PEACE PLAN RUSSIA-UKRAINE – Full Edition

By Thierry Lauren Pellet

 La Nouvelle Diplomatie Française

“What is clearly conceived is clearly expressed, and the words to say it come easily.” – Nicolas Boileau-Despréaux, 1674.

“No problem can be solved without changing the level of consciousness that created it.” – Albert Einstein, 1934.

The present document proposes a peace plan based on sociology, economic and geopolitical factors. The situation faced is equivalent to what has been happening in the Balkans, it is a real divorce of populations and it must be accepted by any parties in presence, de facto already acknowledged by the Russian side. War is always leaving scars due to victims and forgiveness would be a very long process taking place over time. Trying to do as if nothing happened would be a major mistake. Modern Ukraine has been a geopolitical chessboard game location potentially explosive that ended into a real human disaster, that sociologic puzzle needs to be sorted out in the way the problem will be solved once and for all.

The systemic problem comes from the dissolution of the ancient USSR that set a real fragmentation of the Russian world and that never was addressed. We should take this crisis resolution opportunity to solve it in a definitive manner, to make sure it will not become a recurrence within the concerned countries. That is the case in Moldavia, Estonia, Latvia, Lettonia in which are stranded millions of russophones who are facing deprivation of their essential rights. These are the potential sources of social tension that can be transformed into civil or real war.

In bilateral international relationships, double standard leads to tensions due to frustration and should not occur as much as it would not be accepted to see a major Russian military base in Mexico, the symmetry cannot be accepted by Russia under its “balcony”. We are witnessing the Balkanization of Ukraine and as much as a lot of parties are closing eyes on the consequences that developed for Yougoslavia, they should adopt the same attitude to the current conflict. This is a divorce of populations and nothing will stop it. Adding more casualties will not help in stopping this painful but necessary process.

This divorce has been triggered by the resurgence of the old daemon coming from the WWII : nazism in its ugliest form to eradicate any form of resistance to the concept of Ukrainian unicity, a unicity that does not exist due to the way RSS Ukraine was formed by the Bolsheviks. Polish, Romanian, Belarus, Moldavian, Ukrainian, Russian mixed together by association of territories belonging to adjacent countries was the worst mistake ever in the heart of Europe. A blatant example : “Belgian Congo”, the Hutu and Tutsi transversally ethnically splitted in Rwanda and Burundi ended in infamous genocides. We have the responsibility to avoid absolutely the same type of mistake.

A reminder, H. Kissinger in the 70’s  used to say that Ukraine was the red line of the red lines, and unfortunately with the emergence of so called “progressism”, some have forgotten the limits that real statesmen imposed to themselves as guardrail for the sake of world security guarantee. The world has come to the edge because communication stunts have replaced reality and pragmatism led by common interest.

A global security architecture has never been addressed in Europe due to the repulsion of those under the US deep state control, which made Europe miss the greatest opportunity to create a powerful eurasian economic zone based on cheap energy, great human capital and common history. Those responsible for such a failure should be accountable for a terrible destruction of potential economic development. Austrian Vice chancellor E. Busek used to say: “When the business goes away, the tanks are coming”, it is time for Europe to understand Russia will not move from its géographical location, it is our neighbor and we need to compose with its security needs by placing it within a comprehensive security vision that all stakeholders will benefit.

The precondition to any treaty signature resides in the organisation of elections in Ukraine under the control of nations assessors not related to the parties in presences, neither EU, US or Russia/Ukraine. A foreign commission should be constituted to guarantee any process linked to the resolution of the conflict. The outcome would be a fully elected president followed by a legitimate parliamentary assembly (Verkhovna Rada). Therefore any agreement signed could be entered into full execution. Their execution should be guaranteed by the same structure.

A. Global security

a.1 Ukraine status and limitation: Ukraine must take the engagement to restrain its army to less than 100 K servicemen. Its membership to NATO must be banned definitively constitutionally within bilateral statuses of Ukraine/NATO. Moreover, NATO must take the engagement to forbid itself, positioning troops in the remains of Ukraine territories when the conflict will be settled. Nevertheless Ukraine must be restrained from any nuclear, bacteriologic, chemical weapons development capacity. A very special attention must be set to the DTRA program which has been developed by the USA and led to the testing of extremely dangerous pathogens including Covid19, in questionable levels of security  within Ukraine and that should be subject to a group of non aligned countries for international scrutiny.

a.2 Ukraine guarantee of security: Neither NATO nor the USA should be involved in the guarantee of security of Ukraine, which would put humanity at risk of a nuclear confrontation. The risk of unidentified provocations in this context despite cease fire would remain very high and any wrong interpretations or moves would drift to the unthinkable, this is why a group of non aligned countries should be the guarantors of Ukraine security under the scrutiny of the UN.

