The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 12 2025

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RUAF Defeat AFU North of Pokrovsk

Our source reports that the phone conversation between Trump and Zelensky was not as positive as Ze and the globalist press present it. In his video message, he says he received signals that the US wants to strengthen cooperation with Ukraine, but this does not concern financing or supplying weapons to Kyiv – it is more about a resource deal, etc. 

Trump is in a hurry to buy all Ukrainian nuclear power plants, hinted in this conversation to Zelensky, who promised to put them up for privatization and “sell/give” them to American corporations. Now is the best time, he can justify it by saying that this way the nuclear power plants will be safe from Russian strikes. Although no one is hitting the nuclear power plants anyway. 

Also, Trump called to find out if it’s time to stop the war and move towards peace, otherwise Ukraine will soon be stuck in a so-called black winter, left without railways, etc.

Zelensky tried to convince Trump otherwise in every way, asked for missiles, air defense, asked for Tomahawks, for which he promised to run a first-class PR campaign about their effectiveness, and Ze also promised many interesting events in the near future (hinted at the sabotage of the Power of Siberia gas pipelines, etc.), to damage China, which is a major competitor of the US. 

We are watching.

Tomahawks remain on the agenda.

The Ukrainian and American teams are working on agreeing on the details of the transfer of Tomahawk cruise missiles. This was stated by the representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, Georgiy Tikhiy.

Tikhiy said that it is about a “very detailed and active discussion” with the USA regarding the possibility of transferring the missiles.

“Of course, we see various questions in terms of different technical features. What kinds of missiles exist, from which launchers they are launched, and how feasible it is. Currently, the Ukrainian and American teams are working to agree on all these details, to discuss all these nuances, in what forms, in what configurations the provision to Ukraine can be made”

, he said.

He added that the previous administration gave a clear no to the request for these missiles, but now, according to him, that is not the case. Vladimir Putin previously said that the response will be to strengthen air defence.

WHAT KIND OF WEAPON WAS PUTIN TALKING ABOUT?  By “Starshye Eddy”

During his trip to Dushanbe, Vladimir Putin announced the upcoming introduction of new types of weapons in Russia. What could this be about?

First and foremost, one expects strategic innovations from the president. So it is quite possible that we will hear news about the fate of the intercontinental missile “Sarmat,” new hypersonic systems, and the development of a promising strategic bomber, which is supposed to begin testing around 2025–2026.

We should not forget about the “Oreshnik.” Firstly, it has practical applications; secondly, it is quite possible that we should expect news about its large-scale deployment in combat units. The same applies to the “Burevestnik.” Hopefully, God will protect us from the use of a missile with a nuclear engine, but its deployment would be useful, among other things, to cool down some overly zealous minds in the West.

Regarding operational missiles, the improvement of the “Yars” and the naval missile “Bulava” will continue, as their modernisation potential is far from exhausted. Under current circumstances, Russia generally has more significant capabilities to expand its strategic armaments than the USA, and this is one of the main reasons why the USA is interested in continuing to observe the restrictions imposed by the Strategic Offensive Arms Treaty: the USA is not keen to engage in a new nuclear missile race now.

Let us not forget about the Aerospace Forces. Expectations here are linked to the new Su-75 fighter, which should also take to the skies soon, and the expansion of production of the already flying S-70 “Okhotnik” drone. As for air defence, there are probably no fundamentally new systems expected—except possibly laser ones—but there is a need to increase serial production of existing means, as well as develop new lines of ammunition—primarily cheaper anti-drone missiles—and control systems that enhance the effectiveness of existing firepower in combating drones.

Overall, the current development of armaments in Russia, on the one hand, reliably ensures our security in relations with NATO, where the danger of direct confrontation involving nuclear weapons is clearly understood, and on the other hand, enhances the capabilities of the Russian armed forces in conventional warfare, where our army now definitely surpasses any NATO army by a very wide margin.

The US has been helping Ukraine strike Russian energy facilities for several months, writes the FT.

Washington provides Kiev with American intelligence data, allowing them to plan attacks and bypass air defense systems, Ukrainian and American officials told the newspaper.

Three sources emphasized that the US is involved in all stages of planning. Kiev independently selects targets, while the Americans provide intelligence on their vulnerabilities.

This is the latest confirmation that Trump has increased support for Ukraine, the article notes.

