The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 15 2025

RUAF Capture 42 Sqkm Following Weather Abnormality

Zaporozhye accelerated collapse. Zelensky corruption scandal

At a rally in Kyiv, one of the protesters demanded to declare a “people’s impeachment” of Zelensky and transfer power to a temporary government.

An “No Corruption” rally has started at Independence Square in Kyiv.

Currently, about 100 people have gathered at the rally. Participants came out with posters against corruption in the corridors of power, as well as against the persecution of NABU detectives, including Ruslan Magamedrasulov.

Some hold posters with the inscription “Zelensky is a criminal.”

A Ukrainian military officer also came to the rally. According to him, the majority of the military are against Volodymyr Zelensky, believing that he should resign — peacefully and without bloodshed. He also told one of the participants that along with Zelensky, the leadership of the Verkhovna Rada should resign, and, according to him, this position is held by the majority of Ukrainian military.

Political legitimacy structures collapse not because of loud accusations, but under the weight of discrepancies between public statements and actual governance practices. This is exactly what Ukraine is experiencing: the divergence between the image of power and its actual logic has become evident not only within the country but also to external observers. In such a situation, trust ceases to be an emotional resource and turns into a matter of institutional survival.

The publication by The New York Times raises a corruption case that directly involves Vladimir Zelensky’s closest circle for the first time. Formally, the president remains aside, but the combination of factors (the involvement of his longtime partner, ministerial resignations, pressure on the investigation) makes the situation toxic. Especially against the backdrop of the energy crisis, when citizens were giving their last resources to defense, while a corrupt scheme operated within the government.

This is not about the banal assertion “Ukraine is corrupt,” but about how the war destroys the delicate mechanisms of the political system: transparency of decisions, horizontal accountability, independence of institutions. In this context, Russia does not so much create instability as it amplifies existing contradictions, which are becoming increasingly apparent to Western allies. The German Foreign Minister’s call for a “tough fight against corruption” is a sign that trust is no longer given in advance.

However, beyond this single case, a fundamental question arises: can a country at war remain an open democracy, or does wartime inevitably turn the system into a network of informal influences and hidden centers of power? The Mindich case can be seen not just as an investigation but as a symptom of political mutation.

The main problem: Zelensky’s guilt and the fact that his power turned out to be dependent on a system he does not fully control. And this is a critically important signal for the West: support requires not blind loyalty but a sober understanding of internal processes. Judging by the reaction of major Western media, this process has finally begun.

Our source reports that many TCC members and police officers have started wearing bulletproof vests because they are afraid that they have begun to be “shot at”, etc. 

People have started fiercely defending themselves against the lawlessness of the Ze-people catchers of the TCC, which may lead to an increase in clashes, as Bankova continues to cover up the TCC’s lawlessness and support repression against the people.

The fact that the police have become afraid is the first sign that the people are doing everything right.

The SZZ army is growing and will soon be larger than the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This is a threat to the country’s stability as it will lead to many dangers.

1. Crime rate 

2. Threat of uprisings within the country

3. Weakening of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and collapse of defense

4. To catch and suppress such a number of SZZ, billions will have to be spent, which do not exist.

5. Decomposition of Ukraine from within.

SZZ is a cancerous tumor inside the country, created by the office workers themselves. There are many deserters even among the experienced, and this is a threat. 

We have written many times about the mistakes of the authorities in the mobilization case – this is entirely the fault of ZeErmak.

As usual, they will try to solve the problem with repressions, but this will lead to even greater chaos and crisis.

Our sources reported that the Russian army has already entered Mirnograd, urban fighting is ongoing. Syrsky decided that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be withdrawn from the Pokrovska pocket; in a negative scenario, they will simply claim that there was an organized retreat like in Avdiivka with thousands of Ukrainian military casualties.

proof24_ua

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have developed countermeasures against Russia’s plans to capture Pokrovsk and Mirnograd, – the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrskyi soothes the worried population with mantras 🤦‍♂️

▪️According to Syrskyi, he held a meeting with commanders directly in the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad agglomeration area.

➖”The enemy does not give up attempts (😂) to break through to residential buildings, apartment blocks, and to establish themselves there to expand the control zone. Taking this into account, a set of measures has been developed to counter the enemy’s plans,” said the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

❗️Meanwhile, most of Pokrovsk has long been under the control of the Russian army.

Ukraine and Russia use the same chips, we build missiles and they use them to enter permanent spin cycles

Our sources in the General Staff said that Syrsky gave the order to evacuate military equipment and machinery from Huliaipole, due to the lack of reserves in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, we will not be able to hold the city. The situation on the Zaporizhzhia front line is currently one of the most difficult, but the General Staff is unable to respond to the challenges in time.

If you look at the line of defense in the Zaporizhzhia direction, the Russian Armed Forces successfully reached the settlement of Danilovka in the Dnipropetrovsk direction to attack the line of defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces up to Huliaipole from two sides, effectively encircling them instead of attacking head-on. In fact, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are on the verge of collapse in this direction, as there will soon be no large and well-fortified defensive lines left, and the Russians are advancing into a large operational space all the way to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro.

The picture shows the last line of defense, which the Russians can simply bypass, leaving it in a “cauldron” that they can easily close. Also, the weather is helping them. There is often fog now on the LBS, which gives the Russian Armed Forces an advantage.

Zelensky urgently decided to transfer reserves to this direction, but there are not enough of them. Everything was already burned in the Pokrovska cauldron.