a.3 De-escalation and non-aggression pact: Should be envisioned as a new concept as NATO de-escalation for business. Gradually the European states causing increase in tension to the border with Russia and the Baltic sea would re-establish bilateral business relationship and over time, when commercial exchange would reach a certain threshold, they would by their own will, withdraw from NATO on the base of economic incentive conceded by Russia (it can be a discount deal set on gas or Uranium… Whatever would be in the best interest of the participants). A country project pilot should be defined in good will of de-escalation. The ultimate goal would be to transform NATO into a new security organization that would integrate Russia and other central asia states if desired (GIS or Global Intégrated Security). Such an approach would reduce dramatically the risks of nuclear confrontation in the future. It is a high necessity that humanity shows the necessary maturity to avoid our own species destruction.

a.4 Global integrated security #GIS architecture: As a first step bilateral relationship should be re-established through the OSCE including the USA and set the basics of security concerning : terrorism, human, arms & organs and narcotics trafficking to synchronize the different services necessary to eradicate those major real threats on Eurasian citizens. Russia and the USA should legislate on the limitation of nuclear weapons by including the threat location they represent in Europe, therefore extend the NPT guaranteed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). That should also be supported by a treaty of non aggression between European countries, the USA and Russia to guarantee territorial integrity of the parties in presence. In the future that could lead to a global  alliance of security such as the “The World Council of Security or WCS”, that would signify the end of NATO. Any attempt to sabotage the peace process should be punished financially at the individual, not state, level, as populations are not responsible for the ideological drift of their political leaders and institutions. Those responsible will be prosecuted for complicity in war crimes before an international tribunal established for this purpose.

The dismantling of NGOs such as George Soros’s “Open Society” or the WEF (World Economic Forum), which played a major role in organizing the February 2014 coup by funding various neo-Nazi groups through affiliated NGOs (such as the “Open Dialog Foundation” in Poland and the “Cosmopolitan Project Foundation” in France), should be seriously considered. They are responsible for the destabilization of Ukraine and many other countries. A global security agreement should include legislation, developed in cooperation with the UN, to prevent such organizations from committing or organizing reprehensible acts against sovereign states. The assets of these organizations should be seized to finance the reconstruction of Ukraine and to compensate families affected by material or human losses.

a.5 Guarantee of non-interference: All parties must take the engagement to forbid NGO’s meddling within counterpart countries or face fines and all other sanctions the spoiled party would estimate being fair to compensate for the damage caused.

a.6 Traffic monitoring: The last 4 years massive arms/drug/human (prostitution /organs) traffic have been implemented in Ukraine, which makes it an “ XXL Kosovo”. Special units should be implemented to control the flow of merchandise moving out of Ukraine at the border on the side of its neighbors to avoid smuggling into Europe at the expense of population security.

a.7 AI and Vigilance: The Ukrainian conflict has witnessed the advent of drones and more recently the deployment of artificial intelligence proving to be formidable in terms of destruction. The great powers likely to develop military mechanisms using this type of technology should be able to consult each other in order to develop a memorandum of understanding to ensure that there is no major slippage such as losing control leading to the destruction of humanity. We can very well imagine that malicious learning could lead to the advent of independence of the machine from humans and decide to eliminate it through awareness of the constraint it could represent… This would require the establishment of a communication platform implementing ethical questions related to security, which certainly involves different profiles from those that can be requested for this purpose.

B. Conflict settlement

b.1 Territories: In the respect of the populations that decide for themselves within the oblast of Lugansk, Donetsk, Zoporozhe and Kherson, the Ukrainians army will have to withdraw from those territories with no primary condition. Those territories would have to be de facto accepted internationally as part of the Federation of Russia, the way balkanization of Yugoslavia was organized and therefore accepted by the international community.

Other territories in which the Russian troops (Sumy, Kharkov, Dniepro) or south part of Novorossiya (Nikolaiev, Odessa) are operating should be subject to referendum, to offer the population to choose whether they would like to belong to Russia or Ukraine. This proposal is based on the fact that in much of Ukraine, and particularly in the Odessa/Nikolaev region, the military recruitment organization known as TSK is seeing its members harassed or murdered by the local population. This expresses a fierce and explicit opposition to the Kyiv government regarding the continuation of hostilities, and even to Ukraine’s very existence. This is the case of the Ukrainian Krivonos Battalion fighting against Kyiv.

The fate of the Russian population trapped in Moldova could be resolved through a land swap, should the Odessa region request annexation by Russia: Bessarabia to Moldova, Gagauzia and Transnistria to Russia/Odessa Oblast. Bessarabia, a marshy area, would thus offer a buffer zone separating NATO in Romania from Russia and provide commercial access to the Black Sea. As a gesture of goodwill, Moldova would have to, by virtue of its constitution, declare itself ineligible for NATO membership and reject any form of absorption, integration, or annexation by Romania that could potentially lead to direct confrontation.

