The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 8 2025

Risky Maneuvers & Decisive Battles | Major Update

Kyiv on the Brink: 150,000 Russian Troops Ready to Strike – Zelensky Urgently Calls Trump for Help

Azov’s Biggest Defeat Yet – Russian Forces Trap an Entire Elite Company

Zelensky Strikes Children Park After Putin’s Full Scale Strike On Cabinet Building In Kyiv

The anti-crisis narrative started on our inside info that there was no strike on the Cabinet of Ministers, and it was all an operation by our special services.

Yesterday, the warhead of the 450 kg “Iskander” missile fell on the Cabinet of Ministers but did not explode. The fire was caused by the ignition of fuel from the missile’s tanks.

This was reported by Defense Express citing a source familiar with the analysis of the debris.

By the way, no one showed the missile debris yesterday; everyone was discussing the UAV, but the damage from its strike is completely different.

Our sources revealed that the strike on the Cabinet of Ministers was staged by our special services to provoke the necessary international reaction. There are hundreds of cameras around the government quarter, but there is no video of the strike, only footage of the fire.

The negotiation track continues despite the positions of the parties.

Trump stated that he will talk to Putin “very soon,” – CNN

“Very soon. Within the next few days. Listen, we are going to do it. The Russia-Ukraine situation. We are going to settle it,” said the US president.

He also commented on the shelling of Kyiv on the night of September 7:

“I’m not thrilled about what’s happening there. I believe we can resolve this issue. But I am dissatisfied with them. I am dissatisfied with everything related to this war.”

Trump also added that some European leaders will come to the White House early next week to discuss Ukraine.

The Office of the President is pursuing a dangerous strategy in a protracted war, in which we hope for a crisis in Russia, while not taking into account the factors that Putin will go all the way in this war. Western media have drawn attention to this problem, so WSJ publishes an objective view on Vladimir Putin’s strategic calculation in the context of the protracted war. The main idea is simple: Russia is betting on exhausting Ukraine faster than the Russian economy loses the ability to sustain military operations, and so far this bet looks realistic.

According to the material, the Russian economy continues to show resilience despite sanctions. GDP growth in 2023–2024 has been ensured by energy exports and large-scale budget injections into military spending. Yes, structural problems are accumulating: labor shortages, dependence on parallel imports, budget pressure, but WSJ and Carnegie experts point out that Russia can wage war at the current pace for at least 18–24 months, and some analysts talk about three years. This forms the basis of the Kremlin’s strategy: to endure longer than Kyiv and its allies.

On the front, the Russian command demonstrates not a desire for rapid captures, but a tactic of gradual attrition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU). WSJ emphasizes that Ukraine’s losses are already critical: the infantry shortage is so severe that small Russian groups can penetrate between poorly covered AFU positions. Ukraine compensates for this with massive use of mines, artillery, and drones, but you can’t win a war with a “robotic army” — the key remains live personnel.

At the same time, the publication points to internal problems of the AFU: the inflexible Soviet command system leads to unjustified losses and demoralizes the troops. According to some Ukrainian soldiers, trust in the command is undermined, and the motivation of new mobilized personnel is decreasing. All this increases the asymmetry: Russia can afford significantly more human losses than Ukraine, thanks to demographics and mobilization reserves.

In the long term, Putin expects to win the “endurance game”, the editorial board believes. If the West does not radically increase support for Ukraine, and Kyiv does not solve the problem of lack of people and resources, the situation may reach the point of military collapse of the AFU within 2–3 years.

Our source reports that in private conversations all military experts say that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are once again in the most difficult situation since 2022, indicating that we are “a couple of steps away from February 2022,” when the Russian Armed Forces were marching through the territory of Ukraine.

As the source adds, the only difference is that in February 2022 the Russian army was met with Molotov cocktails, and the Russians were expecting flowers, but now the situation is changing drastically. The Russians will be expecting Molotov cocktails, but they will be met by quiet streets of Ukrainian cities and even somewhere with flowers. Everyone blames Zelensky and Yermak’s authorities for this, who since 2022 have destroyed all credit of trust, killed morale, turned the people against the Ukrainian government, thereby helping Russia.

Right now this seems like something fantastic, but after some time it will become a banal reality that everyone will write about.

This winter, the entire Ukrainian energy sector may collapse, and what we have been writing about for a long time will come true – a black winter.

There will be daily power outages lasting 15-20 hours.

The reason is simple – it is retaliation for Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries and the Druzhba oil pipeline.

There were airstrikes at night on the Trypilska TPP near Kyiv.

There were also massive strikes on the energy sector in the Sumy region.

Afterwards, problems with electricity supply began in the Kyiv region, parts of the capital’s districts, and parts of the Sumy region.

Stock up. Zelensky is deliberately provoking. He needs a tragedy that he can use for personal PR to demand money to continue the war. Also, the office hopes that in this way they can raise the fighting spirit/hatred in society towards the Russians, like “look, they arranged a genocide of the Ukrainian people by cutting off all energy resources to Ukraine,” thus ZeErmak hopes that everyone will go to the military enlistment offices again, and Bankova will be able to send everyone to the front and continue to rule!

