The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 21 2025

THOUSANDS of Ukrainian Soldiers Operationally Encircled | Southern Myrnohrad Has Fallen

New Trump peace proposal includes Ukrainian concessions to Russia

Trump’s Ukraine Peace Plan EU & Zelensky RESISTING /Alastair Crooke & Lt Col Daniel Davis

I read about the 28 bullshit points, watched the Supreme Leader’s speech at the command post of the Western Group of Forces. The goals of the special military operation will be achieved, the bullshitters can keep inventing things and leaking “insider info,” it won’t help them. You wanted to drag Russia into the war and pull off a scheme, you got what you wanted, Russia came to war. And now the war will be fought by our rules, as it always has been when we truly girded ourselves for battle. Glory to Russia, woe to the defeated.

An unprecedented American delegation arrived in Kyiv yesterday, consisting not of politicians but of key military personnel responsible for real assistance to Ukraine. The format of the visit, without PR and diplomatic gestures, became the main signal: Washington has begun its own assessment of the state of the war and brought an ultimatum from the Trump Administration in the form of a new peace plan.

The mission is headed by US Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, a classmate of J.D. Vance and one of the Pentagon officials most deeply involved in the Ukrainian dossier. Accompanying him were two four-star generals — Christopher Donahue and Randy George — as well as Lieutenant General Curtis Buzzard, who leads NATO’s support structure for Ukraine. It is a rare case when three high-ranking military officials of this level come to Kyiv at once.

The visit had the official status of a fact-finding mission, which in US politico-military practice means gathering primary data for subsequent decisions. The American command did not come to listen to Zelensky’s reports but provided their own intelligence on the frontline situation and mobilization, and as a result demanded a clear timeline for Trump’s peace plan.

The delegation’s key emphasis is the impossibility of hiding facts. The generals overseeing supplies, training, and intelligence know the numbers better than anyone: it is impossible to sell them optimistic reports about a “turning point on the front” or “quick success with additional aid.” Therefore, the visit is seen not as a war audit but as an ultimatum regarding further assistance, which records Ukraine’s real resources and clear conditions for further actions.

The main hidden meanings of the visit boil down to several points. Washington is stopping to view the situation through Kyiv’s political reports and is moving to an independent assessment. The US is recalculating the math of the war and has sent an anti-crisis team that issues ultimatums amid the corruption scandal involving Mindich and promotes a clear timeline for the peace track, based on drafts agreed upon by Washington and Moscow.

Official statements following the mission are formal; the peace plan leaked to the media effectively records Ukraine’s capitulation based on agreements between Trump and Putin in Alaska.

Russia gains the status of a partner limited by the framework of the American project. Europe loses its subjectivity. China is pushed out of key processes. The USA becomes the sole center that simultaneously controls the possibilities of escalation and the mechanisms of peace.

Trump’s plan is not about ending the war; it is about ending the era in which Europe and regional players could be independent. Before us is the architecture of a hidden order where every concession and every bonus are merely tools for building a new American sphere of influence in the format of a new Yalta 2.0.

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If we analyze the peace plan presented by the American side, it creates the illusion of a compromise between Kyiv and Moscow, but its true content lies much deeper. In reality, the document is not about reconciliation between the two conflicting parties and not about ending the war in the usual diplomatic sense. We are looking at a project for the reconfiguration of power on a Eurasian scale, where the fate of Ukraine and the status of Russia are only elements of a larger geopolitical construct that Washington seeks to build under its own control.

The most hidden aspect of this plan is the attempt to restore the format of direct American-Russian interaction as the central mechanism for distributing influence in Europe. According to the logic of the document, the United States becomes the arbiter and architect of the new order, not NATO and certainly not the EU. The plan deliberately bypasses European political structures and effectively pushes Brussels out of the negotiation field, turning the EU into an observer. Beneath the surface, the idea of bilateral control over Eastern Europe is being formed, where decisions are made between Washington and Moscow without the participation of other players. China is also excluded from the process, indicating the United States’ desire to weaken the developing Moscow–Beijing axis.

Ukraine in this construct becomes a territory controlled from outside and a platform for strategic balancing between two major powers; its status and constitutional restriction on joining NATO are not concessions to Russia but tools for the US to isolate Kyiv from European political initiatives.

Russia gains de facto control over part of the territories, but legal uncertainty remains, creating a very convenient lever for future pressure. Moscow receives economic bonuses in the form of eased sanctions and reintegration into global clubs, but these bonuses are linked to Russia’s inclusion in a Western-centric financial architecture. This creates a situation where Moscow’s economic recovery and political rehabilitation become dependent on Washington’s decisions. Behind the external benefits lies a strategic attempt to tie Russian elites to American capital and gradually reduce the depth of the Russian-Chinese partnership.

