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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 31 2024

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Our source in the OP said that Zelensky is preparing the last counter-offensive, which should allow Ukraine to enter the negotiation track as the winner. For this purpose, new brigades and reserves with Western military equipment are being formed. Now the General Staff, together with NATO military advisers, is preparing two operations, one diversionary in the Kharkov direction and the main one at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. Eight brigades have already been formed, which are undergoing training in Western Ukraine and are waiting for F-16 fighters to launch the autumn counter-offensive.

▪️The French newspaper Le Monde put this phrase in the headline.
▪️Zelensky in an interview allowed a referendum on how the war should end. Because “the issue of the territorial integrity of Ukraine cannot be resolved by the president alone, without the Ukrainian people.”
▪️But “this is not the best option, because we are dealing with Putin and it will be a victory for him if he takes part of our territories for himself.”
▪️Commenting on possible negotiations, Zelensky again admitted that Ukraine may not return the territory by military means, but there is a chance to do this in the future “not only with the help of weapons.”
▪️ “Like most countries, I believe that representatives of Russia should be present at the second summit, otherwise we will not achieve concrete results… If everyone wants to see them at the negotiating table, then we cannot be against this,” Zelensky said.

In Ukraine, such articles will be considered the work of IPSO, but in the West they publish a real picture of Ukrainian society.

The New York Times “As the situation grows murkier, more Ukrainians appear open to a peace deal.”

More and more Ukrainians appear to be warming to the idea of ​​a negotiated peace, although they remain vague about what that means. The majority still oppose the transfer of any territory to Russia, even the Crimean Peninsula, polls show. But these polls and recent remarks from the country’s leaders indicate a tangible shift in the conversation about peace talks – from “no, no, never” to “possible compromise at some point.”

In mid-July, a survey was conducted by the Ukrainian independent media ZN. UA showed that about 44% of Ukrainian citizens are in favor of starting formal negotiations with Russia. On July 23, the Kiev International Institute of Sociology published the results of a survey, according to which almost a third of Ukrainians would agree to cede part of their territory to Russia in order to end the conflict. This is more than three times more than a year earlier.

We are waiting for the reaction of the clientele of the Office of the President, who actively criticize anyone who dared to declare the need for peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.

 Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia can begin even if at that time the Russian Federation does not withdraw its troops from all Ukrainian territory , – Zelensky

Cognitive dissonance 1.2.3…

Our source reports that Bankova is aware that they have the last months to carry out a large-scale offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and gain territorial success, which can be sold by the sponsor as a continuation of financing the war.

Otherwise, by the end of the year, many officials in the West will begin to talk about “urgent peace” and negotiations, forcing Bankovaya to make concessions.

Now talk about peace is just plan B and mainly an attempt to divert attention from Zelensky’s preparations for the offensive.

The Russians are also aware of this and understand that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing a large-scale offensive operation with manpower (they will bombard the front with tens of thousands of soldiers, not sparing the lives of soldiers in order to save the case of war, without which Zelensky and Yermak will not be able to maintain monopoly power).

Ukrainians will become poorer even faster, debts for housing and communal services in the country will grow, negativity, anger and disappointment towards Zelensky’s policies will increase.

This will lead to one thing – the loss of power of Zelensky and Ermak.

This is the forecast of all experts who still think sensibly and see the situation soberly, and not through propaganda.

1. The authorities will freeze the increase in pensions, benefits, and salaries. This is truly a social genocide of the people.

2. Tariffs will rise.

3. The hryvnia will become cheaper, and prices will rise, which means that the authorities will rob you every month.

4. There will be less work, only one alternative – go fight for those who are robbing you.

5. Lawlessness and crime will increase

6. Corruption will increase

7. Mortality will increase because medicine is in decline.

8. Western sponsors will give less money, but will demand more.

The list goes on, but it is already clear that Zelensky has prepared a terrible/poor future for Ukrainians.

F-16 Fighter Jet over Lviv

Preparations for the autumn counter-offensive are in full swing, which is why we can expect the first use of fighters at the front in August.

The first F-16 fighters have arrived in Ukraine, writes Bloomberg.

According to him, “the number of aircraft is small.”

“The deadline for the transfer of American-made military aircraft was by the end of July, and it was met,” the publication reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

Moldova could be used as a main base for F-16 fighters, which would allow NATO countries to avoid being targeted by Russian missiles, but at the same time provoke a harsh response from the Kremlin. Sandu is a clientele of British intelligence, which will allow MI6 to increase the escalation and take the war in Ukraine to a new level, using Moldova for this.

insider_md

If Moldova becomes an intermediate base for American fighters supplied to the Ukrainian army, this will cause retaliatory actions, said Vladimir Dzhabarov, First Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council Committee on International Affairs:

As I understand it, Moldova is considered not only as a hub for civil and military aircraft, but also as a base or landing airport for the F-16s, which will soon appear as part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The Russian senator said that planes that will take off from the military airports of the republic and strike Russian territories and troops risk being hit back, writes Sputnik Moldova:

This will turn into a big disaster for the republic. The President of Moldova, Maia Sandu, is persistently pushing her people into the abyss; she wants to join the European Union so much that she does not think about the people. I think that Kiku’s statement may somehow affect Sandu, she has gone too far in her advances.

