Juan O' Savin Big Update 3.9.26 - It's Go Time. All Hell is Breaking Loose in 48 Hours
Juan O’ Savin Big Update 3.9.26 – It’s Go Time. All Hell is Breaking Loose in 48 Hours
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Whistler Blowers, Insiders
Cyprus, divided since 1974 with a long-standing dispute between Greek Cypriot and Turkish Cypriot communities. Rooted in competing national aspirations: Enosis – union with Greece, and Taksim – partition of the island. This division maintained by a UN monitored buffer zone known as the “Green Line”.
◇ 1878–1959: British rule and the rise of nationalism.
◇ 1950s: Greek Cypriot group EOKA guerrilla war ends British rule. Turkish Cypriots fearing Greek dominance formed TMT – Turkish Resistance Org.
◇ 1960: Treaty of Guarantee. Treaty of Establishment. Treaty of Alliance. Cyprus Act.
◇ 1963: Pres. Makarios III proposed constitutional amdts. to reduce Turkish Cypriot veto powers. “Bloody Christmas” violence leading to withdrawal of Turkish Cypriots from govt. and relocating into defended enclaves.
◇ 1974: Military junta in Greece against President for union with Greece.
Invoking its role as a “guarantor power,” Turkey’s invasion to protect the Turkish Cypriot community. Turkey eventually seized approx. 37% of the island in the north.
◇ 1983 to Present: De-facto division.
North: Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC). No recognition by Intl. community.
South: Republic of Cyprus (ROC) joined EU in 2004.
◇ 2004 Annan Plan: Failed UN led reunification efforts before EU accession.
◇ 2017 Crans Montana Summit: Regarding a bi-zonal, bi-communal federation, contingent on withdrawal of Turkish troops, and…
power-sharing mechanisms failed.
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ROC – South: UK maintains two Sovereign Bases – Akrotiri and Dhekelia [British Overseas Territories]. A “global strategic hub” for operations in MidEast.
US Military given permission for “specific and limited defensive purposes
Greece’s ELDYK based near Nicosia, serving as a guarantor power alongside Turkey, UK of Cypriot security.
TRNC – North: Approx. 40,000 Turkish troops stationed, plus air defence systems, weapons depots, drone facilities. With F-16 deployment aimed to “consolidate the power balance” on the island
UNFICYP: UN Peacekeeping Force maintaining buffer zone between North and South.
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Major Disputes:
~ The island’s political status, territorial control, and the rights of displaced persons post 1974 division.
~ Offshore natural gas discovery. Turkey, TRNC contest ROC’s right to explore these waters unilaterally. Claiming they violate Turkish EEZs or exclude Turkish Cypriots from their share of the island’s natural wealth.
Current Status of Key Projects (2026):
Cronos Field: Eni and TotalEnergies production potentially starting in 2026.
Aphrodite Field: Chevron floating production facility, projected for 2031.
Vasiliko Infrastructure: Incl. a floating storage, ready for testing in early 2026.
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2025 Tensions: Israeli-Turkish developer charged with “land usurpation” for marketing luxury villas built on land owned by…
displaced Greek Cypriots.
Hungarian brokers charged with sales of Greek Cypriot-owned properties in the north.
Mar. 1: Drone strike launched from allegedly Lebanon or Iraq at RAF Akrotiri base. With additional drones intercepted between Mar. 1 – 4. Local protests labeling UK’s operations beyond “humanitarian” purposes, calling it a “form of colonialism”.
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Sept. 18, 2025, FDD: Turkey has maintained military bases, weapons, drones, and a force of more than 35,000 troops on the island. Turkish offensive weapons can target multiple regional states, incl. Greece and Israel. Ankara has also deployed ATMACA anti-ship missiles whose 200-km range can potentially target Israel’s offshore energy fields.
