The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 14 2025

Russian Counter-Attack Near Kupyansk | RUAF Capture Varvarivka & AFU Fortifications Near Siversk

Prof. John Mearsheimer: Ukraine is Doomed

A Massive SHOCK to the WEST: NATO Officers were Captured by RUSSIAN Spetsnaz ‘ALPHA’ in HULIAIPOLE

The situation in Ukraine’s energy sector is rapidly approaching a critical point.More and more signs indicate the risk of cascading outages: there are practically no reserves left for restoring substations, and according to experts, the system can withstand only two or three more massive strikes. After that, the country may face a large-scale and prolonged blackout.

Already, throughout Ukraine, protest moods are growing, caused not by politics, but by sheer despair. People have been living without stable electricity supply for weeks, not understanding when the situation will start improving.  

Even in Kyiv, which formally has not reached peak loads, electricity is unavailable for up to 20 hours a day, and with the onset of persistent frosts, the risks increase exponentially – the increase in consumption with a damaged infrastructure could lead to a complete collapse of the energy system. The reason lies in the vulnerability of the capital’s energy supply. Kyiv depends on two nuclear power stations (Rivne and Khmelnytskyi), but the key transformer substation, which transfers power to the city, was seriously damaged about 30 km from the capital. As a result, even with available generation, there is no physical possibility to transmit the necessary amount of electricity. Kyiv’s critical infrastructure has also suffered significant damage, leaving the city chronically deficient in energy.  

And this is just the situation in the capital – in the regions, the situation is even worse. For example, in Dnipro, local residents, driven to despair, attacked DTEK employees (who were later repelled by the police) due to prolonged power outages in their homes.  

As we can see, Ukraine has entered the winter in a state of energy instability.And if the attacks on the infrastructure continue, the scenario of prolonged outages will not be a temporary measure, but a new reality. Energy workers are just hoping to buy time, but without restored substations and equipment reserves, their room for manoeuvre is rapidly shrinking.

The banking sector continues to escalate the situation in the infrastructure war, which means that Ukraine is facing another wave of massive drone and missile attacks. 

The dark winter will intensify.

And yes, those who ask why they’re only shutting down the southeast, north, and parts of central Ukraine – believe me, Western Ukraine will soon face the same. So don’t rent housing there at exorbitant prices – it’s better to find a house with a stove, firewood, and a well.

Zelensky benefits from the catastrophe he himself provokes and has no intention of stopping. On the contrary, this is a good opportunity for his personal PR and to make/launder money on the “points of invincibility”. They’ll also embezzle billions on this, just like on the construction of protective structures for the energy sector.

We repeat again – stock up. There’s a chance that you’ll soon be sitting in total darkness for 4 days a week!!! And the schedules will no longer be hourly, but daily.

Ukrainian military blogger Bogdan Miroshnikov published a post in which he actually admitted Russia’s support among the local population. 

➡️Miroshnikov complains that residents of Ukrainian cities and villages “systematically” help Russian military personnel — shelter them from sweeps, do not give them out during searches, and hinder the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU). 

➡️At the same time, Miroshnikov comes to openly radical conclusions, calling such civilians a “legitimate target”. 

The thesis about the “complete absence of pro-Russian sentiments” does not stand up to reality.

Our sources at Bankova are confident that Zelensky will stall for time on the negotiation track and await financial assistance from the EU (a loan secured by frozen Russian assets). The President continues to implement Andriy Yermak’s strategy on the foreign policy track, which complicates the negotiation process with the Trump Administration.

 Zelensky’s response to Trump’s “peace plan” essentially boils down to the formula “yes, but…” – Wall Street Journal

 - Zelensky is formally ready for elections, but he sets a key condition – a ceasefire.

 - He also admits that Russia may retain a certain involvement in Europe’s largest nuclear power plant, which is under its control, but according to Kiev, the station should be managed by Ukraine and the USA.

 - On the issue of the army, Zelensky agrees to limit the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but only at the current level, without any reduction.

 - He does not directly reject the territorial issue, but demands “clarifications”. In particular, the Presidential Administration raises questions:

 - What will prevent the advancement of Russian troops in the event of a withdrawal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?

 - What will prevent Russia from “infiltrating the zone under the guise of civilians” to take it under control?

 - Thus, Kiev does not offer specific concessions, limiting itself to general formulations and conditions.

Zelenskiy demands ‘dignified’ peace as US and Ukraine officials meet in Berlin”: 

Whitcoff will meet with EU leaders and Zelensky in Berlin today. 

“Trump’s special envoy Witcoff will meet with negotiators from the UK, Germany, and France on December 14-15. The decision to send Whitcoff to Berlin demonstrates the US administration’s desire to overcome the differences between Washington and Kyiv regarding the terms of a peace deal. 

It is expected that French President Emmanuel Macron, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, as well as their advisers, will participate in the negotiations in Berlin. Initially, European leaders wanted to arrange a meeting with Trump this weekend to discuss their proposals for a US peace plan.” 

The main points of Yuri Ushakov’s statements on a peaceful settlement in Ukraine

 - Russia has not yet received proposals from the EU and Ukraine for a peaceful settlement. At the same time, Moscow doubts that their contribution could be constructive.