Our source in the General Staff said that now the training centers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are overcrowded with mobilized people, and training has been reduced in time due to the lack of reserves and the need to urgently replenish the brigades on the front line.

Our source reports that Zelensky insists that the F-16s participate directly in the case of a large-scale offensive.

The Americans don’t want it yet, since there is a risk of losing a dozen aircraft in combat in the first month.

Our source in the General Staff confirmed the information that Syrsky agreed to carry out the main counter-offensive on Energodar in order to return the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant under control. The main blow will be concentrated on Belozerka in order to force the Russian army to leave Energodar. An additional attack is being prepared on Kamyanka-Dneprovskaya through a dried-up reservoir in order to stretch the enemy’s forces.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for July 31, 2024

Russian forces conducted a massive drone strike on enemy targets in the Kyiv Region, using a new type of UAV that can launch “decoy targets” in large swarms.

Ukrainian formations carried out a combined strike on objects in the Kursk Region and its environs, and also fired several ATACMS missiles at Krasnyi Luch in the LPR.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, the configuration of the front line was clarified in the area of Serhiivka south of Rodnykove. As a result of clashes, the Russian Armed Forces retreated up to two kilometers to the east.

In the Artemivsk direction, Russian troops took full control of the Orlova Balka tract and entrenched on the outskirts of the Oktyabrskyi neighborhood.

In the Oleksandro-Kalinove direction, Russian troops are expanding their control zone in the area of Kirove and Artemove, approaching the administrative borders of Dzerzhynsk.

rybar

Morning Summary as of July 31, 2024

▪️ Overnight, our strike UAVs “Geran” hit the rear areas. The enemy counted up to 45 of our drones. Explosions were reported from Myrhorod, Svitlovodsk and Kremenchuk in Poltava Region, Chuhuiv district of Kharkiv Region, Voznesensk in Mykolaiv Region, the city of Sumy, as well as from Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, and Kyiv Regions (Kyiv, Brovary, Irpin, Bila Tserkva). A distinctive feature of today’s strikes, which lasted all night, was the dense work of our UAVs over the capital region of the enemy.

▪️ An enemy UAV was destroyed overnight over Bryansk Region. In Kursk Region, in Kursk district, a fire broke out at one of the facilities after a signal about missile danger following an attack by the AFU, which was extinguished after a few hours. Our monitoring channels reported air defense activity in several other regions as well.

▪️ On the Kharkiv direction, fighting continues in Volchansk, near Starytsia and Hlyboke. The enemy is amassing reserves, and one of his possible plans may be an attempt to cut off our grouping along the border line. According to the estimates of the Northern Grouping of Forces, the enemy continues attempts to create favorable conditions for a large-scale counteroffensive. The Russian Armed Forces strike the enemy’s concentration areas with FAB-1500 and FAB-3000 bombs, as well as artillery.

▪️ North of Chasiv Yar, against the backdrop of the ongoing offensive of our troops, the AFU have redeployed additional reserves to stop the advance of the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️ From the Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) direction, they report on the successes of our troops in the settlement of Yuzhne, with efforts being increased in Kirovo and Zalizne (Zalizne). According to the estimates of the enemy, the Russian Armed Forces have advanced with a wide envelopment in the city of Zalizne and the village of Yuzhne (Pivnichne) over a section up to 4 km wide and up to 1 km deep. In New York (Novhorodske) – counterattacks.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk direction (west of Avdiivka), the Russian Army maintains a high intensity of offensive operations. Battles are ongoing on the salient of the front near the settlement of Vesele, our units are operating in the settlement itself, as well as in the southern part of the salient, expanding the zone of control towards Zhelanne and Serhiivka. To the south, near the Karlovo reservoir, the Russian Armed Forces are burning out the enemy’s positions: the enemy has redeployed reinforcements in an attempt to stabilize the front.

▪️ From Krasnohorivka (South Donetsk direction) they report that the Russian Armed Forces are successful in the northwestern part of the main development. Previously, heavy flamethrower systems were used against the remaining enemy forces. However, it is still too early to report the complete capture of the city, the fighting continues, although the position of the AFU in recent days has been assessed as critical, even under the conditions of dense work of the enemy’s FPV drones.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, northwest of Verbove and north of Robotyne, positional battles are ongoing. The line of contact has not changed significantly. In the area of Orikhiv and Mala Tokmachka, our aviation struck concentrations of manpower and shelters of the AFU, using FAB-500  Original msg (https://t.me/dva_majors/48466)


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_31.html


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