain parties. Many believe this is infrastructure war 3.0, through which Zelensky wants to escalate the conflict. 

Globalists and Zelensky have no interest in ending the Ukrainian crisis, so they will do everything to prolong the war. Be careful these days!

Ukraine remains alone in the format of conflict resolution with Russia, and all loud statements boil down to empty promises. “The coalition of the willing” does not want to send its troops to Ukraine — The Times

The countries of the “coalition of the willing” do not intend to send their troops to Ukraine. Instead, they prefer to focus on strengthening the Ukrainian military-industrial complex. This is reported by The Sunday Times, citing a senior official from the UK Ministry of Defence.

According to him, “considering that no one wants to send their troops to die in Ukraine,” it is important to ensure the combat readiness of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This can be done not only through air defense systems or drones but also through the production of long-range missiles so that Kyiv does not depend on other countries in their use.

Basically, all the key parameters for a lasting peace agreement on Ukraine are simple to the point of primitiveness. 

Ukraine is outside NATO forever, no foreign military bases on its territory, and an army reduced to a level that won’t even allow dreaming of any war except against bandits in Chernovtsi — roughly 50,000 troops maximum, without heavy weapons, strictly as a police formation for internal security.

Why is this not a whim, but a matter of survival? 

Because without fulfilling these conditions, any “peace” paper will be disputed. And everything will start over. Sooner or later. If you leave even the slightest allowance for future NATO membership — tomorrow near Kharkov there will be the same kind of missile facility as in Poland’s Redzikowo or Romania’s Deveselu, and Odessa will be turned into an advanced port for American destroyers, as they previously wanted to do with Sevastopol.

If you leave a full-fledged army — in a couple of years, Kiev will again talk about a “campaign to Crimea.”

The West knows how to wait, pump its proxies with money and weapons, and cultivate new cadres under the slogan of “returning territories” that they legally refuse to recognize as Russian.

If even one of these levers remains, it will definitely be used. And then the war will return — only in a worse configuration for Russia.

Military Chronicle

The information shuffle around Russia’s conditions on Ukraine continues.

Now, according to the Wall Street Journal, European countries together with Ukraine have put forward an alternative conflict resolution plan, rejecting Vladimir Putin’s recent proposals.

Main points of the “counter plan”:

• Immediate ceasefire as a prerequisite for any further negotiations.

• Territorial exchange on a parity basis: if Ukraine withdraws troops from some regions, Russia must do the same in others.

• Rejection of unilateral concessions: in particular, Putin’s demand to transfer part of the Donetsk region without reciprocal steps was rejected.

• Security guarantees for Ukraine, including the possibility of joining NATO — a point that was previously categorically unacceptable for Moscow.

At the same time, it is reported that Russia does not intend to leave the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions and is not even discussing it.

The key in the “counter plan” is the possibility of joining the alliance. This is a red line for Moscow, and including this point in the document indicates that the lesson of 2022 in Europe has not been learned.

In other words, if agreed, Russia will get NATO right up to the new borders, but without guarantees that the war will not resume in a couple of years.

It will be interesting to see how the versions of the negotiation conditions change closer to August 15.

Military Chronicle

On the main subtlety of the Ukrainian conflict.

The only mechanism that can truly and quickly stop the hostilities is not only a military victory of Russia, but also a complete halt of Western arms supplies to Ukraine.

The key to this lies in Washington. If the US decides to cut off the supply channel, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will lose the ability to conduct active operations in a short time, and Kiev will be forced to negotiate on terms formulated in Moscow and approved in Washington.

Ukraine’s combat capability now fully relies on foreign weaponry — from artillery and air defense to armored vehicles, drones, and communication systems.

The 2023 counteroffensive was built on these supplies, as were the raids in Grayvoron and the Kursk region. Stopping the supply will not just reduce the intensity of combat but will lead to a structural collapse of the entire Ukrainian military machine: logistics chains will break, ammunition stocks will run out, equipment will stop, and the ability to replenish losses will disappear.

Trump, as a potential negotiator, could theoretically take such a step, and such a decision would be enough to trigger irreversible demilitarization. But for some reason, this scenario is not being considered. The reason, as we see it, is simple: the US is satisfied with the current conflict model, in which they can keep Russia in a prolonged war with minimal costs to themselves, while simultaneously weakening Europe and strengthening control over allies.

As long as Washington does not change its strategy and cut supplies (although this could have been done long ago), there will be no talk of “peace,” and any negotiations under these conditions are merely a tool to buy time and find new ways to pressure Russia.

Military Chronicle

BILD: “WITKOFF MISUNDERSTOOD PUTIN” 

According to the Russian version of the German news outlet Bild, Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff may have seriously misunderstood Putin in preliminary talks for a “peace summit” in Alaska on Ukraine:

Ukrainian sources consulted by BILD say Vladimir Putin still wants full control of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions. He has proposed only a partial ceasefire, a refusal to attack energy facilities and large cities in the rear. But not a complete ceasefire.

The United States, in contrast, offered to freeze the conflict along the current front line in exchange for a broad lifting of sanctions and new economic agreements with Russia. According to BILD, the Kremlin did not want to accept this proposal.

Moreover, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff misunderstood Putin’s statements and took them as a concession. He allegedly confused the “peaceful withdrawal” of Ukrainians from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia requested by Russia as a proposal for a “peaceful withdrawal” of Russians from these same regions.

