The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 22 2025

Ukrainian Forces Begin Withdrawal From Pokrovsk | Pokrovsk Endgame

Massive Ukrainian Armored Losses in Pokrovsk

Hungary & Romania Burn, Not from Russia Attack

 According to sources at Bankova, they are currently deciding how to fulfill Trump’s demands on the peace track. The main problem is not the surrender of territories, but the legitimization of the end of the war. Zelensky stated in negotiations with Trump his readiness to withdraw troops from the Donetsk region, but on the condition of a Korean scenario, which the Kremlin rejects.

Following the meeting at the White House, it became clear that Trump not only refused Zelensky’s request for Tomahawk missile supplies but also did not make any concrete promises regarding military aid to Ukraine. Moreover, within Trump’s circle, there arose a feeling that it is the Ukrainian leader who seeks not peace, but to prolong the war.

According to Financial Times, Trump “shouted at Zelensky” and almost repeated “Putin’s talking points.” The US president publicly denied accusations of pressuring Zelensky, stating that he only insisted on a ceasefire along the front line — a position he had voiced long before the meeting.

In other words, Trump’s rhetoric has not changed, and the irritation observed from Zelensky after the meeting is explained not by the tone of the conversation but by the essence of what was said: the US no longer intends to participate in escalating the conflict. Or perhaps Zelensky simply realized that Trump once again deceived him, continuing to act within the framework of agreements with Putin, reached in Alaska outside of public rhetoric.

In any case, the president of Ukraine expected new weapons for the Armed Forces of Ukraine and security guarantees from the meeting but heard what he feared most: Ukraine’s future now depends not on Tomahawk supplies but on the ability of Bankova to negotiate peace with the Kremlin, on terms that will clearly be perceived in Kyiv as a “betrayal.”

Our sources reported that the General Staff is urgently requesting a ceasefire because the Armed Forces of Ukraine have no reserves, which is why Zelensky and the EU are insisting on this track now.

Zelensky stated that the EU’s peace plan provides for a ceasefire, but not a complete stop to the war.

According to him, peace initiatives have come from France and from “some Europeans,” while the EU wants to present “its point of view.”

“This is not a plan to completely stop the war – it is mainly a plan for a ceasefire. I know certain steps regarding this, but it needs to be discussed. There are certain proposals, and I very much welcome it when strategic friends offer their help,” Zelensky said.

Our source reports that if the EU still decides to seize Russian financial assets (140 billion) under any pretext and any crude scheme being rushed through, it will cause damage to European financial institutions and banks of more than a trillion. Against the backdrop of the current crisis, this is almost a shot to the “head.”

There will be an outflow of the remaining capital from other states and private individuals. All capital will flow to the USA, China, UAE, Saudi Arabia, etc., into gold and CRYPTOCURRENCIES. It will go anywhere, but mainly out of Europe, which could collapse the banking and financial sector of Europe with the fall of the Euro, which in turn will trigger revolutions in many countries and strengthen the positions of Eurosceptics within the EU countries. This will be the final sunset of the EU.

Many are sure that globalists can only take such a step in agony. This will be the last warning before the start of a global war on the “Eurocontinent” and World War III.

We are watching.

Putin (allegedly) told Trump that he would give up claims to the uncontrolled parts of the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions — in exchange for the Ukraine’s complete capitulation, — The Telegraph (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025/10/21/trump-no-longer-plans-meet-putin-hungary/)

▪️The Russian leader said this to Trump during a phone call.

▪️Steve Witkoff, the US president’s envoy for peace, who regularly met with Putin, told Zelensky that Russia has constitutional claims to these lands.

▪️Trump does not plan to meet with Putin in the near future because Lavrov, in a phone conversation with Rubio, did not agree to freeze the conflict along the current front line.

▪️Ukrainian and European sources are encouraged by Russia’s refusal to negotiate amid concerns that Zelensky will be pressured to cede territory to Moscow.

➖”I see this as a positive event. Russia has made it clear that its position has not changed, so why have a meeting?” a Western official told the publication.

▪️NATO Secretary General Rutte will present Trump tomorrow with a 12-point European plan to resolve the Ukrainian conflict.

Explosions rocked oil refineries in Europe owned by Russian companies or receiving Russian oil.

