Gold and mining price consolidation
Are precious metals and miners on a protracted slide and was the January peak a rosy dream ending in a rude awakening? Or was this rude awakening the inevitable consequence of a speculative bubble leading to a parabolic price rise?
Actually only the narrative is different. One year ago, gold was about to break out of its trading range roughly between $3000 and $3400, with only miner excursions beyond these boundaries. Half a year after the peak and the secondary rallies that followed, a new trading range seems to establish itself. Gold broke below $4000/Oz on several occasions, but these price excursions seem to trigger demand, rather than to exacerbate more selling. Yet that demand is price sensitive. Rallies above $4300 quickly run out of steam.
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| Daily gold fix price at the NYMEX in USD/Oz over last 12 months |
Central Bank buying has been depicted as the main driver for the gold rally, whereas it is rather a support preventing the gold price of sliding ever deeper. And whereas de-dollarization is real, it is more gradual than depicted among the doomsday activists.
Source: https://gwyde.blogspot.com/2026/07/gold-and-mining-price-consolidation.html
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