Microsoft Tumbles After Top- & Bottom-Line Beats But CapEx Soars

With all eyes firmly focused on CapEx numbers to keep the AI-expansion narrative alive, Microsoft beat expectations on top- and bottom-line, and operating income, but a bigger than expected CapEx.

Microsoft posted adjusted earnings of $4.14 a share on revenue of $81.3 billion (better than expected earnings of $3.91 a share and revenue of $80.3 billion.

• Intelligent Cloud revenue $32.91 billion, estimate $32.39 billion

• Azure and other cloud services revenue Ex-FX +38%, estimate +38%

• Productivity and Business Processes revenue $34.12 billion, estimate $33.45 billion

• More Personal Computing revenue $14.25 billion, estimate $14.33 billion

Operating income beat expectations at $38.28 billion (versus a consensus estimate of $36.55 billion)

But Capital Expenditures were considerably higher than expected at $29.99 billion (versus consensus estimate of $23.78 billion).

• Capital expenditures including assets acquired under finance leases were $37.5 billion, up 66% to support customer demand for our cloud and Al offerings. Roughly two-thirds of capital expenditures were for short-lived assets, primarily GPUs and CPUs, which support Azure platform demand, growing first-party applications and Al solutions, accelerating research and development by our product teams, as well as continued replacement for end-of-life server and networking equipment.

• The remainder of capital expenditures were for long-lived assets which will support monetization over the next 15-year period and beyond. Finance leases, which are primarily for large datacenter sites, were $6.7B and are recognized at the time of lease commencement.

• Cash paid for property and equipment was $29.9 billion, up 89%, lower than capital expenditures primarily due to finance leases

This also didn’t help:

• *MICROSOFT CLOUD GROSS MARGIN PERCENTAGE FELL Y/Y TO 67%

Additionally, following the renegotiation of their deal, Microsoft says net gains from OpenAI investments totaled $7.6B

“In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, net income and diluted earnings per share were impacted by net gains from investments in OpenAI, which resulted in an increase in net income and diluted earnings per share of $7.6 billion and $1.02, respectively.

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, net income and diluted earnings per share were impacted by net losses from investments in OpenAI, which resulted in a decrease in net income and diluted earnings per share of $939 million and $0.12, respectively.”

The result of all this was selling pressure hitting MSFT (down over 8% after hours)…

It’s unclear exactly what is triggering the selling pressure, but could it be that too much CapEx is now bad news not good news?