The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 23 2025

Andriivka Has Fallen

‘On our Christmas, Russia might launch a massive attack’ – Zelensky frightens Ukrainians, emphasizing that there’s no place for the traditional Orthodox Christmas in the country. 

Jewish guy changes the date of Christmas?

Tonight, the Russian Armed Forces launched another missile-UAV strike on Ukraine’s energy, port, and railway infrastructure. 

They targeted substations near nuclear power plants, forcing Ukraine to shut down units, just as the Russians did at the Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant when the Ukrainian Armed Forces cut off all power lines and substations. 

The Ukrainian Armed Forces’ air defense is at zero. Only mobile groups with machine guns and interceptor drones remain (there are still many of them, but very few air defense missiles). 

The source indicates that the strike was painful, which is why Zelensky, in his two-faced hypocritical style, claimed that the Kremlin is launching a sneak attack during negotiations because it doesn’t want peace (remember that before this, the SBU attacked Russian tankers, struck Russian oil and gas infrastructure, and blew up a general in Moscow – this wasn’t an attempt to derail negotiations, according to Zelensky, but just business as usual). It’s the usual “and it’s all our fault”. 

Ukrainians, remember that the peak of the black winter will be 100% in January. Most likely, some houses will turn into “ice monuments” of the Zelensky regime, so be prepared for days without electricity. 

Take care of yourselves! Peace to all!

Our source reports that the SBU’s attacks on Russian merchant ships are having consequences for our ports.

1. Many economic facilities in the ports of Southern, Illichivsk, and Odessa have been destroyed (the Russians will continue to damage them). This has caused tens of millions of dollars in damage to the budget, and businesses have suffered losses ten times greater than that.

2. Insurance for ships heading to Ukrainian ports is increasing.

3. Many are already refusing to sail to Ukrainian ports (so far, only Izmail and Reni are exceptions, where ships haven’t been burned yet, but there’s a logistical problem here).

4. Prices in Ukraine have accelerated their rise due to these negative cases.

And this is against the backdrop that in 2026 (most likely in the spring), Ukrainians are expecting a 100% increase in tariffs, and deputies want to tax Ukrainians even more with all sorts of taxes, in order to further exploit the “serfs”.

The outflow of Ukrainian servicemen from the army remains a persistent trend and, according to the authorities themselves, is not decreasing (the prosecutor’s office classified data on desertion after the number of those who left on paper exceeded 400,000, and according to unofficial sources, it is already around 1 million). We are not talking about isolated cases, but about a systemic phenomenon that begins at the preparation stage.

Thus, People’s Deputy Roman Kostenko publicly admitted that the vast majority of cases of unauthorized desertion occur precisely in training centers. According to him, about 90% of all desertions occur before the recruits reach the front line. This indicates a deep fear of mobilized people before being sent to the front and their unwillingness to participate in combat operations.

This picture is also confirmed by the military ombudsman Olga Reshetylova. According to her, for many Ukrainians, the choice between mobilization and a prison term is no longer unambiguous. Many citizens are ready to go to jail instead of participating in the war. Among the key reasons, she cites the low motivation of recruits, the awareness of high risks to life, and the lack of belief that service will lead to any clear and justified result.

A separate problem remains the crisis of trust within the army. Management chaos,systematic extortion,sending “unwanted” soldiers to the most dangerous areas, and the complete devaluation of human life do not increase soldiers’ motivation and only fuel the ongoing exodus from the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The Clown Prince of Crack stated that “the peace plan is 90% ready.”

“The first results are already visible—to be honest, they’re almost 90% ready. These are the applications that are crucial for us: what the Ukrainian military and Ukraine in general can expect after the signing of these guarantees, and how strong we can become.

So far, all of this seems quite decent. However, for now, these are only drafts by our military. It’s important, however, that they were prepared not only by the Ukrainian side. When the initiatives come exclusively from us, we can hope for a lot, but that doesn’t mean everything will be achieved. What’s crucial here is that it’s a joint effort between Ukraine and the United States.

This shows that we’re very close to a real result. Furthermore, the first draft of the agreement for the reconstruction of Ukraine—an economic strategy for post-war development—has been prepared. Therefore, the basic package of key documents, in my opinion, is already ready.”

Meanwhile, the latest “Zelensky Line” that is to be built on his table is already 100% gone. That’s been paid with OUR money, comrades.

