The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 13 2025

DISASTER On Three Fronts, Russia SQUEEZING Ukrainians Out Of Kazenyi Torets Pocket

Russians have moved to a new phase of their military campaign — strikes on Ukraine’s transport and energy infrastructure are becoming systematic and interconnected. The main focus is not only on power plants but also on railway facilities that ensure the country’s military and logistical resilience.

The main tools of the attacks have become Shahed-type strike drones, as well as various types of missiles. According to Ukrainian sources and observers, the strikes hit traction substations, locomotive depots, and sections of railway junctions through which the main military cargoes pass.

The most affected regions are northern and southern Ukraine.

In the Chernihiv region, the traction substations in Bakhmach and Nosivka were targeted. These facilities supplied power to the line connecting Kyiv with Chernihiv and Sumy. As a result, train traffic has been partially stopped, and local authorities were forced to organize bus routes to replace the railway service. There are also reports of the destruction of one locomotive with ammunition.

In the south, the strikes hit key routes through the Odesa, Poltava, and Kirovohrad regions, through which military and export cargoes move. Damage was recorded in the Odesa area, including the Odesa sorting depot TC-1, as well as on the Pomoshna — Kremenchuk section, which connects the southern and central regions.

As a result, freight train traffic has sharply decreased, some trains were redirected to secondary routes, and some to non-electrified lines, which required the use of a limited number of diesel locomotives.

Although the Ukrainian railway system remains operational, the consequences of the strikes are obvious: the capacity of the main lines is reduced, delivery of weapons and fuel is hampered, the load on secondary branches increases, and the vulnerability of logistical routes for the Armed Forces of Ukraine grows.

Experts note that Russia is striking systematically, hitting chains of dependent industries — from energy generation to transport. The goal is to create a “mutual collapse” effect, where failures in energy automatically lead to paralysis of logistics and military transportation. Previously, the strikes were pinpoint — targeting individual transformers, tracks, or stations. Now there is coordination of actions in several directions simultaneously, which significantly enhances the effect of the attacks.

According to experts, Ukraine is still able to partially compensate for losses through mobile traction substations and diesel locomotives, but their resources are limited. If the intensity of the attacks continues, the country’s railway system could be in critical condition by winter, leading to a sharp reduction in military supplies and slowing internal logistics.

And some ill-wishers even say that the Russians will soon cause a complete “collapse” of Ukraine’s railway infrastructure, and considering that under such circumstances all transportation could be stopped, people in major cities and frontline regions need to leave now. 

Zelensky continues to spout absurdities.

The journalist rightly says that Ukraine and Russia exchange strikes on energy infrastructure, to which Ze responds that Russia is conducting energy terrorism, while clumsily and cynically not mentioning that he himself launched infrastructure war 3.0 with strikes on refineries, oil pipelines, etc. And continues to strike, which will of course lead to an even stronger retaliation.

He pretends that only Russia hits the energy sector, and he is “white and fluffy.” He hopes that everyone there is an idiot and understands nothing. He treats them like fools.

By the way, right now the Ukrainian Armed Forces have again massively struck an oil depot in Feodosia (photo 2).

So a much stronger response will soon come flying! Get ready!

We said that a black winter in Ukraine is beneficial to Zelensky, he provokes it himself to later PR himself on the people’s misery.

Think about it

Our sources in the Office of the President reported that Zelensky promised in negotiations with Trump to hold elections if a temporary ceasefire is reached. Andriy Yermak’s strategy has brought results to Ukraine; we have effectively managed to counter the negative Alaska narrative and nullify the Trump/Putin agreements. The team at Bankova plans to continue buying time and bring the US back into the Ukrainian conflict to receive new weapons from Trump and continue the war with Russia.

The buildup of the pre-election narrative continues, in which the current president loses to any of the military figures who would make it to the second round.

According to a poll by the “First Rating System,” both the former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Zaluzhny and the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate Budanov would defeat Zelensky in the second round if the presidential elections were held soon.

Zaluzhny leads the current president by 16% – 42.6% versus 26.3%.

Budanov is ahead of Zelensky by half a percent – 33% versus 32.5%.

If Zelensky did not make it to the second round at all and Budanov and Zaluzhny faced each other, 44.5% would vote for the former Commander-in-Chief, and 22% for Budanov.

Considering the fact of negotiations between Zaluzhny and Budanov, the picture looks very bad for the President’s Office.