‘Duty to Ensure Defenses’: Regarding Israeli air defense system, Cypriot Def. Minister Palmas stated, “Cyprus is a peaceful, democratic country which has been under occupation for 51 years. As long as there is an occupation and no political solution, we have the self-evident duty and obligation to ensure the defenses of ROC.
Nov 13, 2025, Reuters – Erdogan believes the most realistic way to resolve political deadlock over Cyprus is to have two states on the ethnically-split island. While new TRNC Pres. Erhürman has pledged to explore a federal solution.
March 9, Reuters: France is deploying about a dozen naval vessels, incl. its aircraft carrier strike group, to the Med. Sea, Red Sea and potentially the Strait of Hormuz as part of…
defensive support to allies threatened by the conflict in the MidEast. Macron sought to reassure his Cypriot counterpart after drones were intercepted heading towards the island last week.
“When Cyprus is attacked, then Europe is attacked,” Macron said after meeting with Pres. Christodoulides and PM Mitsotakis.
March 9, Reuters: Turkey deployed six F-16 fighter jets and air defence systems to northern Cyprus to boost security of Turkish community, its defence ministry said, pledging to take further measures if needed because of the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran.
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Mar. 4, Politico: US State Dept. has urged people to “reconsider travel” to Cyprus, has authorized departure of non-emergency govt. personnel, citing growing security risks as war in the Middle East ripples across the eastern Med. Because of the “threat of armed conflict” and “potential significant disruptions to commercial flights.”
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Some Key Points regarding ROC:
~ Since the power sharing framework collapsed in 1963, ROC has operated under the “Doctrine of Necessity” legal principle allowing the govt. to function despite the absence of the Turkish Cypriot components required by the 1960 text.
~ Under “1960 Treaty of Guarantee”, Akrotiri and Dhekelia bases are “British Overseas Territories”, and not under the legal jurisdiction of the ROC.
~ Bases used for military support to Israel for its operations in Gaza…
and South Lebanon.
~ Under Pres. Nikos Christodoulides, ROC has pivoted toward a staunchly pro-Western and pro-Israel stance.
~ Dec. 2025 Israel, Cyprus, Greece “Trilateral Military Cooperation Work Plan” for 2026.
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● “2014/2022 Development Agreement”: UK and ROC signed a landmark agreement that significantly relaxed restrictions on property development within the British Sovereign Base Areas (SBAs) of Akrotiri and Dhekelia. This Accord allows, for the first time since the 1960 Treaty of Establishment, non-military, civilian, and commercial development on large swaths of UK-controlled land.
Jan. 15, 2014, Cyprus Property News: Restrictions are to be lifted on the development of locally owned property within British military bases on Cyprus, the island’s president said during a visit to London.
In January 2014, a landmark agreement was reached between the ROC and UK, signed by Pres. Anastasiades and British PM Cameron. This Accord, formally known as the Sovereign Base Areas (SBAs) Agreement, allows Cypriot nationals to develop and sell property within the British Sovereign Base Areas of Akrotiri and Dhekelia—territories retained by the UK under the 1960 Treaty of Establishment. The agreement has lifted decades-old restrictions that limited land use to agriculture only, enabling residential, commercial, and industrial development in non-military and non-protected zones, thus marking a significant shift in the governance and…
economic potential of these areas.
Mar. 9, 2022, The Guardian: Describing the Accord as groundbreaking, ROC Pres. said it would enable thousands of Cypriots to develop properties in the “sovereign base areas”.
May 14, 2025, PhileNews: Major development plans in consideration for UK Bases in Cyprus. The amended policy, which is open for public consultation until 12 June 2025, includes provisions for new construction projects and changes to urban planning zones across both territories.
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◇ 1960 Treaty of Establishment (Treaty of Nicosia)
Signatories – UK, Greece, Turkey, Cyprus. Formally transferred sovereignty over the island from UK to the new Republic of Cyprus.
Key Components: Boundaries of new state established. Sovereignty over two military base areas: Akrotiri and Dhekelia.