In regard to the policy adopted by Poland and Hungaria, it is becoming evident that few Ukrainian territories (Voliny, Galicia, Transkarpathia) will migrate to them. Since the beginning of the Russian SMO they have been buying lands and distributing respective passeports in those regions.

b.2 Buffer zone: Delineating a zone to prevent future clashes is difficult to envision due to ongoing military operations that preclude any deployment of forces. Recent statements from both sides suggest that a settlement will only be possible after the capitulation of one of the belligerents. Due to the numerous corruption cases exposed by the Trump administration (a long and scandalous affair that constitutes a significant part of the Ukrainian problem and ironically justified the Maidan coup), the Zelensky regime is inexorably collapsing. The crucial question is who will succeed him. The shadow of Zaluzhniy symbolizes a reality that does not point toward a peaceful settlement and risks significantly exacerbating the conflict.

b.3 Ukraine integrity linked to new reality: The Verkhovna Rada will have to modify its constitution to accept the reality of the front line and the will of the people to self-determine, as soon as the settlement of the conflict will be accepted by the two parties, thus, Russia will take the engagement of respecting the new defined borders and avoid any violations.

 b.4 Reconstruction / Compensations: Russia could re-initiate gas supply at a favorable discount to the benefits of the population of Ukraine, under the control of a “to define entity”, to make sure no scandal of corruption would erupt the way it occurred with the latest scandal hitting the current Kiev administration or the previous one “Timoshenko gate” in 2012. Nevertheless, in regard to the mutual destruction that has occurred, each party should take care of themselves, Russia with the oblasts that decided to be re-attached and European Union/The USA for the remains of Ukraine, up to them to leverage the necessary collateral.

The FBI must conduct a serious investigation regarding the funds that transited to Ukraine and the potential rebound transfers that could have occurred to tax havens such as Caïman islands, Bermudas, Panama. The European commission has announced several times the last 2 years having lost traces of several dozens of billions of Euros sent, and lately not being able to justify the usage of €723 Billions that seems to have disappeared, which is quite astonishing in regard of the fact that Euroclear institution is there to control those types of outflow. All recovered funds should be partly allocated to the reconstruction of Ukraine and the remainder returned to the countries affected by the fraud..

C.  Humanitarian and societal

 c.1 Population migration: Civilians should be able to go back to live wherever they feel comfortable, if under custody, they should be released unless involved in war crime or terrorist activity. The exchange of prisoners would occur in an all for all mode but those involved in the neo nazi factions such as Azov, Praviy Sektor, Tornado, Ydar (no restriction of groups), they will not be released and be subject to court prosecution with no exception.

c.2 Humanitarian structure: To favor those migration helping in family regroupment and to help those in distress due to exposure to combat zones. Distribution of humanitarian help should be implemented backed by red cross to supply water, food, medicare, and the first necessity to compensate for the shortcomings in current supplies

            c.3 Servicesmen rehab program and compensations: The level of severe military casualties occurring during the conflict are of an                astonishing magnitude. The current Ukrainian government lied about the figures to avoid paying pensions; programs of
financial aid must be put in place to support families in difficulty, rehabilitation to civilian life, development of prostheses for the severely              injured, psychological care for PTSD…

            c.4 Education: The entire education system must be reformed, with particular attention paid to the prohibition of the celebration of                      Bandera and Nazism; tolerance towards other cultures and language must be enforced by law; and care must be taken to ensure
that history is respected as it unfolded, with complete integrity and objectivity.

In this context, all references to those who participated in the UPA must be eradicated from urban real estate throughout Ukraine, and                representatives of European countries that have not denounced the idealization of Nazism in Ukraine, must offer public
apologies to the victims of the Holocaust.

c.5 Tribunal and jurisdiction: It is out of the question that those responsible for this major crisis and the war crimes perpetrated since              2014 should go unpunished, in particular the issue of the various massacres that took place during the period following the Maidan                    coup  (Odessa, Mariupol, Kharkiv, etc.) involving neo-Nazi factions. This includes European leaders who did everything they could to                  prevent the implementation of the Minsk II agreements, to the point of no return. The tribunal should be convened in a location                            convenient for the victims of these barbaric acts (Donetsk?). A particular attention must be paid to the clandestine organ harvesting                    laboratories that were carried out on children in the Donbas by the neo-Nazi group Azov in order to be supplied with weapons, not                      forgetting the implementation of a very serious investigation into the 40 biological weapons laboratories established between 2010 and              2022, with particular attention to the Mechnikov laboratory in Odessa, funded by G. Soros, in which Covid-19 was tested before the                    pandemic with the help of a shell company, Labyrinth Global Health, directly funded by the company Black & Veatch.