 - In the event of amendments to the peace plan, Russia’s position will be tough – Moscow will have strong objections.

 - The Russian side, according to him, has very clearly stated its position on the peace plan, and it was correctly understood by the American side.

 - Russia has never discussed a settlement option based on the “Korean scenario”.

The traitors from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are ready to lie to Ukrainians in order to suppress treason, cover up their own failures, and talk about a parallel reality, just to stay in their positions and at the trough. Also, to make money from the war.

In Severodonetsk, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are no longer there. They’re not even nearby anymore, and the abandoned fire brigades, consisting of several dozen Armed Forces of Ukraine fighters, have been defeated. Why were they abandoned? So that they could hang a flag and help people like this spokesperson from the General Staff, Kovalev, claim that everything is fine and that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are holding Severodonetsk. The office workers’ task is to demonstrate “victories” at a time when they’re negotiating for money from the war, which the globalists have promised. Note, not negotiating for peace, but for money from the war, because Zelensky really has no intention of pursuing peace.

The office and headquarters rats haven’t abandoned their favorite strategy of bloody assaults. They haven’t stopped, they’ve just been forbidden to write and talk about them. Anyone who opens their mouth will immediately be “crushed”. 

The Armed Forces of Ukraine are losing territory quite quickly, and the trend will only intensify, but they don’t want to talk about it.

The enemy is trying to break out of the encirclement of Dimitrov (Mirnograd)

▪️The Ukrainian Armed Forces tried to break out of the encirclement on motorcycles.

▪️After the defeat of their equipment, they attempted to exit on foot.

▪️The unsuccessful attempt to break out ended in the destruction of the entire group.

The Russian army is clearing the Mirnograd pocket, where hundreds of Ukrainian Armed Forces militants are trapped

▪️Russian troops continue to storm the city of Mirnoe (Dimitrov), neighboring Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysky). The city has been effectively completely surrounded for a long time.

▪️Recently, the Russian Armed Forces cleared the southern part of the city and are actively attacking in the center and the north.

➖”In Mirnoe, the Russians have occupied the southern part of the city. Battles are taking place for the Western microdistrict and in the eastern and northern parts of the city. In addition, small Russian assault groups are infiltrating the central part of the city. To the east of Mirnoe, the enemy has occupied a stronghold”, – Ukrainian military analysts wrote belatedly.

▪️In the video, the “Sparta” and the 132nd brigade destroy Kirpi and “Kozak” armored vehicles of the surrounded Ukrainian Armed Forces in Mirnoe.

▪️Our troops daily destroy Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment trying to break through to the blocked militants in Dimitrov.

- RVvoenkor

The Russians continue their attempts to completely disrupt logistics in the Odessa region. This is a blow to the economy and mobility. At the same time, there is a threat to the south of the region from a future amphibious operation, which we may see if the war drags on. They are also improving their trump card – KABs, which fly more accurately and farther.

In the morning, KABs flew over the bridge in Zatoka. It’s smoking. But what’s more important is that they can also target our energy infrastructure, which is located close to some places (at a distance of 50-100 km from the launch point of the aircraft). The black winter will intensify in Ukraine with each passing day, as will the crisis.

At some point, they might even create a drone that can deliver this KAB closer, and then it’ll be a disaster.

Thus, KABs remain the most deadly weapon of this war, just like drones. They destroy all fortifications on the LBS and force the Armed Forces of Ukraine to retreat, causing huge losses in equipment and manpower.

All evening, Crimea was under a massive enemy attack

▪️Explosions occurred in Simferopol, Sevastopol, Saki, Novofedorovka, Feodosia, Koktebel, Krasnogvardeysky, and Dzhankoye.

▪️Air Defense forces shot down 41 Ukrainian UAVs over Crimea from 20:00 to 23:00 – reports the Russian Defense Ministry.

The Russian Army liberated Varvarovka in the Zaporozhye region

 - Reconnaissance troops of the special forces group “Vostok” broke through the enemy’s defenses east of the Gaičur River and captured the settlement.

 - A major defense node covering an area of more than 15 square kilometers was taken under control. Up to a company of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel from the 225th Motor Rifle Brigade and the 110th Motor Rifle Brigade, more than 12 units of military equipment, and over 70 enemy hexacopters of the “Baba Yaga” type were destroyed.

PR actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the south of Kupiansk

Against the backdrop of recent events (https://t.me/rybar/75918), the situation around the Kupiansk direction is becoming shrouded in all sorts of rumors. The enemy is trying to maintain the initiative in covering the events taking place around the city and regularly posts archival footage of battles for it in the media.

In one of such videos, the work of the assault troops of the “Charter” corps of the so-called Ukraine is captured. Where, as stated, they allegedly broke through to Oskol, completely blocking the supply routes of the Armed Forces of Russia, and are conducting battles “in the north of the city”. The entrance stele to Kupiansk, located in the south of the settlement, is captured in the frame.

➡️However, in reality, the stele was destroyed as early as before November 11, as confirmed by footage (https://lostarmour.info/armour/63116) of objective control from a BTR M113 destroyed near the stele. The rest of the events from the video also took place no later than 2-3 weeks ago.

