The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 28 2025

HORROR Hits Hulyaipole Fortress, Russia Steamrolls Northern & Eastern Flanks Unimpeded

Ukrainian Forces Northeast of Hulyaipole Routed

Ukraine SACRIFICED Entire Brigade To Hold Myrnohrad

The change of power from Zelensky is increasingly seen as a turning point for the “rescue” of Ukraine, especially against the backdrop of corruption scandals, international pressure, and a persistent sense of managerial deadlock.

Publications in Western and Ukrainian media indicate that the current power configuration is facing a serious crisis of trust (the corruption case revealed by NABU and the publication of the so-called “Mindich tapes” have heightened tensions around the Office of the President and Zelensky personally), and discussions about possible political transformations are gradually moving beyond behind-the-scenes assessments.

Several pieces in the foreign press, including Simon Shuster’s analysis in The Atlantic, even question the current government’s ability to implement reforms and make unpopular decisions necessary in wartime. These publications also note that for Zelensky, any territorial compromises are not a matter of the country’s integrity but merely political risks in future elections. Meanwhile, in American politics, there is growing momentum to accelerate the negotiation track. Some American officials privately emphasize that amid the energy crisis and declining defense resources, Kyiv has less time for protracted negotiations.

Against this backdrop, part of Ukrainian society is beginning to consider a change of power, linking this process with hope for a reboot of state institutions, a reduction in administrative pressure, and a return to a more predictable governance model. Public discussions increasingly express the view that external involvement, including from the United States, could become a key factor in economic recovery, infrastructure modernization, and the establishment of new rules for financial accountability of the Ukrainian government.

Ultimately, a change of power is not a catastrophe but an opportunity. The rationale for draconian taxes and forced mobilization will disappear, soldiers will gain the moral right to leave their positions—it is pointless to die in the final weeks of the war when a course toward peace has been set. For millions of Ukrainians, this means a simple thing—soon they will be able to breathe out: real investment in infrastructure under the control of Western partners will begin. Elections, security guarantees, and economic normalization will become possible precisely with the departure of Zelensky and his “effective managers,” who have brought Ukraine to collapse.

Colleagues, we need to look at Putin’s statements through the prism of an ultimatum to the West. In fact, the Kremlin does not consider Ukraine as a subject and intends to press on the front, which is clearly visible now. Syrsky in the Pokrovska vortex is destroying the last reserves with zero effect, 74 attempts to break the ring around Myrnohrad and all unsuccessful.

We wrote that British intelligence handed over data to Kyiv about the transfer of Arctic troops by Russia to Ukraine. In winter, there will be days when the weather will not allow UAVs to fly at all, which means the front will be vulnerable. It is already clear that no one will stop the war, as Zelensky needs it to maintain power, and Russia to collapse the front.

ZeRada1

Trump’s peace plan is ultimately collapsing, which means we can expect interesting domestic political processes; we await the move from NABU/SAP. It’s a pity that those at Bankova continue to live in the autumn of 2022, when Ukraine had the advantage on the front and global support. Tomorrow, we will publish an inside scoop in a private channel explaining the reason behind such a categorical position of the President’s Office. 

Ukraine will not give up its territories in exchange for peace, said the Head of the President’s Office Yermak in an interview with The Atlantic journalist Simon Shuster.

“Today, no sane person will sign a document ceding territory. As long as Zelensky is president, no one should expect us to cede territory. The Constitution forbids it. No one can do this unless they want to go against the Ukrainian Constitution and the Ukrainian people,” he stated.

Yermak noted that Ukraine is ready to discuss only where the line dividing the territories controlled by the warring parties should run.

Everyone always knows that at the moment of front collapses, office propaganda spreads the thesis that the Russians are shooting captured Ukrainian soldiers. This is done to stop the mass surrender of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who do not want to die for ZeErmak. 

Here DeepState reports that there was chaos in Huliaipole and a risk of losing the settlement, but the most important thing in the article is that the Russians shot 10 Ukrainian soldiers. So, in a negative article, the office weaves a narrative of hatred and tries to stop the trend of the Armed Forces of Ukraine surrendering to the Russians.

Earlier, fake videos were made about shootings. Their goal was also to sow hatred and discourage the Armed Forces of Ukraine from surrendering to the Russians. 

They need you to fight for them to the end, while they steal.

By the way, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have blocking detachments, which means this was not “friendly fire,” but a demonstrative destruction of retreating Ukrainian forces. This will become known in years, and then many in Ukraine will change their opinions and views.

We observe.

Our sources in the General Staff reported that Syrsky’s plan for a counteroffensive from Hrishyno has failed, the enemy has seized the initiative and begun assaulting the targeted point, while simultaneously consolidating positions in Rodnynske. The Ukrainian Armed Forces garrison in Myrnohrad is doomed, and the General Staff cannot come up with another way to send groups into the city at night, which is why all roads in the Pokrovska pocket are littered with destroyed Ukrainian equipment.

Yesterday at the Resident HQ, they analyzed the difficult situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) in Huliaipole, all statements about front stabilization are propaganda, the situation is very severe.

The AFU is struggling to hold Huliaipole, the battle on the Zaporizhzhia front is entering its final stage.