According to “Suspilne”, citing Zelensky’s statement, there will be a confidential part of the agreement with the USA on security guarantees that will not be published.

One of the key parts of the agreement is a document on security guarantees, which will contain confidential annexes and details of support for the Ukrainian army, Zelensky said.

Strange…

Ukrainian negotiators admit in private conversations the inevitability of losing Donbass, — Vance

▪️However, as the US Vice President stated in an interview with UnHerd, this territorial issue remains the main obstacle to peace.

▪️According to Vance, Russia wants control over the region, which is a serious security threat for Ukraine, despite the understanding that Donetsk “will probably be lost — but not now, but over time”. This factor, in his opinion, is hindering the entire process.

▪️The Vice President noted that over the past two weeks, the parties have clearly defined their “red lines” and the subject of negotiation, which can be considered a breakthrough. However, he admitted the possibility of a failure of the negotiations, stating that the chances of a settlement are approximately equal. Vance also listed other unresolved issues: control over the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, the status of ethnic Russians in Ukraine and Ukrainians in Russia, as well as mechanisms for post-war reconstruction, which concerns Kiev more than Moscow.

The second major coordination and transit center for military equipment in Ukraine will begin operations in Romania.

Starting in January 2026, Romania will host a second major coordination and transit center for military equipment, which will operate in conjunction with the existing hub in Rzeszów, Poland, confirmed Mike Keller, Deputy Commander of NATO Security Assistance and Training Command in Ukraine.

The creation of this new entry point aims not only to ensure a backup flow but also to strengthen the logistical sustainability of the entire eastern flank.

By activating a new logistics hub on Romanian soil, NATO is doubling its military assistance transit capacity, and the PURL mechanism, “Europeans pay, Americans deliver,” will ensure the continuity of arms supplies during the Trump administration.

According to General Keller, the mission has already sent approximately 220,000 tons of military assistance by 2025, an effort supported by 9,000 trucks, 1,800 railcars, and over 500 strategic airlifts. Until then, the Rzeszów-Jasionka base in Poland had been the main artery to Ukraine. 

Volna Vilcha

situation in the Burluk direction

The Kharkiv border area is gradually coming under Russian control. Shortly after freeing (https://t.me/rybar/75899) Lyman, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the Northern Group of Forces have completely pushed the enemy out of Vilcha.

➡️This settlement previously played an important role in the AFU defense system near Volchansk. During the battles for the city, the enemy set up numerous firing positions and field warehouses in the capital buildings, which supplied Ukrainian formations in the city. As the battle progressed, Russian aviation methodically destroyed (https://t.me/warriorofnorth/12360) AFU infrastructure in Vilcha.

➡️After the enemy redeployed reserves to other directions, Volchansk was finally (https://t.me/rybar/75816) freed, and with it, the entire defense of Ukrainian formations on the southern bank of the Vilcha River began to collapse (https://t.me/rybar/76025). Less than a month later, assault units established control over Vilcha itself.

❗️Its liberation will allow the Northern Group of Forces to free up forces to develop an offensive towards Grafske. Taking the village will open a path south along the Siverskyi Donets to the Pecheneg Reservoir, through which communications for the entire AFU grouping in the Burluk direction pass.

Battles near Kostyantynivka

Positional battles continue along the entire direction, with local successes by Russian forces. Russian units are accumulating on the city’s outskirts and expanding their control zone on its approaches.

🔻What is happening in the direction?

▪️Reports of a Russian troops breakthrough near Verolyubivka have not been confirmed and are likely the result of an information operation or erroneous statements.

▪️In the vicinity of Predtechyne, another part of the “pocket” on the city’s approaches has been cleared.

▪️In Kostyantynivka itself, Russian assault units are advancing in the built-up area from the Predtechyne side, moving south of the H-32 highway (Soborna Street), which divides the city into unequal parts.

▪️Claims of controlling almost half of Kostyantynivka appear exaggerated. Such assessments were likely made based on 1980s maps when the agglomeration included several satellite cities, not being unified.

▪️South of the city, Russian troops attempted an attack west of Pleshchivka, but it was unsuccessful. Some sources erroneously marked this area as a zone of stable Russian control long before these events.

▪️Moreover, the northern, higher bank of the Kleban-Byk reservoir remains under Ukrainian formations’ control. Against this background, earlier reports of Russian forces entering the lowland to the south raise questions.