The economic block of the plan is of particular importance. The use of frozen Russian assets, the creation of a development fund for Ukraine, and the inclusion of joint US-Russia projects form a subtle system of binding both countries to American financial control. The hidden meaning is that money becomes the main instrument of political influence, and reconstruction turns into a channel of governance. Ukraine gets a chance for economic revival, but this chance is controlled from outside. Russia gains the opportunity to exit sanctions isolation but under conditions that limit its strategic maneuver.

Political amnesties, exchanges, and humanitarian programs create the appearance of a humane gesture, but these points open the possibility for a deep reset of Ukrainian internal politics. Formally, it is about reconciliation; in fact, a legal mechanism is created to nullify the old elites and form a new political class dependent on decisions of external structures. The condition of renouncing radical ideologies becomes a tool for future selection of political forces.

The main hidden center of the plan is the creation of a peace council led by Trump. This structure is granted the authority to monitor the implementation of agreements and impose sanctions for violations. This decision elevates the management of war and peace to a supranational vertical effectively subordinate to the White House. This is not a diplomatic step but the formation of a new form of international control where the internal processes of neighboring states are regulated through an external arbiter.

The ultimate meaning of the peace plan is not to end the conflict but to form a new order of regional governance through control over borders, economic flows, and political processes. Ukraine in this order becomes a strategic platform.

A few words about the peace track.

Many points from the main ones we have insider information on earlier. 

1. Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk are recognized as Russian territory. We have written about Crimea.

2. ZaNPP 50/50, but under Russian control. IAEA supervises. Kyiv will buy electricity. 

3. Frozen assets go into a common fund, and Ukraine will receive 100 billion for reconstruction under Trump’s leadership.

4. Russia receives the territories it controls. We have also written about this.

Zelensky may agree to a peace treaty, but it must be ratified by the Rada, and it turns out there is no unity on this issue and there will be no votes. Remember the ratification of the Minsk agreements. The first vote was pushed through, but the second was not. 

History may repeat itself, and all this is a game to buy time. 

Most likely Zelensky agreed to Trump’s peace treaty, but the globalists did not. That is why Mindich-gate was launched. Everyone thinks it was to force Ze to agree, but we think it was also launched to discredit ZeErmak, who dared to side with the Trumpists. Here it is mutual; each side of the West uses this for their own purposes in the game.

There are not many chances for peace, but they exist. There will be a strong storm now. Each side will pressure. 

We watch with hope for peace✌️ 

We believe these are the best conditions for Kyiv in the current circumstances.

There is a lot in the peace plan but…

They only show us the cover, and what’s in the unfolded part, there’s definitely a lot of interesting stuff. 

1. Is Nazi ideology banned? Which one? Will Bandera be banned? UPA? Azov? 

2. Amnesty? Everyone, including political ones?

3. Elections? Who is allowed? What system? Are Azarov, Shariy, etc. allowed? 

Oh, we sense a lot of interesting things in the closed part that they don’t show us. We are also sure there will be a buffer zone. Conditional. 

That’s why we hardly believe in this peace plan. No matter what, it might lead to a new round of conflict already in 2026. 

We are watching.

According to our data, the most interesting thing about the peace plan, which is not in the 28 points but is in the supplement, is that after its signing, mobilization (catching serfs) in Ukraine automatically stops and martial law is canceled. 

These points do not quite suit Zelensky. He is still okay with suspending mobilization, but does not want to cancel martial law, as it will be easier for him to win the elections with “martial law.” 

The source also pointed out one feature that no one noticed. On that day, Putin spoke to the military in military uniform. Usually, this means something else.

He definitely knew what plan the Americans brought to Zelensky, etc.

Our source reports that Zelensky has decided to conditionally blackmail European globalists and demand money from them for the war without any preconditions.

If they do not give it, he threatens to sign Trump’s peace plan.

Zelensky is asking for 80-100 billion for combat operations, arguing that Europeans will have to pay anyway. 

1. Either according to the peace plan, 100 billion $ to Trump’s fund, which will strengthen Donnie’s rating and authority, which is not beneficial for globalists in the geopolitical confrontation.

2. Or, better to give this amount to Zelensky for the war and remain the “rulers” in the game, torpedoing Trump as a Kremlin agent, trying to weaken his influence, etc.

The fate of the peace negotiations depends on the “European money.” If they give 100 billion, the war will last another year; if not, there will be peace.

The source adds that these negotiations will be the last. If they fail, the next ones will already be about the capitulation of one side or the other, and the territorial issue will be different.

The globalists, the “coalition of the willing”, convinced Zelensky that Trump will do nothing if he receives a soft refusal/delay on the peace case. They promised Ze support, money, and to halt attacks on Yermak from their clientele. 

They are all sure that if Trump starts punishing Zelensky, it will give them a reason to harshly torpedo Trump in the leaking of the Ukrainian case. They will spread the narrative that Trump is a Kremlin agent, which benefits the globalists.