Yesterday Trump discussed with Zelensky the necessary number of “Tomahawks” and ways to use them — Axios

▪️Despite such a detailed discussion, sources say that the decision to transfer the missiles has still not been made.

▪️The parameters of a possible deal were also discussed – selling them to NATO countries with subsequent transfer to Ukraine.

▪️The status of supplies of other weapons to Ukraine, the situation with air defense and energy were also discussed.

▪️The Saturday conversation lasted 30 minutes, and the Sunday one – 40 minutes.

“Tomahawk is a serious weapon, but it will not be able to change the situation on the fronts — Peskov

▪️Tension is being escalated from all sides regarding the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine.

▪️Many statements are being made, and they need to be analyzed.

▪️The topic of “Tomahawks” raises concern.

▪️In the context of “Tomahawks,” Peskov reminded about Kyiv’s capabilities to create a “dirty bomb.”

➖”Just imagine: a missile with a long range takes off and flies, and we know it can be nuclear-armed. What should the Russian Federation think? Military experts overseas should understand this,” he said.

Medvedev – on Trump’s threats to Putin:

Trump said that if the President of Russia does not resolve the Ukrainian conflict, “it will end badly for him.” Threatening for the hundred and first time, basically. If the “business peacemaker” is talking about “Tomahawks,” then the phrase is incorrect. The delivery of these missiles could end badly for everyone. And first and foremost – for Trump himself.

It has been said a hundred times in a way even understandable to the star-spangled uncle that it is impossible to distinguish the nuclear version of the “Tomahawks” from the conventional one in flight. Their launch will be carried out not by Banderite Kyiv, but by the USA. Read: Trump. How should Russia respond? Exactly!

One can only hope that this is another empty threat caused by prolonged negotiations with a cocaine-addled clown. Like sending nuclear submarines closer to Russia. Well, you know how it goes: a submarine surfaced in the steppes of Ukraine.

The Pokrovskaya bulge has destroyed thousands of units of Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment and tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers over these two months, but Bankova and the General Staff have still not been able to achieve results. 

Ukrainian military are already sounding the alarm, calling the situation catastrophic in the Pokrovsk direction. Although we have been writing about this constantly, now even they are beginning to realize it, although Ukrainian cartographers commissioned by the Office of the President are slowing down map updates to create the illusion of front stability. Since the first public posts have appeared, it means silence is no longer possible, the failure of Zelensky and his puppet Syrsky is too obvious.

A soldier lives a maximum of 4 days in the Pokrovsk bulge – this is rapidly consuming all remaining combat capability of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Currently, Pokrovsk/Myrnograd is operationally encircled, but the probability of the formation of the Pokrovsk cauldron is 70%.

Zelensky demands Syrsky hold the Pokrovsk agglomeration for another month so that ZeErmak can try to drag Trump into the Ukrainian crisis. All available reserves are being sent there.

Many of our sources indicate that the Pokrovsk cauldron may form as early as the first days of November. After Zelensky’s failure at Pokrovsk, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will begin to retreat even faster, and the front will literally start to crack at the seams. We also had this insider information on September 26.

We are watching.

Zelensky’s statement based on a video by the PR group of the DRG (“flag bearers, whose task is to run into the gray zone to take pictures and come out – this is a victory crisis). At the same time, he boasts about a mythical advance of 3 km, against the backdrop of constant retreats of 20 km per day – this is rock bottom.

Running away to make a video with a flag is the OP’s favorite tactic to create the illusion of victory.

This indicates that the situation on the front is so critical that Zelensky is trying to put a good face on a bad game.

The Dobropillia front sector is becoming one of the most intense for the Armed Forces of Ukraine — the intensity of combat there has reached its peak in recent months.

Thus, after several weeks of regrouping and bringing up equipment, the enemy has moved to the phase of active mechanized offensive. Columns of armored vehicles, mobile groups on motorcycles, and massive infantry support are being used. This is no longer reconnaissance by fire — it is a full-scale breakthrough of the Ukrainian defense with the intention to break through it and change the front line configuration.

According to Ukrainian military reports, Vladimirovka has effectively been captured by the Russian army. Troops are already deployed there, positions are stabilizing, and equipment is being actively deployed. At the same time, in the area of the plantations adjacent to Shakhove, movements of small assault groups are recorded — this is preparation for the next wave of attacks. Servicemen note that the Russians are acting according to the textbook: capturing a key settlement, advancing to the next one, clearing the intermediate zone, and preparing for encirclement.

