Will an "October Surprise" Affect the Election?

“What is an October Surprise and where does the term come from? The term was popularized in 1980. As president, Jimmy Carter could not get the Iranian hostages released, and his failure was one of the main reasons he was losing in the polls to Ronald Reagan. The October Surprise was going to be his last-minute success in getting them out. Obviously, it never happened. Afterward, there were suggestions that Reagan’s campaign conspired with the Iranians to hold the hostages through the election. This gambit, though never proven, came to be referred to as the October Surprise. Now the term refers to any late-breaking major news that upends the presidential election.”

Many possibilities for an “October Surprise” that would change the outcome of the 2024 U.S. election have been analyzed – making many of them… not much of a surprise if they happen. Most of them involve an escalation of WAR. If Russia gains momentum and Ukraine seems on the brink of defeat, that makes NATO, and the United States, and the Biden-Harris administration – look weak. If China invades Taiwan soon, and the U.S. gets involved in a war with China, this is bad for the Biden-Harris administration. If they don’t stop China, they look weak and it is bad for them as well. And if a much larger war develops between Israel and Iran develops, and America gets involved, the Biden-Harris administration gets blamed for getting American boys killed in the Middle East. Doing nothing about the wars in the Middle East, they seem weak and are already losing the Muslim vote in Michigan for not reigning in Israeli behavior in Gaza.

One article (Here’s the October Surprise) says: “NETANYAHU IS EXPECTED to order an imminent attack on Iran’s military facilities in response to its missile strike on Israel this month. For now, Iranian energy and nuclear targets are off-limits.

THE RAPID ESCALATION of the war has tied the Biden administration in knots, resulting in the United States first calling for an immediate cease-fire in Lebanon only to reverse that policy nine days later and openly endorse Israel’s ground offensive.

THE WAR’S SPREAD has alarmed the Harris campaign, which sees the images of dead civilians as complicating her path to victory in key swing states with sizable Arab American and Muslim populations. Michigan is an ongoing concern for the Harris camp.

“IT’S A HUGE CONCERN, it comes down to people saying, ‘I can’t support anyone’ who supports this war,” says a person who advises the campaign said.

A MASSIVE ISRAELI STRIKE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WHICH IS LIKELY, will burden the Harris campaign with still another issue that could damage her candidacy.”

Another possibility is a… political death. Tim Walz is even more of a clown than the other politicians in the news; could he really win the popular vote against Trump if Kamala Harris died before the election? If Biden died, however, I think President Harris would get a boost of sympathy for being thrust into the office, especially if she didn’t cause or suffer any major catastrophes in her days in the White House prior to the election. If Trump is killed before the election (the most likely of these scenarios, with two attempts of Plan B and Plan D already made) 

in my opinion Vance could hold his own – he is a great speaker and debates well without a teleprompter or bluetooth earrings – plus he might get the sympathy and allegiance of Trump supporters who would be hell-bent on not letting Trump’s enemies see Kamala Harris get elected.

Another category of “October Surprise” would be that there is no election at all. There have been intense rumors of a great blackout preceding a great reset – where everything like the electric grid, the internet, cell phones, and credit cards are all shut down for at least 2 weeks to a month. There would be chaos, desperation, starvation, a huge surge in crime, and America’s enemies would likely take advantage even if they didn’t cause the blackout – to achieve their own goals while America is down for the count. After a month with the United States or the whole world turned off we could easily awaken later when things eventually come back on to see the Chinese took over Taiwan, the Russians defeated Ukraine, the Iranians….

See the source of this at https://www.specieslastwords.com/p/will-an-october-surprise-affect-the for more