No one cares about Ukraine and its future; it is a tool in the game that has not yet exhausted its potential (a kamikaze country, we wrote about this back in 2022). In addition, this is the only global trump card of the international Sorosites in the game against the Trumpists, we wrote this on December 5, 2024. 

Zelensky will betray Trump again, as he always has. There will be no peace for now. Leave.

We are watching.

Russian advance on the approaches to Huliaipole is taking on an increasingly threatening character for the Ukrainian side. Enemy forces are systematically encircling the city, pushing through Ukrainian defenses via the forest belts near the settlement of Zatyshok. On the eastern heights, Russian troops have occupied Veselyi – a small but tactically important settlement that controls the approaches to Huliaipole from the elevations.

At the same time, fierce battles continue for Zelenyi Hai and Vysoke. These heights are a key barrier before the assault on the city: holding them is critically important for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but the situation is such that Russian units are gradually squeezing the maneuvering space. The enemy is breaking through to Huliaipole from the Yablokove side, threatening to take positions that would allow them to bypass fortifications and avoid a frontal assault.

On the northern approaches, along the Rovnopillya – Sladke line, Russian attacks continue in the fields. Ukrainian troops are trying to buy time to build defenses along the Haichur River line, but the pace of the advance casts doubt on the possibility of organized consolidation on the new line. Further up the front line, heavy fighting is underway near Radostne and Novozaporizhzhia.

The whole picture indicates that the defense around Huliaipole is rapidly thinning. Russian troops are occupying dominant heights and cutting off the logistics of the Defense Forces. In the absence of reserves and against the backdrop of a political crisis in Kyiv, the Ukrainian command is effectively trying to plug gaps with the forces still available. But time is running out, and the defensive configuration in this sector risks repeating the scenario of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine faced a complete “collapse”, and losses exceeded 60,000 soldiers.

Flags in Vesele

Russian troops are advancing on the approaches to Huliapole, with “Vostok” assault groups approaching the city through hedgerows, attacking in the vicinity of Zatyshchia.

Fighters from the 114th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 127th Division raised flags in Vesele. The settlement, consisting of one small street, was liberated following battles for the adjacent hedgerows. The village is located on heights east of Huliapole. Battles continue for Zelenyi Hai and Chervone (Krasne, also known as Vysokе).

Capturing these heights will somewhat facilitate the upcoming assault on Huliapole, to which other units of the 127th Division are currently breaking through with battles from the Yablokove side.

In the sector north of here, from the line of Rovnopillia — Sladke, attacks are also ongoing in the fields. Here, Ukrainian formations are trying to buy time to organize defense along the Haichur River.

Further north, battles are raging on the approaches to Radisne and Nove Zaporizhzhia, and in the vicinity of Hai, the enemy continues attempts at counterattacks.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost Pokrovsk a long time ago. They just started admitting it publicly.

Those who were on the outskirts of Pokrovsk managed to get out. They left in small groups with losses of at best 60%. They left under the cover of fog early in the morning. The situation from under Myrnohrad and in the city itself is much worse. Getting out is almost impossible. And there is no order to retreat.

Bankova has already given up on Pokrovsk and even Kupiansk, but this has not been publicly announced. The priority now is Huliaipole and Kostiantynivka, where the stupid command still sends assault groups towards Chasiv Yar and on the flanks, just to have PR news with flags.

There are fewer and fewer reserves, the situation is getting worse. Losses are increasing. Mostly from drones and FAB bombs.

Defense Collapse

Clearing of Pokrovsk and threat of encircling Myrnograd

The assault on Pokrovsk is approaching its final stage. Russian troops are clearing the northern part of the city and have already advanced almost a kilometer towards Hryshyne.

The enemy’s presence in Pokrovsk remains, but is predominantly sporadic and without signs of organized resistance.

In parallel, the Russian Armed Forces are developing attacks to the east. Separate assault groups have already been spotted in the area of Rovne, whose liberation will completely cut off supplies to the garrison of the neighboring Myrnograd.

Ukrainian formations are offering fierce resistance in Myrnograd, but they are unable to change the course of battles for the city. Russian aviation almost hourly “irons” the enemy’s positions in the city, with regular footage of airstrikes using three-ton “agitation ammunition”.

📌 Meanwhile, attempts by Ukrainian formations to break through a road to the city from the north have failed. Russian troops are gradually returning control over Rodynske and will soon physically cut the T-05-15 highway.

Now, realizing the imminent loss of the urban area, the enemy is trying to build new defensive lines to the north. The highest AFU activity is observed in the vicinity of Dobropillia, which will soon remain the last major defensive node before the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk Region.