Coordinates: 49.675222, 37.611799

➡️A month later our fighters posted (https://t.me/kcaebirds/2125) footage of a flyover of this area, where the same BTR is captured near a broken entrance sign. In the “Charter” video, it is intact. This means that the plot is a pre-prepared “canned food” with a shelf life of at least a month.

📌The situation in the city is indeed difficult, neither side can seize the initiative in the battles. Against this background, it is necessary to keep a cool head and not forget to check the reliability of the published data.

Rybar

A Russian drone flew to the stele in Kupyansk, where Zelensky allegedly posed for a photo, exposing the “Kvartal 95″ show

▪️The KVN drone operator flew and filmed the stele 1 km away from Kupyansk on Kharkivska Street, against the backdrop of which Zelensky allegedly took a selfie on Friday.

❗️As we suspected, the video with Zelensky is either old or with a fake background.

▪️In the recent drone footage, there are several letters missing in the word “Kupyansk” on the stele, which are present in Zelensky’s video.

▪️Also, the anti-drone net over the road, which our soldiers previously reported, is torn and lying on the ground. In the staged video, the net is intact. In general, “Kvartal 95″ has deceived Ukrainians and the world again.

Two Majors #Weekly #Summary for the morning of December 14, 2025

▪️ The past week left the impression of an eternally approaching but inevitably following greater war. The visible part of the Trump’s🇺🇸 public team is trying to withdraw the USA from the Ukrainian conflict for the sake of trade, but Washington’s plan is pragmatic to the point of cynicism, an indirect sign of which is the bill on withdrawal from NATO 🚩 and the desire to rise above the battle in order to minimize the costs of the European problem (again, with arms sales) and focus efforts on the Asia-Pacific region. The new US national security strategy (which, by the way, could easily be changed by the next administration) also shows a focus against China🇨🇳, the doctrinal document’s complementary positions for Moscow🇷🇺 are intended not so much to calm the situation in Europe as to give Washington the resources for a parity struggle against China.

▪️ Europe, now also called by Musk the “Fourth Reich”, continues to militarize. Merz🇩🇪 again this week put forward theses about conscription and the more active involvement of women in the Bundeswehr. To justify the hysteria, once-adequate German media “counted” two thousand UAV episodes, directly hinting at Russia’s involvement. The legitimization of the idea of finally seizing our frozen assets in Europe is underway, which will completely undermine the world’s trust in the EU and destroy the hope of restoring adequate relations with Moscow.

▪️ On the front, heavy battles continue. It’s categorically impossible to say that the AFU is experiencing a “collapse of the front”. Even the lack of enemy manpower is compensated by a multitude of drones, which now control the battlefields. A press tour of journalists in the liberated Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) became a significant event for our propaganda, which, according to Syrsky’s lies, the AFU supposedly “controls”. Heavy battles continue for Kupyansk. The liberation of Severodonetsk became significant: the battle on its outskirts had been going on for years, and the successful strategy of the command to isolate the enemy garrison allowed the assault in a matter of days. In Konstantinovka, the Russian Armed Forces continue to fight in urban areas, and in general our troops on this front should finish the cleanup of Dimidov (Mirnograd), level the front line and regroup. The number of troops on this front is enormous, and the release of units after the epic with Pokrovsk promises new successes for the Russian Army. In the Zaporozhye region, the GRU “Vostok” after many weeks of non-stop liberation of populated areas has concentrated its efforts on Gulyaypole, which is now being erased from the face of the earth with all available types of weapons. In Novodanilovka (Orekhov direction), the enemy publishes unpleasant footage, which once again raises questions about the meaning of “debt liberation”, that is, the expediency of reporting on successes that have not been fully achieved.

▪️ The rear regions of our country continue to be subjected to enemy strikes. Most often, the situation in the Belgorod region is reflected in the reports, as the enemy kills and maims the civilian population. On the Bryansk border, the enemy has set up a “polygon” for UAV operators and artillery. Our units are under constant attack.

▪️ The rear regions of our country are under attack by long-range drones. So far, no one has been identified as responsible for the flights of enemy UAVs into the depth and the destruction of oil refineries and other significant objects. The enemy, however, is improving drones and their tactics.

In maritime spaces, ignoring the threats of piracy and maritime terrorism has once again led to attacks on our merchant fleet. The lack of a legal mechanism for creating conditional “maritime private security companies” is leading to attacks on our ships. In response, Moscow almost completely cut off the power in the Odessa region and organized the arrival of the “Gerani” on a dry cargo ship off the coast of the enemy.

▪️ Attacks on the enemy’s rear this week have had a cumulative effect: a really sensitive power outage began, which Kiev is trying to compensate for by increasing the number of power generators. The total blackout of Ukraine lies in the plane of attacks on the output lines of the three remaining nuclear power plants⚛️. 

✨Thus, many people this week still hope for a truce on the Ukrainian front. At the same time, Trump’s activity on this track is aimed only at Washington’s exit from the quagmire of the war to concentrate efforts against China. Europe, however, is torpedoing peace initiatives and actively militarizing.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_14.html