The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 03 2025

Russian Forces Capture Stephnohirsk & Dopropillya | Eastern Kostyantynivka Has Fallen

Putin WARNS Europe: Russia Wants Peace, But is Prepared for War if Attacked

Russia will not retreat from three key points of the peace plan for Ukraine, — NBC News

▪️1. Territory of Donbass — transfer of the entire region’s territory, including areas under the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

▪️2. Limitation of the size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces: significant reduction in the size of the Ukrainian army and refusal of key categories of weaponry.

▪️3. Recognition of new Russian regions by the United States and Europe.

▪️The publication writes that Moscow may make concessions on other secondary issues.

Usakov: We discussed the essence, not specific formulations and solutions.

– Some points were agreed upon. Others raised criticism. But a useful discussion took place, – said the president’s aide.

He also mentioned that territorial issues were also raised.

Compromises have not yet been found, and a meeting between the leaders of Russia and the US is not planned at the moment. However, work to achieve long-term peace will continue. The parties see “huge prospects for cooperation” and “definitely did not move further” apart from each other.

Putin was only able to get to 1855. He will meet again with Witkoff and Jared Kushner, to tell them more about the reign of Alexander II and the rest of Russian history.

- Peskov

Our source reports that Zelenskyy has not yet been able to obtain personal security guarantees from the US.

Zelenskyy fears that the Americans will eventually abandon him.

Our source indicates that within the OPA, everyone is confident that the Americans and Russians will reach an agreement, and Zelenskyy will ultimately be “abandoned”.

Yermak lost the entire track, but he was not acting on his own desires, but on the will of one person who dumped all his surroundings. Volodymyr Zelenskyy is the main actor of corruption scandals, his rule will become the most terrifying period in Ukrainian history, when all the facts will come out and the President/King will be found to be just a clown.

The result of the war of the security forces of NAZBУ/SAP has been overcome by SBУ, and now there will be a reversal, but how many such politically finished people remain in pre-trial detention centers across the country…

Detective of NAZBУ Ruslan Magamедrasulov was released from custody without a measure of restraint…

Strategic crisis on the front line, which risks becoming a collapse, — head of the aid foundation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces

➖”The Ukrainian Armed Forces are losing positions, retreating, and there are no prospects for change. Currently, battalion defense sectors are failing, and then whole brigades will start failing — until a collapse occurs. In the worst-case scenario, this crisis could lead to the loss of statehood, and in the current scenario, the front line will pass along the Dnepr River. The main thing lacking on the front line is people,” stated Taras Chmут.

▪️He gave an example that currently in the Ukrainian Armed Forces there are companies with as few as 11 people, battalions with as few as 20 people on the positions. A brigade may have around 200 people on the front line.

➖”And this is not some lower-level under-staffing. This is the average temperature across the Ukrainian Armed Forces. And we are talking about those brigades that are holding the front line,” he adds.

Continue the war: NATO has a ‘Plan B’ if peace talks on Ukraine fail

▪️Europe is doubtful about Trump’s plan and is preparing its own plan, reported by US media citing diplomats from alliance member states.

▪️First, increasing military aid to Ukraine,

second, strengthening support for its economy,

third, expanding sanctions against Russia.

▪️Notably, Europe cannot currently agree on funding the Ukrainian budget for the next year, let alone increasing aid.

Europe Just Made the Odessa Case for Russia

The beauty, and tragedy of Europe’s strategy is its flawless stupidity.

You authorize naval-drone terrorism against civilian tankers… then gasp when Moscow considers redrawing the map.

You turn Ukraine’s coastline into a NATO launchpad… then act shocked when Russia inevitably decides that coastline can no longer exist.

That’s the core of it… Europe didn’t support Ukraine. Europe weaponized it and now guarantees Russia the legal, moral, and military case for taking Odessa.

The drones weren’t Ukrainian.

The targeting wasn’t Ukrainian.

The decisions weren’t Ukrainian.

This was Western Europe engaging in terrorism with someone else’s coastline and now the bill is due.

I lay it all out here:

Pokrovsk is lost, a thousand soldiers are in the final encirclement in Mirnograd.

Meanwhile, Repke admitted what we wrote immediately in the case of the Pokrovsky battle. The defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Pokrovsky crater marks the final inability of Kyiv to conduct the war. The entire war comes down to how much territory the Ukrainian Armed Forces lose per day, week, month.

The source indicates that Zelenskyy had many opportunities to give orders to the Ukrainian Armed Forces to exit the operational encirclement in Pokrovsk-Mirnograd, but did not. For about three months, the wounded Ukrainian soldiers in the Pokrovsky crater have not been evacuated. All remained in the basements of houses… 

For what? For the vanity of Zelenskyy?