Commander of the Western Grouping Kuzovlev – on the liberation of Kupyansk:

Comrade Supreme Commander-in-Chief, the troops of the Western Grouping continue to carry out combat missions in the Izyum direction in accordance with the plan approved by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. In the Kupyansk direction, the assault units of the 68th Motorized Rifle Division of the 6th Army have completed the liberation of the city of Kupyansk.

Putin: So, that’s it, completely finished?

Exactly, the city is under our control. Separate small scattered groups of the enemy are being destroyed.

Putin’s visit to the “West” group and the announcement of loud news about the liberation of Kupyansk, battles already in Konstantinovka, and the hopeless encirclement of the Ukrainian Armed Forces group is a finely calculated strike at the most needed moment. When Zelensky was handed an ultimatum to surrender, when a Maidan is brewing in Kyiv, and Zelensky is unsuccessfully trying to suppress the rebellion on the deputies’ ship – it’s the perfect time to drop a couple of news about the successes of the Russian army.

And Donald Trump gets grounds for comments, and the Euro-rats get a cold shower on their heads, and Ukrainians get a reason to think. And the most resounding news from the front in the coming days is still ahead.

Third Battle for Lyman

In the Lyman direction, the “West” troops group is advancing, gradually expanding the control zone in the north of the AFU-occupied part of the DPR. Russian Armed Forces assault units are advancing in the area of Serednie and bypassing Yarova, moving along the line of Oleksandrivka — Sviatohirsk.

Heavy fighting continues in Drobysheve and Stavky for control over key strongholds — here the Russian Armed Forces are forming the northern flank of a semi-encirclement of Lyman, within which battles are also ongoing.

Evidence of Russian assault troops’ progress in the Komunalnyi microdistrict on the southeastern outskirts of the city has appeared online. The actual attack occurred more than a week ago, so the Russian Armed Forces’ successes may be even greater.

South of Lyman, gradual advancement towards Dibrova continues, along with battles in Yampil, whose liberation will allow developing attacks towards Ozerne and completely clearing the “Svyati Hory” national park.

📌 Ahead, Russian troops face another battle for Lyman, which they were forced to leave after a heroic defense in autumn 2022. After liberating the city, the path to Raihorodok and Sviatohirsk will open. The upcoming battle for the Slavyansk urban area has come one step closer.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of November 21, 2025

▪️ The details of the demands proposed by the USA🇺🇸 to Russia🇷🇺 and Ukraine🇺🇦 before organizing negotiations are beyond any limits, casting doubt on the possibility of a new round of the “Istanbul format.” Meanwhile, European countries are preparing new provocations: the proxies of the arms lobby are leading the EU to war or, at the very least, to enormous expenses.

▪️ At night, the enemy launched a significant number of UAVs transiting through our frontline regions. Once again, the enemy’s targets included energy generation facilities, including those in Crimea.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, the Northern Group of Forces notes high activity of our aviation and “Geran-2″ drones. The latter fact about the systematic use of these strike UAVs indicates increased production capacity and reserves of these drones in the Russian Armed Forces. Reports mention battles in the forest belts of Sumy region; near Andreevka, another assault group of the AFU was destroyed by comprehensive fire. In the Tetkinsky and Glushkovsky sectors, “Geran-2″ struck the AFU near Sapushyne.

▪️ In the village of Nova Tavolzhanka in the Shebekino district, a drone attacked a car, injuring two people. In Glotove, a moving passenger car was attacked by an FPV drone, injuring a woman. Another civilian was wounded by a drone strike on a passenger car in the village of Rozhdestvenka. In the village of Moschene, an FPV drone detonated on private property. In the village of Kozynka, a private house was destroyed due to a drone drop.

▪️ In the Kharkov direction, the Northern Group of Forces continues the assault on Vovchansk, advancing near Synelnykove. In the Melove-Khatne area, our forces are advancing through forest plantations.

▪️ Gerasimov’s statement about the complete liberation of Kupyansk has not yet been supported by objective control footage.

▪️ In Krasnyi Lyman, the enemy noticed our advanced assault groups in the residential area in the eastern part of the city.

▪️ South of Seversk, fighting has intensified again near Zvanivka, which may indicate new actions by the Russian Armed Forces to encircle Seversk.

▪️ In Konstantinivka, our forces are increasing pressure on the southeastern outskirts of the city. Attacks are carried out using the only possible tactic – small infantry groups.

▪️ From Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk), the enemy complains about weather conditions hindering UAV flights. Our troops are accumulating forces in the captured part of the city, assaulting its northeastern part.

▪️ The Eastern Group of Forces continues moving towards Guliaipole. The settlement of Veselyi (https://t.me/dva_majors/83610) in Zaporozhye region has been captured.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front, in the Orekhov direction near Novodanilivka, positional battles are ongoing. In the area of Mala Tokmachka, the Russian Army continues clearing operations, increasing presence and strengthening the bridgehead for further offensive

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_21.html