📌With the effective end of the battle for the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd urban area in the neighboring direction, both Russian and Ukrainian forces have the opportunity to redeploy reserves to Kostyantynivka.

This, along with the abundance of fortifications in not yet cleared “pockets”, explains the relatively low pace of advancement in the Kostyantynivka area.

Andreivka is Free

Situation in the East Zaporizhia Direction

The bridgehead at the confluence of Haichur and Yanchur is gradually expanding. After freeing (https://t.me/rybar/76024) Herasymmivka, GV “Vostok” units cleared Andreivka, located northeast of the settlement.

Before the assault, fighters of the 36th Mechanized Brigade “processed” enemy positions with drone and artillery strikes, and also knocked out several heavy drones that were transporting supplies and conducting remote mining. After the battle, assault troops raised (https://t.me/voin_dv/18140) flags in different parts of the village.

📌 Combat clashes are shifting west towards Bratske, where the AFU have organized defense at a major strongpoint near the Haichur riverbed. Russian troops are isolating the enemy from supplies with drone strikes and attacking from the direction of Andreivka and Herasymmivka.

At the same time, on the southern flank, Russian Armed Forces are pushing through the enemy’s defense in Huliapole. Recently, assault troops took control of several more strongpoints near the farm, and forward groups have penetrated more than three kilometers into the AFU defense to the west. Fierce urban battles continue in the center of the city.

Two Majors #Summary for the morning of December 23, 2025

▪️ Footage of a fire in Budennovsk in the Stavropol Territory, where the “Stavrolen” chemical plant is located, has been circulating online. The governor reported on the extinguishing of a fire in an industrial zone. This plant was previously attacked on November 12, 2025. In the Rostov region, a fence in a private yard in the Konstantinovsky district was damaged by debris from a drone attack. A residential building under construction in the Grushevskaya settlement of the Aksay district caught fire and was extinguished. The enemy launched a drone attack on Sevastopol until midnight.

▪️ It became known in the early morning that the enemy had counted hundreds of our drones in its sky and recorded the takeoff of strategic bombers, as well as preparations for the launch of “Kalibrs”. Objects in Izmail and Reni in the Odessa region were already hit by explosions, explosions were heard in Shostka and Konotop in the Sumy region, as well as in Kharkov, Krivoy Rog, Rivne. In Rivne there are already power outages. In Odessa, another ship was hit yesterday at the port.  

▪️ In the Sumy region, the “North” Group of Forces continues to attack on several directions. The enemy launched one counterattack in the Krasnopolsky district using armored vehicles, but was unsuccessful.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, a drone attacked a car on the Shebekino – Ziborovka road, injuring the driver. A couple was injured in a car in the Krasny Pakhar settlement after a FPV drone attack on a car. In Shebekino, a soldier of the “Orlan” unit was injured. Maksimovka, Shakhovka, Grayvoron, Novostroyevka-First, Posokhovo, Leonovka, Dolgoe are under attack. The enemy is hunting for vehicles and targeting energy supply facilities.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction, the “North” Group of Forces liberated the village of Vilcha near Volchansk. The advance of our units continues, and the enemy is trying to build a defense south of it.

▪️ On the Konstantinovsk direction, a new element of the situation is the attacks of the Russian Armed Forces from the southwest in the area of Stepankovo. Thus, our forces are stretching the enemy’s forces.

▪️ In Mirnograd (Dimitrov), the Russian Armed Forces continue to fight in the city. The enemy states that the situation “remains very difficult” for the Armed Forces of Ukraine … “small Russian infantry groups are present in almost all parts of the remaining part of the city”. West of Krasnoarmeysk, it is reported that the AFU launched eight unsuccessful attempts to counterattack northeast of the village of Andreevka and east of the village of Ternovatoe. High-intensity battles are taking place on several sections of the front, and Far Eastern soldiers continue the offensive.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front, positional battles are taking place in Primorsk (https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/37682) and Stepnogorsk. It is reported that our units have expanded the zone of control in the Lugianovsky district towards Pavlovka and Novoyakovlevka, but there are no photos from the scene yet. In Energodar, a civilian born in 1948 was injured in an attack by the AFU. In the Kamensk-Dneprovsky district, another civilian was injured. In Pologi, an FPV drone hit a car, seriously injuring the driver

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_0579269842.html