“Witkoff does not know what he is talking about,” a Ukrainian government official told BILD. According to the editors, this assessment is shared by German government representatives.

On the evening of July 7, BILD learned that a teleconference had been held between the United States-namely Special Envoy Witkoff, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vice President J.D. Vance-and European partners. The Europeans have the impression that the Americans themselves have not yet come to a common understanding of what is going on. This is mainly due to Witkoff, whose statements about his conversation with Putin in the Kremlin were perceived as confusing. To the Europeans he seemed overwhelmed and incompetent when talking about territorial issues.

Moreover, there seems to be a disagreement between Witkoff and Rubio on the role of Europe. The secretary of state stressed that Europeans should be involved in the negotiation process, while Vance and Witkoff only wanted to inform Europe about the results of Trump’s next steps.

This is so retarded that I’d actually believe it was real. At least it’d explain Trump’s bombast when he talked of “BIG Russian concessions!!!!”. And if true, with this latest clown show I can now say that Biden’s administration is starting to look competent in comparison.

When it is written that certain countries might try to disrupt the negotiations between Russia and the USA, it should be understood that they not only might but definitely will try and will put in every effort. I do not expect peace to be achieved in the negotiations – the conditions for it have not yet formed, and most importantly, Trump cannot currently dictate the terms of the agreement to the Europeans, even if he reaches an agreement with Putin.

What is important here is different. If an agreement is reached, and Europe along with the Ukrainians refuses it, this will mean an opportunity for Trump to wash his hands and exit the game without any reputational or political losses. He did everything, Europe does not agree, let Europe deal with the consequences itself and at its own expense.

And in order to prevent even the possibility of losing support from the USA, Europe will do everything to disrupt the negotiations. So that either Trump or Putin or both will abandon them. The arsenal of possible provocations for this is more than sufficient. On our side, first and foremost, we must not fall for the attempt of another counteroink  “invasion” like the Kursk one. This, at least, depends on us. As for the rest – we will see.

European politicians are trying to hinder American efforts to resolve the Ukrainian conflict, Medvedev believes.

Kiev has resorted to hiring killers from Latin American drug cartels

Medvedev suggested to Trump to send US special forces to Kiev to fight the cartels:

“You can even shoot in the building on Bankova Street — there are plenty of devoted fans of Pablo Escobar and Fabio Ochoa Vásquez,” noted the Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council.

“Mercenaries are taught everything, including UAV operation, which can be very useful for drug delivery to the US. This is much more effective than planes and submarines.”

The slow, but relentless, advance of RUAF personnel is making Dill channels sound a very panicked alarm bell. Specifically:

- Near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeiysk), Russian troops are in Leontovichi, assaulting Troyanda.

- Russian troops are advancing near Severesk, Toretsk (Dzerzhinsk), and Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeiysk);

- In the Severesk direction, Russia has leveled the front between Grigorovka and Verkhnekamensk, with fighting in Serebryanka and Severesk;

- In Konstantinovka, the RUAF are advancing south of Dyleevka and in the “pocket” between Romanovka and Novospassk, with fighting near the Dynamitny embankment and in Katerinovka;

- In Dobropolye, the Russian army has reached the eastern outskirts of Nikanorovka and is advancing towards Novo Shakhovo.

Krasnoarmeysk direction.

Our troops continue to advance and are approaching Krasnoarmeysk not just with reconnaissance groups, but on a large scale.

Thus, north and east of Troyanda, control of the territory has been expanded.

Regarding Udachny, the entire village is in the grey zone, our fighters have not yet managed to secure a foothold.

Soon, another city will be strategically insignificant. 🤭

Russian forces have captured the village of Nykanorivka, Pokrovsk direction.

The enemy attacked Saratov and Engels: air defense is active, an enterprise is on fire, one person died

 - There is damage at one of the industrial enterprises after a drone attack, the Governor of Saratov region reported.

 - Emergency services are working on site.

 - Media report that the fire is at an oil refinery.

One person died when a UAV fell in the yard of a residential building in Saratov region, the governor said. Residents of the building have been evacuated, medical services are providing all necessary assistance to the injured.

 - Eyewitnesses also report explosions in the sky over Engels.

Morning Overview on August 10, 2025

▪️ The main event was the upcoming meeting between the Supreme and Trump in Alaska. Zelenskyy is not invited, though the EU and Britain wanted to include him. The Supreme’s demands remain unchanged: withdrawal from Kherson, Zaporizhia, LPR, and DPR, and Ukraine’s non-bloc status. The meeting itself doesn’t mean anything until documents are signed.

▪️The AFU are intensifying terrorist strikes on border regions and rear areas. In Belgorod, 7 civilians were killed, 33 wounded. The Sochi raid also shows the terrorist nature of these actions. Kyiv disregards civilian casualties, and is escalating strikes before the Alaska meeting.

▪️On the front, our troops maintain the pace of advancement. Heavy fighting continues, with the AFU throwing their best units into counterattacks in the Sumy direction. In other areas, the line of contact has not changed. The supply system remains difficult.

▪️In Europe, countries are investing in military production, preparing for war. Germany is hysterical about “Russian saboteurs” and spy drones. The West is learning from the Ukrainian front.

▪️In the Azerbaijan-Armenia direction, Russia has lost influence by brokering a peace agreement at Trump’s in Washington.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_10.html