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Inflation Down, Wages Up

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Whether you’re talking about consumer inflation or producer inflation, we are seeing a dramatically improved economic picture.

Gas down 12%. Core inflation at 2%, down to its lowest level in four years.Wages climbing fast. So why isn’t the Fed cutting interest rates?

There’s no inflation in the Trump economy.

“The Fed is strangling the economy with Biden era interest rates even though Trump brought inflation down to just 1.5%.

That’s actually below the Fed’s target. Jerome Powell spent 4 years trying to bail out Biden and Harris. Now he’s doing everything he can to hurt Trump.” (X)

The Democrats and their media lapdogs beat us about the head for months that Trump’s tariffs were going to trigger a recession and cause inflation to spike, and we’re seeing the exact opposite happen.

Of course President Trump really wants the Fed to begin cutting rates.It’s the rational and logical economic response. He’s asking for a 100 basis point cut. If you recall, Powell cut 100 basis points right before the election, and that was with inflation rates actually much higher than where they’re at right now.

As economist Mark Tepper pointed out: It would be great for interest rates to come down. It would really help to propel the economy and drive more economic growth, not just from a standpoint of mortgages becoming more affordable for consumers, but really from a standpoint of business loans. If a business were able to take out a a 7% loan versus a nine or 10% loan, that’s going to give them the ability to purchase more equipment, which generates jobs, they can hire more people, they can really drive growth, which is going to help us to grow as an economy. It’s going to help us to generate that bigger economic base so that we can start to chip away at the deficit and the debt, all the things that we need to be doing right now.

The Numbers:

3.8% Q2 GDP Growth (Atlanta Fed estimate)

139,000 jobs added in May (above 126,000 expected)

Inflation at 0.1% MoM (vs 0.2 expected) and 2.4% YoY

Trade deficit cut in half

Polymarket odds of recession down from 66% in April to 23% today

Trump approval +6 in Morning Consult, +7 in Rasmussen

Democrat Party approval -49 in Quinnipiac


Source: https://gellerreport.com/2025/06/inflation-down-wages-up.html/


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