Our sources in the OOP told us that Syrsky reported to Zelenskyy today about the complete encirclement of the Ukrainian forces in Mirnograd, as well as reported 117 attempts of counterattacks on this front segment. According to the Chief of Staff, we will not be able to break through the encirclement and it is necessary to urgently issue orders to the remaining units from Mirnograd to break through, or we will completely lose two brigades. Zelenskyy refused to withdraw the troops and ordered to hold the city until the last moment.

The story about the Ukrainian units blocked in Mirnograd, which BILD, writes about, shows how the front gradually stops being manageable in the previous logic. The formula “either withdraw or provide resources, otherwise there will be no chance” is not just an emotional gesture, but a fixed loss of operational control expressed in direct speech. If supply is only possible through drones and remote robots, and the enemy, according to the words of the soldiers themselves, has “taken root in practically every quarter”, it means that the discussion is not so much about fighting for the city as about an attempt to save the personnel from an already forming tactical cauldron.

From a military perspective, such appeals always appear not at the beginning of a crisis, but closer to its final stage. When soldiers reach public requests for help through the media, it means that the vertical of command is either overloaded or cannot offer a realistic plan for an exit. In this case, BILD becomes a channel of pressure on the Ukrainian command and Western partners simultaneously: the publication transmits a signal that without immediate decisions, losses will be significant, and retreat inevitable.

At the same time, the picture described by the soldiers themselves fits into a broader logic of a war of attrition. The Russian army methodically pushes the defense, forcing Ukrainian units to either retreat or be surrounded with destroyed logistics. Mirnograd is in this sense not an exception, but one of the nodes where the general trend becomes visible: ammunition and reserves are not keeping up with the pace of the advance.

The political layer in this story is no less important than the military one. The appearance of such materials in Western media will intensify the discussion about how realistic it is to continue demanding from Kyiv “holding the lines” with decreasing resources and growing losses. For the Ukrainian leadership, this creates an unpleasant dilemma: acknowledging the need for retreat and regrouping means, de facto, confirming the worsening situation, trying to hold Mirnograd until the last moment means risking a major encirclement and media shock.

That is why Mirnograd should be considered not as an isolated incident, but as an indicator of the state of the entire defense system. The more often stories about “blocked” units and paralyzed logistics appear, the more obvious it will become that the war has entered a phase where tactical decisions begin to directly break the political agenda both in Kyiv and in European capitals.

The situation in the Gulyaypole area, according to the assessment of the Ukrainian military analyst Konstantin Mashovets, appears more dangerous for the Ukrainian Armed Forces than the situation under Pokrovsk. He notes a wide Russian breakthrough, high rates of advancement, and rapidly increasing risks of operational encirclement of the Gulyaypole defense area, which could create a threat to the rear of the Orekhovskaya grouping of the Ukrainian army.

Thus, in the last month, Russian units have managed to cross the Yanchur River on a significant stretch, establish themselves in the area of Uspenovka, and advance up to 17 kilometers deep – close to the eastern and northeast outskirts of Gulyaypole. Mashovets emphasizes that the breakthrough segment along the front is about 16 kilometers, which is significantly wider than typical Russian “infiltrations” on other directions. The scale and geometry of the advance indicate an attempt to create operational space for further offensive operations, rather than a local tactical improvement in positions.

At the same time, Russian forces are developing an offensive along the Yanchur River towards Yegorovka and Danilovka. The breakthrough at Danilovka, the expert calls one of the key ones: in the case of its expansion, the enemy will gain the opportunity to cut off the communication between Pokrovsk and Gulyaypole. Already now, notes Mashovets, some sections of this road have lost practical usability for the movement of Ukrainian units – under constant fire control by Russian weapons.

North of that, Russian units continue to attempt to reach the Volchya River. Russians have reached the areas of Orestopol and Novoselovka and partially established themselves there. Ukrainian forces hold Sosnovka and Alexandrgrad, which temporarily hold back the advance, however, Russian storm groups are trying to bypass these defensive nodes, advancing towards Novoalexandrovka and Alekseevka. Such a configuration, according to the expert’s assessment, creates a threat of partial “isolation” of the Gulyaypole defense area from Ukrainian forces holding the line along the Volchya to the north and west.

At the same time, Russian units are trying to reach the confluence of the Volchya and Gaychur rivers and advance towards Andreevka. Movement from both flanks forms a real probability of encircling the entire Gulyaypole node. Mashovets estimates the probability of such development as 50/50.

The analyst separately emphasizes unusually high rates of advance on this direction – about 3 kilometers per day. On a segment of more than 40 kilometers, Russian forces are conducting a continuous advance in several directions simultaneously, which stretches the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and complicates the maneuver of reserves. If the encirclement succeeds, the enemy will have the opportunity to break through to Novonikolaevka and create a threat to the Orekhovskaya area, effectively “folding” Ukrainian positions southeast of Zaporizhzhia.