The Ukrainian air defense system is experiencing a serious systemic crisis, and Western weaponry is demonstrating its ineffectiveness in a protracted war, where the enemy uncovers the algorithms.

The effectiveness of the Patriot air defense systems in Ukraine has dropped from 42% to 6%,” said former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko.

The reason, according to him, is the use of new modifications of Russian missiles, which now maneuver more actively and evade anti-aircraft fire.

The Russian army is storming the center of Poltavka, advancing in the Zaporozhye region!

 - In the Uspenivka-Huliaipole direction, Russian troops continue their offensive at the junction of the Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk regions.

 - Russian assault troops have already occupied the east and center of Poltavka and continue to occupy buildings in the built-up area.

➖”Russian troops have advanced in the central part of Poltavka. Further enemy advancement and capture of Poltavka will allow them to increase pressure towards Uspenovka, as well as, when advancing westward, towards Guliaipole.

 - South of Poltavka, Russian troops are storming in small groups from the Malynivka area northward,” acknowledge Ukrainian military analysts.

Situation in the city of Rodinskoye in the Dobropolskoye/Pokrovskoye direction.

Assault units from the “Centre” troop group have taken positions in the northern, eastern, and southern parts of the city. The Armed Forces of Ukraine control the central and western parts.

The fighting is heavy but has become somewhat easier compared to about two weeks ago.

The recent expulsion of Ukrainian Armed Forces units from the southern part of Rodinskoye is a significant blow to the logistics of Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) and Dimitrov (Mirnograd). Only a short distance remains to completely encircle the Ukrainian Armed Forces units in Pokrovsk and Mirnograd — approximately 5.5 kilometres.

Konstantinovka direction.

Our troops from the Aleksandro-Shultino side and the Yagodka gardening society have entered the eastern part of Konstantinovka during assault operations.

Fierce battles are ongoing, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as you can see in the footage, have set up corridors of anti-drone nets in the city.

However, our UAV operators are not deterred by this and find loopholes in such corridors to destroy enemy equipment and personnel.

Also, in the footage from the enemy side, you can now see the situation in Konstantinovka. In the multi-story buildings, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have set up firing points and observation posts on the upper floors.

The Russian Aerospace Forces strike these points with FAB-3000 bombs; in the video example, a strike was made on the positions of the 20th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Frontline report as of Sunday morning, October 12:

On the Pokrovsk front, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing towards Myrnohrad and Novopavlivka, and have secured the “Kapitalna” mine. The liberation of Volodymyrivka has been confirmed, fighting continues near Lysovka and Chunishyne.

In the Ugledar direction our troops have taken Uspenivka, are pushing the Ukrainian Armed Forces towards the Yanchur River, are storming Oleksiivka and advancing north of Filia.

In the Kostyantynivka sector, fighting is ongoing near Ivanopillia. Russian Armed Forces are advancing on Kostyantynivka from the southeast.

In the Seversk direction, fighting is taking place in Yampil and near Dronivka; our forces have secured the Poselkove reservoir.

On the Kupiansk front, the Russian Armed Forces control the centre of Zahryzove; fighting is ongoing in the southern part. In Kupiansk, they are advancing towards Yubileine.

In the Zaporozhye direction, positional fighting continues in the area of Orikhiv, Prymorske, and Stepnohirsk.

In the Krasnolyman sector, no changes; our drones are striking Ukrainian Armed Forces reserves along the Izium-Kamenka route.

Returning to the topic of desertion, it is important to understand that desertion itself is not cowardice of Ukrainians, but rather:

1. A public protest of the masses against the lawless mobilization and actions of the Territorial Recruitment Centers.

2. A public protest against Zelensky’s policies.

3. A public protest of the military against being treated like serfs/slaves.

4. Disappointment of the masses.

5. The only chance to survive.

All these factors arose because of the “stupid” policies and strategy of Zelensky and Yermak.