Special attention should also be paid to the advance of the Russian Armed Forces near Nikanorivka. There, the enemy holds the heights and is already targeting Belitske with FPV drones — a classic sign of preparing to expand the bridgehead. The likely scenario is an attempt to push Ukrainian forces out of the operational corridor, squeeze them between two strike groups, and deprive them of maneuvering capability. The front is essentially beginning to lose depth, and the troops — options for retreat.

Signs of preparation for further offensive also include new series of FAB bomb strikes north of Shakhove, as well as increased use of FPV drones against concentrations of Defense Forces personnel. Experts also note that Russian forces in this front sector are not playing “cauldrons” but are methodically capturing space and forming a zone of fire control. And if the offensive continues at this pace, the next logical step is to expand combat operations toward Druzhkivka, where the vulnerable configuration of the Ukrainian rear and logistics still remains.

Meanwhile, Syrsky clumsily lies about the elimination of the Dobropillia salient, although, as we see, the enemy has successes there, while the Defense Forces, on the contrary, are losing their last reserves. And if the command logic is not changed promptly, it could lead not just to a tactical retreat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but a systemic breakthrough of the Russians deep into Donbas. After all, the war is no longer fought for settlements — it is fought for control of the front.

About Pokrovsk. 

The situation around the city now is exactly like what it was near Avdeevka shortly before its assault.

The Ukrainian grouping in the area of Rodinskoe, Mirnograd, and Pokrovsk itself is practically semi-encircled: supply routes are cut off, all possible logistical corridors and even small paths are under fire, rotations are difficult, and the rains add to the problems.

At the moment, an illusion of an operational pause is being created, but in reality, forces are being accumulated and the situation is being brought to a critical point. Under these conditions, the transition to decisive actions can indeed happen “like a thunderclap out of a clear sky” — suddenly, but with a pre-established system of conditions when the Ukrainian defense will no longer be able to hold.

Volchansk. Kharkov direction. Advancement of the Russian Federation Armed Forces

Positive news is arriving from the Kharkov operational front.

The assault units of the “North” troop grouping continue to expand the security zone.

In Volchansk, the overall advance has reached up to 700 meters. With precision weapons, the Russian Federation Armed Forces destroyed enemy positions in the Dvurechansky area.

The main blow was dealt to the fuel depot of LLC “777 Gold,” used for the storage and blending of fuels and lubricants for engines and aviation. 14 hits from “Geran-2″ drones caused a widespread fire and the complete destruction of the fuel stock.

22 tanks were destroyed—the total storage capacity was approximately 300 tons of fuel.

Furthermore, the attack on enemy forces is concentrated in the Kupyansk area, “Frontovaya Ptichka” reports.

Little by little, che “wall of doom” keeps advancing, and can’t be stopped

Strikes on Crimea’s Energy Sector

Last night, the Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out a series of strikes on key energy and infrastructure facilities on the peninsula. The attack was accompanied by a wave of UAVs that destabilized air defense systems, causing widespread outages and destruction.

🔻Where did the strikes land?

▪️In Feodosia, for the second time in a week, the oil depot was hit — the strike caused a large fire engulfing up to ten fuel tanks. The blaze was visible from Stary Krym, Kerch, and even across the strait. The smoke plume reached Leninsky district. Damage also affected water supply facilities — residents of Prymorsky, Beregovoye, and Blizhniye Kamyshi were advised to store water; supply was organized by tanker trucks.

▪️Preliminary confirmation was received of a hit on the Kafa substation — a key element of the energy bridge that redistributes power between the north and east of the peninsula. The fire was recorded both visually and via satellite thermal imaging.

▪️In Simferopol and its surroundings (Hvardiiske, Perevalne, Maryino), multiple UAV flights and air defense activity were recorded. According to local sources, the 330 kV Simferopol substation was hit — fires were observed nearby, and dense smoke spread over the area.

▪️In northern Crimea settlements, power and mobile internet outages occurred during the night of the attack. Electricity was partially restored by morning. Simultaneously, disruptions occurred in Feodosia and Simferopol — lighting flickered, and communications failed.

▪️Earlier reports described a double strike on the Saky TPP with Neptune missiles: one hit the administrative building, the other the engine room. Damage is assessed as serious.

▪️A fire was also recorded near the underground gas storage, where a blaze had started the day before. It was extinguished by morning.

📌By the morning of October 13, Russian air defense had shot down over 119 drones, but some reached their targets. The attack was prolonged and combined in nature; it is likely to continue. One of the enemy’s goals is to deplete ammo for air defense.