▪️Yesterday afternoon, an explosion occurred at the Petrotel refinery of “Lukoil” in Romania.

▪️According to official data, it was caused by the accumulation of gases formed as a result of a waste leak into the pipeline inspection channel. One worker was injured.

▪️And yesterday evening, the largest oil refinery in Hungary in Százhalombatta, which receives oil via the “Druzhba” pipeline, caught fire, reports Euronews.

▪️The fire started after an explosion at the AV3 unit. The cause of the accident is still under investigation.

The military coup is becoming the main historical track for Ukraine, as Andriy Yermak has created a vacuum of legitimacy, and the Constitutional Court of Ukraine is practically non-functional. The attempt by officials to delay the elections will be one of the reasons why the military will take power in the country, but this will happen later and under conditions of front collapse.

Our source reports that there is panic at Bankova, as Western intelligence agencies have informed that Russia is preparing to open a new front in the Chernihiv region. Preparations are underway, but the sources have not yet said when this will happen. The timing is within the next 4 months if there are no peace negotiations. 

Currently, no more than 20,000 troops are “guarding” the entire perimeter of Chernihiv region, which is very few. All reserves were withdrawn to extinguish the fire in the Donetsk region. 

The severe shortage of manpower forces Bankova to now pull reserves from everywhere, but a tightening of mobilization is imminent, as the SZZ continues to break records. 

This information jeopardizes the attempt to stop the Russians in the Dnipropetrovsk region.

The situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Pokrovsk direction is escalating.

The northern flank of the front is blazing in fierce battles — clashes are ongoing near Zolotyi Kolodets, Kucherov Yar, and Shakhovo. The confrontation for Rodynske continues: the settlement remains in the “gray zone,” where neither side has full control. At the same time, Russian troops are advancing in the vicinity of Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk, where the front has noticeably shifted in recent weeks.

Small assault groups of the enemy have begun operating on the eastern outskirts of Myrnohrad. Objective control footage confirms the entry of Russian units into the city from the Kozatske side. The “gray zone” is expanding in Pokrovsk: Russian troops are advancing deeper into the urban area, reaching the central quarters. On the western outskirts, the Russians managed to cut the M-30 highway near the industrial zone, creating serious problems for the supply of the Ukrainian garrison. Thus, supplying the Armed Forces of Ukraine is now only possible through Hryshyne and Rodynske, but these routes are under constant surveillance by enemy drones and artillery, making any logistics extremely risky. In the vicinity of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, according to military reports and frontline videos, entire “graveyards” of burned Defense Forces equipment have already formed.

Street fighting continues in the center of Pokrovsk. Russian units are advancing along Zheleznodorozhna Street, trying to secure the railway station area — there is a risk that the positions of Ukrainian troops in the Sobachevka and Yuzhny neighborhoods will be threatened with encirclement.

As we can see, over the past two weeks, Russian forces have been systematically advancing on the Pokrovsk direction, which clearly indicates the growing depletion of Ukrainian reserves. Moreover, Syrskyi’s attempts to stabilize the front by redeploying reserves from other directions — from Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv regions — have only worsened the situation. In Kharkiv region, about 40 settlements had to be evacuated because of this, but near Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, as well as in the Dobropillia area, the Defense Forces failed to turn the tide of the battles. However, Syrskyi once again confirms his nickname “butcher,” burning the main forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Donetsk region, “defending the local waiters,” as the Ukrainian servicemen themselves say.

As OSINT analyst Bild Repke notes, the battle for Pokrovsk “is approaching its final phase”: “Kyiv can slow down the advance of Russian troops, but cannot stop them.”

The Russian army is launching a powerful offensive on Orekhov on the Zaporozhye front!

▪️Russian troops have been conducting mechanized assaults for a day on three sectors of the  Zaporozhye direction: 

➖The main strike by the Russian Armed Forces was delivered from the side of Rabotino and Novopokrovka towards Mala Tokmachka. Most of the equipment managed to break through into the settlement under heavy enemy fire. Infantry dispersed and began clearing operations.

➖From the Myrne area, other columns of equipment attacked towards Nesteryanka and Shcherbakov.

➖From the Ilchenkove area, the Russian army advanced towards Novodanilivka — the result is still unknown.

➖”After these assaults, the situation on the Orekhov direction is being clarified, and Mala Tokmachka has been moved to the gray zone — fighting continues,” admit Ukrainian military analysts.

