Weak La Niña brings uncertainty, ‘experts’ struggling?
While trying to give an impression that climate scientists are close to understanding what’s going on with ENSO and global temperature data, this article only manages to do the opposite. [Embedded commentary on this article is in italics].
La Niña is the counterpart to the El Niño which caused drought and deadly heat in 2024, says Euronews.
But the ‘deadly heat’, whatever that refers to, is known to have begun before the El Niño arrived. An effect can’t precede its cause.
The long-awaited La Niña has finally arrived but it is weak and meteorologists say it’s unlikely to cause as many weather problems as usual.
Long-awaited?
Experts have been expecting the arrival of the climate phenomenon since last spring but finally, the cooling of waters in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean was confirmed in early January by the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
So the experts were nearly a year off with that idea.
Its counterpart, El Niño ended in June last year after an unusual three-year stretch.
They didn’t anticipate that stretch either.
Lars Lowinski, a meteorologist at Weather & Radar, says forecasts for the winter season 2024/25 suggested a much more pronounced event starting in summer.
Those forecasts were obviously wrong.
“In reality though, it took many more months, with a clear signal only emerging in December 2024, and it is fairly weak compared to what we saw between late 2020 and 2023,” he says.
Its late appearance is likely to be the subject of much research. Experts at the NOAA are already wondering if La Niña’s delayed arrival may have been influenced or even masked by the world’s warming oceans.
Late? Experts are still struggling with the recent realities.
Full article here.
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Image credit: concernusa.org
Source: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2025/01/23/weak-la-nina-brings-uncertainty-experts-struggling/
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