Two Majors #Overview #Summary as of October 12, 2025

▪️ Strikes on Ukrainian energy marked a new escalation of the conflict, showing the complete exhaustion of the “Anchorage format.” Such actions traditionally began as “retaliatory” disabling of a significant number of our refineries and a gasoline crisis in several Russian regions. Targeted strikes on Ukrainian power generation facilities look impressive, but since they are subordinated to political goals and have been carried out in waves throughout the years of the war depending on the situation, they have not yet brought Ukraine to the Stone Age. Moreover, the presence of intact Rivne, Khmelnytskyi, and South Ukraine NPPs allows maneuvering of capacities and supplying the remaining enemy population with energy. At the same time, our NPPs are regularly subjected to strikes by the AFU, which leaves Moscow the right to take the most decisive measures, which are already under discussion at the highest level.

▪️ The international situation around the war in Ukraine is moving towards an even broader conflict. Military hysteria is spreading throughout Europe, but alongside it, real military preparations are underway: railway tracks and pipelines are being extended, military factories are being deployed, hospitals, evacuation schemes for civilians, anti-nuclear shelters are being prepared, and the military legislation of EU countries is being improved. Undoubtedly, military-industrial corporations, which are the main beneficiaries of such actions, are being enriched; the “green” financial agenda has been replaced by a military one. But to say that such EU policy will only lead to capital shifting to the owners of military factories means forgetting the history of Europe in the 1930s.

▪️ On his birthday, the Supreme Commander demonstrated the importance of frontline affairs for him by gathering commanders in St. Petersburg and hearing reports. Attention was drawn to the importance of quickly bringing air defense to normal combat readiness, which indicates an understanding at the highest levels of the problem with Ukrainian drones, or rather – the effectiveness of the fight against them.

▪️ Soon, it may be necessary to fight against American “Tomahawk” missiles, which may already be in Ukraine. The desire to act only “retaliatorily” maintains the risk of the enemy using any types of weapons against Russia without the risk of receiving anything meaningful in return as that very “response.” Meanwhile, extremely hard work is underway to obtain information about enemy depots with NATO weapons, which are being destroyed (as in Odessa recently). However, the destruction of this weaponry and equipment leads to increased workload for the Western military-industrial complex and new orders for the same factories.

▪️ Heavy offensive battles are ongoing at the front, as before – all in the tactical zone, our forces are clawing back about a hundred meters of land from the enemy per day. But the main focus remains on preserving our military potential and exhausting the enemy’s. However, with many drones on both sides, the frontline looks like an isolated area with a dozen or so servicemen trying to survive and stealthily advance toward the enemy. The future will belong to those who have cheaper, mass-produced, and reliable technological military solutions.

On the Sumy direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing on the Alekseevka direction, with heavy fighting ongoing. Nonsense about “creating a security zone” on the Belgorod and Kursk sections of the border at the whim of certain leaders still appears in the media and channels, but there are no results to report yet: strikes on energy infrastructure and civilians in Belgorod and other frontline regions only confirm this. Our forces are pressing the enemy in Kupyansk; it is too early to write victorious reports, but there are definitely successes. On the Krasnoliman direction, the Russian Army is leveling the front, and on the Seversk direction, a wide flanking maneuver is underway. The heaviest fighting is on the Konstantinovka and Pokrovsk directions, where “beautiful reports” about Vladimirovka, which are now being corrected amid heavy losses, were made. The “Vostok” military group is stretching enemy reserves with strikes on various sectors and advancing in the Dnepropetrovsk region and the northeast of Zaporozhye. On the Zaporozhye front, the “Dnipro” military group is engaged in bloody battles for Stepnohirsk and Primorske; in the sky, there are hundreds of drones, and the enemy does not spare up to 50 UAVs and dozens of artillery shots against a couple of our attack aircraft, which it still has. On the Kherson direction, fighting continues in the island zone and mutual shelling across the Dnieper.

▪️ Enemy depletion is periodically characterized by the absence of reserves in certain sectors and Kiev’s statements about the need for money to fulfill military and social plans. Meanwhile, Russia is raising taxes (including VAT) and vehicle recycling fees, causing public discontent. According to Supreme Commander reports, there are 700,000 of our troops at the front. The number of recruitment advertisements for contracts has sharply increased, possibly indicating plans to build up our forces at the front.

✨Thus, nothing suggests a quick end to the conflict, and the West has every reason to believe that everything is proceeding according to their plan. Europe is fully subordinated to the will of the USA and has become their market for military products, which are increasingly needed due to their destruction on the battlefields. The economic potential of Russia is also assessed by the collective adversary, forming a clear opinion on the benefits of continuing the war in Ukraine.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_12.html