◇ 1960 Treaty of Guarantee:
Signatories – ROC, Greece, Turkey, UK. Guarantee of independence, territorial integrity, and security of ROC, as well as its constitution.
Key Components: Prohibits unification of Cyprus with any other state (enosis) or the partition of the island (taksim). Article IV gives guarantor powers (Greece, Turkey, UK) the right to take action, incl. military intervention to restore the state of affairs established by the Treaty.
◇ 1960 Treaty of Alliance: A tripartite intl. agreement signed by Cyprus, Greece, and Turkey. Primary objective was to ensure the common defence of ROC and to mitigate…
long-standing tensions between Greece and Turkey over the island.
◇ 1960 Cyprus Act
Domestic British legislation (an Act of Parliament) that provided the legal framework within UK law for the transition of Cyprus from a Crown Colony to an independent Republic. It authorized the implementation of the treaties and the cessation of British sovereignty over the island, except for the specified base areas.
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UN No. 5476. TREATY CONCERNING THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF CYPRUS. SIGNED AT NICOSIA, ON 16 AUGUST I960
Page 160: EXCHANGE OF NOTES BETWEEN THE UNITED KINGDOM OF GREAT BRITAIN AND NORTHERN IRELAND AND CYPRUS CONCERNING THE ADMINISTRATION OF SOVEREIGN BASE AREAS REFERRED TO IN ARTICLE 1 OF THE TREATY OF 16 AUGUST 1960 CONCERNING THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF CYPRUS.
NICOSIA, 16 AUGUST 1960
Her Majesty’s Government declare that the main objects to be achieved are :
(1) Effective use of the Sovereign Base Areas as military bases.
(2) Full co-operation with the Republic of Cyprus.
(3) Protection of the interests of those resident or working in the Sovereign Base Areas.
2. Her Majesty’s Government further declare that their intention accordingly
will be—
(I) Not to develop the Sovereign Base Areas for other than military purposes.
(II) Not to set up and administer “colonies”.
(Ill) Not to create customs posts or other frontier barriers between the Sovereign Base Areas and the Republic….
(IV) Not to set up or permit the establishment of civilian commercial or industrial enterprises except in so far as these are connected with military requirements, and not otherwise to impair the economic, commercial or industrial unity and life of the Island.
(V) Not to establish commercial or civilian sea ports or airports.
(VI) Not to allow new settlement of people in the Sovereign Base Areas other than for temporary purposes.
(VII) Not to expropriate private property within the Sovereign Base Areas except for military purposes on payment of fair compensation
Article 1: The territory of the Republic of Cyprus shall comprise the Island of Cyprus, together with the islands lying off its coast, with the exception of the two areas defined in Annex A * to this Treaty, which areas shall remain under the sovereignty of the United Kingdom. These areas are in this Treaty and its Annexes referred to as the Akrotiri Sovereign Base Area and the Dhekelia Sovereign Base Area.
Article 3: The Republic of Cyprus, Greece, Turkey and the United Kingdom undertake
to consult and co-operate in the common defence of Cyprus.
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Are the Globalists preparing to expand their military conflict with Iran to include the Med. Sea, with Cyprus Akrotiri and Dhekelia bases central to it? While the potential for operations from these bases are high, are there any mechanisms available to remove it’s participation? Questions that need to perhaps be addressed…
within this frame:
1) Treaty of Establishment, 2. (I), (IV), (VI) are clearly breached by the 2014 Accord between UK and ROC. As a multilateral Treaty, its terms are legally binding, hence aren’t amendments subject to mutual agreement between “all original signatories”?
2) Isn’t a UK “Act of Parliament” required to amend the original Cyprus Act 1960? As it was not done, doesn’t this make the 2014 Amendment void?
3. (II) Not to set up and administer “colonies”: Isn’t 2014 Amendment setting up the UK sovereign territory, by UK’s own legal definitions, as a “colony”? Doesn’t the exclusion from the “British Overseas Territories Act 2002″ strengthen this position?