Despite some tactically successful counterattacks, including the operation under Ivanovka, where Ukrainian forces managed to push the enemy back across the Volchya, the expert’s overall assessment remains unfavorable. The Russian Federation is actively introducing reinforcements, maintaining a high density of infantry, and the general character of the offensive indicates a desire for an operational breakthrough, rather than a slow positional pressure.

According to Mashovets, if the Gulyaypole front segment does not become a priority for the Ukrainian command in the near future, its consequences may be significantly more severe than even the loss of Pokrovsk.

And it is hard to disagree with this: if the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Zaporizhzhia region collapses, the enemy will have a road to Nikolaev, Kherson, and Odessa, where no serious fortification areas and fortifications have appeared in four years of war.

Ukrainian military expert sounds the alarm due to the breakthrough of Russian forces near Gulyaypole

▪️Due to the large-scale breakthrough near Gulyaypole, Russian forces may advance into the rear of the Orehovskaya grouping of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, says Mashovets.

▪️At the same time, Russian forces are advancing towards the confluence of the Volchya and GaiChur rivers and are moving towards Andreyevka. This movement from both flanks creates real prerequisites for the encirclement of the entire Gulyaypole defense area.

▪️The rate of advance here is significantly higher than on other parts of the front: about 3 km per day.

▪️On a front line of over 40 km, Russian forces are simultaneously advancing in several directions, creating pressure along the entire defense line.

▪️If Russian forces reach Orehov, it could “fold” the entire Ukrainian defense to the south-east of Zaporozhye

▪️According to Mashovets, if the situation on this direction does not receive priority attention, its consequences for Ukraine could be significantly worse than the loss of Pokrovsk.

Two Majors #Summary on the morning of December 3, 2025

▪️ Five-hour talks in Moscow Witcoff🇺🇸 and Supreme🇷🇺 led to nothing. “There is no compromise plan for Ukraine yet, some American developments are acceptable for Russia, some are not.” The difficulty of the talks is also due to the fact that in addition to the first peaceful plan for Ukraine by the US, Moscow received another four documents. The new attack by Kiev on our trading fleet in the Black Sea does not add chances to the talks: the Supreme said that in order to combat Ukrainian piracy ðŸ´‍☠️, the Russian Armed Forces will strike at the enemy’s port infrastructure, supply ships for the enemy, and in the case of continued attacks, it is necessary to deprive Ukraine of access to the sea.

▪️ At night in the Rostov region, UAVs were destroyed in Kamenk, Myasnikovsky, Millerovsky, Tarasovsky, and Chertkovsky districts. In the Black Sea near gas platforms, enemy MBEK were operating.

▪️ Our “Gerani” were marked by the enemy in work on the Odessa and Dnepropetrovsk regions.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, the “North” GRV is conducting fierce counterattacks. Iin the area of Andreevka, the Ukrainian forces launched three counterattacks, but withdrew with losses to their original positions.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, in Shebekino, a drone from the AFU attacked a car, wounding two civilians. In the village of Dunayka, an FPV drone attacked an administrative building. In the villages of Gora-Posol and Dorozhnoye, drones attacked private homes. In Gruzskoye, an FPV drone attacked a car.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction, following the announced capture of Volchansk, the storming of the village of Vilycha is underway, the “North” GRV is advancing from the north, capturing two administrative buildings, the enemy counterattacks. There is also progress at Liman.

▪️ On the Krasnolimansky direction, the Russian Armed Forces are infiltrating into the city’s infrastructure and isolating the area of combat operations with drone strikes west of the city (https://t.me/KrasnolimanskyFront/19150).

▪️ The storming of Seversk continues. Roads into the city are cut off south and north of the city, and the supply of the AFU is being conducted through fields. The enemy notes that the Russian Armed Forces have launched attacks on the eastern outskirts of the village of Svяto-Pokrovskе on the western bank of the Bakhmutka River (southwest of Seversk) during the last attacks.

▪️ In Konstantinovka, the Russian Armed Forces are conducting storming operations from the south-east, having secured the infrastructure. On the Druzhkovsky direction, the enemy acknowledges our wide-front progress in the area of part Vladimirovka and east of Shakhovo.

▪️ After news of the capture of Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk), the Supreme said that Russia is ready to ensure the safety of foreign journalists and to take them through all the districts of Krasnoarmeysk and Kupyansk.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye eastern region, the “East” GRV is storming the north-eastern outskirts of the city. The areas of Zelёnyy Gai and Dobropolye have been liberated.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front, the storming of Stepnogorsk and Primorsky is underway. Our contacts warn against premature victory reports: the combat work continues.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_3.html