It is to be noted that The United Nations International Court of Justice has rejected all of Kiev’s objections and accepted Russia’s                        counterclaims under the Genocide Convention.

  This follows the ICJ’s earlier ruling rejecting all of Ukraine’s attempts to bring charges against Russia. The Court will now examine the      evidence submitted by Moscow—more than 10,000 pages documenting massacres, torture, indiscriminate bombing, and Kyiv’s           campaign to erase Russian identity in the Donbas. A third of the Western states that once supported Ukraine have already withdrawn       from the case.

            c.6 Financing & compensation : It would be wise to seize all assets linked to Ukrainian oligarchs who fled the country by massively                  diverting funds allocated to Ukraine by various stakeholders (EU/US) and use them to compensate the affected families. A fund should              be created based on the exploitation of the various mines remaining under Ukrainian control and under the administrative supervision                of  an external conflict resolution entity to support all war victims. Special attention should be paid to Monaco and its Ukrainian battalion              of the same name, which is prominent in Courchevel and in the penthouses of the Tour Odéon, rented for at least €6.6 million annually.

D. Economic

d.1 Transportation security: both parties should engage in respecting the free movement of goods, merchandise and commodities with no restriction but illegal ones by any vectors and ways (maritime, river and airborne), this include but not restrict to Dniepr river and black sea. The Two Rivers Initiative should come to fruition, linking the Danube and the Volga across the Black Sea to facilitate trade between the regions crossed by its two river axes and to promote the creation of a free trade zone around the Black Sea.

d.2 International Trade: Both parties should study the reopening of the central Europe railroad corridor axed on Moscow-Kiev-Vienna which is beneficial to the Belt & Road initiative, allowing European companies a better cash flow management due to the effectiveness and celerity of goods transportation from China. Another channel should be envisioned to supply the Balkan going through the Kersh bridge straight to Sevastopol port linking the ports of Burgas (Bg) and Costanta (Ro), cutting the duration of trip should impact on importation inflation significantly. Energy commodities trade should be re-established to reset the competitiveness of the European economy.

Ukraine should be considered as a free trade zone that could bridge the CIS and EU zone to the benefit of the Ukrainian economy which is in need of a great support. It makes no sense to integrate Ukraine within the EU due to the major insecurity, threat and financial stability it represents for the moment .Iit would trigger an economic earthquake leading to its downfall.

           d.3 Energy: The zaporozhie nuke facility should remain under the control of Russia for different evident reasons, the first being security in regard of the fact that Kiev has shown a total irresponsibility during the conflict by shelling it on numerous occasions, second is the precedent of Chernobyl and third, it is on Russian territory, therefore what is in Russia concerns Russia and nobody else. Nevertheless, Russia should conceive an agreement to Ukraine to supply electricity at a preferential price discount to help its economy and population.  This agreement should not be used as a geopolitical pressure tool and would be included in the company’s statutes.

d.4 Reconstruction of Ukraine: It is up to European Union or the USA to collatérize Ukrainian commodities to support the funding of      the reconstruction. It is highly suggested to install a governance structure allowing the capital control due to the incapacity of                    Ukrainians  to lead their country in total financial integrity without corruption. Moreover a massive investigation should be conducted        within the different banking institutions in Europe and Ukraine to find out where the funding disappeared the last 4 years, to eventually      punish those who benefit, repatriate the funds, and use them to rebuild the Ukraine (see chapter b.4).

d.5 Sanctions: All types of sanctions and asset freezes should be abolished, firstly because they are illegal under international law, secondly because they would deal a fatal blow to the potential for foreign investment in Europe, and thirdly because, on the eve of the biggest financial crisis since 1929, we must unite all efforts to facilitate the fluidity of global markets and, consequently, resolve the major problem of the largest debt ever incurred in the world, with particular attention to the United States. It would be utterly irresponsible to avoid resolving this problem. Moreover, the confiscation of Russian assets would also lead to serious distrust of the global banking system and its governance, thus triggering the flight of investors needed to sustain the European economy.

d.6 Cooperation and good will:  The United States, Russia, and China should explore a solution to definitively guarantee global financial security in a Yalta 2.0 format to avoid facing a systemic crisis. Why not open the door to A-BRICS cooperation by allowing the US to support the dollar with the UNIT token? Many areas could be explored to rationalize the use of raw materials whose natural reserves are dwindling year after year while financial markets believe they are unlimited. Significant efforts should be devoted to researching energy sources (fusion, nuclear) to anticipate the future depletion of those currently in use. This could be a first step in the process of cooperation with Russia in existing economic entities, even though the final decision rests with its government, which, understandably, does not seem to be on the agenda given the current climate.

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Source: https://standupamericaus.org/peace-plan-russia-ukraine-full-edition/