Our source reports that the General Staff continues to spread fakes about “victories on the internet” to create the illusion of struggle and triumphs. We were the first to expose this strategy of the OP and the General Staff.

In reality, things are very bad for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. You could understand this from the actions of the TCC, which in recent months have become even more aggressively and recklessly catching all the serfs to plug holes at the “zero.”

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced the liberation of the village of Zarechnoye near Lyman and released a video recorded long ago. Previously, they filmed videos from above and around, but military analysts then exposed their lie based on the “burnt fields.” Now they decided not to repeat the mistake and simply recorded a flag and a building, which indicates a planted story/fake.

This is done to fill the information space with victories, although everyone understands that in time the Russians will be further ahead and such planted stories do not affect the real situation on the front. Unless pink ponies on the internet and far in the rear can still comfort themselves that victory is near.

More and more truth is breaking into the public sphere each time, about how Zelensky’s policies have discredited service in the army and the Armed Forces of Ukraine as a whole. His lawless mobilization turned soldiers into slaves and the people into serfs, which killed morale in the army and society. Ultimately, this will lead to a fatal outcome. 

This greatly helps the Russian Armed Forces and has almost destroyed the narrative that Russians are occupiers and terrorists. Now he is supported only through telemarathons, official statements, and bot farms. More and more people already see Russia as an opponent of our government, but not an enemy of the people, which opens a window of opportunity for soft power and the popularization of the Russian world among the population of Ukraine, with the arrival of the Russian Federation only making things better (Ukrainians are already living in total impoverished slavery, it can’t get any worse).

The article by Military Watch Magazine describes an extremely alarming situation regarding the state of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and reflects deeper structural problems that today define the prospects of the conflict. The main thesis of the publication is that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are experiencing a critical shortage of personnel, and the personnel shortage is so severe that some combat brigades are staffed at only 30%. In conditions of continuous combat operations, such a figure effectively means an inability to conduct active operations and hold lines according to NATO and Ukraine’s own standards.

A particularly important aspect is the scale of losses and the quality of the mobilization resource. Military Watch writes that Kyiv is forced to recruit “rural poor” and send recruits to the front after only two days of training. This not only reduces combat effectiveness but also increases casualty rates: in conscription units, it is estimated at 80–90%, which goes beyond any rational military planning. According to Western observers, in some front sectors, the “lifespan” of recruits is only a few hours. This indicates that Ukraine’s strategy of self-exhaustion to hold positions is reaching a dead end.

However, behind the numbers lies another layer of analysis: the resource asymmetry between the sides. Russia, having a much larger mobilization and industrial potential, can afford to wage a war of attrition, whereas Ukraine, deprived of a stable demographic base and industry, is forced to compensate for the lack of people and weapons with endless requests to the West. But Western aid also faces limitations — weapons arrive irregularly, and promises of long-term support often do not materialize into concrete resources. As a result, the Ukrainian Armed Forces find themselves in a trap: the front must be held, but there are not enough people and equipment, and mobilization reserves are running out.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces lose up to 90% of conscripts and are unable to replenish their ranks; the continuation of the war becomes a matter of political will rather than real capabilities. Ukraine today faces a choice between further escalation of mobilization, which will deepen the social crisis, and seeking a new format of negotiations, where the bet will not be on victory at any cost but on preserving the country as a manageable structure. Otherwise, the risks of military and demographic collapse will only increase.

The August clashes in Donbas clearly demonstrated the critical problems of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Even in areas where defensive lines had been built over years and considered the strongest, the Russian army managed to capture about 400 km² in one month. This was a warning signal: even deeply echeloned defense does not hold the front.

Currently, only up to a third of the territory of Donetsk region remains under stable Ukrainian control. The key strongholds remain the Slavyansk–Kramatorsk–Druzhkivka–Konstantinovka agglomeration and Sviatohirsk, as well as individual cities – Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Myrnohrad, Severesk, and Lyman. But it is precisely around these nodes that the Russian Armed Forces are forming a strategic offensive configuration, gradually closing two semicircles.

The first “claw” is tightening around Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, which are already effectively semi-encircled. The second is around the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, where the advance of Russian troops in the Lyman direction and attacks north of Dobropillia indicate an attempt to cut communications. If the distance between the “claws” shrinks from the current 60–70 km to 30–40 km, this corridor will be under constant attack by Russian drones. In such a situation, the defense of the northern part of Donbas will become an almost impossible task for the Armed Forces of Ukraine: holding the territory will result in excessive losses.

Particular importance is attached to the Russian advance south of Konstantinovka. The goal is obvious – to reach the logistical arteries of the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration and paralyze them with massive strikes. Even if the agglomeration itself does not fall quickly, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will face a choice: to continue holding Donbas at the cost of huge losses or to seek alternative lines of defense.

For now, the situation is balanced. Ukrainian troops managed to stop the breakthrough near Dobropillia, but the enemy’s advance in the Lyman direction could not be stopped. Meanwhile, Western media and Ukrainian OSINT analysts report the transfer of additional Russian forces to Donbas, indicating preparation for a large-scale autumn campaign.