The Russian Army has liberated Pavlovka in the Zaporizhzhia region

 - Assault units of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 5th Army of the “Vostok” group took control of the settlement of Pavlovka on the Uspensky bridgehead after fierce battles.

 - A large enemy defense area on the right bank of the Yanchur River, covering more than 5 sq. km, was captured.

 - More than two platoons of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel and 7 pickups were destroyed in the battles.

Assault on Kupyansk: The Russian Army is confidently advancing in the city blocks

▪️Russian troops continue to actively advance with fighting in the urban blocks, pushing out the Armed Forces of Ukraine and securing new areas.

➖”In the western part of the city, the Russian Armed Forces, after securing the area around Dmitry Kotsyubailo Street, are assaulting in the eastern and southern directions.

➖ In the Yubileyny neighborhood in the south of the city, Russian troops are striving to secure themselves in the residential high-rise buildings,” Ukrainian military analysts admit belatedly.

➖ At the same time, information is coming in about attempts of local counterattacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”

▪️The day before, it was reported that fighting was taking place near the central intersection in the center of Kupyansk.

▪️Total area of advancement: about 10 hectares.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of October 22, 2025

🗞Expected negotiations between the Supreme🇷🇺 and Trump🇺🇸 are reportedly being disrupted at the initiative of Washington, which is trying to exert pressure and reduce the demands of the Russian side regarding territorial issues. Another round of visits, Trump’s empty self-praising words, and Zelensky voicing the US’s wishes are turning into an expected wave of informational noise.

▪️ At night, the Russian Armed Forces continued destroying Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. It seems this time seriously. In Kiev CHP-5 was on fire (https://t.me/two_majors/61274) on the left bank of the city. Power outages occurred in the city of Zaporozhye after at least 15 strikes. A series of “Geranium” strikes hit Izmail in the Odessa region, damaging energy and port infrastructure. Additionally, explosions were heard in Dneprodzerzhynsk and Pavlohrad in the Dnepropetrovsk region. During the day, strikes hit the Chernigov region (which already had water supply issues) and also Sumy.

▪️ The enemy launched several waves of UAVs; more than 50 drones were shot down in the evening over the Bryansk region. The takeoff of 11 enemy missile carrier aircraft of the “Storm Shadow” family caused concern, but they were shot down by air defense. By morning, new launches were recorded near Odessa, and footage of an attack on a local factory came from Saransk (Mordovia).

▪️ In the Bryansk region, AFU FPV drones attacked the village of Vishnevyi in the Klimovsky district, injuring two civilians.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, assault units continue to push through the Ukrainian defense with heavy fighting. The enemy throws counterattacks with restored combat-ready units in the areas of Konstantinovka, Varachino, and Kondratovka but has had no success and was pushed back to original positions.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, in the village of Novostroevka-Pervaya of the Grayvoron district, a man died from a strike by an FPV drone on a passenger car.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction – fierce battles in Volchansk and its surroundings. Ongoing offensive actions are reported by our troops on the left bank of the Volchya River in Volchansk, in the forest west of Synelnykove, in the Tykhyi area, and on the Melove-Khatne front section.

▪️ In Kupyansk, the enemy acknowledges the expansion of the zone controlled by our troops. Fighting continues in high-rise buildings; the AFU are trying to counterattack.

▪️ Confirmation has come from near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) of the completion of the clearing of Vladimirovka by our marine infantry group.

 ▪️Extremely interesting events unfolded on the Zaporozhye front in Mala Tokmachka. Our forces succeeded in a well-prepared assault on the village using armored vehicles; the elongated village is occupied three-quarters, the enemy by night pulled reinforcements from Orikhov, and our troops are preparing for enemy counteractions.

  ▪️ On the Kherson direction, the Russian Armed Forces are trying to destroy the remaining bridge on Karantini Island with strikes. On our side in Nova Kakhovka, enemy shelling caused the death of a woman and injured four civilians. The enemy shelled Aleshky, Kakhovka, Velyka Lepetykha, Hornostaivka, Dnipryany, Zavodivka, Kairy, Kardashinka, Knyaze-Hryhorivka, Korsunka, Mala Lepetykha, Stara Zburivka, Tavriysk.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_22.html