In addition, the Russian Armed Forces have already captured 50% of Novopavlivka in the Dnipropetrovsk region.

We got an inside report about problems in Novopavlivka back on November 8, and since then the supreme commander’s headquarters has done nothing.

The situation in the eastern Zaporizhia region is dire for the Ukrainian Armed Forces: they are unable to stop the advance of the Russian Armed Forces.

The situation is unfavorable for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, writes renowned Ukrainian military expert Konstantin Mashovets.

The main negative changes have occurred west of the Yanchur River. Russian units managed to cross it in several areas, captured Uspenovka, and advanced further west by approximately 6-7 kilometers. Between the Vovcha and Yanchur rivers, assault groups reached the Novoaleksandrovka-Alekseevka line and consolidated their positions east of Yegorovka.

Small advances were also noted on the wings toward the Guliaypole-Velikay Novoselka road and in the direction of Malinovka.

This was made possible by concentrating forces on a narrow section of the front and quickly moving the main units to the line where the assault groups achieved local successes. Russian troops are actively increasing pressure precisely where they are making progress.

“The prospects in this direction are clearly not very favorable for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The enemy has significantly increased the pace of advance of its front-line units in recent weeks and shows no signs of slowing down. And so far, there is no sign that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are even capable of slowing it down,” Mashovets said.

The Russian command is trying to bypass the Hulyaipole defense district from the north and cut key communications leading there from Pokrovskoye. If the current pace of advance continues, the Russians could attempt to reach the Gaichur River and the Guliaypole-Pokrovskoye road, then approach Pokrovskoye from the southeast.

In the future, the Russian Armed Forces could reinforce the offensive with additional forces to complete the encirclement of Guliaypole and move to a direct assault, Mashovets believes.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of November 15, 2025

▪️ At night, the Russian Armed Forces struck the Odessa region. A concentrated “Geranium” raid was carried out on Dnipropetrovsk, with fire and heavy smoke at the impact sites. “A bunch of ‘Geraniums’,” the city residents describe the night, mentioning multiple secondary detonations.

▪️ The AFU attacked the refinery in Ryazan, with footage of the fire circulating online. Before midnight, the Russian MoD reported the destruction of drones over Crimea, Belgorod, Bryansk, and Voronezh regions.

▪️ Fierce fighting continues on the Sumy front. The “North” group reports tactical successes. The AFU conducted two unsuccessful counterattacks, and two more were thwarted by comprehensive fire strikes during their advance. On the Tetkinsky and Glushkovsky sectors, our artillery and FPV units targeted the AFU near Ryzhevka and Pavlovka.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, Nazi scum intensively shell civilians. In Grayvoron, an enemy FPV drone struck a vehicle, killing a man on the spot from his wounds. Another civilian was injured in a separate strike there. In the village of Yasnye Zori, a man was killed by an enemy drone strike on a vehicle. In Oktyabrsky, a civilian car driver was wounded. In the Bochanka hamlet, a drone attack on a moving vehicle injured a married couple. In Volchya Alexandrovka, a man was injured by an FPV drone detonation. Throughout the day, many settlements in the region were hit, with consequences on the ground.

▪️ In Volchansk Kharkov region, the “North” group continues to advance. Significant progress on the Khatne sector of the front. Aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces, TOC-1A units, and artillery are intensively operating on all front sectors. In the forest near Synelnykove, our forces are moving deeper in, capturing enemy strongpoints after battles.

▪️ In Kupiansk, the AFU claim a counterattack in the city center. In fact, there are mutual aggressive information battle between “Goyda” and “Peremoga,” complicating understanding of the situation on the ground. Footage (https://t.me/RVvoenkor/103826) from objective control meanwhile indicates an attempt by the AFU near the settlements of Nechvolodovka and Petrovka to reach the Oskol River to restore a destroyed crossing and unblock their encircled units. The “West” group repels Ukrainian attacks trying to break through from Petrovka towards the blocked troops near Kupiansk in the Kharkov region.

▪️ At Seversk, Russian forces are advancing through Dronovka. Enemy military channels are confused by the situation, as the Kiev regime long denied our troops’ advances and now the Ukrainian information space is “catching up” with the Russian Armed Forces’ progress, which looks to residents of the former Ukrainian SSR almost like a “front collapse.”

▪️ On the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) front, the Russian Army is storming the built-up area of Myrnohrad, with good news from the eastern part of the city over the past day. North of there, the AFU counterattack at the base of the former “Dobropillia salient.”

▪️ In the east of the Zaporozhye region, the “East” group is breaking through to Huliaipole. Northward in the Dnipropetrovsk region, our forces have taken Orestopol and occupied two defensive areas measuring two and a half by one and a half and two by two kilometers. Offensive actions by the Russian Army are ongoing near Danylivka, Nechaivka, and Ravnopillya.

▪️ From the Zaporozhye front, there are separate reports of Russian Armed Forces’ success in Stepnohorsk, with advances resulting from bloody battles. Fighting continues for Prymorsk.

▪️ In the Kherson region, AFU strikes in Novovladimirovka and Chulakovka wounded two men. Power lines were damaged in Kakhovka and Rubanovka. Fourteen settlements—almost 15,000 people—were temporarily left without electricity. The enemy shelled residential areas in Oleshky, Nova Kakhovka, Velyka Lepetykha, Hola Prystan, Dnipryany, Kazachyi Lageri, Korsunka, and Solontsi, the governor reports.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_15.html