As a result, the Armed Forces of Ukraine remain in a strategically disadvantageous position: the defense is “cracking” even where it was considered the strongest, and new threats of encirclement and isolation of key nodes of the Ukrainian army are emerging on the horizon. In fact, the country is paying an increasingly high price to hold on to the remnants of Donetsk region, while the Russians retain the ability to increase pressure. And they are doing just that.

Ukrainian militants leave suicide fighters to cover the retreat of units near Krasnoarmeysk.

They (the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) leave suicide fighters. These are the soldiers who were either deliberately not withdrawn or who were not evacuated in time during the retreat, to delay the advance of our forces in the battles,

— RIA Novosti was told by security forces.

Earlier it was reported that foreign mercenaries of the Armed Forces of Ukraine try to retreat first in case of possible clashes with Russian fighters in the Krasnoarmeysk direction in the DPR, leaving regular Ukrainian troops at the positions.

Krasnoarmeysk is crucial for the fate of the Armed Forces of Ukraine grouping in the DPR. This city remains one of the key points for supplying the remaining garrisons, and its loss threatens Kiev with severe consequences.

Battle near Pokrovsk: the “🅾️” grouping relentlessly burn tanks, equipment, infantry, and enemy positions

 - A selection of combat work by the fighters of the “Center” troop group on September 7, destroying combat equipment, weapons, infantry, positions, and UAV control points of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during active hostilities in the Pokrovsk direction.

The Russian army, after capturing Khoroshee, broke into Sosnovka, advancing in the Dnepropetrovsk region

 - In the Velikomikhailovka direction in the Dnepropetrovsk region, units of the “Vostok” troop group liberated the settlement of Khoroshee the day before and broke into the eastern part of Sosnovka.

 - “The Russians advanced in the area of Sichnovo, Khoroshee, Voronoe, secured Novoselovka, and are storming the eastern part of Sosnovka,” acknowledge Ukrainian military analysts.

 - “According to reports from Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers, Russian troops occupied Sichnove and Khoroshee. To the south, Russian troops advanced along the forest strip west of Kamyshevakha and east of Ternovoe. In the direction of the latter, the Russians are actively storming from the southeast and east. The situation remains dynamic.”

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of September 8, 2025

▪️ Zelensky issued a formula: “As long as Putin has not occupied Ukraine — we are winning,” which even amused the enemy segment of the Internet. This looks especially funny against the background of the enemy experts’ assessments regarding the Russian Armed Forces’ ability to carry out a “night of a thousand Geraniums” every two to three days, as happened the day before. By the way, Washington, after one of our strike drones (although its wreckage was not shown and a malfunction of the Ukrainian Air Defense is quite likely) damaged the Cabinet of Ministers building in Kiev, grumbled again about sanctions, “economy on its knees,” which is no longer taken seriously. Meanwhile, Trump is organizing another meeting: “Leaders of several European countries will visit the US early next week to discuss a peace deal on Ukraine.” However, nothing much should be expected from this meeting either.

▪️ In the Bryansk region, yesterday the AFU attacked the Klimovo settlement with kamikaze drones – two local residents were injured.

▪️ In the Kursk region, Rylsk was shelled, causing damage to apartment buildings, private houses, and a warehouse. A 38-year-old man was injured.

▪️ On the Sumy front, fighting continues in the southern part of Yunakovka. The “North” group of forces repelled three enemy counterattacks in the areas of Alekseevka, Andreevka, and Novokonstantinovka (Pershe Travnya), destroying up to 50% of the enemy personnel, as well as a Bradley IFV.

▪️ In Kupiansk, the enemy conducted a demonstrative raid in the part of the city where our forces previously displayed flags. Apparently, due to the many drones, there is mutual infiltration of infantry groups from both sides here as well, making it impossible to clearly determine the front line.

▪️ In Donetsk, during a strike by an AFU UAV on the children’s “Gulliver” park, six civilians, including one child, received moderate injuries. Six residential buildings and a school were damaged.

▪️ On the Velykomykhailivka front (Dnepropetrovsk region (https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33515)), Russian forces are advancing in the areas of Sichneve Khoroshe, Vorone, Novoselivka, and are storming the eastern part of Sosnovka. The enemy admits the loss of the settlements Sichneve and Khoroshe.

▪️ On the Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka fronts, heavy fighting continues. The enemy is taking countermeasures to slow our advance. Our forces respond by using FAB bombs with UMPK on the near rear of the AFU.

▪️ On the Pokrovsko-Myrnohrad front, fighting is ongoing on the outskirts of the agglomeration; the enemy attempted a counterattack near Nikanorivka. Overall, the complete liberation of Donbass is clearly a priority for our military-political leadership, with units being redeployed from other front sectors. The enemy is offering organized resistance and bringing in reserves.

▪️ In the Kherson region, in Bekhtery of the Holoprystansky municipal district, a man was injured as a result of a shell hitting a private house. The enemy shelled Aleshky, Hola Prystan, Hornostaivka, Zavodivka, Kairy, Nova Kakhovka, Nova Mayachka, Stara Zburievka, and Stara Mayachka.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_8.html