❗️The strikes put several key nodes of Crimea’s power system out of operation, including facilities not previously damaged. Particularly critical is the damage to 220 and 330 kV substations responsible for power redistribution across the peninsula.

⚡️Judging by the nature and direction of the strikes, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are implementing a tactic of systematic power outages, similar to actions in Belgorod region. Repeated attacks on the same targets, like in Feodosia, indicate attempts to exhaust restoration resources and force authorities to deploy additional reserve capacities.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of October 13, 2025

🗞 Trump 🇺🇸 announced a peace agreement in the Gaza Strip and went on a Middle East tour. Lockheed Martin (USA) reported plans to produce 400 PrSM missiles per year (replacement for ATACMS). Zelensky🇺🇦 continues to beg for “Tomahawks,” Kiev is increasing production of the British-developed heavy drone-missile “Flamingo” in third countries. By the way, the US leader said that “Tomahawk missiles are a new step of aggression. If this war is not resolved, I will send them missiles.” Western media reported that former British🇬🇧 Prime Minister Boris Johnson once received a million pounds from lobbyists for promoting the idea of continuing the war.

▪️ At night, enemy UAVs again attacked an oil depot in Feodosia (Crimea), causing a fire. More than 20 drones were shot down (the MoD reported 34 drones shot down over Crimea and the sea). In the morning, the raid on Crimea continued; the enemy is trying to hit power generation facilities. In the Rostov region, two residents were injured by a UAV falling on a private house. Drone attacks were also repelled in the Aksaysky, Belokalitvinsky, Millerovsky, Chertkovsky, and Oblivsky districts. 

▪️ At least 20 “Geran-2” missiles struck Odessa at night, enemy warehouses are burning. Explosions were also heard in Kramatorsk and the city of Nezhin in the Chernigov region. There were aerial bomb launches on Zaporozhye.

▪️ No changes on the Tetkinsky and Glushkovsky directions. Russian Armed Forces struck identified AFU targets near Iskriskivshchyna and Ryzhevka.

▪️ In the Kursk region, a Ukrainian drone hit a civilian car on the Lomakino – Akimovka road in the Rylsky district; a 40-year-old woman died on the spot. A 41-year-old man was wounded by a UAV strike in the village of Girya, Belovsky district. On the Khomutovka–Kalinovka highway in the Khomutovsky district, a drone attacked a car; two civilians were injured, a 70-year-old woman lost a hand. Three residents of the Belovsky district were wounded, including a teenager. Traffic is restricted on the Rylsk-Lgov highway.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, Russian assault groups advanced 300m in forest plantations on the right flank of the offensive. The AFU conducted a counterattack near Kondratovka; they were completely destroyed.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, in Shebekino, two 10-year-old boys were injured by a drone near an apartment building; a man was wounded in Grayvoron. In Rakitnoye, a truck was attacked, and the driver was injured. On the Rakitnoye – Belgorod road, two men were injured by a drone strike on a commercial facility. In Proletarsky, a truck was attacked, and the driver was wounded. Also under attack are Chaika, Leonovka, Mokraya Orlovka, Dorogoshch, Urazovo, and Murom.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction, assault groups are fighting on the left bank of the Volchya River in Volchansk, in the forest west of Synelnykove. The enemy is trying to counterattack with large forces.

▪️ On the Melovoye-Khatneye front line section, our forces, supported by aviation and artillery, continued the offensive and advanced 500 m.

▪️ On the Kupyansk direction, the enemy worries about our advance near Stepovaya Novoselovka. Fighting continues in Kupyansk, with Russian Armed Forces making progress. Our forces operate in small assault groups.

▪️ In the northeast of the Zaporozhye region, Russian Armed Forces are advancing from Malinovka and Poltavka (heavy fighting continues in the latter); ahead lies the assault on Huliaipole – a strong fortified area of the AFU. Assault groups are advancing on a wide front from Novohryhorivka towards Uspenivka and neighboring settlements – progress is from 1 to 2 km.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front, the AFU have brought reserves and special forces to Stepnogorsk and Prymorske. Our forces have introduced fresh UAV units into battle. Heavy fighting is ongoing.

▪️ In the DPR, in the Nikitovsky district of Horlivka, during an attack by a strike (https://t.me/DNR_SCKK/21968) UAV on route bus No. 2, a boy born in 2010 and five adults were seriously wounded.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_13.html