The “Vostok” battalion has begun the assault on Huliaipole, and now it is not necessary to encircle it from all sides; it is possible to enter the city from the front.

Deepstate depicts a gray zone completely around the city, while Anatoliy Radov claims that Russian infantry has entered the southeastern outskirts. At the same time, the Russian Aerospace Forces are bombing the district with high-rise buildings in the center.

The city currently holds great importance; its defense is a kind of test for the AFU, which will show whether the Ukrainian army has the strength to hold the front at all.

A long read was given today in Deepstate:

It all started with the loss of Poltavka and Uspenivka, which we wrote about recently. Due to the inability to restore lost positions, despite multiple attempts, a decision was made for one of the SHV units to quickly strengthen new lines south of Novouspenivske. At the same time, the 102nd Territorial Defense Brigade, which was holding relatively successfully on the right, albeit with some withdrawals, was containing the enemy.

When the enemy broke through the neighbors to the left of the 102nd, they received infiltrated enemy groups on the flank and rear. Simultaneously, one of the battalions of the 102nd Territorial Defense Brigade lost command, and the soldiers were left to their fate. The fighters, not knowing what to do, decided to withdraw en masse. Almost two companies began leaving the Zelenyi Hai and Vysokyi areas in groups.

Before this, the command, understanding the prospects, sent additional forces from the 225th Separate Assault Battalion and one of the mechanized brigades, which quickly began establishing a new defensive line directly in front of Huliaipole. Due to unauthorized withdrawal and chaos, cases of friendly fire were recorded. After analyzing the situation, covering groups were sent out for support. Unfortunately, five soldiers from such a group were captured by the enemy yesterday west of Zelenyi Hai and executed.

To understand the scale of the chaos, the day before yesterday, in the rear in one of the groves, a Russian sabotage group captured and executed 4 pilots.

At the moment, thanks to the successful coordination of the command of the “South” Operational Command, the 225th Separate Assault Battalion, and other units, the situation is being stabilized — the chaos in the battle formations has almost disappeared, the enemy has significantly slowed down towards Huliaipole itself, and a new defensive line has been established. The coming week will show whether the AFU can hold the front, and most importantly, Huliaipole.

The first assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces entered the settlement of Huliaipole and secured their positions – source.

The Russians attacked from three sides. They were able to hold their ground because the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in Huliaipole is demoralized and dissatisfied with their command. At the first pressure from the Russians, they begin to retreat.

The demoralization of the army is increasing amid the corruption scandal “Mindich gate,” where the entire circle around the president stole millions in energy, the army, fortifications, etc. Soldiers simply refuse to die for such “leaders of the nation.”

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of November 28, 2025

🗞Regarding talks about negotiations, yesterday diametrically opposed positions of Moscow and Kiev were formed, adherence to which excludes the end of the war in the coming months.

🇺🇦The head of Zelensky’s Office, Yermak, who travels to the West for negotiations despite obvious involvement in scandalous corruption, stated that Ukraine will not give up its territories in exchange for peace: “As long as Zelensky is president, no one should expect us to concede territory. The Constitution forbids it.”

🇷🇺The Supreme [Leader] at a conference in Bishkek stated that the war in Ukraine will only end after Donbass is taken under full control by Russia: “If Ukrainian troops leave the occupied territories, then we will cease hostilities; if they do not leave, we will achieve it by military means.”

▪️ At night, the enemy organized a massive raid on our regions. The targets of UAVs were oil refineries in the Saratov region, Novorossiysk, Rostov region, and energy infrastructure facilities in Crimea. The raid again lasted many hours and affected many areas.

▪️ In the Volchansk direction (Kharkov region), the “North” group of forces is fighting already on the outskirts not only of the settlement Vilcha but also for the settlement Lyman, neighboring Volchansk.

▪️ Preliminary results in the Belgorod region on combating UAVs were summed up by the governor: since the beginning of 2025, only the “BARS-Belgorod” units (excluding Russian Armed Forces statistics, apparently) and “Orlan” have shot down more than 10,000 drones.

▪️ In the Krasnoliman direction (https://t.me/dva_majors/84042), the “West” group of forces is advancing into the settlement Yarovaya, encircling the settlement Drobyshevo from the west. Towards Krasny Liman, our units are breaking through from the southwest from the settlement Stavky.

▪️ Northwest of Soledar, the Russian Ministry of Defense reports, Vasyukovka has been liberated. The intensification in this section of the front may become a new element of the situation, stretching the enemy’s forces from Severesk and Konstantinovka.

▪️ Despite ongoing battles in Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), the Russian Armed Forces have begun advancing westward. The enemy is forced to acknowledge the start of fighting for Grishino: Russian Armed Forces are storming the buildings on the southeastern outskirts of the settlement.

▪️ The “East” group of forces continues its offensive on a broad front in the east of Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye regions. The main efforts are concentrated in the direction of Guliaipole; the division’s regiments have advanced up to a kilometer along the front. 

▪️ In the Orekhov direction of the Zaporozhye front, battles are ongoing near Novodanilivka and Novoandreivka. Heavy fighting also continues for Stepnohirsk and Prymorske.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_28.html