4) Would the above be considered a “breach” of the Treaty, hence under the “Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties”, UK’s “sovereign status” can be challenged by Cyprus, Greece and Turkey?
5) As with the legal arguments by the ICJ regarding Chagos Islands, can the same “unlawful” detachment of territory during decolonization” argument be applied to Cyprus by Greece and Turkey?
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UN No. 5475. TREATY OF GUARANTEE. * SIGNED AT NICOSIA, ON 16 AUGUST 1960
The Republic of Cyprus of the one part, and Greece, Turkey and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland of the other part,
I. Considering that the recognition and maintenance of the independence, territoria
integrity and security of the Republic of Cyprus, as…
established and regulated by the Basic Articles of its Constitution, are in their common interest,
II. Desiring to co-operate to ensure respect for the state of affairs created by that Constitution,
Article I
The Republic of Cyprus undertakes to ensure the maintenance of its independence, territorial integrity and security, as well as respect for its Constitution
It undertakes not to participate, in whole or in part, in any political or economic union with any State whatsoever. It accordingly declares prohibited any activity likely to promote, directly or indirectly, either union with any other State or partition of the Island.
Article II
Greece, Turkey and the United Kingdom, taking note of the undertakings of the Republic of Cyprus set out in Article I of the present Treaty, recognise and guarantee the independence, territorial integrity and security of the Republic of Cyprus, and also the state of affairs established by the Basic Articles of its Constitution.
Greece, Turkey and the United Kingdom likewise undertake to prohibit, so far as concerns them, any activity aimed at promoting, directly or indirectly, either union of Cyprus with any other State or partition of the Island.
Article III
The Republic of Cyprus, Greece and Turkey undertake to respect the integrity of the areas retained under United Kingdom sovereignty at the time of the establishment of the Republic of Cyprus, and guarantee the use and enjoyment by the United Kingdom of the rights to…
be secured to it by the Republic of Cyprus in accordance with the Treaty concerning the Establishment of the Republic of Cyprus signed at Nicosia on to-day’s date.
Article IV
In the event of a breach of the provisions of the present Treaty, Greece, Turkey and the United Kingdom undertake to consult together with respect to the representations or measures necessary to ensure observance of those provisions.
In so far as common or concerted action may not prove possible, each of the three guaranteeing Powers reserves the right to take action with the sole aim of re-establishing the state of affairs created by the present Treaty.
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6) Per Article II, doesn’t ROC’s territorial integrity and security take precedence for UK (Cyprus) over any other defense, security agreements it has with other nations? With ROC, as established and regulated by the Basic Articles of its Constitution being their joint focus?
7) While the Treaty of Establishment emphasizes full cooperation with ROC, and protecting its interests, is UK in practice guided primarily by its National Security Strategy and the “doctrine of vital interests”?
8) Would Cyprus, an EU member trigger the mutual defense clause under Article 42.7 of the Treaty on European Union (TEU) if it becomes a victim of “attack on its territory”? If invoked, all other EU member states are legally obligated to provide assistance by “all the means in their power”.
9) Would Turkey…
view a collective EU response as a non-neutral stance that undermines its strategic interests and the security of TRNC? Would this stance be neutralized under its NATO framework with the same nations?
10) Would “networked maritime presence” including EU, NATO member Greece’s militarized islands serve to protect Cyprus, the maritime sea routes and serve as deterrence?
Would this NATO, EU participation creating a “multi-domain web” serve as key deterrence for UK in its use of Akrotiri and Dhekelia bases for Mid East (Israel) operations?
11) Would UK shift its strategy to align with the NATO countries security around ROC and the Med. Sea? Would this therefore achieve ROC’s critical objective – territorial integrity and security?
12) Would NATO, EU countries’ presence simultaneously neutralize the Med. Sea as a potential front for the Globalists to expand their military aggression in the region?